Eurusdnews
The European Central Bank continues to raise interest rates
Although the eurozone economy is not satisfactory, the European Central Bank's interest rate hike expectations are expected to give the euro some support.
HSBC expects the European Central Bank to raise interest rates in June, July and September
The eurozone PMI data showed a good pace of expansion, but perhaps the most interesting aspect of the data was the increase in the service sector output price index while the input price index fell.
That is, companies have greatly increased prices when the growth of input costs has slowed.Nevertheless, the historically high input prices mean that core inflation will remain on trend, which has prompted the European Central Bank to now expect to raise interest rates in June, July and September.
EURUSD is currently at 1.0774, and the important short-term resistance is 1.0845-1.0850
Trading strategy:
EURUSD:buy@1.07610-1.07640 tp:1.07710-1.07740
Next, I will continue to provide more trading signals, and the weekly profit can reach more than 5K-10Kusd. If you need signals, join me as soon as possible!
EURUSD: Short term bearish lookAlthough it looks like USD had a good week, however, when it comes to fundamentals, both currencies have their own issues, but still USD gained against EUR during the previous week. The ECB is increasing its interest rates amid strong inflation figures, but ECB officials still lack potential to convince markets to buy Euro. At the same time, the US Government is ready to reach its debt ceiling at the beginning of June or eventually July, which increases the probability of the US default on some of its debt obligations in the coming period. Such an event would have a strong impact on all markets around the world, and not just the US market.
As per current charts, it looks like the Euro took sort of a short-term bear side. RSI was pushed below level of 50 during the week, reaching the level of 41. It increases the probability of further moves of the pair to the down side, until a clear oversold side is reached. At the start of the week the pair for one more time-tested resistance at 1.1, but without strength to break it, the pair reverted to the downside, and lowest weekly level at 1.084, which is a short-term support line for eurusd. It coincides with the MA50 line. Eurusd will start the week ahead by testing this line. Currently there is a lower probability that this line will be breached to the downside at this moment. On the opposite side, the currency pair might shortly revert to the upside at least to the level of previous highs at 1.1 but it should not be expected that this level will be breached to the upside
Important news to watch during the week ahead are:
Euro: GDP growth rate, Inflation Rate for April,
USD: Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Building Permits
Fed Chair Powell speech is scheduled for May 19th, which could bring some increased volatility to the markets.
EURUSD Swing Bullish Breakout!EUR-USD broke the key
Horizontal resistance level
Of 1.09147 and the breakout
Is confirmed even on the 2 H
Because the 2H candle closed
Above the level which
Is now a support, which
Combined with the
Long-term uptrend and
The bullish rebound from
The new support after the
Retest makes me bullish
And the next move is expected
To be in the upward direction
Towards the 1.10293 target
EURUSD: The bears will approach the support zone!The currency pair EUR/USD experienced a drop to a fresh low of 1.0790 during the day, after reversing from a significant short-term obstacle. The downtrend is further supported by the breaking of a two-week support line, which is now a resistance level, and the calming uptrend of the MACD line. Additionally, the RSI line (14) has fallen to level 50, indicating the continuation of the downtrend. No information has been omitted from the original text.
Therefore, the EUR/USD quotes are set to test the confluence of the 1.0730 support level consisting of the DMA 50 and DMA 21 lines as traders start the important week.
Overall, EUR/USD is likely to fall further but the retracement range below 1.0730 appears to be limited.
EUR/USD: The upward momentum will be exhausted, beware of traps!Following the sharp rise in EUR/USD on Wednesday, EUR/USD turned down on Thursday and took back all the gains of the previous day.However, there was a rebound during Friday time, but the currency pair rebounded on Friday and broke through 1.0600. The trend of the euro reflects that the market situation is still relatively tangled at this stage.
On Wednesday, EUR/USD rebounded to the 20-day line (SMA) at 1.06844 and fell back in resistance.After falling below the 20-day line on February 2, it did not break through the 20-day line several times during the rebound, proving that there is still a lot of pressure on the market here. The technical indicators of the daily chart are slightly biased to the downside, and there is no clear direction for the time being. The failure to break through 1.0700 indicates that EUR/USD may continue to consolidate around 1.0600.
The trend of the 4-hour chart shows that EUR/USD is currently slightly higher than the downward channel since the beginning of February. There is no clear breakthrough signal for the time being. EUR/USD maintains a slight downward tendency. If it returns to the downward channel, the bears may take action, causing EUR/USD to fall to 1.0560 (the midpoint of the downward channel), but as long as EUR/USD remains above 1.0560, the bearish momentum is still limited, and once the exchange rate stabilizes above this position, the euro may point to 1.0650/60.
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German inflation data in focusToday we will be getting German Inflation data within the next 1h and 15m.
This German CPI will be in focus as Eurostat had problems in their systems the previous week and they gave an Estimation of Eurozone inflation along with estimating where possibly the German Inflation would land.
So at the back of this and while German's economy is 25% of EU's GDP , we are expecting some volatility to come in play , in case we get any big deviation in German Inflation data.
Now what the so wanted big deviation can be and what are we expecting at the back of this ?
German inflation printing higher than 9.5% and German Harmonised inflation printing higher than 10.3%
EURUSD - EURJPY 🔼
German inflation printing lower than 8.5% and German harmonised inflation printing lower than 9%
EURUSD - EURCAD 🔽
-Extra notes-
-Currently money markets are pricing in 41 bsp for the ECB meaning that we can go in any direction in case we get the deviation that we need and markets might price out 16 bsp (0.25% rate hike) or price in 9 bsp or more (0.50% rate hike).
-In case of higher inflation metrics possible targets can be EURUSD 1.0750 - 1.0775 - 1.0800 and EURJPY 141.50 - 141.80 - 142.20
-In case of lower inflation metrics possible targets can be EURUSD 1.0710 - 1.0690 - 1.0670 and EURCAD 1.4400 - 1.4380 - 1.4360
-Preferably we want to see MoM inflation metrics aligning to the one or to the other side and not get a mixed data out of it
-Higher conviction will come if headline inflation prints higher than 9.9% for the hawkish scenario or lower than 8% for the dovish scenario FX:EURUSD
EURUSD - Short from bearish orderblock ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD .
Here we have pretty the same scenario as on Gold. I expect price to make a retracement and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 1.09000.
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A Yearly Analysis Of Eur/UsdThis is not meant to be a signal or a trade idea! This is a long term analysis of Eur/Usd using a Weekly Time Frame With A Line Chart.
So as you can see, Price broke Support and Came back up recently to Retest WEEKLY SUPPORT NOW TURNED RESISTANCE.....
This gives me the idea that the EXTREME LONG term bias toward Eur/Usd will definately be down into the next major weekly resistance area.
I did draw some trend lines and tried to add all of the touches just to give traders an idea of why I put these lines on the chart.
I know that it may look messy but I think this chart can give us a beginning... in order to form our trade ideas over the next few weeks....
Using the Forecast Tool on tradingview, It would take around 1 Year before price would enter the next support zone.
EURUSD - Outlook Hello Traders,
Another good buying opportunity on EURUSD as the DXY slumps. It's a short term buy so if it fits your strategy, it is trade-able for short term and then we might get a good opportunity to sell from the top.
It's not a trade setup and i don't trade until i see if it fits my strategy.
Good luck!
EURUSD testing major resistance, remain bearishSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price continues to test our resistance as it shapes up nicely for a drop. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) for a further drop towards 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level.
EURUSD testing major resistance, remain bearishSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our selling area and is testing that level. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) for a further drop towards 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level.
EURUSD dropping perfectly, remain bearishSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our selling area and reversed perfectly as expected. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) for a further drop towards 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) has reversed nicely off our 95% resistance and has good downside potential.
EURUSD approaching major resistance, prepare to sellSell below 1.1264. Stop loss at 1.1301. Take profit at 1.1159.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major resistance at 1.1264 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect a strong reaction off this level for a drop to 1.1159 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level where we expect a huge drop from.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving USD today is the U.S. ISM Manufacturing survey. It is one of the biggest market moving economic releases because of its Prices Paid and Employment subcomponents which reflect sentiment towards inflation and labor conditions - two of the market's most significant health indicators. A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. We’re expecting forecasts of an decrease which means a bearish USD is expected, this goes against our bearish EURUSD view hence it is best to exercise caution on this trade.