Eurusdidea
EurUsd- Slowly-Slowly towards parityLast week, EurUsd broke under 1.05 support and has made a low at 1.0350.
Afterward, the pair recovered and has risen above 1.05.
Although we have this recovery from the low, looking at the daily posted chart, we can see that the price is under 20d SMA and this is pointing down, indicating still a strong bear trend.
I expect USD bulls to remain in control in the future and the pair to continue its drop to parity in the medium term.
1.0650 is resistance now, followed by the strong 1.0750-1.08 one and in these zones, we can look for selling opportunities for a great risk: reward for swing traders.
Best Regards!
Mihai Iacob
P.S: Please share your opinion or your charts in the comments section below!
EUR/USDThe Euro fell quite firmly last week to reach a new 5-year low against the US Dollar. The low of the week was only a few pips higher than the 19-year low. European currencies are generally weak, and the Euro is of course the major European currency.
We see a bit of a lower wick in the weekly candlestick, and of course there is likely to be support kicking in if the price reaches the 6-year low at about $1.0335.
With a still-strong US Dollar, the price here looks likely to fall further over the coming days. However, bears will ideally want to see a down day on Monday, with a New York close below $1.0378 before entering a new short trade.
I will be prepared to enter a new short trade if we get a daily (New York) close below $1.0378.
EURUSD_D1 looking Bullish Divergence Consolidation zone breakoutEURUSD_D1 Consolidation zone breakout but the RSI looking Bullish Divergence, if this breakout is false breakout we see bulls rally. So let see tomorrow D1 candle if Tommorrow D1 candle is going up and retest the consolidation zone and next week bulls contineu so the consolidation zone breakout is false, if retest and contineu falling eurusd next will be 0.8 area. Traders Share your opinion in comments, Like and Follow me. Thank You...
EurUsd- Do we have a genuine break?In my yesterday's EurUsd commentary I said that I work with two bearish scenarios:
1. A retest of 1.08 and fall after
2. A direct break under support without a test
At this moment, after almost 2 weeks of consolidation in a rectangle, EurUsd is trading under 1.05 important support.
Considering the time of consolidation and the incapacity of the pair to pass above 1.0650 I believe this is a genuine break.
My long-term target, as you know, is the 0.85-0.90 zone, as for the short term, 1.03 can be a good price for bears.
As long as the price is under 1.0650 sell rallies can be a good strategy with the focus on a good R: R rate.
Jamie Trade Idea - Short EURUSDTrade Idea: EURUSD Sell
Reasoning: Breaking out of consolidation to the downside
Entry Level: 1.0456
Take Profit Level: 1.0348
Stop Loss: 1.0506
Risk/Reward: 2.16R
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EurUsd and my two bearish scenariosAs you know, I'm very bullish Usd and especially bearish EurUsd...
Looking at a longer TF we can see that since 1.6 top in 2008, EurUsd was trading down and although there are large swings, the direction remains.
In the past 5 years, EurUsd has entered a range mode with a low boundary at 1.05 and a high one at 1.25.
However, considering the fundamental factors, this range is very probable to be broken to the downside and EurUsd to dive hard under parity.
As the title says, I have 2 bearish scenarios for this outcome:
1. A rebound from 10.5 support towards 1.08 now strong resistance and break down after
2. A direct break that can lead to an acceleration
Regardless of which one, I will remain strongly bearish under 1.10 on the single currency
EURUSDThe euro went back and forth last week as the 1.05 level continues to offer support. That being said, the market looks as if it is going to continue to be very noisy, and will pay close attention to that 1.05 level. The 1.05 level is an area where we have seen a lot of support underneath, and therefore I think we are looking at a situation where the market breaking down below there could kick off more selling, but I believe it will more likely than not be difficult to break through. The most likely scenario is a short-term rally that will sell off the closer we get to the 1.08 level.
EURUSDThe Euro has fallen hard during the trading session on Thursday to threaten the 1.05 level. The 1.05 level of course is a large, round, psychologically significant figure, and an area that has been important multiple times. Because of this, it is not overly surprising that we stall in this area. If we rally from here, it is likely that we will continue to see plenty of pressure. The 1.08 level above is a significant barrier, and the 50 Day EMA seems to be racing towards it, which is yet another reason to think that the market will find plenty of sellers.
On a breakdown below the 1.05 level, then we are more likely than not will try to get down to the 1.04 level. The 1.03 level underneath is the bottom of the overall consolidation that we had seen previously, and therefore it is likely that we continue to be influenced by the previous action. Ultimately, I do think that we can get down to the 1.03 level, but it is going to be very choppy, and not very easy.
As far as buying the Euro is concerned, we would need to see a massive shift in attitude, and perhaps a break above the 50 Day EMA. Furthermore, the 1.0933 level is an area where we have seen a lot of selling pressure as well. If we can clear all of that, the market is likely to turn around and go much higher. That would obviously take a major shift in attitude from the Federal Reserve and of course the European Central Bank as well.
The market will continue to see a lot of volatility, and quite frankly I think that is going to be the norm in almost all currency pairs. The interest rate differential between the United States and Germany still dictates that we need to go lower, and of course rallies at this point should be thought of as value for the US dollar. Getting a little bit of a bounce should be thought of as a nice opportunity, but you should also keep in mind that the pair very rarely moves in one direction for very long, so it is going to be difficult to trade this directly off of the daily chart. However, I will not hesitate to use the one hour chart.