EURUSD is in a Downside DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Eurusdoutlook
#EURUSD: +770 Pips Swing Move, DXY to Plumment! EURUSD is extremely bullish and is on track to cross the 1.21 area in our long-term swing plan. Based on recent price action, we have set two targets. As DXY continues to drop, the price is likely to remain bullish in the coming days or weeks. Please use accurate risk management while trading and consider this analysis.
Good luck and trade safely!
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Team Setupsfx_
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week.
A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly HighEUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly High
Yesterday, the EUR/USD exchange rate rose above the 1.1700 level for the first time this year. The last time one euro was worth more than 1.70 US dollars was in autumn 2019.
The main driver behind the euro’s rise is the weakening dollar, largely due to decisions made by the Trump administration. This week alone, the EUR/USD pair has gained more than 2%, partly as a result of escalating tensions between the US President and the Chair of the Federal Reserve.
According to Reuters, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he had three or four candidates in mind for the top job at the Fed. It was also reported that Trump had considered selecting and announcing a replacement for Powell by September or October (his current term officially runs until May 2026).
Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
Price movements are forming an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations:
→ Midweek, the price consolidated around the channel’s median line (as indicated by arrow 1);
→ It then broke through the 1.6300 level with strong bullish momentum (shown by arrow 2), a level that had acted as resistance earlier in the month;
→ The long upper wicks on the candles forming yesterday’s highs (circled) suggest increased selling pressure near the upper boundary of the channel.
Given this, we could assume that in the short term, the price might form a new consolidation zone around the median line above the 1.6300 level. Significant fundamental catalysts would be required to break the developing upward trend.
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EUR/USD Short Idea Analysis EUR/USD exhibits bearish potential on the daily timeframe, with the 1.17160–1.18070 zone acting as a key resistance area for a short setup.
Technical Analysis:
Price Action: Price is testing the 1.17160–1.18070 resistance zone, which aligns with prior highs and a rejection area. A bearish reversal pattern (e.g., shooting star or engulfing) could confirm the short.
Support/Target: Initial support at 1.1600, with a deeper target at 1.1500 if selling pressure accelerates.
Indicators: RSI is nearing overbought levels (above 65), suggesting a potential reversal. MACD shows weakening bullish momentum, supporting a bearish bias.
Fibonacci: The 1.17160–1.18070 zone aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior downmove, reinforcing resistance.
Risks: A break above 1.1820 could invalidate the setup. Watch for ECB policy updates or unexpected US data shifts.
Conclusion: The 1.17160–1.18070 resistance zone offers a compelling short opportunity for EUR/USD, backed by technical and fundamental factors. Use tight risk management due to potential volatility.
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):Symbol: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 1 hour
Price Range Displayed: ~1.15300 to ~1.17500
Current Price: 1.16935
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Key Chart Markings
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):
Marked at the top in the yellow zone (~1.17250–1.17500).
Indicates where buy-side liquidity was likely taken—suggesting liquidity grab or stop hunt.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity):
Marked at the bottom yellow zone (~1.15700–1.15900).
Indicates a potential drawdown area—price may seek this liquidity next.
Price Action:
The price recently made a higher high into the BSL zone, followed by a bearish rejection.
A projected path is shown: short-term retracement upward, followed by a larger move downward toward the SSL zone.
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Potential Outlook (Bearish Bias)
The chart suggests a bearish move is anticipated:
BSL has been swept, signaling a reversal point.
Target: Sell-side liquidity around 1.15800, possibly lower.
⚙️
Technical Implication
This setup follows Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Liquidity Engineering:
Liquidity is taken from one side of the market (BSL), and price is expected to move to the other (SSL).
Possible setup for a short trade after confirmation of the retracement.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations:
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Chart Details:
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD
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Key Annotations & Zones:
🟫
Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
This area includes:
Accumulation
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone.
🔼
Buy Side Liquidity:
Highlighted at the top of the range.
Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal.
🔽
Sell Side Liquidity:
Marked below the previous consolidation range.
Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward.
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Accumulation:
This phase occurred before the bullish breakout.
Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning.
📉
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled.
Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move.
📌
Price Structure Analysis:
The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup:
Price grabs buy-side liquidity.
Enters a supply zone.
May return to fill the FVG.
Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone.
✅
Trading Implications:
Bearish Scenario:
Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows.
Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately):
If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):Key Zones & Markings:
SSL (Sell Side Liquidity) - "True return to support" (bottom horizontal line around 1.13700):
Indicates that price has swept the sell-side liquidity, grabbing stop-losses below previous lows.
This often precedes a reversal if it aligns with a key support zone.
FVG (Fair Value Gap) or Imbalance Zones (grey boxes):
Price is expected to retrace back into these imbalanced zones.
These zones act as magnet areas where price might rebalance before further continuation.
Target Zone (Top Horizontal Line at ~1.16200):
Marked as the bullish target, likely aligning with buy-side liquidity (BSL) or unfilled imbalances.
Potential take profit area for long entries from the support zone.
📈 Market Structure:
Price made a lower low, swept liquidity (SSL), and is now showing potential bullish intent.
Anticipated move:
Reversal from support
A clean bullish move toward FVGs
Final target near 1.16200
🎯 Strategy Idea:
Long Entry Zone: Near 1.137–1.140 (liquidity sweep + support).
Target: 1.15500 (intermediate) and 1.16200 (final).
SL (Stop Loss): Could be below the most recent low (if re-entry needed).
🧠 Concept Used:
Liquidity sweep (SSL)
Return to support
Fair Value Gap (FVG) fill
Smart Money long setup
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧.
I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼.
If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
Support and Resistance Zones
Resistance zone is marked near 1.16000.
Support zone is marked around 1.14500.
Price Action:
Price is currently near 1.15776, heading towards the resistance.
There’s a strong white candle indicating bullish momentum.
Projected Price Path:
A white projection line suggests a move upwards to test the resistance zone.
Then, a grey projection line suggests a potential reversal from the resistance, falling back to test the support level.
Interpretation:
This is likely a range-trading or false breakout trap analysis:
The trader is possibly expecting a fake breakout above the resistance before a drop back down toward the support area.
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown
🔻 Price Action & Structure:
The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines.
The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
🔄 Projected Move:
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.
The white projected path shows:
A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800.
A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity.
🧠
EQH = Equal High Liquidity
:
The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting.
It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing.
💡 Interpretation:
The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts.
Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook.
Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels📉 EUR/USD 4H Analysis – Bearish Outlook with Key Levels 📊
🔍 Overview:
The EUR/USD pair on the 4-hour chart is showing signs of a potential bearish reversal after testing a strong resistance zone near 1.16000. Price action has rejected this area twice (🔴), confirming it as a significant supply zone. The chart now suggests a descending move toward the strong support zone around 1.12000.
🔑 Key Levels:
🟡 Resistance Zone: 1.15700 – 1.16000
Multiple rejections indicate strong selling pressure.
🟦 Mini Support: Around 1.14550
A minor level where price could react short-term, but not a major barrier.
🔻 Mid-Level Target: 1.13653
Potential bounce zone before continuation downward.
🟥 Strong Support Zone: 1.11500 – 1.12200
Previously held as a launch point for a major rally in May; likely to be tested again.
📈 Scenario Outlook:
Bearish Path Expected:
Price is forming a series of lower highs and appears to be losing bullish momentum.
Target Path (Blue Arrows):
A potential drop toward the 1.13653 level is expected, followed by a deeper drop toward the strong support.
Rebound Possibility:
If the strong support holds, we could see a strong bullish bounce 🔄, potentially creating a longer-term buying opportunity.
💡 Conclusion:
EUR/USD is currently in a correction phase. Traders should watch for a confirmed break below 1.14550 for bearish continuation 📉. A drop to the 1.12000 zone may offer a high-probability reversal setup 📊📍.
🔔 Trading Tip:
Use caution around mini support; aggressive sellers may enter on any weak bounce. Wait for confirmation before entering positions. 🧠📉
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈
Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness.
🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐.
🎯 Trade Plan Idea:
Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀
Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩
Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻
Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
EURUSD(20250619) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed's June interest rate meeting - kept interest rates unchanged for the fourth consecutive time. The dot plot shows two rate cuts this year, but the number of officials who expect no rate cuts this year has risen to 7, and the rate cut expectations for next year have been reduced to 1. Powell continues to call for uncertainty, and the current economic situation is suitable for waiting and watching. He also expects tariff-driven inflation to rise in the coming months.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1489
Support and resistance levels:
1.1558
1.1532
1.1516
1.1463
1.1446
1.1420
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1489, consider buying in, with the first target price of 1.1516
If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, with the first target price of 1.1446
Core Impact Logic of the Middle East Situation on EURUSD(I) Energy Transmission Chain: Oil Price Fluctuations → Eurozone Inflation and Economy
The escalation of the Middle East situation (the Iran - Israel conflict, risks in the Strait of Hormuz) directly impacts the global energy supply chain:
If the conflict expands to block the Strait of Hormuz (transports ~20% of global crude oil 🛢️), Brent crude has already soared from recent lows—spiking over 5% on June 17 amid tensions ⛽️. This pushes up imported inflation in the Eurozone.
As a net energy - importing region 🌍, prolonged high oil prices will squeeze corporate profits, suppress consumption, and drag Eurozone economic recovery (German/French manufacturing is acutely energy - cost - sensitive 🏭). This weakens the euro’s fundamental support.
(II) Geopolitical Safe - Haven Sentiment: The "Safe - Haven Balance" Between USD & EUR
Amid Middle East tensions, the US dollar’s traditional safe - haven status competes with Eurozone havens like German bonds 📈:
If the US (e.g., the Trump administration) intervenes militarily 💥, market fears of "America mired in war" rise. USD safe - haven demand may temporarily weaken ⬇️, and the euro benefits as funds shift 🔄
⚡️⚡️⚡️ EURUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Buy@ 1.14500 - 1.15000
🚀 TP 1.15500 - 1.15600
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term.
However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD.
Uptrend Remains Intact
Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction.
MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum.
1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks.
1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Follow him at: @julianpineda25