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EUR/USD Elliott Wave: Corrective Pullback in Progress Wave ((4))EUR/USD 4H chart with Elliott Wave count. The pair remains in a steady downtrend after peaking at the wave (C) high, and is now in the middle of a larger wave iii decline. Bearish impulse waves dominate, with lower lows confirming the trend (mid-wave iii scenario). Now expecting a wave ((4)) relief bounce (corrective) within this wave iii. Price could rebound toward 1.15788–1.16153, the ~38.2–50% Fibonacci retracement zone of the prior drop. This area is a likely resistance for the bounce, suggesting only a temporary uptick in an otherwise bearish move. After wave ((4)) completes, the downtrend should resume as wave ((5)) of iii kicks in. The next downside target is around 1.13974 (or lower) – near a 1.618 Fibonacci extension projection where wave ((5)) may complete. This would likely finish wave iii and aligns with the broader bearish Elliott Wave count.
Short
by EWaveInsights
EURUSD Breaks Trendline: Bearish Momentum in PlayHello guys! After months of climbing steadily along the ascending trendline, EURUSD has finally broken below support. The trendline breach, followed by a tight consolidation (yellow circle), hinted at a loss of bullish strength, and now the breakdown is in full motion. Broken ascending trendline Clear rejection after retest Bearish continuation underway Target area: 1.1400–1.1440 zone If sellers maintain control, the price could descend toward the next major demand area.
Short
by melikatrader94
25
EUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early JulyEUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early July As the EUR/USD chart indicates today, the euro has fallen below the 1.1550 mark against the US dollar, reaching the lows of June 2025. As a result, July may become the first month in 2025 to record a decline in the currency pair. Why Is EUR/USD Declining? There are two key factors driving the euro’s weakness relative to the US dollar: → Anticipation of the Federal Reserve Meeting. At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Fed’s interest rate decision will be released. According to Forex Factory, analysts expect the Federal Funds Rate to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%. → Market Reaction to the US-EU Trade Agreement. The trade deal signed last weekend between the United States and Europe is being critically assessed by market participants. As noted in our Monday analysis, signs of a bearish takeover emerged on the chart following the agreement’s signing. Since then, EUR/USD has declined by approximately 1.3%. The question now is whether the downtrend will continue. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart The upward channel that had remained valid since mid-May was decisively broken by bears this week. The nature of the breakout (highlighted by the red arrow) was particularly aggressive, with the price dropping from the 1.1710 level to the D point low without any meaningful interim recoveries. Key observations include: → The drop has resulted in a classic bearish A-B-C-D market structure, characterised by lower highs and lower lows. → On the 4-hour timeframe, the RSI indicator has fallen into oversold territory, reaching its lowest point of 2025 so far. → Notably (as highlighted by the blue arrow), there was a strong rebound from the 1.1455 support level earlier. Bulls demonstrated significant strength at that time, breaking through the R resistance line. Given these factors, we could assume that after this week’s sharp decline, EUR/USD may attempt a short-term recovery from the support zone (highlighted in purple). Should this scenario unfold, potential resistance may emerge near the 1.1630 level, as this area aligns with: → The 50% Fibonacci retracement of the C→D decline; → The breakout point of the lower boundary of the previous ascending channel, indicating a shift in market balance in favour of the bears. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1600 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1800 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1720 support against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 1.1660 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1520 level. A low was formed at 1.1519 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The market is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1770 swing high to the 1.1519 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1575 level. There is also a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575. The next major resistance is near the 1.1665 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level. The main resistance sits near the 1.1770 level. An upside break above the 1.1770 level might send the pair towards 1.1800. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards 1.1850. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1520. The next major support is near the 1.1465 level. A downside break below 1.1465 could send the pair towards 1.1350. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price has entered the green demand zone (1H FVG) around 1.1480 – 1.1520 after a strong bearish leg. We're expecting a bullish retracement from this zone, aiming toward the upper red FVG/OB zone around 1.1690 – 1.1715. 📌 There are two key scenarios: 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Price starts moving up from the green FVG → reaches red FVG zone → short setup after lower timeframe confirmation 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Price makes an initial move to ~1.1620 → pulls back to the green zone → pushes back up into the red OB → short setup on confirmation 🎯 Final target for both scenarios: a break below the green FVG zone and continuation down ✅ Entry only after confirmation from lower timeframes (3M–15M) ❌ No trades without confirmation
by ProfitaminFX
EURUSD(20250730) Today's AnalysisMarket News: According to a Reuters/Ipsos poll, Trump's approval rating has fallen to 40%, the lowest level since his second term. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.1554 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1634 1.1604 1.1584 1.1523 1.1504 1.1474 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1584, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1604. If the price breaks below 1.1554, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1523.
