Market Analysis: EUR/USD Volatility on the HorizonThe EUR/USD forex market has exhibited relatively low volatility in recent years, characterized by choppy price movements. However, technical indicators suggest that a significant increase in volatility may be imminent.
While the fundamental drivers behind this potential shift are unclear, chart analysis implies a possible reversal in the long-term downtrend. A potential upward movement could see the EUR/USD exchange rate reach 1.13 and 1.23 over the medium to long term, potentially within the next 6-24 months.
It is essential to note that this forecast is based on technical analysis and should not be considered a definitive prediction. The timing and underlying causes of such a move are uncertain, and the market may be influenced by unforeseen events.
We recommend maintaining a watchful eye on the EUR/USD market, as a potential spike in volatility could occur in the coming years. This analysis is intended to stimulate discussion and consideration of possible future market developments, rather than a definitive forecast.
Eurusdlong
EURUSD waiting ReboundEU stay on downtrend, but filled weekly imbalance, but daily imbalance stay to be filled at 1.0780 area. Price can go up after or from here to 1.0918 resistance area. Now we wil get PD 50% at 1.08365 or at resistances 1.0842 or 1.0853. From there a new low or a small correction for upside after. Red areas FVG's on chart waiting to be taken.
EUR/USD Trade Setup on 30-Minute TimeframeOn the 30-minute timeframe, the price has formed a demand level around 1.07800.
Note: The price is also showing bearish sentiment by breaking a major key 4-hour support level and retesting it.
If the price breaks through the demand level, there will be no buy entries.
Now we wait ⏰
1-hour chart GBP/USDVisit fourtrades website for more active insights
On the 1-hour chart, GBP/USD is consolidating within a range between 1.2840 and 1.2800. The price recently tested the lower boundary of this range and the descending channel support. A bullish breakout from this range could see the price targeting the 1.2940 resistance level. Conversely, a bearish breakout could lead to a continuation of the downtrend towards 1.2750.
Conclusion
The GBP/USD pair is at a critical juncture, testing significant support levels on multiple timeframes. Traders should watch for a breakout from the current descending channel and the 1.2820 support level. A bullish breakout could offer long opportunities targeting 1.2940 and 1.3000. On the other hand, a break below 1.2820 could see the price moving towards 1.2750 and 1.2650, providing potential short opportunities.
EUR/USD is ready to move up(07/31/2024)In our last analysis
We warned you about the incoming correction. After that, the price corrected over 130 pip.
Right now the price is hovering around 1.08 zone. Multilayer resistance on the 1.08 zone made this level solid.
So we are expecting a good reaction from this zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
1-Hour Chart Analysis:EURUSD
On the 1-hour chart, EUR/USD is currently trading within a descending channel, indicating a downtrend. The price has tested the upper boundary of the channel multiple times (as marked by the red arrows), showing resistance around the 1.0850 level. The lower boundary has acted as support, with the most recent bounce occurring near the 1.0800 level (indicated by the grey arrows).
The RSI is displaying a bullish divergence, suggesting a potential reversal or consolidation phase. A break above the 1.0850 level could lead to a move towards the next resistance level around 1.0880. Alternatively, a breakdown below 1.0800 could see the pair testing lower supports at 1.0750 and 1.0700.
EURUSDAs I said last week my Bias on EU remains the same. I am currently in a position and longs are valid for me. On 15 min time frame price made the flip in a structure after taking out the low and somewhere in that area was my entry. Longs are valid until the invalidation point is broken. But first task for the price is to break 15 min high and continue higher.
Buy EUR/USD Wedge BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 1.0842, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0881
2nd Support – 1.0902
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.0822. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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EURUSD I Potential bullish rise but trading in weekly rangeWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURUSD LongLong with Cluster Zone as target.
Position split to 2. First order market. 2 orders below the range that had formed in the morning, at a low of 1.0825.
2 Build an order with a limit in the market or gradually over several partial positions. Below the low are several old value zones that should provide support. There are also some important dates on the calendar today that could give the EUR a boost up.
There could be a downward spike that you can use to get better prices.
On weekly and monthly charts the EUR is gaining strength. So my bias is Long
EURUSD Analysis (July 22-July 27)🌐Fundamental analysis:
EUR/USD fell slightly below 1.09. ECB kept interest rates unchanged as expected and left open a decision on interest rates in September. The US Dollar (USD) regained upward momentum on Thursday, bringing the USD Index (DXY) back above 104 .00, thanks to a significant recovery in US bond yields.
In his press conference, the ECB president expected the recovery to be supported by consumption, emphasizing the resilience of the labor market. Domestic inflation remains high and wages are growing at a high rate. Besides, investors are still debating whether the Fed will make one or two interest rate cuts this year.
Meanwhile, the prospect of an economic recovery in the Eurozone and signs of cooling in key US economic indicators could ease the ongoing divergence in monetary policy between Fed and ECB, sometimes supporting the EUR/USD pair in the near future.
🕯Technical analysis:
Expect EUR/USD to face the next upside resistance at 1.096, followed by the January high of 1.110. On the upside, if the bears regain control, the pair could target the 1.0820 EMA support zone before sliding to the June low of 1.0666. Looking at the big picture, it seems like the growth momentum will continue if the price line remains above the two EMA lines.
There are two break out levels to form a very important trend of the pair at 1.096-1.082.
Support: 1,083-1,068
Resistance: 1,096-1,110
SELL EURUSD zone 1.110-1.130 Stoploss 1.140
BUY EURUSD zone 1.082-1.080 Stop loss 1.079
7 Dimension Buy Trade Setup for EURUSD Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1/M5
1: Swing Structure: Bullish with inducement done. Corrective swing move reaches the extreme POIs, also gives a pullback at the demand level, forming a bullish internal structure. Mitigated all POIs including extreme OB, FVG, and liquidity sweep area inside the structure in the discounted zone. Swing support demand zone plays a significant role at this point and this zone also acts as a change in polarity zone.
2: Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal: Double bottom chart patterns also indicate a reversal.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Momentum: Many bullish and bearish big candles show huge activity in this area, indicating execution momentum is on the sell side and building momentum on the buy side, but buyers look strong. Narrow range 4 pattern possibly formed and a tower bottom is also fully formed, indicating a buy-side reversal.
3: Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: According to this, many bulls are active in this area and have very good buy pressure.
4: Momentum RSI
🟢 With 2 bullish divergences in the bearish range indicating a momentum shift from bearish to sideways range shift.
5: Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 After corrective volatility expansion, now volatility is going to cool down and might be for one day, price can consolidate in this range and then start another impulsive move on the bull side with a possible upper band squeeze breakout walking on the band because right at this level we also see a W Bollinger band pattern and lower band puncher.
6: Strength: EUR is strong.
7: Sentiment: All indicators point to buy sentiments.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: M5
✅ Entry TF Structure: CHOCH in M5 and also mitigated all the POIs in entry time frames
☑️ M5 Trend Line Broke
💡 Decision: Buy
🚀 Entry: 1.08845
✋ Stop Loss: 1.08753
🎯 Take Profit: 1.09232
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 4.24 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 Days
Short SUMMARY: Analysis supports a strong buy position based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology.
EUR/USD Daily Chart - Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the Daily timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the upcoming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.0900.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1083
2nd Resistance – 1.1210
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.0718. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you