EurUsd- Don't be fooled by the rebound!I'm bearish EurUsd and also in my yesterday's comment I draw attention to the high probability of a drop under parity.
Indeed, we had this drop and now the pair is hovering around 0.99.
Of course, a rebound is possible and probable from this point on, but don't confuse this with a genuine reversal.
Instead, use this correction for opening short trades and join this grossly bearish trend.
In my opinion rallies towards parity and slightly above should be sold and only EurUsd back above 1.01 would delay this bearish scenario.
Even is hard to believe for some, we should get used to a stronger USD for the medium to longer term.
Eurusdidea
DeGRAM | EURUSD new lowsEURUSD broke and closed below the major support zone.
Price action continues to fall. If the price returns to the resistance level, we can look for a selling opportunity.
We expect a further sell off.
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EUR/USD Running In 180 Pips 0 Drawdown , Important Update NowThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
⭕Best BUY & SELL areas EURUSD 💣🔰You can see the analysis of euros in US dollars in a two-hour time frame (EURUSD _ 2H)🔍🧐
✴️As is evident from the image, the price is moving in a descending parallel channel (black🖤 channel). After breaking the bullish parallel channel (purple💜 color) in the main bearish parallel channel (black🖤 color) the price has fallen to the DEMAND💛 range. The price can rise up to its SUPPLY💛 range as specified in the picture❗❗ However, if it breaks the DEMAND💛 range downwards, it can descend to the bottom line of the downtrend channel and the 1.618 Fibonacci retracement range (orange🧡) drawn from the A_B point❗🧐
In your opinion, the price will move according to which scenario, GREEN💚 or RED❤️ ❓❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
📌Please introduce the channel to your friends 🙏🏻
____________📈TRADER STREET📉_______________
DeGRAM | EURUSD lower lowsEURUSD broke and closed below the support, which became resistance.
The market is pulling back to the local resistance zone.
We expect the support zone to be tested if local level rejects the price.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD range breaking EURUSD broke and closed below the support, which became resistance.
The market is pulling back to the resistance zone.
We expect a down move if price rejects it.
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EURUSD sell on the breakdown!!EURUSD has formed a strong downtrending market structure. After a liquidity grab from the top, we have seen EURUSD has broken down from the weekly resistance. Currently, the price has formed a head & shoulder on the 4H timeframe with strong rejection from the top. There is a high probability that EURUSD will continue to drop to 1.00599, the daily order block zone.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD in consolidation EURUSD is consolidating after a sell off.
The market created a box around the resistance zone.
Price action usually pauses before breaking out and going further down.
We expect a down move.
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EURUSDI was supposed to present this analysis 6 hours ago, but my trading view limited me.
The price break of the trend, and according to my analysis, the price can be corrected, then we will see a good opportunity to buy.
Caution today has important news for both GBP&EUR so observe the money management and the stop loss, to know about them, follow me and wait for the update.
EUR/USD analysis: Euro to fall below parity on EU gas crisis?Europe's wholesale natural gas price (Dutch Title Transfer Facility TTF ) rose to levels not seen since the aftermath of Russia's invasion of Ukraine, bolstered by a mixture of continuing supply disruptions from Russia and soaring demand for power generation in the midst of persistent heatwaves across Europe.
Gazprom ( GAZP ) announced that European gas prices could increase by 60% this winter, as the company's exports and production continue to fall as a result of Western sanctions.
From a macro standpoint, the European gas crisis is wreaking havoc on the economy of the Eurozone and this effect has already been quite visible on the EUR/USD trend in 2022. European and American natural gas price differentials have been widening to their all-time highs, and the EUR/USD currency pair is just 1.7% far from hitting parity again.
EUR/USD fundamental analysis: EU/US gas price spread plays a key role
According to the most recent NYMEX/CME Group data, US Henry Hub spot prices are currently trading at a $57/MMbtu discount ( THD ) relative to Europe's Dutch TTF benchmark as of mid-August 2022.
The link between EUR/USD and Henry Hub-TTF spread has increased significantly over the course of the summer, with the rolling 90-day correlation coefficient rising to 0.82. This is basically telling us that the lower US natural gas prices trade compared to the European Dutch TFF prices, the stronger the downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
Along with the economic growth and interest rate disparities between the two regions, the more severe natural gas crisis that Europe is experiencing compared to the United States is now a key macro factor affecting the EUR/USD exchange rate.
EUR/USD forecasts: The pair could fall below parity if EU/US gas spread widens further
If the European gas crisis worsens in the coming months, the price differential between EU Dutch TTF and US Henry Hub natural gas could widen further, which would likely cause the EUR/USD pair to break decisively below the parity threshold.
A de-escalation in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with a decline in the price of Dutch TTF gas, will be a key factor in preventing a further depreciation of the single currency. However, this second scenario appears much less likely.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity analyst at Capital.com