Long
by NicolaZhu
EUR/USD: The Last Bear Standing...As indicated on my previous EUR/USD idea ( that's still currently open ), I remain short EUR/USD given the technical aspect of things are still valid. Divergences are still in play along with a rising broadening pattern and the fact that we're trading at the yearly R3 level ( which is rare ). I suspect we will have some volatility with the ECB press conference tomorrow, so that should get things moving hopefully in the bearish direction. If we begin trading aggressively above 1.1800+, that will invalidate the short idea overall. If we roll over, I'm still looking for 1.13000 - 1.12000 as the target range for Q3 going into Q4. We'll see how this all develops. As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe!
Short
by InternalTraderNYC
8
EUR/USD: Is the Next Big Correction Already Underway?EUR/USD: After 120 Days Up, Are We Entering a Year-Long Correction? What Market Cycles Reveal. As EUR/USD traders digest the stunning 120-day, five-wave rally from the January 2025 lows to the July 2025 highs, the big question now is—what's next? The clues are right in front of us, and they suggest we may be headed into an extended corrective phase, one that could last until the very start of 2026. What the Current Structure Shows Motive Wave Complete: The impulsive surge just wrapped up a textbook five-wave move, with each leg unfolding cleanly and culminating in a July top. Motive waves like this are the engines of market trends—fast-moving, decisive, and packed with momentum. Corrective Phase Incoming: But all trends eventually pause, and here the evidence points to a shift. Corrective waves—unlike their trending counterparts—are time-consuming, choppy, and have a tendency to frustrate impatient traders. The completed motive wave took just 120 days, but corrections often take much longer to play out. According to this chart, the probable timeline for this correction extends into December 2025, or possibly beyond. Why the Count Is Labelled This Way Wave Duration Clue: One of the most reliable Elliott Wave principles is that corrective phases outlast the sharp, high-energy motive moves that precede them. With the motive wave spanning four months, a comparable correction stretching into late 2025 makes perfect structural sense. Cycle Awareness, Major Turning Points, and MACD Divergence: Flip to the weekly turning points chart, and a deeper pattern emerges: Major EUR/USD direction changes consistently cluster around the start of a new year, with minor tops and bottoms often forming near mid-year. Over the last eight years, six out of seven major pivots have landed at those cycle pivots. Notably, if you look at the weekly chart’s MACD, there’s now a clear bearish divergence—while price clocked new highs into July, the MACD failed to confirm, rolling over and diverging lower. This kind of momentum divergence at a major turning point is classic for trend exhaustion and aligns perfectly with the idea that a correction is not only likely, but perhaps overdue. This powerful confluence—timing, price structure, and momentum—underscores just how much “cycle” and structure awareness can add to your trading playbook. What to Watch Next (Trade Planning) Timing the Correction: If the correction follows historical precedent, expect sideways or choppy price action well into Q4 2025, with the next big directional opportunity around the calendar turn into 2026. Cycle-Based Strategies: Recognising these cycles lets you prepare for reversals, especially if price is diverging from the MACD at those major timing windows. Structure > Prediction: The motive phase is where you ride the trend; cycles, structure, and momentum help you avoid exhaustion traps and see when patience is required.
