#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
Eurusdoutlook
EUR/USD Potential Reversal from Resistance Zone –Bearish OutlookThe EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel for several weeks. Price recently tested a strong resistance zone near 1.15850 – 1.16000, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and a previously marked supply area.
Key observations:
The price action shows signs of rejection from the resistance zone with a potential double-top or fakeout pattern forming.
A projected bearish trajectory is marked, suggesting a possible break below the channel support.
Immediate bearish targets are set at key demand zones around 1.14500, 1.12500, and further down to 1.10500.
A large red arrow indicates the strong downside bias if the price confirms the breakdown.
Conclusion:
If EUR/USD fails to sustain above the 1.15850 resistance zone and breaks below the ascending channel, a strong bearish correction is anticipated. Traders should watch for confirmation of the breakdown before entering short positions.
EUR/USD (1-Hour Timeframe) – Bearish Trade Setup Explanation.This chart shows a potential short (sell) opportunity on EUR/USD based on the Smart Money Concept (SMC), focusing on Fair Value Gap (FVG) and Order Block (OB) confluence.
🔍 Key Zone Highlighted:
The price has retraced into a supply zone, which combines:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) – an imbalance created by a strong bearish move.
Order Block (OB) – the last bullish candle before a strong bearish push, now acting as resistance.
This confluence makes the zone (around 1.15870) a high-probability reversal area.
📉 Trade Plan:
Sell Entry: Near the current price at 1.15870, inside the FVG+OB zone.
Stop Loss (SL): Placed above the supply zone at 1.16400 to protect from invalidation.
Target 1: 1.15107 – conservative target based on previous support.
Final Target: 1.14100 – a lower liquidity zone that could be reached if bearish momentum continues.
💡 Logic Behind the Setup:
Price is reacting to a previously respected bearish OB + FVG.
Strong bearish impulse occurred from this zone earlier, suggesting institutional selling.
The retracement back into this zone presents a low-risk, high-reward short entry.
Expectation: price will reject from this zone and move down toward the targets.
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio:
The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, especially if the final target is reached.
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move.
This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook.
A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now.
The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time.
We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week.
We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions.
We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content.
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx
❤️🚀
EURUSD(20250616) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Trump: The United States may still intervene in the Iran-Israel conflict. If Iran launches an attack on the United States, the United States will "fight back with all its strength on an unprecedented scale." Iran and Israel should reach an agreement.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1550
Support and resistance levels:
1.1674
1.1628
1.1598
1.1502
1.1472
1.1426
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1550, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1598
If the price breaks through 1.1502, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1472
EURUSD pullback complete – Will it rise to 1.17765 next?OANDA:EURUSD remains firmly within a well-defined uptrend channel, continuing to respect the key boundaries of the channel and showing sustained bullish momentum. The price has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling that the uptrend is still intact. The recent pullback seems to be a healthy correction, which could pave the way for another upward move.
The price is now approaching a significant support zone, defined by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand level. If this area holds strong, it could offer an excellent re-entry point for buyers, with the next target being 1.17765 , which coincides with the middle of the uptrend channel.
As long as the price remains above this support level and the rising trendline, the bullish trend remains in play. However, any breach below these levels could signal the end of the bullish setup and open the door to a deeper pullback.
Always confirm your setups and ensure appropriate risk management. Wishing you successful trades!
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting.
🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Context:
EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below.
📊 Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530
Target 1: 1.1268
Target 2: 1.1086
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC)
🪙 Leading Asset Clue:
Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics.
⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch:
🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12)
📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13)
💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference
📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines
🧠 Risk Factors:
Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness
Market overreacts to rate cut expectations
Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURUSD
Bearish
Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias
Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk)
FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell
📌 Final Note:
Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level.
We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook.
A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EURUSD(20250612) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1463
Support and resistance levels:
1.1556
1.1521
1.1499
1.1427
1.1404
1.1369
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1499, consider buying in, and the first target price is 1.1521
If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, and the first target price is 1.1427
EURUSD - TIME TO SHORT Team, last time we have successfully SHORT the EURUSD and now we are back on it again
This time we have better short position
NOTE: Last few days we have been killing the UK100/FTSE100 with such great opportunity.
Please follow the PRICE target accordingly to the CHART
Target 1 1.147200 to 1.4650
Target 2 at 1.1455-1.1450
Once it reach the 1st Target take 50% profit
Good luck and enjoy the profit
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥
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Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸
"Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉
🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!)
📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!"
Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST!
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade).
Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders.
🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!)
🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!)
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Big wallets? Raid straight in.
Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery.
Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰
📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum)
"The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers:
Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data)
Sentiment & Intermarket Trends
Future Targets & Score Outlook
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⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨
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EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅4 hour order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Will the U.S. Dollar Bear go out to lunch and take a break?In this video I go over the case for the U.S. Dollar bear taking a break and price action getting a pullback across the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY.
I took a 42% profit on EUR/USD longs and currently keeping an eye on a short opportunity if weakness starts to creep in on the price action.
Long term, I remain U.S. Dollar bearish across the board however pullbacks are always expected during a macro price move.
If we trade higher, so be it and I will evaluate what the next position will be.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Week of 6/8/25: EU AnalysisPrice has reached the extreme of daily bearish structure and we can see a rejection of the 4h latest push to make another high. We're following 1h internal bearish structure to at least take out the weak low, thus making 1h structure bearish and following that to the 4h extreme swing low.
Major news:
Core CPI - Wednesday
EURUSD Analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD Potential buys from current zone or 1.12800My outlook for EU this week closely aligns with GU — both pairs are showing similar structure and direction. Price continues to form higher highs and higher lows, maintaining its bullish momentum.
Following the most recent break of structure to the upside, EU has now entered a 9H demand zone, where I’ll be watching for signs of accumulation and potential entry as the market opens on Monday.
If this current zone fails to hold, there’s a more discounted 9H demand zone just below, which could offer a cleaner long opportunity. Either way, both scenarios follow the pro trend, which adds conviction to the buy idea.
Confluences for EU Buys:
Price has broken structure to the upside and entered a clean 9H demand zone
There’s another refined 9H demand zone just below for additional confirmation
Plenty of upside liquidity remains untouched
Structure remains bullish on the higher timeframes, making this a pro trend setup
P.S. If price reacts well and continues pushing higher, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7H supply zone above for any possible short-term bearish reaction.
Wishing everyone a successful and disciplined trading week ahead!
EURUSD Analysis – Short Bias Builds on Key Resistance RejectionEURUSD pair is currently testing a critical resistance zone around 1.1495–1.1500, with bearish rejection beginning to form on the 4H timeframe. The technical setup suggests a potential lower high forming within the context of a broader downtrend, supported by a confluence of horizontal resistance and bearish risk catalysts.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1575 (multi-timeframe key levels)
Support Levels to Watch: 1.1234 (range base) and 1.1086 (swing low)
Price Action: After a sustained rally, price is showing exhaustion near previous highs, and a rejection pattern is emerging, suggesting selling interest.
Risk Management: Stop placed above 1.1575 high, with downside targets near 1.1234 and extended toward 1.1086.
🧠 Fundamental Backdrop:
ECB Policy Outlook: Lagarde recently warned that a stronger euro and higher tariffs may hurt EU exports. This dovish tone could weigh on EUR sentiment in the medium term.
US Dollar Strengthening: The latest US labor market data (ADP, JOLTS) beat expectations, showing continued resilience in employment and wage growth. This supports the Fed's data-dependent approach, favoring a stronger USD.
Macro Tensions: Global trade concerns (Trump’s tariffs, weak China demand, Germany’s slowing job market) are adding pressure to EUR while supporting safe-haven USD flows.
ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (April): Highlights persistent inflation fears and deteriorating economic confidence.
⏳ Scenario Outlook:
✅ Bearish Bias Preferred below 1.1500 with confirmation of rejection.
🎯 Target Zone 1: 1.1234 – Strong structure & demand zone.
🎯 Target Zone 2 (Extended): 1.1086 – Major low from mid-May.
❌ Invalidation: A breakout and close above 1.1575 would neutralize the bearish outlook and open up higher targets toward 1.17.
Conclusion: The EURUSD pair presents a compelling short opportunity, with both technical resistance and macro pressure aligning for a retracement or reversal. Short setups are favored unless bulls reclaim and hold above the 1.1575 handle.
ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High
Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024).
According to Reuters:
→ ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump.
→ Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July.
In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels.
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we:
→ drew an ascending channel;
→ suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week.
In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone.
This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1447
Support and resistance levels
1.1537
1.1503
1.1481
1.1412
1.1391
1.1357
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1447, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1481
If the price breaks through 1.1412, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1391
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024.
Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557.
However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone.
Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year.
Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557
Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250