Double Top Pattern on EURUSD - Trendline BreakdownHello,
EURUSD broke down the rising trendline from the previous analytics. This was to be expected because rising trendlines usually break down over time. The double top pattern on the chart, along with a weak second top on the MACD, casts a bearish shadow onto the chart. Right now isn't optimal to enter shorts, but for educational purposes, you can see the two shorts I opened on the chart.
Regards,
Ely
Eurusdoutlook
EURO, EURUSD Bullish Week Ahead**BIG BOYS BIAS (CFTC COT INDEX REPORT)
Commercials: Net Buyers
Retail Traders: Net Sellers
Non-Commercials: In-Trend
This suggests that institutional "Big Money" players were positioning for a Bullish week, while retail traders were net Sellers Relative to previous position. In a zero-sum game, this typically signals a potential Bullish move for this week.
**EURO Value Correlation to USD
>We are now in the Oversold region Signaling for a bullish trend week.
Note: Every time we get Oversold Readings (Green Vertical Lines) we always get a Bullish Move
**Election Year Seasonality forecast
>Bullish until early next Week.
Technicals:
>Price already re-tested the Daily Supply Zone last Friday, preparing for a Bullish Week ahead.
>Price could reach to the opposing Supply Zone that initiated the bearish imbalance.
OTHERS:
>Scalpers can ride the bullish trending week
>Long term traders can position for a Sell for next week.
***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.***
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: EURUSD EURUSD is at an OTE level currently, and may find support for higher prices. I am on the lookout for BUY setups, as I do not want to take shorts in this market until prices breaks below 1.0940.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
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EurUsd- Could drop 150 pipsYesterday, EUR/USD saw a sharp drop from the 1.12 level, reinforcing it as a strong resistance. The pair rebounded after touching the rising trend line, but in my view, it's only a matter of time before this support is broken.
In conclusion, I am looking to sell into rallies, targeting the 1.10 support, with a stop in place should there be a daily close above 1.12.
GBP USD Trade Setup 1-Hour TimeframeOn the 1 hour timeframe, GBP USD has formed a Double Bottom at the Daily + 4 Hour support level.
For a more conservative entry, we need to wait for a breakout of the neckline, followed by a retest.
We’ll then look for candlestick confirmations at the retest level before entering a buy position.
EURUSD TRADING THE NEWS & Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 We can see that EUR/USD is currently trending bullish on the higher time frames. I'm eyeing a potential buy setup, contingent on certain conditions playing out as outlined in the video. With key EUR and USD data releases scheduled for later today, I’ll walk you through how to navigate and trade around these events. In the video, we cover the key price action signals to watch for and how to seize the next opportunity when it arises. Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊✅
EUR/USD Buys from 6hr demand at 1.11200EUR/USD (EU) Analysis:
I’m expecting price to move down slightly to sweep the liquidity resting at the equal lows. Once those lows are taken, I anticipate price to slow down and begin accumulating in my 6-hour demand zone, where I’ll be looking for potential long opportunities. This aligns with the current bullish trend, making it a pro-trend setup.
If price moves up without sweeping the equal lows, I’ll shift my focus to selling from the 16-hour supply zone above. For now, EU is caught between areas of liquidity, so I’ll wait until midweek to assess where it stands before making a decision.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- There’s significant liquidity above the demand zone, which is a positive signal.
- The demand zone has led to a break of structure to the upside.
- The overall trend remains bullish, supporting this pro-trend idea.
- The (DXY) continues to show bearish momentum, which supports a bullish EU outlook.
There are still imbalances and liquidity above that need to be filled.
Note: Price has already reacted to the 4-hour supply zone I marked last week, which could be causing this minor pullback towards the 6-hour demand zone.
Have a great trading week, everyone!
EURUSD - Triangle pattern !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we have bullish triangle pattern, so I look for a long if price breaks the LZ + institutional big figure 1.12000 with a body closed candle.
