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Eurusdoutlook

EUR/USD rally loses steam ahead of US inflation reportThe euro's rally from the December low appears to be losing steam. Tuesday's high respected a resistance cluster including a 61.8% Fib level, high-volume node and trend resistance. A 2-bar bearish reversal (which includes an engulfing candle) only made a marginal high above Friday's high, and a bearish divergence has formed on the RSI. With CPI looming, perhaps the market will try to fill some of the liquidity gaps left during the bearish engulfing candle. And with the potential for a hotter-than-expected CPI report (and therefore a stronger dollar / lower euro), the bias is for an eventual retest of the 200-day average ~1.0832. A break beneath which brings 1.0820 and 1.080 into focus for bears.
Short
by CityIndex
Has the Market Priced In CPI Data? 🔕As we enter the 5th trading session of the week, The monthly candle and weekly candles are still bullish. The Daily candle closed bullish to begin the week(Monday) and it appears that the market has possibly priced in the not-so-great data forecasted to be released on Wednesday. The Euro went up on a Monday with inflation forecasted to increase for the USD on Wednesday. Maybe we will continue to ascend on EurUsd as the market shrugs off increasing inflation for the USD. This doesnt make sense to me because the USD is a safe haven in times of uncertainty. I'm anticpating that this early push to higher prices early in the week is a discount as the price for EU will be alot lower to end the week(like 1.0805 4hr level or 1.0771 weekly level) And this will be a 2nd consecutive month where inflation increases. The last time we had 2 consecutive months where (USD) CPI increased was September 23' and July 22'. More details below.. make sure to check out the snapshots! July 22' CPI(for June22') increase for 2 months in a row.. price dropped 100 pips the next day , pulled bac 315 pips the next 19 daily candles before dropping 750 pips across the next 34 daily candles Sept 23' CPI release (For Aug23') increase for 2 months in a row.. EU went down 280 pips in the next 13 daily candles
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD at a critical level, which way will it got?Hello traders, we had over 120 pips last week from out EUR/USD buy at 1.0740 level. However, since then, price has pulled back a little. The situation is a little tricky on the daily chart, as we are seeing some uncertain price action in the 100-day EMA level. So, at the current price levels, I would recommend traders to stay away from placing any new orders. My plan is to buy the dips in EUR/USD if price goes back to the 1.0770 level again. One of the most important things to ensure while trading is to be patient and avoid any sort of FOMO. This will ensure you trade only when the price reaches your preferred levels.
by KaltoireCapital
16
EURUSD Daily scalp setupHere you are a short setup i am waiting for on EURUSD. I expect a small consolidation and drop below main trendline. In 3 hrs from now, i expect an end to the consolidation with the NY session. There, if i the price will be traded below the black line (support zone) and will retest it, i'll open a short position targeting the support zone at 1.08230. It's and 1:7 RR, invalidation will be if the price will not break below the black line in the next 3 hrs.
Short
by SaliJournal
EURUSD: 300+ Pips a clear buying opportunity! Dear Traders, Our last entry hit breakeven and price dropped heavily due to bullish dxy presence. We still expect DXY to remain bullish for starting few days of next week. We have identified the key area where we think price will reject and bounce back strongly which will give us 300+ pips. Wait for the price to come to our area and then enter accordingly with accurate risk management. Please like and comment the idea, your support is appreciated. Thanks.
Short
by Setupsfx_
23
EUR/USD S/R Levels, key zones to watch out forHello Traders, EUR/USD has rebounded strongly just after touching the 100-day EMA level. The rebound was fueled by the FOMC event yesterday. Technically, this is a bullish sign. There is no resistance until 1.0980 level, so we can expect price to reach the 1.0980 level soon . Keep in mind that this is a very weak resistance, so if there is enough bullish impulse, this resistance may be broken soon. A stronger resistance lies at 1.1140 which is our first target for selling
by KaltoireCapital
16
EURUSD UpdateThis is an update on the EURUSD analysis I shared last week with you guys, I was anticipating to see EURUSD trade higher to then trade lower and take sellside liquidity BUT now having seen how the WEEKLY time frame of both the EUR and the DXY are, I'm convinced we should anticipate buys to see buyside (The high Marked As A Weak High) liquidity taken, We would do good to anticipate buying on the rejection of the weekly which is aligned with a bullish daily Order block.
Long
by TheHumanArsenal26
2
EURUSD next target above 1.1000 level**Monthly Chart** EURUSD monthly timeframe shows the price is in a narrow range between 1.0700 and 1.1000 which needs to break on either side. **Weekly Chart** The price movements looks very clear when you move into a weekly timeframe, although the market is moving in a range. There is a ring high formation as of 25Dec2023 weekly candle, which tested the monthly high and liquidity pool around the MC candle of July 2023 before pushing lower. Currently, the price tested the pin bar of 12Feb 2023, grabbed liquidity, and started moving higher. The next target is expected to be above 1.1000 level. **Daily Chart** This week EURUSD moved lower only to grab liquidity after testing 0.886Fib level in the demand zone and pushed the price higher, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend. Next target will be above 1.10500 level. NFP numbers yesterday (05.04.2024) were unable to push EURUSD lower, although the numbers came good for USD. US Work force adds 303K jobs in March - far more than expected. That's why I am aware of the fundamentals but I follow the technical as it tells the bigger story.
Long
by PropSignals
EURUSD Intraday Long on NFP Day.Hello Fanatics! Today is NFP, which is usually a low-quality day to be trading. We never know what is going to happen. My tip is to wait for the news release to be out and only then look to flow with whatever the market is showing you. Today, I am just testing this video recording and sharing a quick idea on EURUSD. Based on all the timeframes - we are stuck between supply and demand zones, so it's low-probability to start with. However, there could be a quick intraday move into a 4H Imbalance. Waiting for 1H or 15M context to enter from and target the 4H Zone.
by TradingFanatic
Optimistic Market on remarks by Fed Chair, J Powell ♦️The Market is Flying with Optimism after ADP data was better than Forecasted, Services data missed forecasts but Fed Chair Jerome Powell has said that he does not think that inflation is reversing higher. The monthly candle has flipped bullish along with the Weekly candle as price has done a complete 180 from our initial selloff early in the week. Yes, we dropped to begin the month but it was the first day of the month and each monthly candle has a top and bottom wick. The tuesday daily candle closed back above the weekly level 1.0765. The wednesday daily candle dropped slightly and retested 1.0765 prior to blasting to outer space. That is one mighty candle and trading against itis not impossible but will require extra monitoring. We observed some very nice volatility today as we completely blew through the daily resistance zone 1.079 and are currrently testing daily resistance level 1.08372. The asian session 4hr candle closed above this daily level 1.08372 and we may keep flying . If not, and we come back down to earth, then I anticipate a retest of 1Hr support zone 1.0833 prior to more significant buying pressure. London may just shoot up to the next 4hr zone then pullback as we transition into New York Open is another scenario that could play out. We may observe some volatile ranging prior to NFP on Friday. It's important to look left to see what zones are most relevant for the new days trading. the prices I like for the upcoming sessions include 1.08429 1hr zone, 1.08524 4hr resistance zone, and 1.08330 1hr support zone.. safe trading
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD at critical support, trade with cautionHello traders, EUR/USD is at a very critical support zone. I say critical because this is the last noticeable support zone. The next support lies far lower at 1.0460. So, at this stage, it would be wise to exercise caution, especially buyers. We can see that price has already gone up by 45+ Pips from the support zone. In the past, there were 2 occasions where EUR/USD went up from this zone. So, if anyone I wants to buy, I would recommend buying at 1.0700-1.0730 with Stop loss below the 1.0690 level. Targets would be 1.0850 and 1.0950 Today, we have some important data release and also Fed Chair Powell's speech which wil lead to a lot of volatility.
by KaltoireCapital
13
EurUsd Pullback treads between Key Level's 1.0765/1.0790 🎚️Hello Traders.. In our previous analysis (24hrs ago) we called out Longs/Buys from 1.0732 and price is currently 1.0770, an increase of 40 pips. The Monthly candle pulled down to begin the month and as we enter Wednesday the candle is returning to Break even after dropping 60 pips. The market now treads above the weekly level 1.0765 and will this sustain until the end of the week.. it's possible although I dont think we've seen the end of USD momentum this week but maybe we have. Maybe the market will pull up it's pants and the Eur will make a difference lol. The Tuesday daily candle closed bullish back above the weekly level 1.0765, this level we must watch closely... The wednesday daily candle already broke the high of the previous candle .. hmm... If we do head bullish I see us tapping into the daily resistance created on Monday at 1.079. Otherwise we created a daily support level today with the Bullish candle close at 1.0742. We do have a good amount of data in the upcoming session which could cause some volatility. I can see buyers pushing price to the Daily level 1.079 where we may see Sellers step back in. Today's session could be tricky and flexibility will be key.
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe EURUSD has experienced downward pressure, evident on both the daily and 4-hour time frames. Currently, the price is overextended, and I am actively seeking a shorting opportunity if the price retraces around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci level. In the video, we delve into price action, analyse the trend, evaluate market structure, and discuss a specific trade idea with defined entry points, stop loss, and target levels. As always, please remember that this information is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
Short
by tradingwithanthony
EurUsd Beginning of Q2, 2024 📅Hello Traders, the March Monthly candle has closed bearish with a large top wick which looks to have rejected the top of our Monthly range at 1.1028. We now have 3 Monthly candle closing bearish consecutively which suggest more downside on EurUsd possible as we enter Q2, 2024. The top wick on the March monthly candle looks like a fresh liquidity grab for a push towards our monthly support level 1.057 in April. Our first stop will be the February monthly candle low price ( 1.695). Strong Jobs data in March and increasing Inflation readings suggest continued uncertainty surrounding the Fed's ability to get a handle on the market. In the meantime we can observe USD strength Q1 ,2024 and this may continue as we enter Q2. Anything can happen in the markets and it's important that we always remain flexible in our approach and strategy for profiting from the markets. In the short term, our key levels of interest are Daily Resistance level created last week 1.08373. Another key level being the level that we mentioned multiple times last week, 1.0765 weekly support level. The Friday daily candle (march 29th) reacted off here and closed bullish. The next key level is 1.07105 Daily Support Level. Monthly Weekly Daily
Short
by ShrewdCatfx