Market Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes IncreaseMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes Increase
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0950 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent upward move from the 1.0880 zone against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0775 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0950 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1000. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1150 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1146 before the pair corrected gains. It dipped below 1.1000 and tested 1.0880.
The pair is again rising from the 1.0880 zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1045 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low.
The first major resistance is near the 1.1080 level. An upside break above the 1.1080 level might send the pair toward the 1.1145 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1165 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1200 level.
Immediate support on the downside is near the 1.0955 level. The next major support is the 1.0880 level. A downside break below the 1.0880 support could send the pair toward the 1.0830 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0775.
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Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025
Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here!
Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area.
It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute"
This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then.
Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer.
EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning.
You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards.
FRGNT X
Bulls Take Control – Can EURUSD Reach 1.1150 Again?1. What happened (recap):
Last week, EURUSD reached the 1.1150 zone, a level that hasn't been touched since August-September last year. After that, the pair started a correction. Although the week started with a gap down yesterday, bulls took control and pushed the pair higher.
2. Key Question:
Has EURUSD completed its correction, or is another drop coming?
3. Why I expect further upside:
• 🔑 A retest of the formed support at 1.09 occurred during yesterday’s New York session, followed by a fresh rebound.
• 📊 The drop from 1.1150 appears corrective in nature, suggesting the possibility of a new leg up.
• 🎯 As long as 1.09 holds, my strategy is to buy dips with the primary target being a retest of the 1.1150 resistance zone.
4. Trading Plan:
📌 I’m looking for buying opportunities on dips, aiming to retest the 1.1150 resistance area. This scenario is invalidated only by a daily close below 1.09.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 19th I shared this "EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan"
I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan here!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025
An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast.
Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs!
Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see.
-Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area.
- In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind.
- Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest.
- Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest.
The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out.
FRGNT X
EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the Nearest / Swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.08500) Day/Swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 1.13000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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Detailed Explanation 📝✨
Point 1: Fundamentals = tug-of-war ⚔️; U.S. strength 💪 offset by tariffs 🌧️, Eurozone weakness 🇪🇺 mitigated by ECB stability 🌟.
Point 2: Macro shows U.S. resilience cracking 😟, euro holding ground ⚖️.
Point 3: Global markets mixed 🌐, no clear winner, EUR/USD in range 🔄.
Point 4: COT cautious 📑, speculators less bullish 😐, hedgers bearish 📉.
Point 5: Intermarket neutral ⚖️; dollar-yield link key 📈, equity dips cap extremes 📉.
Point 6: 1.0950 pivot 🎯, breakout or breakdown ahead 🚀📉.
Point 7: Sentiment balanced 😊, retail buys 📈 vs. institutional caution 😐.
Point 8: Trends hinge on 1.0950 🔮; bullish needs breakout 📈, bearish risks below support 📉.
Point 9: Neutral outlook ⚖️, breakout potential either way 🌟📉.
Accurate as of April 7, 2025 ⏰, based on trends & projections. Watch U.S. CPI & Eurozone news 👀!
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Bias After NFPThe U.S. dollar has managed to regain some ground in the short term after several sessions of gains in EUR/USD. Currently, the pair is showing a downward move of just over 1%, following the NFP report, which showed 228,000 new jobs versus the 137,000 expected. This has slightly increased demand for the U.S. dollar in recent hours, as the market anticipates the possibility of higher inflation and, consequently, more restrictive Fed policy in upcoming decisions.
Uptrend
Since February 28, a strong upward trend has been in place, showing a clear buying bias in EUR/USD. So far, selling corrections have not been strong enough to break key trendline levels, making this the dominant formation to watch in the short term.
RSI
In the case of the RSI, oscillations have started to approach the overbought zone near the 70 level. Additionally, it is important to note that while EUR/USD has posted higher highs, the RSI has shown lower highs, reflecting a bearish divergence and signaling a potential imbalance driven by strong short-term buying pressure. This could eventually lead to downward corrections in the sessions ahead.
Key Levels:
1.1000 – Major resistance: This level remains the most relevant round-number resistance on the chart. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce bullish momentum in the short term.
1.07911 – Near-term barrier: This level is located near the 200-period moving average and could serve as a tentative zone for future selling corrections.
1.06132 – Distant support: Positioned around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, this level marks a key breakpoint that, if reached, could invalidate the current bullish structure.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week
This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity.
A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first.
Confluences for EU Buys:
EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside.
The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias.
A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside.
Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken.
Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth.
● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024.
● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors.
◉ Technical Observation
● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀
EurUsd could continue to the downsideTwo weeks ago, I mentioned that while a new high was possible, the bigger move in EUR/USD should be to the downside.
Indeed, the pair dropped from above 1.0900 and recently found support around the 1.0730 zone.
The recent recovery appears corrective, unfolding in a flag pattern, and I expect another leg down toward 1.0600.
Bearish confirmation comes with a daily close below 1.0750, and my preferred strategy is to sell rallies.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: BUY IT!In this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures for the week of March 31 - April 4th. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
The bias is bullish for now, but the April 2nd tariffs can flip the markets upside down. Be careful. Let the market tell you which direction it's going, and trade accordingly. Allow the markets to settle on a bias before you jump in.
NFP on Friday, btw.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position.
Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken.
The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind.
- Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest.
- Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target.
- DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU.
Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
EURUSD:Analysis of the Profit-making Strategies for Next WeekThe euro against the US dollar once retraced to around 1.0765. Subsequently, it stabilized slightly after the release of the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for February. Since the year-on-year growth rate of this data exceeded expectations, the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% for a longer time has intensified. Moreover, the United States is set to impose an additional 25% tariff on imported automobiles starting from April 2nd, which adds more uncertainties to the outlook of the euro.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850
TP:1.0750
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EUR/USD at a Pivotal Level – Will Bulls Push Higher?The EUR/USD pair is showing signs of a trend reversal after breaking above a long-term descending trendline. This breakout, coupled with an inverse head and shoulders pattern and RSI bullish divergence, signals strengthening bullish momentum. However, the price faces key resistance around 1.0500-1.0527, aligned with the 200 EMA.
A confirmed break above this level could push the pair toward 1.10+, while failure to do so may lead to a pullback before another attempt higher.
EURUSD Weekly Candle RangeTrading is hard but it's simple.
On the 1W, EURUSD traded into a key zone and ended with a long wick, indicating a strong rejection. I'm looking to find entries in the wick area and targeting CRH for the rest of the week. Do have a lovely weekend. For me, I'd be looking at ETHUSDT 😅
EUR/USD: Uncertain Trajectory Amid Tariff - Induced JittersThe EUR/USD is trading at 1.0796. After a Thursday rebound from 1.0733 due to a weakening USD, it's now pressured at the intraday high of 1.0799.
US President Donald Trump's new 25% import taxes on cars and car parts, with potential additional levies on the eurozone and Canada, have stoked risk - off sentiment. This has led to a temporary dip in the US dollar's appeal.
On the daily chart, it's found buyers near the non - directional 200 - day SMA, with 1.0730 as dynamic support. It's attempting to break the bullish 20 - day SMA, while the 100 - day SMA is non - directional below the current level. The momentum indicator is flat below 100, and the RSI at 56 hints at upward risk, yet unconfirmed. Bulls should be cautious short - term.
In the 4 - hour chart, technicals are rising but below the mid - line. EUR/USD is fighting a bearish 20 - day SMA, and the 100 - day SMA has lost upward steam around 1.0840. A break above 1.0840 could bring back the bulls.
EURUSD
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
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