Short
by TheSignalService
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.14600 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.16700 – 4H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.16700) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
Europe and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD DeclinesEurope and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD Declines The past weekend was marked by the official signing of a trade agreement between the United States and Europe, as announced by US President Donald Trump and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen following their meeting in Scotland. According to reports, the agreement is based on a 15% baseline tariff on goods exported from Europe to the United States, with certain exemptions. As previously reported, a trade agreement with a 15% baseline tariff had earlier been concluded between the US and Japan. According to President Trump: → under no circumstances did he allow the baseline tariff for Europe to fall below 15%; → the European Union committed to investing in the US economy, purchasing weapons, and importing energy resources. The financial markets’ reaction to this news is noteworthy: → European stock indices opened the week with a bullish gap, reflecting relief that previously feared tariffs of up to 30% did not materialise; → the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bearish momentum this morning. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart As indicated by the black arrow, bearish sentiment intensified on Monday morning, pushing the pair towards the 1.1700 level, which had previously acted as resistance in mid-July. From the perspective of the ascending channel (shown in blue), its median line is currently acting as a resistance level – following contact with it, a short-term rally was broken (highlighted in purple). This reinforces the notion that bears are currently in control. Given the above, we could suggest that, should bearish sentiment persist on the EUR/USD chart, we may soon witness an attempt to break through the 1.1700 support level. A successful breach could open the path for further downside movement of the euro against the dollar, towards the lower boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD(20250728) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Trump announced that the US and Europe reached a trade agreement: 15% tariffs on the EU, $600 billion in investment in the US, zero tariffs on the US by EU countries, the EU will purchase US military equipment, and will purchase US energy products worth $750 billion. However, the US and Europe have different opinions on whether the 15% tariff agreement covers medicines and steel and aluminum. Von der Leyen: 15% tariff rate is the best result that the European Commission can achieve. US Secretary of Commerce: The deadline for tariff increase on August 1 will not be extended. The United States will determine the tariff policy on chips within two weeks. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1735 Support and resistance levels: 1.1792 1.1771 1.1757 1.1712 1.1698 1.1677 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1757, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1771 If the price breaks through 1.1735, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1712
Long
by NicolaZhu
EURUSD Weekly Analysis: Key Levels and Scenarios to WatchHello, TradingView Community! 👋 Following our last EURUSD analysis, where we accurately predicted a bullish pullback from a key area within a descending channel, the price reacted as expected, delivering a solid move upward. Now, let’s dive into this week’s outlook, focusing on critical levels and two potential scenarios, keeping in mind the major economic events on the horizon. 📊 Current Market Context EURUSD has recently reacted from a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently navigating the mid-range, with its sights set on Buyside Liquidity at the top. However, reaching this liquidity pool won’t be straightforward, as the price is likely to collect liquidity from lower Premium/Discount Arrays (PD Arrays) before making a significant move. We’ve identified key levels to watch: Daily Imbalance FVG (IFVG): A critical support zone where price could find buying interest. 4H Breaker Block: A high-probability reversal zone on the 4-hour chart. Relative Equal Highs / Previous Week High (PWH) : Acting as a magnet for price action, especially early in the week. With major economic events like the FED meeting and Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) looming, volatility is expected. Let’s break down the two potential scenarios for EURUSD this week. Scenario 1: Price Targets Equal Highs / PWH First 📈 In this scenario, we expect EURUSD to be drawn toward the relative equal highs or previous week’s high (PWH) early in the week, potentially on Monday, forming the high of the week. These levels act as a magnet for price due to trapped liquidity and stop orders. What to Watch: Price Action at Equal Highs / PWH: Look for rejection signals (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns, divergence, or liquidity sweeps) indicating a potential reversal. Confirmation for Shorts: If the price reaches these highs and shows a strong bearish reaction, this could signal a drop toward the Daily IFVG or 4H Breaker Block. Trading Plan: Entry: Consider short positions if price rejects at equal highs or PWH with clear bearish confirmation. Target: Aim for the Daily IFVG or 4H Breaker Block as initial downside targets. Stop Loss: Place above the equal highs/PWH to protect against a breakout. This scenario is more likely given the magnetic nature of equal highs and the upcoming economic catalysts driving volatility. Scenario 2: Price Drops to Daily IFVG / 4H Breaker First 📉 Alternatively, EURUSD could move lower first, targeting the Daily IFVG and potentially the 4H Breaker Block. If the price fails to break above the equal highs and instead drops toward these lower PD Arrays, we could see the low of the week form by Monday or Tuesday. What to Watch: Price Action at PD Arrays: Monitor for bullish reversal signals (e.g., absorption, bullish engulfing, or liquidity grabs) at the Daily IFVG or 4H Breaker Block. Confirmation for Longs: A strong bullish reaction at these levels could signal a move toward the Buyside Liquidity at the top. Trading Plan: Entry: Look for long positions if price reaches the Daily IFVG or 4H Breaker Block and shows bullish confirmation. Target: Target the Buyside Liquidity or intermediate resistance levels. Stop Loss: Place below the IFVG or Breaker Block to manage risk. Risk Management: Stay Disciplined! ⚠️ With major economic events like the FED meeting and NFP this week, volatility could spike. Always prioritize risk management: Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of your account per trade. Stop Losses: Always use a stop loss to protect your capital. Trade Confirmation: Wait for clear price action signals before entering trades. Avoid Overtrading: Stick to high-probability setups and avoid chasing the market. Call to Action (CTA) 📢 What do you think about these scenarios? Are you leaning toward Scenario 1 or Scenario 2? Drop your thoughts in the comments below, give this post a LIKE if you found it helpful, and FOLLOW for more weekly analyses! Let’s discuss and trade smarter together! 💬 Stay sharp, manage your risk, and let’s conquer the markets! 🚀 #EURUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView
by Mr_Masab
EURUSD: Buyers Like the New Trade Deals With The US!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 28 - Aug 1st. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: EURUSD Buyers reacting positively to the announcements of trade deals with the US. Longs are the play until we see a bearish break of significant structure. FOMC and NFP looming, so be careful the markets don't reverse on your trades! Wait patiently for buy setups. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Long
by RT_Money
14
EUR/USD Short from the nearby 1hrI’m currently more confident in EU’s bearish setup compared to GU, as price is nearing a clear point of interest (POI) that aligns well with the developing downtrend. The 2hr supply zone has already caused a CHoCH (Change of Character), and price has been approaching it slowly and with reduced momentum — often a strong indication of an upcoming reaction. While price isn’t near a demand zone yet, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7hr demand zone below. If price reaches that area, I’ll be looking for a high-probability buy setup in line with the broader market context. Confluences for EU Sells: Price has tapped into a 2hr supply zone that caused a CHoCH to the downside Bearish pressure remains strong, supported by DXY strength Clean liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept Slowing momentum and signs of distribution as price approaches supply P.S. If price continues lower from this point, I anticipate another break of structure, which could form a new supply zone to work with later this week. Let’s stay patient, follow the flow, and execute smart. 🔥📉💼
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD is Ready for a Bullish MoveHello Traders In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today EURUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Long
by ForexMasters2000
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.15800 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.17400 – 3H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.17400) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
2
EUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB MeetingEUR/USD Rises to 2.5-Week High Ahead of ECB Meeting Today at 15:15 GMT+3, the European Central Bank (ECB) will announce its interest rate decision, followed by a press conference at 15:45 GMT+3. According to Forex Factory, the main refinancing rate is expected to remain unchanged at 2.15% after seven consecutive cuts. In anticipation of these events, the EUR/USD exchange rate has risen above the 1.1770 level for the first time since 7 July. Bullish sentiment is also being supported by expectations of a potential trade agreement between the United States and the European Union. According to Reuters, both sides are reportedly moving towards a deal that may include a 15% base tariff on EU goods entering the US, with certain exemptions. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair has shown bullish momentum since June, resulting in the formation of an ascending channel (marked in blue). Within this channel, the price has rebounded from the lower boundary (highlighted in purple), although the midline of the blue channel appears to be acting as resistance (as indicated by the arrow), slowing further upward movement. It is reasonable to assume that EUR/USD may attempt to stabilise around the midline—where demand and supply typically reach equilibrium. However, today’s market is unlikely to remain calm. In addition to the ECB’s statements, volatility could be heightened by news surrounding Donald Trump’s unexpected visit to the Federal Reserve. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Recovery in Play — Eyes on ResistanceHi Everyone, Since our last update, EUR/USD briefly dipped below the 1.16000 level but quickly reclaimed the key 1.16450 zone — a level that continues to serve as an important structural pivot. Price has since stabilised above this support and is now moving back toward the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A sustained push toward 1.18000 in the coming sessions would further reinforce the presence of renewed buying interest. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: we continue to anticipate the pair building momentum for another move higher. A decisive break above 1.18350 could open the path toward the 1.19290 area and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be watching closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, as long as price continues to hold above the key support zone. We’ll continue to provide updates throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD(20250724) Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1751 Support and resistance levels: 1.1814 1.1791 1.1775 1.1726 1.1711 1.1687 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1775, consider buying in, with the first target price at 1.1791 If the price breaks through 1.1751, consider selling in, with the first target price at 1.1726
Long
by NicolaZhu
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains. 🔸 Technical Structure (4H) Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone. Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower. Downside targets: 🔹 First: 1.1637 🔹 Second: 1.1527 🔹 Final: 1.1445 Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly). 🧭 Key Fundamentals 🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand. 🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth. Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside. Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR. ⚠️ Risks to Watch A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed. Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales. Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness. New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises. 📆 Key Events Ahead 🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength. 🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts. 🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR. 🔄 Leader or Lagger? EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves. Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses. Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
Short
by ultreosforex
16
EURUSDHello traders, I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today. 🔍 **Trade Details** ✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D ✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22 ✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy ✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281 ✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997 ✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874 🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT