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Eurusdoutlook

EURUSD weekly outlook: Bearish bias for June weeks 3-4Weekly Outlook (W) Bear bias until price action establishes an uptrend above 1.1092 6/15/23 Still making higher highs and lower highs Last week of May just made the last higher low @ Weekly fib 78.6 level Expectation: IF Continues uptrend: reach last HH level or 1.1100 and eventually 1.1250 (27 ext) If not: Price reactions from levels below: 1) 0.0865 H&S Weekly line and does a downtrend from there 2) Weekly IMB and OB with BOS down. INVALIDATION POINT: 1.1092
Short
by RSC_FX
2
EURUSD: Things you need to know!Fundamental analysis: The support and resistance zones are effectively fulfilling their role, as usual, by eliciting a response above the gold price line. The RSI indicator indicates that liquidity is slowly accumulating, which suggests a potential reversion to a downtrend. Market overview: The EUR/USD rose again, posting its highest daily close in a month above 1.0800, despite the US Dollar's recovery triggered by the hawkish hold from the FOMC. Attention now turns to the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting and upcoming US data, which could become more relevant given Fed Chair Powell's statement that the July meeting will be a 'live' meeting." The ECB will have its Governing Council meeting on Thursday. It is expected to hike interest rates by 25 basis points. The key for the Euro will be the language used in the statement and ECB President Lagarde’s comments during the press conference. Probably, she will repeat that they are not done raising rates. If the meeting turns out to be 'dovish', with signals of a potential pause, the Euro could suffer.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
3
Stick with the broader perspective on Eurozone - short euroFundamentals EUR: There are indeed hawkish expectations as ECB officials reiterated the need for further hikes in June-July to tame sticky inflation. However, most if not all leading indicators' latest readings point to a decrease in economic activity. I believe yesterday's spike is the result of pricing in those hawkish expectations, which is overdone. The idea is to follow the bigger picture of the economic conditions in the Eurozone. ECB may try to hike rates a few times to fight inflation, but the major downtrend in the euro should continue unless leading indicators show some improvements. Additionally, the positioning of retail traders is mostly long - an old habit of fighting a fundamental trend. At some point the retailers should take their losses, feeding the downtrend. USD: Yes, there's a pause in rate hikes expected in June, but Fed has been more successful in lowering inflation, while recent data showed some signs of improvement in economic conditions (consider Retail sales and NFP). Also, the medium-term Fed's outlook is still quite hawkish because inflation is still well above the regulator's target Technical & other Setup: S(RTF) Setup timeframe: 4h Trigger: 1h Medium-term: Down Long-term: Range Min. Target: MA(10) *The market is likely to range until FOMC, so the target is quite limited.
Short
by Cherry94
4
EURUSD intraday 1st higher highI believe EURUSD is reversing as it formed its first higher high within this consolidation range. ADX was not bullish during this move, however structure was broke. I will look to capitalize on any breakout. I have a zone marked at the bottom of the zone as the daily has formed two bullish reversal candlesticks along with volatility at support. Currently price is at daily swing high, which price failed to break. The 4H has formed a higher high and is retracing with indecision to form a higher low. If the daily support holds. Im long EURUSD.
Long
by DesharedPierreJr.
EURUSD JUNE CANDLE OPENING PRICEEURUSD JUNE CANDLE OPENING PRICE Here's my view, the opening price of June candle gave confirmation to bulls stepping in. This month candle has high probability of going upwards 'bullish' so therefore we will be looking for more buy entry more than sell setups, this is for month of June. Fundamentally, FED might not have much effects because it's followed by ECB rate hike the next day. Another ECB RATE HIKE coming up on July due to inflation. I see more bulls stepping in. Pls kindly drop your views in the comment section
Long
by Lordval_Austine
3
EURUSD - Giving some resistanceEURUSD showed weakening downward strength, sliding out of its channel. I played the trend, ignored some signals and took a loss playing short - so now we wait for data as clearly there was some confusion. This pair has chance of playing ping-pong between the D50/D200 EMAs until the main event next week, I am leaning towards further downside in the longer run - see what shakes out. Personally, Ill be giving this guy a little space Continuation above ~1.082 would change my short bias, but something to note is the daily chart looks like we want to try and take a deeper breath up. If that's your thing to play then 1.072 should remain your friend. Happy Trading - Stay Agile
by Scott_The_Chartist
EUR/USD best level to buy + 267 PipsDear traders, after the bearish move for the last 1 month, EURUSD appears to be consolidating. A minor support at 1.0660 has been created and EURUSD is currently consolidating in a small range. However, since price has fallen below the 100-day EMA, bulls need to be a little careful . That being said, 1.0660 appears to be a good point to buy if price doesn't breach this level. So, traders can consider going long in EURUSD@1.0660 with SL below 1.06 and initial TP at 1.08 . Long-term traders can keep their final TPs at 1.11.
by YourLazyTrader
22
EURUSD: Tumultuous week!Overview of the market On Tuesday, the EUR/USD experienced a slight increase of fewer than 30 pips. However, this was enough to make it the Euro's best day in over a week. The pair's rebound was due to a decline in the US dollar against European currencies and the yen, after hitting two-month lows at 1.0670. In Spain, data indicated a decline of 0.2% in the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices in May, causing an annual rate fall from 3.8% to 2.9%, which was larger than expected. Although this news was positive for the European Central Bank (ECB), it could have negative implications for the common currency. Inflation data from Germany and France is due on Wednesday, which could ease tightening expectations from the ECB if preliminary May estimates also show significant declines in their annual rates.
Short
by Sphyn-Trader
1
EurUsd could drop to 1.05On Friday's EurUsd market commentary, I've written that the 1.0750-1.0760 zone is strong resistance for the pair and a break above could lead to gains towards 1.0850 and to a change of medium-term downtrend. The pair, indeed reversed from that zone, but what should have been a correction is looking more and more that a resumption of the move started in mid-April. Technically also a bearish move is more likely with this reversal from the 1.0750 zone, a zone that acted as support of resistance in the last year and also as strong support back in 2020. Also, with the price under both 50 MA and 100 MA, a bearish move is more likely. In conclusion, as long as 1.08 is intact, I'm looking to sell rallies.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
16
Weekly Trade Planning Session Welcome to this week's Trade Planning Session! In this video, I examined the cumulative CSI (Currency Strength Index) of this past week and compared it to the previous weeks' cumulative CSI. Based on this evaluation, we have identified the GBPUSD, AUDUSD, and CADJPY as potential buy pairs, while the EURAUD, EURCAD, EURGBP, and EURUSD are potential sell pairs for the upcoming week starting on June 4th, 2023. Utilizing the 4 Bar Rules, we have determined specific buy and sell points for each pair. These points will serve as reference for making informed trading decisions throughout the week. We hope you find this session informative and enjoyable as you navigate the exciting world of trading! Have a blessed trading week.
by Charts247TradingAcademy