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EUR/USD 1H Analysis: EMA 200 Retest & Fibonacci Pullback – Key LKey Observations: Ascending Wedge Breakout & Price Surge The price broke out of a wedge pattern (green shaded area) with strong bullish momentum. A strong rally led to a new local high (~1.0489). Fibonacci Retracement Levels The price is pulling back from the high, and Fibonacci retracement levels are marked. Key levels to watch: 0.618 (1.04385) – Strong support 0.5 (1.04238) – Moderate support 0.382 (1.04091) – First level of reaction EMA 200 Retest (~1.04467) The 200 EMA (blue line) is acting as dynamic support. The expectation (noted on the chart) is that price may touch or react at the EMA 200. If it holds, it could trigger another bullish push. If it breaks below EMA 200, further downside toward Fib 0.618 or 0.786 retracement is possible. Potential Bearish Rejection (Red Arrows) The red arrows suggest a possible lower high formation, meaning the price could reject from EMA 200 and start a deeper drop. Volume Analysis Increasing volume suggests strong participation. If volume remains high near EMA 200, we might see a breakout or a strong bounce. Potential Trade Scenarios: Bullish Case (Buy Trade) If price holds above EMA 200 (~1.04467) and forms a bullish reaction, a long trade could target: First target: 1.0489 (previous high). Second target: 1.0500+ (psychological level). Stop Loss: Below 1.0435 (below Fib 0.618). Bearish Case (Sell Trade) If price fails at EMA 200 and forms a lower high, it could drop toward: First target: 1.0430 (Fib 0.5). Second target: 1.0409 (Fib 0.382). Third target: 1.0390 (Fib 0.236). Stop Loss: Above 1.0460 (above EMA 200). Conclusion: EMA 200 is the key level to watch. Bullish bias above EMA 200; Bearish bias below. If EMA 200 holds, buying could be a good strategy. If it fails, further downside is expected. Would you like a precise trade setup based on this? 🚀
by KingProTrader
"EUR/USD: Long Opportunity at Trendline Support"Uptrend Momentum with Key Support & Resistance Levels 1. Overall Market Structure & Trend The EUR/USD pair is currently in an upward trend, as indicated by the well-defined ascending trendline. This trendline has been respected multiple times, providing strong dynamic support. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, further confirming the bullish structure. 2. Critical Buying Zone & Upward Trendline Support A key buying zone is highlighted in the 1.0400–1.0440 region. This area aligns with both the trendline support and the previous consolidation zone, making it a strong potential demand area. If the price retraces into this zone, a bullish reaction is expected, offering a potential entry opportunity for long positions. 3. Moving Averages as Dynamic Support The price is currently trading above the 200-period moving average (blue) and the 50-period moving average (red). These moving averages are acting as dynamic support levels, reinforcing the overall bullish bias. A successful retest of these levels could provide confirmation for further upside movement. 4. Potential Upside Target at 1.0550 The immediate upside target is set around the 1.0550 resistance level, which marks a previous high. A breakout above this zone could trigger further bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price towards higher resistance levels. 5. Short-Term Pullback & Rebound Potential Currently, the price is undergoing a minor correction. However, as long as the trendline and the buying zone remain intact, a bullish rebound is the most likely scenario. The red arrow on the chart indicates an anticipated upward movement upon a successful retest of the support zone. 6. Conclusion & Trading Strategy - Bullish Outlook: As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and key support zone, the bias remains bullish. 🔹Key Levels to Watch: Support: 1.0400–1.0440 (buying zone) Resistance: 1.0550 (target area) Trade Setup: A potential long entry could be considered upon confirmation of a bounce from the trendline and support area, with a target of 1.0550 and a stop-loss below 1.0380. 😊Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Thoughts In Comments.
Long
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
EUR/USD Potential Rebound – Short-Term Buy Opportunity?Analysis & Description: The EUR/USD pair has experienced a strong bearish move, pushing the price down to a key support zone near the lower Bollinger Band. A potential bounce-back scenario is forming, as indicated by the setup. Key Observations: ✅ Bollinger Band Support: Price touched the lower band, suggesting a possible short-term reversal. ✅ Recovery Setup: The chart outlines a bullish recovery with a target around 1.04128 - 1.04169. ✅ Risk-Reward Setup: Stop-loss positioned below the recent low to manage risk effectively. Trading Plan: 📈 Bullish Scenario: A successful hold of the support zone could lead to a move toward 1.04169, marking a possible short-term bullish opportunity. ⚠️ Bearish Risk: If the price breaks below the recent low, the bullish idea could be invalidated, leading to further downside. Final Thought: EUR/USD might see a temporary relief rally after the recent drop. A cautious long entry near support could be an opportunity, but traders must manage risk carefully! 🚀📊
Long
by NexusTradesZone
EUR/USD UPDATE: Still Following the Plan! EUR/USD continues to respect our bullish structure, maintaining higher highs and higher lows within the ascending channel. The Fair Value Gap (FVG) remains a strong support, and price has been consolidating within this zone, showing signs of bullish intent. 🔹 Key Updates: ✅ Price is still holding above the FVG, confirming strong demand. ✅ Higher lows are forming, reinforcing the bullish trend. ✅ Still facing strong resistance—a break above could signal further upside. 🚨 What to Watch For: 📈 Bullish case: A breakout above the resistance could trigger a strong rally. 📉 Bearish case: Losing the FVG support may invalidate the bullish setup. Make sure to check the main analysis in the related publications. For now, the structure remains intact, and we are still respecting the channel. Are we about to see a breakout? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ⬇️ __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
Long
by TehThomas
1
EUR/USD - Ready for a Massive Breakout?The EUR/USD pair is currently respecting a well-defined ascending channel, displaying clear bullish market structure with higher highs and higher lows. After testing the bottom of the channel three times, price has only made higher lows, indicating a shift in momentum and a strong demand zone. This suggests that buyers are stepping in aggressively at lower levels, reinforcing the bullish outlook. 🔹 Key Levels & Observations 🔹 🔸 Fair Value Gap (FVG) as Strong Support. One of the most significant technical factors in this setup is the fair value gap (FVG), which has consistently acted as a strong support level. Price has been creating higher highs after bouncing from this zone, making it a crucial area of interest. This FVG has been filled, and price is showing signs of respecting it, further solidifying the bullish sentiment. 🔸 Bottom of the Channel Successfully Defended. The market has tested the bottom of the ascending channel three times, and after each test, price has only made higher lows. This kind of price action is a strong indication that buyers are in control, absorbing selling pressure and pushing price higher. 🔸 Strong Resistance at the top. The black horizontal resistance line represents a key level where price has struggled to break above in the past. It has been tested multiple times, confirming its significance. A clean breakout above this level would serve as confirmation that bulls have full control, potentially leading to a strong continuation to the upside. 🔸 Bullish Structure Confirmed? As price continues forming higher highs and higher lows, the overall market structure remains bullish. As long as price respects the fair value gap and the ascending channel, the expectation is for a continuation of the uptrend. 📌 Trading Plan & Potential Scenarios 📌 ✅ Bullish Scenario: If price holds above the fair value gap (green support zone) and continues to form higher lows, the bias remains bullish. A break and close above the strong resistance level (black line) would be the ideal confirmation for further upside movement. If a breakout occurs, we could see a strong rally as trapped sellers get liquidated and momentum builds. ❌ Bearish Scenario (Invalidation Level): If price fails to hold the FVG support zone and starts forming lower highs, we may see a deeper correction towards the lower boundary of the channel. A confirmed break below the channel could signal a trend reversal. 📉 What to Watch for Confirmation 📈 🔹 Break and close above the strong resistance (black line) for a bullish breakout confirmation. 🔹 Continuation of higher lows & higher highs within the ascending channel. 🔹 Strong buying pressure at the fair value gap to maintain the bullish bias. Final Thoughts: At this stage, the EUR/USD pair is looking bullish, with the market structure aligning with a continued upward move. The fair value gap is a key support level, and as long as price holds above it, the trend remains intact. A breakout above resistance could signal a strong move to the upside, potentially triggering more buying interest. What are your thoughts on this setup? Do you think we’ll see a breakout above resistance soon? Let me know in the comments! 🚀📈 __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment—I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈✨
Long
by TehThomas
EURUSD: holds steady above 1.0400 amid US tariff threatsEUR/USD holds steady above 1.0450 in the European trading hours on Thursday. Broad US Dollar underperformance supports the pair. However, tariff threats from US President Donald Trump and geopolitical tension might cap its upside. US data and Fedspeak remains in focus. EUR/USD Technical Overview Technically, the bullish outlook of EUR/USD remains intact as the major pair holds above the key 100-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) on the 4-hour chart. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is located below the midline, near 42.85, suggesting that further downside cannot be ruled out. The first upside barrier for EUR/USD emerges near 1.0461, the high of February 19. The key resistance level to watch is the 1.0500-1.0505 zone, representing the psychological level and the upper boundary of the Bollinger Band. A decisive break above this level will see a rally to 1.0533, the high of January 27.
Long
by xauusd_rr
EUR/USD Longs from 3hr demand zone My bias for EUR/USD (EU) aligns with my outlook on other dollar pairs, as the Dollar Index (DXY) has been trending lower, reinforcing the bullish momentum for EU, GU, and Gold. Currently, there’s a clean 3-hour demand zone that caused a break of structure to the upside—this is the move I’m looking to capitalize on. My expectation is for price to continue higher and target the pool of liquidity resting above. That said, if price shows a shift in character to the downside on the higher timeframes (HTF), I’ll reassess and look for potential opportunities to capitalize on that move instead. Confluences for EU Buys: ✅ Price is in a strong bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. ✅ The Dollar Index (DXY) remains bearish, supporting this bullish outlook. ✅ Liquidity above that price is likely to target. ✅ Clean 3-hour demand zone that remains unmitigated. Alternative Scenario: If price drops below the 3-hour demand zone, I’ll look for my next buy opportunity at the clean 6-hour demand zone around 1.03000, where price would be in a more discounted area. Stay sharp and trade smart—have a great trading week! 🤺
Long
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD getting close to target after tariffs rebound...The EUR/USD has rebounded nicely from two weeks prior when we gapped down pretty significantly after tariffs were announced. The original observation was bullish after identifying a bullish pattern (Descending Megaphone) alongside MACD divergence. We're stalling at the moment around 1.0500 and I don't expect any further movement throughout the day considering it's a U.S. market holiday however, I'm continuing to hold on to my long position and eying an exit at 1.0600 which is where the yearly pivot point is located. If we do get to see the 1.0600 price, I will be evaluating short positions somewhere in this zone. We'll see how the remainder of this week develops and go from there. Good Luck & Trade Safe.
by InternalTraderNYC
EURUSD - what to expect?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels . Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame and following our original analysis posted on February 4th (check image below). Now after we broke to the upside we are waiting to make a pullback on the pair (based on the H4 time-frame). As of now we are sitting on our hands and patiently waiting on the pullback to happen or possible reverses and join the uptrend. TVC:EXY has seen some strength last week regardless of the positive data for the TVC:DXY which gave back gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he had spoken with Russian President Vladamir Putin about starting negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. This still holds positive weight on the EUR overall. Considering this, we can pre-plan some possible outcomes including both fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Scenario 1: BUYS at the break the highs (1.05140) - We broke above 1.05140. With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside without even creating a deeper pullback. The technical analysis and fundamentals would be on our side. Scenario 2: BUYS at the pullback (1.04360) - We came down to our PBA (Pullback Area) at around 1.04360. With the pullback completed and the price respecting this area, we could potentially see more upside on this pair from this KL (Key Level). Long-term buys at this price would be valid. Again technical and fundamentals analysis would both be on our side. KEY NOTES - EXY (EUR) showing strength after last week’s positive “news”. - Breaks to the upside would confirm higher highs. - Respecting our PBA (Pullback Area - 1.04360 would give us a buy opportunity. - Possible resolutions between Ukraine and Russia. Happy trading! FxPocket
by FxPocket
1