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Euro's Path Ahead: Short-Term Struggles, Long-Term Triumphs**Current Momentum and Market Sentiment:** The EUR/USD pair is currently experiencing a challenging period, struggling to maintain bullish momentum. Despite a significant rally in recent months, the pair has recently faced resistance and corrective movements. The European Central Bank's (ECB) actions, including recent interest rate hikes and upward revisions to inflation forecasts, have supported the Euro, but market skepticism remains due to varying global economic conditions and the Federal Reserve's cautious stance on future rate hikes. **Technical Analysis and Key Levels:** The Euro is trading above its 20-year cycle support line, a critical historical level that previously led to a five-year rally after being broken in January 2003. The current price action, characterized by consistent volume buildup, suggests underlying strength. However, the momentum observed from January 2017 to late 2021 has been less stable, influenced heavily by the COVID-19 pandemic and subsequent economic measures. For the short term, the EUR/USD is anticipated to continue facing volatility. The immediate resistance is noted around 1.1050, with support around 1.0800. A potential target by the end of 2024 is 1.169941, assuming stabilization in interest rates and continued economic recover. ### Long-Term Forecast (Next 2-5 Years) **Macroeconomic Factors:** Long-term prospects for the Euro will largely depend on several macroeconomic factors, including the ECB's monetary policy, inflation trends, and economic growth in the Eurozone. The structural reforms and fiscal policies adopted by member countries will also play a crucial role in shaping the currency's trajectory. **Historical Context and Future Projections:** Reflecting on the historical context, the Euro's previous rally post-2003 lasted five years until the 2008 financial crisis. Given the current economic landscape, a similar prolonged uptrend could emerge if global economic conditions stabilize and Eurozone economies demonstrate robust growth. Over the next 2-5 years, the Euro might target higher levels, potentially reaching or exceeding the 1.2000 mark, driven by economic resilience and a balanced approach to monetary tightening by the ECB. However, this projection is contingent on the absence of significant geopolitical disruptions and a steady recovery from the pandemic-induced economic downturn. ### Conclusion In summary, while the Euro shows potential for both short-term gains and long-term growth, it remains subject to market volatility and economic uncertainties. Investors should closely monitor ECB policies, global economic indicators, and geopolitical developments to make informed decisions. The anticipated stabilization of interest rates by the end of the year provides a cautiously optimistic outlook for the Euro, aiming for a target of 1.169941 by year-end and further growth in the following years.
Long
by wikitrades
1
A must-read for trading foreign exchange.EURUSD or GBPUSD The U.S. dollar has also seen a sharp correction during this period, which I believe many traders have seen. The market has also put relatively much pressure on the US dollar. At the same time, it serves as the most valuable storage currency. There was also a sharp decline under the influence of geopolitical sentiment. TVC:DXY But I don't think the dollar will fall significantly in the short term. After all, the market needs to be repaired, and it will take time. It may be necessary to rely on larger news when it falls again. The U.S. dollar index is currently in the process of gradual recovery. I said at the weekend that the index is expected to maintain a range of 105-105.5 this week. At present, the market is in line with my expectations. If you are a friend who likes to do foreign exchange, you can consider selling other currencies by referring to the US dollar index. Priority is given to EURUSD and GBPUSD. The approximate operating space is around 500-1000 points. Pay attention to controlling risks during operation. OANDA:GBPUSD OANDA:EURUSD When the U.S. dollar index reached above 1050.5 and stood firm. You need to consider buying other currencies. These are some of my views on foreign exchange. In the past, you always failed when trading alone. But everything will change after you follow me. Because we will be the ultimate winner!
TVC:DXYLong
by AA_Jack
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 15Bar D1 increased yesterday with a wide range, had a lower shadow and closed close to the top, showing very good buying pressure during the day. More importantly, this D1 bar closed above the previous Inside bar pattern, creating an upside breakout that could be the price action that gives EURUSD D1 additional upward momentum. However, structurally, EURUSD D1 is still inclined to decrease with gradually lower price peaks and troughs. The sweep down then pulled back up and bounced strongly upwards, creating a new high price peak to help EURUSD H1 continue the short-term upward price trend. Combined with the bullish breakout at D1 from the Inside bar, H1 EURUSD today is quite favorable for the idea of ​​waiting to buy from the supports below. 💡 H1 trend: EURUSD up Today's trading idea: Buy EURUSD.
Long
by Stone_Haven
2
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 17EURUSD fell yesterday, bouncing down from the strong resistance above. However, the downward pressure on prices is not strong because yesterday's decrease bar D1 had a narrow amplitude and had a lower shadow, showing that there is still buying force pushing up. The D1 EURUSD chart structure is still accumulating sideways. Need a break above the current resistance for EURUSD D1 to reverse to an uptrend. After the previous price push up, EURUSD H1 is having a pull back down. But with the dominant H1 chart structure being bullish, EURUSD H1 today can continue to wait to buy. Buying points include (1) waiting for an upward push to break the current small range and then retesting to buy, (2) being able to buy if the price drops deep to the lower support zone.
Long
by Stone_Haven
EURUSD Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #eurodollar (#EURUSD) #trading chart 📉. This is indicated by the #bearish harami candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 1.08939 horizontal resistance level. This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward 👇 ⬇️ direction (#sell). Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 1.06500 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 1.06443 horizontal support level. As always, please apply appropriate risk management. Happy trading! #majorpair
Short
by charles-okoukoni
1
EURUSD: The USD fell against the euro awaiting CPI dataThe US greenback fell to a one-month low in opposition to the euro today, as buyers predicted the discharge of a key US inflation record that might affect US coverage decisions. Federal Reserve. The euro rose barely 0.03% to 1.0823 USD at some stage in Asian buying and selling hours, at one factor attaining 1.0828 USD, a stage now no longer visible given that April 10. The US greenback index, which compares the greenback in opposition to a basket of six important currencies with a widespread emphasis at the euro, fell 0.11% to 104.94. Earlier, it touched a low of 104.92, its lowest in per week and a half. At the identical time, US Treasury yields fell, with the benchmark long-time period yield falling to 4.4414%, persevering with its in a single day decline of 3.five foundation points.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
💡 EURUSD: Analysis May 13EURUSD did not change much in the weekend session, the price is still testing the upper border of the falling price channel, the bearish structure is still valid, however the continuous testing of the 1.08 area shows that buying pressure is returning, Be careful with the possibility of the price breaking the structure, you need to maintain the profit taking point for long positions above 1.08, we will abandon this strategy when the price does not break this important resistance level. .
Long
by Stone_Haven
EURUSD Wednesday PlanHere you are a simple trading plan for tomorrow. It's pretty ambitious, but maybe it can help you finding good entries. This is how i works, i make plan, and if i have triggers, i'll open trades. Momentum is good and bullish for EURUSD and looking for shorts now it's pretty useless. I am waiting a retrace in the asian session, with a range in pre London. If we will have a range there, i will open if we will grab liquidity from the down side (long squeeze) and i will open a long trade around 1.07850 targeting 1.08650. Another trade can happen at the beginning of the NY session, where (if we are already up and above actual level) we can look for new longs around 1.08250. Same target
Long
by SaliJournal
2
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07400 up towards 1.08200EU shares a similar bias with GU, as they exhibit comparable movements. Therefore, I'll be focusing on potential buying opportunities this week, particularly from either the 6hr demand zone or the one just below it. Given the presence of an equal low beneath the initial demand, it wouldn't be surprising if this level is breached to reach the subsequent demand zone. In the event that price doesn't reach these levels, I'll be monitoring for a wyckoff accumulation pattern to emerge. This would signal a buying opportunity, aiming for an upward move towards the major supply zone, mirroring GU's position. I anticipate this scenario unfolding around midweek, so we'll have to wait and see. Confluences for EU Buys are as follow: - Price has been bullish in the recent price action as you can see via the market structure. - Two 6hr demand zones in close proximity has caused a break of structure to the upside. - lots of liquidity in the form of equal highs above to target as liquidity. - Unmitigated 2day supply that price needs to go towards. - Dollar is also dropping so it makes sense with this bias. as they move opposite. P.S. If price continues its upward movement, I'll identify a new demand area for potential buy positions. Alternatively, I'll wait for price to reach the supply zone to initiate sell trades from that point. Lets catch these pips!
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe EURUSD is exhibiting a bearish sentiment on the weekly timeframe; nevertheless, there is a noticeable robust bullish trend observed on both the daily and the 4-hour timeframes. Notably, we witness a pronounced reaction at the weekly levels identified as resistance on the chart. Furthermore, we have identified a daily support level, marked as a potential target for a pullback and a prospective entry point for a long position. In the video, we thoroughly analyzed price action, market structure, the prevailing trend, and a plausible trading opportunity.
by fxtraderanthony
4
EUR/USD SHORT TO LONG idea (towards 1.08200)My analysis for EU aligns with that of GU in terms of directional bias. I expect price to turn bullish from either of my demand points of interest (POIs), aiming to eventually mitigate the major supply zone within two days. This anticipation stems from the expected substantial reaction at the supply zone. While pursuing the buys aligns with a pro-trend approach, I plan to switch strategies once price reaches the significant supply zone. Currently, the market remains bullish, prompting me to prioritize seeking buying opportunities near demand zones to drive price upward. The most intriguing opportunities for me lie within the demand zones on the 2-hourly, the 22-hourly below, and the two 4-hourly zones at the bottom. Confluences for EU buys are as follows: - Price has recently been in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows. - 2-day supply zone that needs to get mitigated eventually. - Good demand zones left that price might pick up another bullish rally from. - Liquidity to the upside as well as substantial imbalances that need mitigation. - price has also recently broken structure to the upside once again to confirm the trend. P.S. If the price maintains its upward trajectory, I will wait for it to decelerate and consolidate within my designated area. Upon closer examination, I've identified several refined zones, such as the 4-hour supply zone. In such a scenario, I won't rush but will instead wait for a thorough and significant mitigation before taking action. Have a great trading week guys!
Long
by Hassan_fx