EURUSD profit target almost reached, prepare to turn bullishBuy above 1.0570. Stop loss at 1.0520. Take profit at 1.0704.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped nicely below our selling area last week and is fast approaching our profit target. We now look to play the bounce above 1.0570 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support) for a push up to 1.0704 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, Fibonacci extension).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 7.4% level where we expect a bounce from.
Eurusdnews
EURUSD profit target reached, time to turn bullishBuy above 1.0572. Stop loss at 1.0543. Take profit at 1.0630.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly from our selling area yesterday and we close off our profitable bearish position because of the changing elements. We look to buy above 1.0572 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) for a push up to 1.0630 resistance (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 6% level.
EURUSD Weekly View : Profit target almost reached,remain bullishBuy above 1.0575. Stop loss at 1.0490. Take profit at 1.0680.
Reason for the trading strategy:
Price has shot up and is approaching our profit target. We look to buy on strength above 1.0575 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support, pullback support to descending support line) for a further push up to 1.0680 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
RSI (34) has made a bearish exit signalling a stronger change in momentum and also sees long term bullish divergence.
EURUSD testing major resistance, prepare to turn bearishSell below 1.0627. Stop loss at 1.0681. Take profit at 1.0545.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is now testing major resistance at 1.0627 (major horizontal resistance, Fibonacci retracement) and we expect a drop from this level to at least 1.0545 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
RSI (34) is also seeing major resistance below the 65% and 61% area where we hope to see a corresponding drop from.
EURUSD testing major resistance, remain bearishSell below 1.0604. Stop loss at 1.0638. Take profit at 1.0494.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We remain bearish below 1.0604 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) for a further push down to 1.0494 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal support).
RSI (34) is seeing strong descending resistance pushing price down.
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also seeing strong resistance below our 93% level that is pushing price down and displays bearish divergence vs price which is a good precursor of price making a good reversal from here.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The major news item today affecting USD is the Gross Domestic Product (GBP) which measures the annualized change in the inflation-adjusted value of all goods and services produced by the economy. It is the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. If the actual release is better than the forecast, that means it is good for the currency and we can expect USD to strengthen. However, if the actual release is less than the forecast, that means it is bad for USD and we can expect USD to weaken. Our current forecast is for a rise from 1.9% to 2.1% which means we could expect a weaker USD, which goes in line with our bearish EURUSD view.
The other major news event driving the USD today is the U. of Michigan Confidence. It assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. A low or falling University of Michigan Sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. We’re expecting a higher value which means a stronger USD, which goes in line with our bearish EURUSD trade today too.
EURUSD dropping perfectly, remain bearishSell below 1.0604. Stop loss at 1.0638. Take profit at 1.0494.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is dropping nicely towards our profit target. We remain bearish below 1.0604 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) for a further push down to 1.0494 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal support).
RSI (34) is seeing strong descending resistance pushing price down.
Stochastic (55,5,3) is also seeing strong resistance below our 93% level that is pushing price down.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event today is the U.S. Durable Goods Orders. Durable goods are typically sensitive to economic changes. When consumers become sceptical about economic conditions, sales of durable goods are one of the first to be impacted since consumers can delay purchases of durable items, like cars and televisions, only spending money on necessities in times of economic hardship. Conversely, when consumer confidence is restored, orders for durable goods rebound quickly. The headline figure is expressed as a percentage change from previous months. A decrease in this value would mean a weaker USD. Forecasts for this month is expecting a significant rise from last month which means a stronger USD. This goes in line with our bearish EURUSD view.
EURUSD Profit target reached perfectly, time to start buyingBuy above 1.0500. Stop loss at 1.0430. Take profit at 1.0680.
Reason for the trading strategy:
Price dropped nicely and reached our profit target as expected. We now turn bullish above major support at 1.0500 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal support) for a push up to 1.6800 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance).
RSI (34) is displaying bullish divergence versus price which signals a bullish bounce is fast approaching.
