EUR/USD Analysis Ascending Triangle Breakout – Bullish TargetOverview of the Chart:
The chart represents the EUR/USD (Euro to U.S. Dollar) pair on a 1-hour timeframe, showcasing a bullish ascending triangle breakout. The pattern indicates an upward continuation in the trend after a period of consolidation. This analysis will break down the key elements of the chart, the technical structure, and the potential trading strategy.
1. Market Structure & Key Zones
A. Market Curve Area (Early Trend Development)
The price started with a strong bullish trend leading up to the formation of the triangle.
The curved trendline suggests a gradual increase in buying pressure, indicating that the market was preparing for a larger breakout.
B. Resistance and Support Levels
Resistance Level (Red Arrow & Blue Box):
This level acted as a price ceiling where sellers previously dominated.
The market attempted multiple times to break this resistance before successfully breaching it.
Support Level (Green Arrow & Yellow Zone):
The price consistently found buyers at this level, reinforcing a higher low structure.
The rising support line within the triangle indicated strong accumulation by buyers.
2. Chart Pattern: Ascending Triangle Formation
The price action formed an ascending triangle, which is a well-known bullish continuation pattern.
The higher lows (trendline support) indicated buyers were gaining control, gradually pushing the price toward the resistance.
Eventually, the resistance was broken with strong bullish momentum, confirming a valid breakout.
3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest
The breakout above the resistance level came with high volume, indicating strong market participation.
After the breakout, a minor pullback (retest) occurred, confirming previous resistance as new support.
The price surged upward after the retest, validating the bullish trade setup.
4. Trade Setup & Risk Management
A. Entry Strategy
A trader would enter a buy (long) position after confirming the breakout.
Entry Trigger:
Either at breakout (high-risk, early entry)
Or after a successful retest (safer entry)
B. Stop Loss Placement
A stop loss is placed below the previous support level at 1.07276, ensuring risk is limited in case of a false breakout.
C. Target Projection
The target price is measured using the height of the triangle added to the breakout level.
Based on this calculation, the projected target is around 1.12838.
5. Conclusion & Trading Plan
The EUR/USD pair has executed a clean ascending triangle breakout, signaling further bullish movement.
The trading plan suggests:
✅ Entry: Buy after breakout confirmation or retest.
✅ Stop Loss: Placed below 1.07276 for risk management.
✅ Take Profit: Targeting 1.12838, based on the pattern’s height projection.
This setup presents a high-probability long opportunity in a trending market, with proper risk management to protect against potential reversals.
Eurusdlong
EUR/USD Ready to Soar? Bullish Setup Unfolding!Hi traders! Analyzing EUR/USD on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry:
🔹 Entry: 1.0831 USD
🔹 TP: 1.0983 USD
🔹 SL: 1.0672 USD
EUR/USD is respecting a key trendline support, suggesting a potential bullish continuation. RSI is holding above 60, and MACD shows signs of bullish momentum. If the price remains above the support line, we could see a push toward 1.0983 USD. Keep an eye on price action!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Thu 3rd Apr 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth.
● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024.
● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors.
◉ Technical Observation
● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail.
Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge
Pattern Description
Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support).
Appearance on the Chart:
The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines:
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward.
Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle.
The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025.
Breakout Direction:
Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout.
The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart.
Key Levels and Trading Setup
1. Support Level
A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080).
This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30).
The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest.
2. Resistance Level
A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210).
This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged.
After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move.
3. Target
The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110.
This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point.
The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110).
4. Stop Loss
A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730.
This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss.
The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade.
Trading Setup Summary
Entry:
The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price.
Take Profit/Target:
Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss.
Additional Observations
Price Action Context:
Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend.
The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher.
Volume and Momentum:
The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include:
An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest.
Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover.
Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength.
Timeframe:
This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day.
Market Context:
EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments.
Conclusion
The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
EURUSD(20250402) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0799
Support and resistance levels
1.0851
1.0832
1.0819
1.0780
1.0767
1.0748
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0799, consider buying, the first target price is 1.0819
If the price breaks through 1.0780, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0767
Euro at Critical Demand – Is the Trend About to Flip?Euro reached an important zone for my setup, triggering a long position. Although it’s still trending below the fibcloud on the 4H timeframe, we’ve seen a solid 0.5% recovery from the recent low. I’m looking for this area to hold as support, with defined risk in case the setup invalidates.
Technicals:
• Price tapped into a major 4H support level where liquidity historically steps in.
• The current move marks a 0.5% bounce from the low, showing early signs of demand.
• Still trading below the fibcloud, but a reclaim of that zone would open the path toward 1.0850.
• Setup includes a stop-loss below the most recent wick low, with a clear structure to build a higher low.
Fundamentals:
EUR-side strength:
• ECB maintains a slower pace of rate cuts compared to the Fed.
• Growth and inflation in the Eurozone are still challenges, but the ECB’s hawkish stance continues to support medium-term EUR strength.
• The ECB may hike another 150 bps to reach a 4% terminal rate, which favors EUR upside.
USD-side risks:
• Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all car imports, including from the EU-adding geopolitical and trade uncertainty.
• Traders remain cautious around further escalation in US-EU trade tensions.
• US Initial Jobless Claims later today could bring weakness to the dollar if the data disappoints.
In short, while the USD remains resilient, the EUR fundamentals and the current technical zone make this a compelling spot for a bounce.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective.
After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair.
Scenario 1: SELLS from current price
With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085)
With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444.
KEY NOTES
- DXY possible reversal to the upside.
- Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside.
- DXY is the global reserve currency.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
Week of 3/30/25: EURUSD Weekly AnalysisEURUSD has healthy price action with the MTF switching to bullish, once MTF aligns with the daily, we're definitely good to go on longs. For now waiting for price action to show us that it wants to move higher.
Major news: NFP Friday
Thanks for coming, goodluck this week with your trades!
EURUSD Breakout ?Hi Traders, coming up EURUSD German Prelim CPI may make this pair volatile. As with the increased volatility we could see EURUSD moving back to the upside. Expecting EURUSD to give us significant opportunity with market opens.4H has formed a doji that may give high probability trade setup
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position.
Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind.
- Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest.
- Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target.
- DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU.
Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD started corrective decline.
This decline may continue, but the support area of 1.0732 could trigger a rebound.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 1.0600 to 1.0527.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 H4 Timeframe:
The Downtrend was a corrective wave and is broken now. It suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
The price is in an UpTrend.
The bullish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is above the strong Support at 1.0732
1.0802 resistance is broken now. It will act as a support now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
EURUSD Weekly Candle RangeTrading is hard but it's simple.
On the 1W, EURUSD traded into a key zone and ended with a long wick, indicating a strong rejection. I'm looking to find entries in the wick area and targeting CRH for the rest of the week. Do have a lovely weekend. For me, I'd be looking at ETHUSDT 😅
XAUUSD, EURUSD and GBPUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD: Uncertain Trajectory Amid Tariff - Induced JittersThe EUR/USD is trading at 1.0796. After a Thursday rebound from 1.0733 due to a weakening USD, it's now pressured at the intraday high of 1.0799.
US President Donald Trump's new 25% import taxes on cars and car parts, with potential additional levies on the eurozone and Canada, have stoked risk - off sentiment. This has led to a temporary dip in the US dollar's appeal.
On the daily chart, it's found buyers near the non - directional 200 - day SMA, with 1.0730 as dynamic support. It's attempting to break the bullish 20 - day SMA, while the 100 - day SMA is non - directional below the current level. The momentum indicator is flat below 100, and the RSI at 56 hints at upward risk, yet unconfirmed. Bulls should be cautious short - term.
In the 4 - hour chart, technicals are rising but below the mid - line. EUR/USD is fighting a bearish 20 - day SMA, and the 100 - day SMA has lost upward steam around 1.0840. A break above 1.0840 could bring back the bulls.
EURUSD
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Strong GDP, Weak USD – How Will EURUSD React!?Today's U.S. data showed strong GDP growth (2.4%) , but lower inflation ( 2.3% Final GDP Price Index ) and a weaker trade balance ( -147.9B ) suggest the Fed may remain cautious on rate hikes. This limits USD's strength , supporting a potential EURUSD rebound .
EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Support zone($1.08180-$1.0745) and has also managed to break the Downtrend line . 50_SMA(Weekly) plays a good role of support for EURUSD .
In terms of Classic Technical Analysis and Price Action , there is also a possibility that EURUSD will return to an uptrend with Inverse Head and Shoulders and Bullish Quasimodo Patterns .
Regarding Elliott Wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has managed to complete the main wave 4 . The main wave 4 structure is an Expanding Flat Correction(ABC/3-3-5) .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hour s and rise to at least $1.0855 , and if the Resistance zone($1.0867-$1.0850) is broken, we should expect more pumping .
Note: If EURUSD breaks below the 50_SMA(Weekly), we expect further declines. The worst Stop Loss(SL) could be $1.072.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree .
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 2-hour time frame.
Be sure to follow the updated ideas.
Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD - Potential Reversal Zones and ScenariosThis 4-hour chart of EURUSD highlights potential Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) that could act as strong areas of support and possible reversal zones. Price action is currently trending within a descending channel, with three possible bullish scenarios outlined:
1. A breakout from the upper boundary of the channel leading to an immediate bullish move.
2. A retracement into the first FVG zone, followed by a reversal upward.
3. A deeper retracement into the second FVG, aligned with the 0.618-0.65 Fibonacci retracement level, before a strong bullish rebound.
Keep an eye on these levels for high-probability trade setups. Patience is key!
EURUSD Will be in bearish directionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts