EURUSD SELLHello, According to my analysis of the EUR/USD pair, the market seems to be in a negative state, especially with the break of the ascending channel. We also notice that the price returned to test the channel. There is also a strong correction on the Fibonacci golden ratio of 61%. Good luck everyone
Eurusdlongsetup
EURUSD: November core CPI in the US unexpectedly increased, whicWhile it seems unlikely that US CPI data will influence the FOMC's policy decision this week, the market will keep an eye on the m/m core CPI data. If this index exceeds expectations, current inflationary pressures will certainly affect the timing of interest rate cuts in the future, however if the data is lower than estimates it could boost interest rate expectations. cut earlier.
EURUSD Longs from 1.07000 up to 1.08800This week's forecast for the EURUSD aligns with the breakdown observed in GBPUSD, indicating a positive correlation between these pairs. In the case of EURUSD, I anticipate further downward movement to reach a 19-hour demand zone. Following this, I expect a bullish reaction, propelling the price upward towards a more favorable supply zone for a potential sell-off.
Additionally, there is significant liquidity positioned above the current price, providing an additional rationale for a retracement. Given the recent bearish trend, I foresee an impending pullback, which I anticipate will occur during this week.
Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- Price entering a 19hr demand zone that caused a broke of structure to the upside on HTF.
- There lots of liquidity lying above in the form of Asian highs and trendline liquidity.
- Price has been moving bullish the last couple of weeks and I consider this a pro-trend trade.
- The DXY (Dollar) is also temporarily bearish which means I'm expecting this pair to keep going up.
- The imbalances that were left previously have now been filled so price could be ready to retrace.
P.S. Although I am currently seeking buying opportunities in the demand area just below the current price, it wouldn't be surprising if the price decides to drop further to reach a more affordable zone. This adjustment could potentially result in an improved bullish position. Additionally, upon entering a supply zone, I anticipate the price to sustain a bearish trend, given the prevailing bearish sentiment in the overall market for the EURUSD.
EURUSD → Nearing Support! Is it Time to Long!? Let's Answer.EURUSD rejected nicely off of the Resistance Zone at 1.10 and fell to 1.07300! If you shorted at the Resistance Zone per my last analysis, hold that short! It's reasonable to take profits here around 1:1 Risk/Reward and swing the latter half, but will we make it to the bottom?
How do we trade this? 🤔
If you're not currently in a trade, I would wait until the price falls closer to the Support Zone and bounces or wait for it to break Resistance and long above it. Look to enter a long in the 1.06 area if a strong bull signal and confirmation plays out and trade a 1:2 Risk/Reward taking profit just shy of the Resistance Zone. Your protective stop should be below the Support Zone giving you a clear 1:2 Risk/Reward!
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: 1.05800
🟥 Stop Loss: 104.100
✅ Take Profit: 1.09200
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long.
2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Run Short to 1.06.
3. Look for Support at Support Zone 1.054.
4. Look for Reversal Pattern, Bull Signal and Confirmation.
5. RSI at 45.00 far below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Eur/usd Buy signal Hello traders, EU retraced to a weekly FVG and high probabilty order block we have also the SMT with DXY which is a signature that we could have a smart money reversal, For the next week I would be looking for buys but before that I need to see some bullish momentum coming out to the market and market structure shift .
EURUSD resume uptrend?EURUSD's daily chart showcases a strong bullish momentum, with a notable opportunity for a sustained buy position identified at the highlighted demand level in blue. This level, signaling a concentration of unfilled orders, suggests significant underlying strength. The envisioned long-term target for this buy position aligns strategically with the supply zone at the chart's pinnacle.
Investors eyeing potential opportunities in the currency pair may find the current bullish trend compelling, with the highlighted demand level serving as a promising entry point. The anticipation of continued upward movement is supported by the concentration of unfilled orders at this level, reinforcing the potential for a sustained bullish trajectory with the long-term target aligned to the supply zone at the chart's upper extremity.
💡 EURUSD : Forecast December 5The European Central Bank policymaker and President of the Bank of France said the ECB is not yet ready to consider reducing borrowing costs but will do so after 2024. Slowing inflation has allowed the ECB to clarifying the 2% inflation target from summer 2021, which could herald an adjustment in monetary policy. In addition, dovish comments from the FED pulled the dollar down, partly supporting the view that the Fed has ended its interest rate hike cycle and will shift to an easing stance in 2024.
We can see EUR/USD recovering and the MACD double line and bar chart shrinking below the zero axis on the H4 chart. When the price once fell below the 1.0880 support level, a short-term top emerged as a bear market.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD possible buy zone!Recently, there was an anticipation of a pullback or correction in the EURUSD currency pair. This correction was expected if the current peak reached the level of 1.10000. However, the US dollar strengthened without a deceptive upward movement, compelling its major rivals to retreat. Despite this, an overshoot is anticipated, likely leading to the subsequent (deeper) downward correction.
Towards the end of this week, on Friday, significant economic data is set to be published. Special focus is on data from the United States, and, of course, the attention-grabbing speech by the head of the Federal Reserve.
EURUSDAs we delve into the intricacies of the EUR/USD market, a compelling bullish narrative emerges, supported by a meticulous examination of the order flow dynamics. The current outlook suggests a favorable environment for bullish sentiments, with an emphasis on a key level that has yet to undergo a retracement.
Analyzing the Daily Time Frame reveals a missed retracement level, signaling a potential catalyst for a bullish resurgence in the EUR/USD pair. Traders and investors can anticipate a bullish momentum emanating from this critical juncture, offering a strategic entry point for those looking to capitalize on the forthcoming market dynamics.
EURUSD: Fed official: Interest rates will stay limited for a Interest rates are "estimated to be at their lowest level in 25 years," Williams told the New York Fed's Bretton Woods Committee meeting. "I think it is appropriate to maintain a hawkish stance for some time to fully restore balance and return inflation sustainably to our long-term target of 2%," he said.
The Fed is expected to keep interest rates on hold at its next meeting, giving it time to assess the economy after raising rates sharply from near zero in March 2022 to over 5% in July. .
At the same time, expectations are rising in the bond market that the Fed's tightening cycle will come to an abrupt end with its first rate cut in May.
"There's not a lot of sleep deprivation" given market expectations, Williams said, adding that any rate cuts would depend on inflation and how the economy progresses.
He expects inflation to continue falling toward the 2% goal, and expects the Fed's price index to fall more than 2% next year and reach the target by 2025. Government figures on Thursday showed the PCE index fell to 3% in October.
"We have taken a limited stance and things are moving in the right direction. We can now assess whether we need to do anything more."
Still, the New York Fed president said if price pressures persist longer than expected, "additional policy tightening may be necessary," and Williams, like his colleagues, believes the current political path is not sufficiently restrictive. He emphasized the need to continue monitoring the data to assess whether this is the case. .
So far, fourth quarter data shows signs of a significant decline in economic activity. Data released Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending fell in October compared to the previous month as inflation continued to slow. Inflation-adjusted personal spending rose 0.2% last month and 0.3% in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis.
The report also noted that the core PCE price index increased by 0.2%. The index rose 3.5%, its lowest level since 2021.
Although he expects economic growth to remain below trend next year, he is "quite positive." Economists generally expect growth to be around 2%.
EURUSD BUYHi, According to my analysis of EURUSD pair, there is a good opportunity to buy as the pair exits the pitchfork. We also notice that the price has returned to test the pitchfork tool. And the presence of strong support at the level of 1.05000. All of these factors confirm buying. good luck for everbody
EURUSD Possible buy zone!The EUR/USD currency pair is poised for significant developments in light of upcoming news and signals from the Federal Reserve indicating the possibility of interest rate reductions. This suggests that there could be notable shifts in the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar in response to these factors.
Long Trade for EURUSD Success rate 85%Opportunity for Long trade with a success rate of over 85%
The price is likely to hit TP1 with a 85% chance and TP2 with an 75% chance.
Please note that all the information provided is based on personal opinion, and no responsibility is assumed for any outcomes."
EURUSD: Low valuations of euro zone bank stocks could hamper creThe European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday expressed concern about the low valuations of euro zone bank stocks, suggesting it could have a negative impact on future credit growth. Hybrid by imposing strict conditions on the borrower. Bank profits have increased significantly this year, thanks in part to higher net interest income due to higher ECB rates, but stock market valuations have not kept pace. Many banks appear to be trading at a discount to fundamentals.
The ECB has pointed out that this could lead to financial system instability in the long run. Banks that are undervalued by investors may struggle to raise new capital when they need it, the ECB said in its financial stability review report.
The central bank continued to insist that weak valuations directly lead to tighter financing conditions for the real economy. We find that banks' increased exposure to corporate credit risk and the perception of bank stocks as value stocks are major contributors to valuation stagnation.
However, the ECB also noted that these fundamentals do not fully explain current valuations. Increased uncertainty regarding future payments to shareholders may also be a factor. Meanwhile, some euro zone governments have introduced banking taxes and the ECB is considering raising interest-free reserve requirements, which could lead to lower revenues. The ECB argues that the tax risk on dividend income sources impacts valuations more than on growth stocks, whose cash flows are expected to be reinvested internally and returned to investors in the future. Far away.