EURUSD prepare to sell below major resistanceSell below 1.0711. Stop loss at 1.0762. Take profit at 1.0525.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We prepare to sell below major resistance at 1.0711 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) for a push down to 1.0525 support (Fibonacci retracement, recent swing low support).
RSI (34) is approaching strong resistance at 60% where we expect to see a corresponding drop in price too.
EURUSD turn bearish for a push downSell below 1.0585. Stop loss at 1.0660. Take profit at 1.0450.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price remains under heavy downside pressure below 1.0585 resistance (pullback resistance, descending resistance) and we expect price to make a further push down to 1.0450 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
RSI (34) sees a descending resistance line holding price down.
EURUSD remain bullish tolerating excess for a bounce from hereBuy above 1.0591. Stop loss at 1.0573. Take profit at 1.0713.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is right on major support at 1.0591 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support, Fibonacci projection. We hope to see a bounce up from here to at least 1.0713 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, recent swing high resistance).
RSI (34) is seeing strong support at 38% but is also seeing intermediate descending resistance which limits the upside potential.
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 3.7% signalling a bounce is impending.
EURUSD Weekly View: Dropping nicely towards our profit targetSell below 1.0700. Stop loss at 1.0850. Take profit at 1.0510.
Reason for the trading strategy:
Price reacted nicely from our selling area last week and is dropping nicely towards our profit target. We remain bearish below 1.0700 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, pullback resistance) for a further push down to 1.0510 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support).
RSI (34) is seeing strong resistance below our 61% level and has also made a bearish exit, signalling a change in momentum to bearish.
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong resistance below our 90% level and has also made a bearish exit, signalling a change in momentum to bearish.
EURUSD profit target reached, time to go bullishBuy above 1.0637. Stop loss at 1.0573. Take profit at 1.0760.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped perfectly and reached our profit target. We now turn bullish above 1.0637 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal support) for a push up to 1.0760 (Fibonacci retracement, recent swing high resistance).
RSI (34) is seeing strong support at 38% but is also seeing intermediate descending resistance which limits the upside potential.
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 3.7% signalling a bounce is impending.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving the USD today is the U. of Michigan Confidence. It assesses consumer confidence regarding personal finances, business conditions and purchasing power based on hundreds of telephone surveys. A low or falling University of Michigan Sentiment value is considered an early indicator of an economic downturn. We’re expecting a lower value and a weaker forecast which means a weaker USD, which goes in line with our bullish EURUSD trade.
EURUSD remain bearish with break of our long term supportSell below 1.0711. Stop loss at 1.0758. Take profit at 1.0623.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We remain bearish with the break of our long term ascending support-turned-resistance line. The goal is to be bearish below 1.0711 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, pullback resistance) for a drop to at least 1.0623 (Fibonacci retracement, recent swing low support).
RSI (34) is seeing descending resistance
EURUSD profit target reached once again, time to turn bullishBuy above 1.0711. Stop loss at 1.0622. Take profit at 1.0811.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our profit target for the 4th time in a row. We now turn bullish above 1.0711 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, bullish price action, long term ascending support, USDCHF negative correlation) for a push up to at least 1.0811 resistance.
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing ascending support and bullish divergence signalling a bounce is expected.
EURUSD profit target reached, prepare to turn bearish againSell below 1.0800. Stop loss at 1.0880. Take profit at 1.0708.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has reached our profit target perfectly from previously. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.0800 (major horizontal resistance, Fibonacci projection) for a drop to 1.0708 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) has made a bearish exit previously and still remains in a bearish configuration.
EURUSD remain bearish below major resistanceSell below 1.0800. Stop loss at 1.0880. Take profit at 1.0708.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price reacted really nicely from our selling area. We remain bearish below major resistance at 1.0800 (major horizontal resistance, Fibonacci projection) for a drop to 1.0708 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing a reaction off our 93% level of resistance.
RSI (34) is also seeing a reaction off our 65% level of resistance.