EUR/USD Rally Pauses Near 1.18000 – Higher Targets in SightHi Everyone,
Last week, price action delivered the 1.18000 level we had been calling for, and as expected, dynamic resistance around that area proved to be significant.
Looking ahead, we anticipate EUR/USD will continue to test the 1.18000 level this week while holding above the 1.16680 support zone. A strong break above last week’s high could attract further buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 and ultimately the 1.20000 levels. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD I Technical & Fundamental Forecast Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
#EURUSD: Nothing to expect from DXY| View Changed Swing Trading|Hey there! So, we were previously thinking EURUSD was going to be bearish, but things have turned around and it’s looking bullish for now.
The extreme bearish pressure on USD has caused all the major USD pairs to be in a range. As the week goes on and we get the NFP data, the market will probably focus more on these economic indicators. So, it’s not surprising to see some market ranges during this time.
We’ll keep a close eye on the market, as there might be some manipulation going on this week.
We recommend waiting until Monday’s daily candle closes to see if the bullish trend is strong enough. Then, based on the price momentum, you can make your decisions.
We hope you have a great week and safe trading! If you like our work and analysis, please consider liking, commenting, and sharing our content.
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx
❤️🚀
EUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens at the Start of the WeekEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens at the Start of the Week
On 2 July, on the EUR/USD chart, we noted that the rally—during which the pair had gained more than 6% since mid-May—was under threat, citing several technical signals, including:
→ proximity of the price to the upper boundary of the ascending channel;
→ overbought conditions on the RSI indicator;
→ nearby resistance from the Fibonacci Extension levels, around 1.18500.
Trading at the start of the week points to renewed US dollar strength. This became particularly evident with the opening of the European session, which triggered a decline in EUR/USD to the 1.17500 area.
It is reasonable to assume that the dollar’s strength against the euro is linked to early-week positioning by traders, who are anticipating news regarding US trade agreements.
According to Reuters, the United States is close to finalising several trade deals in the coming days and is expected to notify 12 other countries today about higher tariffs.
EUR/USD Technical Chart Analysis
The ascending channel established last week remains in play, with the following developments:
→ a dashed midline within the upper half of the channel has been breached by bearish pressure (as indicated by the arrow);
→ a series of lower highs in recent sessions suggests the formation of a downward trajectory, within which the price could move towards the channel median—or potentially test its lower boundary.
P.S. In the longer term, analysts at Morgan Stanley maintain a bullish outlook, forecasting that EUR/USD could rise to 1.2700 by the end of 2027.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD(20250707) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
OPEC+ agreed to increase daily production by 548,000 barrels in August, further accelerating production increases.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1772
Support and resistance levels:
1.1807
1.1794
1.1786
1.1759
1.1751
1.1738
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1786, consider buying, with the first target price of 1.1794
If the price breaks through 1.1772, consider selling, with the first target price of 1.1759
July 7 - 1th: Sell The RIPs, Buy The DIPs! (PART 1)This is Part 1 of the FOREX futures outlook for the week of July 7 - 11th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, AUD, NZD, & CAD.
Last Friday was a bank holiday, so the price action is discounted. This Monday has no red folders on the calendar, so the environment is set for a day of misdirection. Be careful to take only trades that confirm your directional bias!
USD is still weak, and analyst have determined the FED will put off cutting rates until September. Tariffs wars may start up again July 9th. And Trumps Bill can add 3+ trillion to the debt.
None of this supports the USD!
Look to buy the dips xxx USD, and look to sell the rips vs USD xxx.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD breakout awaiting EUR/USD has not provided a clear structure over the past week or two. The pair appears to be in consolidation, building liquidity on both sides of the current range. At the moment, I’m waiting for a decisive breakout, ideally followed by distribution within the monthly supply zone, although that zone is still some distance away.
This week, my focus will be on whether a new supply zone forms, closer to current price. If price sweeps the nearby equal highs and then shows signs of reversal, this could give us a fresh supply area to work from. Alternatively, if price moves lower, I’ll be looking at the 8-hour demand zone around 1.16000 for a possible long setup.
Confluences for EUR/USD:
- Although price has been slightly bullish, the current consolidation phase suggests a potential reversal could be on the horizon.
- Liquidity is building on both sides of the range, making a reaction from the monthly supply zone increasingly probable.
- There’s significant downside liquidity still untapped, such as Asia session lows, which could serve as short-term targets.
- For clearer confirmation, we still need a decisive break in market structure to the downside.
P.S. If price sweeps the lower liquidity and moves into the 8-hour demand zone near 1.16000, I will be watching for accumulation to form and signs of bullish intent from there.
EURUSD Bullish Setup: Watching for a Break and Retest📈 Looking at EURUSD right now, we’re in a strong bullish structure 🔼 — but it’s clearly overextended 🚀
As we head into the end of the week, there’s still potential for more upside today ⬆️ — but ⚠️ be cautious, since Fridays often bring retracements as we move into the weekly close 🕒📉
🔍 I’m watching for a bullish opportunity if we get a break above the current equal highs, followed by a retest and failure to break back below 🧠📊
If that setup doesn’t materialize, we’ll simply step aside and abandon the idea 🚫
💬 Not financial advice — always trade at your own risk.
EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high.
Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance.
The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NFP Bears gathering their troops? or will the Bulls stampede...The past 9 days have been quite interesting for the EUR/USD which has been relentless. Price has been rising like a helium balloon let loose at the park...
Bulls have clearly been in control, not only the past 9 days but since the beginning of the year with the exception of the strong pullback in April & May only to bounce for another 700 pip run.
I am totally USD bearish across the board as I have been mentioning in my analysis videos for the past few months but like all macro moves, we always have pullbacks along the way and that is why I have been shorting the EUR/USD back from 1.1500+ - 1.1700+
I've given this a lot of room to breathe, more than usual but considering the following technical setup, I'm willing to give the Bears some leeway and potentially show me they'll come through.
•Rising Broadening pattern (Where two trendlines start close together only to divergence and expand) - This is a bearish pattern.
•Negative Divergence on the MACD, Linear Regression & the RSI.
•Price has made a run to the yearly R3 pivot level. (Rare extension)
•Last daily candle is a hanging man candlestick (Reversal candle)
•Weekly chart has the EUR/USD at the upper band of a polynomial regression channel which calculates for price extremities in the market.
There are a few more setups as well but it's too much to describe here and I'd have to show it in a video (Which I plan to do over the weekend)
With all of that said... It could all fail lol but seriously speaking... You just can't ask for a better probabilistic setup so whatever happens during NFP... happens.
Aside from the technical aspect... I know yearly R2 around 1.1600 was a hotspot for shorts because divergence was at the early stages and taking a short there wouldn't have been a bad idea but we know institutions are in play as well, so above 1.1600 could have been a huge area to run stop losses and margin calls before a potential reversal.
250 pips would be enough to run a large pool of stops and liquidation.
IF price is going to reverse here during NFP, I believe late longs and breakout/pullback traders are going to try and buy at the trendline at 1.1660ish but it wont hold and trap them on the other side of the trade.
Under that, I can see us pulling back towards 1.1200ish...
If the Bears give up and price continues to climb... the original macro target may very well be under way which was 1.2000 - 1.2200 (Based on a Monthly and 3-Month chart analysis)
As of this writing the EUR/USD is pretty much completely flat which is expected before the NFP fireworks ahead of July 4th.
We'll see what happens tomorrow morning! buckle up!
As always, Good luck and Trade Safe! See you post NFP.
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders.
Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11
Keep your long term vision🙏🙏
Philip (BasicTrading)
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat
The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.”
At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal.
Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level?
From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals:
→ If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart).
→ In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance.
Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD Bearish ideaWe are in a weekly fair value gap that we have balance and potentially collected orders to prepare for a potential drop in price. We are anticipating a quarterly shift for the month of July were we could be targeting downside liquidity that is in open float.
* Fundamentals:
-Interest rate differentials shows us that USD interest rate of 4.5 is higher than the interest rate EUR 2.15 which lead to the longer fundamental frame work of price correcting to the higher dollar rate to the euro.
-The COT report also indicates to us that there is huge buying of Dollar by the commercials and a huge amount of selling of the EUR by commercials which can lead us to assume potential weaker dollar.
*Targeting:
-We are looking for the low of last month (June) to be taken out as well as even potentially reaching to the implied weekly fair value gap.
Ready to Swipe the Pips? | EUR/USD Heist Blueprint Unlocked🏴☠️💸 EUR/USD "Fiber Heist Plan" – Thief Trader Style 💸🏴☠️
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🎯 Primary Target: 1.19000
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EUR/USD is moving bullish—supported by technical signals, macro news, COT insights, and intermarket vibes.
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EUR/USD Monthly Timeframe Analysis (SMC / ICT-Based) EUR/USD Monthly Timeframe Analysis (SMC / ICT-Based)
Current Price: 1.17437 (approx)
OB (Order Block):
A bearish order block is marked in the orange zone around 1.2250–1.2400, which aligns with a potential reversal point.
BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity):
Located just above the OB, targeting liquidity above prior highs. Price is expected to sweep this liquidity before reversal.
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
A red box indicating imbalance – likely an area price might react from once filled.
Supply Zones:
Upper Green Zone (~1.1400–1.1700): Price is currently reacting in this supply region.
Lower Green Zone (~1.1050): Previous structure and minor resistance.
SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity):
Marked at the blue demand zone (~0.9500–0.9800). The chart shows a long-term bearish projection toward this zone after a liquidity sweep.
📉 Projection Path:
Short-Term Bullish Move to the OB / BSL zone.
Liquidity Sweep above the highs.
Reversal from the OB zone.
Bearish Trend Continuation breaking below recent structure.
Final Target: Long-term drop toward SSL at 0.9500–0.9800 zone.
⚠️ Bias:
Short-Term: Bullish until OB is hit.
Long-Term: Bearish after liquidity sweep and OB rejection.
New rise in EURUSDYesterday, EURUSD continued its bullish movement, reaching 1,1807.
At current levels, all open buy positions should have their risk removed (e.g. stop loss at breakeven).
New buy entries are recommended only after a pullback with a favorable risk-reward setup.
Important news is expected later this week, which may lead to misleading price moves.
Reduce your risk and stay patient!
EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone,
We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus.
As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
eurusd outlook Eurusd overall bullish HTF, however I do identify alignments within wyckoff distribution. Keeping an eye on the 4hr sponsored candle, ltf fvg at 1.62 area for my next possible bullish swing into the weekly high. Until then let's see if the market can support short term bearish reversal into the area of interest.
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥
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🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!)
📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!"
Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST!
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route)
Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade).
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🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!)
🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!)
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📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum)
"The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers:
Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data)
Sentiment & Intermarket Trends
Future Targets & Score Outlook
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EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts