Eurusdoutlook
EUR/USD Holds Steady Near 1.15000The EUR/USD has gained more than 4% over the past three trading sessions, with bullish momentum remaining strong, as markets fear that a continued escalation in the trade war may keep heavy selling pressure on the U.S. dollar. With tariff-related uncertainty persisting, the euro continues to attract capital fleeing the dollar in search of a temporary safe haven.
Bullish Trend
Currently, the most relevant formation on the chart is a short-term bullish trend, which began in early March. Price action has continued to show consistent upward momentum, moving steadily toward the next psychological resistance at 1.15000, which has further reinforced buying pressure in the near term.
However, it's important to note that the volatility seen in recent sessions has been significant, which could open the door to short-term corrective pullbacks.
RSI Indicator
The RSI line has started to oscillate above the overbought level at 70. Additionally, a relevant divergence has begun to emerge: while the RSI continues to post flat highs, the price of EUR/USD is printing higher highs.
These signals suggest a possible imbalance between buying and selling strength, indicating that a short-term correction could be on the horizon.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.15000: A tentative resistance level aligned with a key psychological threshold. Sustained bullish moves above this zone could strengthen the current upward bias and lead to a more pronounced uptrend.
1.11549: A nearby support level, which could act as the first zone of interest if a short-term correction unfolds.
1.09513: A key support area, representing the most important neutral zone tested in recent weeks. A break below this level could put the current bullish structure at risk.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/JPY Eyes Breakout — Can Bulls Push Through Resistance?EUR/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis
EUR/JPY is holding strong above a rising trendline that’s acted as support since 2022. The pair recently bounced from a key support zone and is now testing a major resistance area.
A breakout above this zone could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection may lead to another pullback toward the trendline.
Key Levels:
Support: 153.5–155.0
Resistance: 163.5–165.0
Watch for: Weekly close above resistance for bullish confirmation.
Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline holds.
EURUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS🧱 Wave Structure & Pattern
Wave (1)–(5) structure is complete with strong impulse.
Wave (5) looks extended with a steep angle — could mean temporary exhaustion before a pullback or sideways correction.
Volume surged heavily during Wave (5), suggesting high participation and buying climax potential.
✏️ Key Levels:
Current Price: ~1.1394
Support Zone: Around 1.1300–1.1250 (previous resistance = now support)
Next Resistance Levels:
Minor: 1.1450
Major: 1.1600 (psychological and historical)
📈 Trendlines:
Clear rising trendline support from late January — keep an eye on any break below for early reversal signs.
A healthy retest of the 1.1300 zone could offer a long re-entry if bullish structure holds.
⚠️ Risk Watch:
After a 5-wave move, expect either an ABC corrective phase or a consolidation range.
Don’t get faked out by small pullbacks — corrections are normal after strong impulses.
🧠 Fundamental Analysis
📰 Key Drivers Today:
🇺🇸 U.S. Data / Sentiment:
Retail Sales (March) — stronger data could push the USD higher, putting pressure on EUR/USD.
Fed’s rate outlook: any hawkish hints from FOMC speakers or stronger data can boost USD.
🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors:
ECB’s recent dovish pivot is in focus.
German ZEW Economic Sentiment release is coming — a major sentiment mover.
Slower EU inflation data may keep ECB from tightening further, limiting euro upside unless the dollar weakens.
💸 Bond Yields & Dollar Index (DXY):
Rising U.S. yields or a DXY bounce could be a headwind.
DXY is hovering at key support — a rebound could stall EUR/USD's rally.
📊 Sentiment Overview:
Short-term: Bullish, but approaching overbought.
Medium-term: Cautious bullish — possible retest of support before continuation.
Macro: Dependent on U.S. data surprises and ECB tone.
🔍 Summary & Strategy Thoughts:
Bias Levels to Watch Trigger Idea
⚡ Bullish Break above 1.1450 Target 1.1600 if dollar weakens further
⚠️ Neutral / Pullback Retest of 1.1300–1.1250 support Buy-the-dip zone if trendline holds
🐻 Bearish (Short-Term) Break below 1.1250 Possible deeper correction toward 1.1100–1.1050
EUR/USD – Golden Crossover & Breakout Confirmation (Multi-T.F)EUR/USD is showing strong bullish signs across both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting a potential macro trend reversal in the making. After being trapped below a long-term descending trendline for nearly two years, price has not only broken out but also successfully retested the breakout zone — a key validation for trend continuation.
On the daily chart, a Golden Crossover is now forming, which historically precedes major uptrends in forex pairs. Combined with reclaiming key structural levels and building higher lows, EUR/USD could be positioning for a powerful upside move in Q2 2025.
Let’s dive into the multi-timeframe analysis to understand why this setup could be one of the cleanest trend reversals on the board.
1W Timeframe – Macro Breakout in Progress
EUR/USD has officially broken out of a long-standing descending resistance trendline. This breakout occurred from a structurally important zone that had acted as a ceiling for over 2 years.
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Price reclaimed and held above the key resistance zone, turning it into strong support.
🔹 Minor resistance zones lie ahead, but structure favors further upside.
🔹 Projection shows potential continuation toward 1.16+ if momentum sustains.
1D Timeframe – Bullish Retest + Golden Cross Forming
Zooming into the daily chart, we see:
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which held as support (bullish confirmation).
✅ Price is now forming a Golden Crossover – where the 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA. This is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in trending markets.
📌 What’s Bullish:
Clean breakout ✔️
Retest with strength ✔️
Momentum crossover ✔️
EUR/USD is now in a strong bullish structure, backed by a confirmed breakout on the weekly and a golden crossover on the daily. If price holds above 1.09, we may see continued upside toward 1.13–1.16 levels in the coming weeks.
Thank you for reading and supporting @unichartz. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share! 💙
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EURUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum
Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD
No opposite signs
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Expecting more USD selling overall: Weekly Market PreviewIn this video I go over last week's epic volatility and what I am looking for going forward.
Long positions on EUR/USD at 1.0980 will remain in tact and still eyeing a target of 1.2000 out of the falling wedge displayed on both the monthly and quarterly charts.
I do expect some pullback after a massive move to the upside to end the week however, the bull can become relentless and continue it's strength due to the U.S. Dollar weakness across the board.
USD/JPY is another one I am watching and initiated a short position at 143.31 with a target at 133. If the large weekly broadening pattern runs it's course, I expect for that target to get hit.
Tech may get relief after Trump announced over the weekend that there will be exemptions but the market can remain irrational and continue overall weakness especially since the U.S. economy as a whole is not well.
Hope you enjoy the video and we'll see what we get this upcoming week, especially with Federal Reserve Powell set to speak on Wednesday.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least.
If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing.
In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move.
Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the
Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets.
CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair.
Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
EUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three YearsEUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three Years
This morning, the euro surged above the 1.1300 mark against the US dollar for the first time since February 2022.
Throughout this week, the EUR/USD pair has broken through the highs of both 2023 and 2024.
Why Is EUR/USD Rising?
Amid the whirlwind of news surrounding the imposition and suspension of tariffs in US–EU trade, one dominant factor stands out — the sell-off of US bonds.
According to Reuters, long-term US Treasury bonds are being heavily sold this week. The yield on 10-year notes has jumped from 3.9% to around 4.4%, marking the steepest increase in yields since 2001. This may reflect a reaction by foreign holders of US debt to sanctions imposed by the White House, combined with growing uncertainty about the US economy — especially as recession fears gain more media attention.
As a result, the US dollar is showing weakness against a range of currencies, including the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and the euro.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
The chart reveals a clear ascending channel (marked in blue), with the price repeatedly interacting with its upper, lower, and median boundaries — highlighted with markers and arrows.
Current bullish sentiment has pushed the pair towards the upper boundary of this channel. It’s possible this resistance line could halt further gains, potentially leading to a correction — perhaps down to the 1.11 level, which previously acted as a strong resistance point.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Happy Friday Traders!
Let's see how the weekly candle continues to reject the weekly order block. The bearish pressure will in turn break structure on the 15'. We simply can not buy into the higher time frame order block. Not to be stuck with a bias but we must trade in line with the higher time frames.
More info to come.
Trade Well.
FRGNT X
EURUSD SHORT UPDATED Q2 W15 D9 Y25EURUSD SHORT UPDATED Q2 W15 D9 Y25
Welcome Traders! Let's be dynamic. Here an image of my updated thoughts regarding EURUSD short position. Can price action snap the lows of Asia, creating bearish price actions, Leaving a point of interest for us to short from?
Lets see how it plays!
Until then !
FRGNT X
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes IncreaseMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes Increase
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0950 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent upward move from the 1.0880 zone against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0775 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0950 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1000. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1150 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1146 before the pair corrected gains. It dipped below 1.1000 and tested 1.0880.
The pair is again rising from the 1.0880 zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1045 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low.
The first major resistance is near the 1.1080 level. An upside break above the 1.1080 level might send the pair toward the 1.1145 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1165 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1200 level.
Immediate support on the downside is near the 1.0955 level. The next major support is the 1.0880 level. A downside break below the 1.0880 support could send the pair toward the 1.0830 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0775.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025
Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here!
Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area.
It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute"
This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then.
Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer.
EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning.
You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards.
FRGNT X
Bulls Take Control – Can EURUSD Reach 1.1150 Again?1. What happened (recap):
Last week, EURUSD reached the 1.1150 zone, a level that hasn't been touched since August-September last year. After that, the pair started a correction. Although the week started with a gap down yesterday, bulls took control and pushed the pair higher.
2. Key Question:
Has EURUSD completed its correction, or is another drop coming?
3. Why I expect further upside:
• 🔑 A retest of the formed support at 1.09 occurred during yesterday’s New York session, followed by a fresh rebound.
• 📊 The drop from 1.1150 appears corrective in nature, suggesting the possibility of a new leg up.
• 🎯 As long as 1.09 holds, my strategy is to buy dips with the primary target being a retest of the 1.1150 resistance zone.
4. Trading Plan:
📌 I’m looking for buying opportunities on dips, aiming to retest the 1.1150 resistance area. This scenario is invalidated only by a daily close below 1.09.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 19th I shared this "EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan"
I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan here!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025
An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast.
Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs!
Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see.
-Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area.
- In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind.
- Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest.
- Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest.
The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out.
FRGNT X
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.08500) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 1.13000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
Detailed Explanation 📝✨
Point 1: Fundamentals = tug-of-war ⚔️; U.S. strength 💪 offset by tariffs 🌧️, Eurozone weakness 🇪🇺 mitigated by ECB stability 🌟.
Point 2: Macro shows U.S. resilience cracking 😟, euro holding ground ⚖️.
Point 3: Global markets mixed 🌐, no clear winner, EUR/USD in range 🔄.
Point 4: COT cautious 📑, speculators less bullish 😐, hedgers bearish 📉.
Point 5: Intermarket neutral ⚖️; dollar-yield link key 📈, equity dips cap extremes 📉.
Point 6: 1.0950 pivot 🎯, breakout or breakdown ahead 🚀📉.
Point 7: Sentiment balanced 😊, retail buys 📈 vs. institutional caution 😐.
Point 8: Trends hinge on 1.0950 🔮; bullish needs breakout 📈, bearish risks below support 📉.
Point 9: Neutral outlook ⚖️, breakout potential either way 🌟📉.
Accurate as of April 7, 2025 ⏰, based on trends & projections. Watch U.S. CPI & Eurozone news 👀!
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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