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EURUSD / INSIDE STRAIGHT CHANNEL - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Trend:
Price Movement: The text discusses a decline in prices by 0.87% , Time Frame: It specifies the time period as the end of September and the beginning of October , Subsequent Increase: After the decline, prices increased by 1.38%.
Technical Analysis:
Current Market Condition:
The asset is under bullish pressure , As long as the price remains above 1.107, the bullish momentum is expected to continue.
Upward Condition:
- Target 1: If the price trades above 1.107, it's expected to rise to 1.120.
- Target 2: If the price stabilizes above 1.120, the next target is 1.124.
Downward Condition:
- If the price falls below 1.107, it suggests a potential decline:
- Target 1: A decline to 1.100.
- Target 2: If it breaks below 1.100, further decline is expected to 11.094.
ANALYSIS FOR EURUSD
We have a Source Demand which is the Source of the current Uptrend and we have a Fresh Monthly Supply on the left side which is the Destination of the current Uptrend.
We divide the Demand Supply Equilibrium into 5 parts viz.
Very High on the Curve. Avoid Buying and look for selling
High on the Curve. Active Selling and no Buying area
Middle on the Curve. Avoid buying or selling as the Reward to Risk will be minimum
Low on the Curve. Avoid Selling and Prefer Buying for amazing reward to Risk
Very Low on the Curve. Avoid Selling and Prefer Buying for Maximum Reward to Risk ratio.
I agree we have a position in the Middle of the Curve though we have a Reward to Risk ratio of 4:1 hence definitely considering it.
EUR/USD Trade Setup – 1 Hour TimeframeMessy Price Action 🤕🤧
On the 1-hour timeframe, EUR/USD has formed a supply zone around the 1.11600 price area, and the price is currently pulling back to that level. Meanwhile, the DXY (US Dollar Index) is tapping into a demand level on the daily timeframe.
I’ve also noticed the price slowing down at a minor resistance level, but I’ll wait for a pullback to the supply zone for a more effective entry. Minor support and resistance levels are generally less reliable.
Note: There are two types of Support and Resistance Levels
1. Major Support and Resistance Levels:
These levels have the strength to stop and reverse a trending market altogether.
They are key turning points in the market.
2. Minor Support and Resistance Levels:
These levels only temporarily delay rising or falling prices within a larger trend.
They provide short-term pauses but are generally less impactful..
#EURUSD Potential Head and Shoulders PatternFX_IDC:EURUSD
The pair is showing signs of potentially forming a head and shoulders pattern. Key support is located at 1.1065. A clear break below this level could trigger a downward movement in the pair, signaling a shift in momentum.
Keep an eye on this critical support level, as it may influence the upcoming price movements.
EUR/USD Sell to Buy idea from 1.10200This week's analysis for EUR/USD (EU) is quite interesting, as there is significant liquidity on both sides of the market. My plan is to wait for a liquidity sweep before considering trade entries. Ideally, I would like to see the price reach my 17-hour demand zone to continue the upward trend.
If the price doesn’t immediately reach that point of interest (POI), I’ll look for a short-term sell opportunity from the 4-hour supply zone, but only if I get the right confirmation. While there are equal highs and Asia session highs above the supply zone, I’ll be cautious and look for additional confluences.
Key confluences for EU buys:
- Significant liquidity to the upside, including equal highs and Asia session highs.
- A 17-hour demand zone that caused a break of structure to the upside.
- This is a pro-trend idea, with buys looking more favourable.
- The DXY (Dollar Index) is bearish, further supporting the bullish outlook for EU.
P.S. If the price breaks structure to the upside, I’ll look for a new demand zone to buy from. There’s a lot of liquidity built up above the current price that the market may target.
EURUSD aggressive move higher is coming**Monthly Chart**
Last month's candle on EURUSD closed bullish after it swiped the liquidity above Dec 2023 high just shy away from 1.12000 (round number). This month's candle suggests a continuation of the move at least to tap 1.12000 and move above the July 2023 high at around 1.14000 level.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle which suggests a continuation of the move higher at least towards 1.12000 and then 1.14000 levels (round numbers).
**Daily Chart**
EURUSD moved higher last week, swiped the liquidity above the previous swing high, and tested the IPA only to move lower. I believe there is still momentum to the upside. However, the structure is currently not supporting it. I would like to see EURUSD move at least to daily IPA and give us a buying structure if it moves higher. The next target is above 1.1250 and then 1.14000 level.
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00
However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target.
In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
🕯Technical Analysis
The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130
BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
EURUSD: Bearish Bias Anticipated for the Week of 25/09/2024The EURUSD pair has displayed significant volatility in recent weeks, with fundamental factors and macroeconomic data driving price action. As we look ahead to the week starting 25/09/2024, the prevailing market conditions suggest a slight bearish bias for EURUSD. Here's a brief analysis of the key drivers influencing this outlook:
1. Diverging Central Bank Policies
The Federal Reserve has maintained a relatively hawkish stance, signaling potential interest rate hikes later in 2024. The ECB (European Central Bank), however, has been cautious, reflecting concerns about slowing growth in the Eurozone, especially after recent data indicating sluggish economic performance in major European economies like Germany and France. This policy divergence is expected to exert downward pressure on EURUSD as the dollar remains supported by higher yields, while the euro faces headwinds due to weaker growth prospects.
2. Slowing Economic Growth in the Eurozone
Recent data from the Eurozone, particularly the German ZEW Economic Sentiment index and PMI reports, have shown a marked slowdown in industrial activity and business confidence. This has raised concerns about a potential recession, which could further weigh on the euro. In contrast, the U.S. economy continues to outperform, with robust retail sales and stable job growth supporting a stronger USD.
3. Inflationary Pressures and Monetary Policy Uncertainty
The ECB has also been grappling with persistent inflation, but the likelihood of further rate hikes appears to be diminishing. With inflation still elevated, but growth faltering, the ECB may choose to adopt a more dovish stance moving forward. Meanwhile, the Fed remains committed to controlling inflation, with Chair Jerome Powell signaling that rates could stay elevated for longer. This contrast in inflation management strategies continues to favor the U.S. dollar over the euro.
4. Geopolitical Risks in Europe
Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly related to the conflict in Ukraine, continue to cast a shadow over the Eurozone economy. Rising energy prices, uncertainty in supply chains, and potential disruptions to trade all contribute to the euro's vulnerability. These factors, while less impactful on daily price movements, play a significant role in the long-term bearish sentiment surrounding the EURUSD pair.
Technical Outlook
From a technical standpoint, EURUSD has been trading near key support levels around 1.0650. If this level is breached, the pair could see further declines toward 1.0550. The 50-day moving average is pointing downward, signaling continued bearish momentum. However, the pair could find temporary support if market sentiment shifts or if the ECB surprises with a more hawkish stance than expected.
Conclusion: Slight Bearish Bias Expected for EURUSD
Based on the current market conditions and fundamental factors, it appears that the EURUSD is likely to experience a slightly bearish bias heading into next week. The combination of diverging monetary policies between the Fed and ECB, slowing Eurozone growth, inflationary pressures, and ongoing geopolitical risks all suggest downward pressure on the pair. Traders should closely monitor key support levels and any updates from central bank policymakers, as these could influence the direction of EURUSD in the near term.
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#EURUSD: 600+ PIPS Buying Chance Emerging! Good LuckFX:EURUSD
Price in weekly timeframe shown us a clear price indication of what it could be heading towards. There are more than enough confirmations which helped us to analysis and predict the future price of EU. Although, there is a big chance that price may drop a bit further down due to FED involvement within the market tomorrow. However, we are confident enough that price will remain bullish for upcoming weeks. Good luck.
KOG's RED BOXES - EURUSD EURUSD:
Key level red box here is around the 1.1045 region with the bias being bullish above. Swing high currently in production, immediate red box needs to break.
Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets.
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As always, trade safe.
KOG