EUR/USD – Golden Crossover & Breakout Confirmation (Multi-T.F)EUR/USD is showing strong bullish signs across both the weekly and daily timeframes, suggesting a potential macro trend reversal in the making. After being trapped below a long-term descending trendline for nearly two years, price has not only broken out but also successfully retested the breakout zone — a key validation for trend continuation.
On the daily chart, a Golden Crossover is now forming, which historically precedes major uptrends in forex pairs. Combined with reclaiming key structural levels and building higher lows, EUR/USD could be positioning for a powerful upside move in Q2 2025.
Let’s dive into the multi-timeframe analysis to understand why this setup could be one of the cleanest trend reversals on the board.
1W Timeframe – Macro Breakout in Progress
EUR/USD has officially broken out of a long-standing descending resistance trendline. This breakout occurred from a structurally important zone that had acted as a ceiling for over 2 years.
📌 Key Observations:
🔹 Price reclaimed and held above the key resistance zone, turning it into strong support.
🔹 Minor resistance zones lie ahead, but structure favors further upside.
🔹 Projection shows potential continuation toward 1.16+ if momentum sustains.
1D Timeframe – Bullish Retest + Golden Cross Forming
Zooming into the daily chart, we see:
✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which held as support (bullish confirmation).
✅ Price is now forming a Golden Crossover – where the 50 EMA is crossing above the 200 EMA. This is typically seen as a strong bullish signal in trending markets.
📌 What’s Bullish:
Clean breakout ✔️
Retest with strength ✔️
Momentum crossover ✔️
EUR/USD is now in a strong bullish structure, backed by a confirmed breakout on the weekly and a golden crossover on the daily. If price holds above 1.09, we may see continued upside toward 1.13–1.16 levels in the coming weeks.
Thank you for reading and supporting @unichartz. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to like, follow, and share! 💙
Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EUR/JPY Eyes Breakout — Can Bulls Push Through Resistance?EUR/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis
EUR/JPY is holding strong above a rising trendline that’s acted as support since 2022. The pair recently bounced from a key support zone and is now testing a major resistance area.
A breakout above this zone could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection may lead to another pullback toward the trendline.
Key Levels:
Support: 153.5–155.0
Resistance: 163.5–165.0
Watch for: Weekly close above resistance for bullish confirmation.
Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline holds.
Expecting more USD selling overall: Weekly Market PreviewIn this video I go over last week's epic volatility and what I am looking for going forward.
Long positions on EUR/USD at 1.0980 will remain in tact and still eyeing a target of 1.2000 out of the falling wedge displayed on both the monthly and quarterly charts.
I do expect some pullback after a massive move to the upside to end the week however, the bull can become relentless and continue it's strength due to the U.S. Dollar weakness across the board.
USD/JPY is another one I am watching and initiated a short position at 143.31 with a target at 133. If the large weekly broadening pattern runs it's course, I expect for that target to get hit.
Tech may get relief after Trump announced over the weekend that there will be exemptions but the market can remain irrational and continue overall weakness especially since the U.S. economy as a whole is not well.
Hope you enjoy the video and we'll see what we get this upcoming week, especially with Federal Reserve Powell set to speak on Wednesday.
As always, Good Luck & Trade Safe.
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least.
If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing.
In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move.
Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the
Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets.
CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair.
Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
EUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three YearsEUR/USD Hits Highest Level in Over Three Years
This morning, the euro surged above the 1.1300 mark against the US dollar for the first time since February 2022.
Throughout this week, the EUR/USD pair has broken through the highs of both 2023 and 2024.
Why Is EUR/USD Rising?
Amid the whirlwind of news surrounding the imposition and suspension of tariffs in US–EU trade, one dominant factor stands out — the sell-off of US bonds.
According to Reuters, long-term US Treasury bonds are being heavily sold this week. The yield on 10-year notes has jumped from 3.9% to around 4.4%, marking the steepest increase in yields since 2001. This may reflect a reaction by foreign holders of US debt to sanctions imposed by the White House, combined with growing uncertainty about the US economy — especially as recession fears gain more media attention.
As a result, the US dollar is showing weakness against a range of currencies, including the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and the euro.
Technical Analysis of EUR/USD
The chart reveals a clear ascending channel (marked in blue), with the price repeatedly interacting with its upper, lower, and median boundaries — highlighted with markers and arrows.
Current bullish sentiment has pushed the pair towards the upper boundary of this channel. It’s possible this resistance line could halt further gains, potentially leading to a correction — perhaps down to the 1.11 level, which previously acted as a strong resistance point.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Happy Friday Traders!
Let's see how the weekly candle continues to reject the weekly order block. The bearish pressure will in turn break structure on the 15'. We simply can not buy into the higher time frame order block. Not to be stuck with a bias but we must trade in line with the higher time frames.
More info to come.
Trade Well.
FRGNT X
EURUSD SHORT UPDATED Q2 W15 D9 Y25EURUSD SHORT UPDATED Q2 W15 D9 Y25
Welcome Traders! Let's be dynamic. Here an image of my updated thoughts regarding EURUSD short position. Can price action snap the lows of Asia, creating bearish price actions, Leaving a point of interest for us to short from?
Lets see how it plays!
Until then !
FRGNT X
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes IncreaseMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes Increase
EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0950 resistance.
Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today
- The Euro started a decent upward move from the 1.0880 zone against the US Dollar.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen.
EUR/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0775 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0950 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis.
The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1000. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1150 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1146 before the pair corrected gains. It dipped below 1.1000 and tested 1.0880.
The pair is again rising from the 1.0880 zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low.
Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1045 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low.
The first major resistance is near the 1.1080 level. An upside break above the 1.1080 level might send the pair toward the 1.1145 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1165 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1200 level.
Immediate support on the downside is near the 1.0955 level. The next major support is the 1.0880 level. A downside break below the 1.0880 support could send the pair toward the 1.0830 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0775.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025
Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here!
Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area.
It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute"
This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then.
Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer.
EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning.
You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards.
FRGNT X
Bulls Take Control – Can EURUSD Reach 1.1150 Again?1. What happened (recap):
Last week, EURUSD reached the 1.1150 zone, a level that hasn't been touched since August-September last year. After that, the pair started a correction. Although the week started with a gap down yesterday, bulls took control and pushed the pair higher.
2. Key Question:
Has EURUSD completed its correction, or is another drop coming?
3. Why I expect further upside:
• 🔑 A retest of the formed support at 1.09 occurred during yesterday’s New York session, followed by a fresh rebound.
• 📊 The drop from 1.1150 appears corrective in nature, suggesting the possibility of a new leg up.
• 🎯 As long as 1.09 holds, my strategy is to buy dips with the primary target being a retest of the 1.1150 resistance zone.
4. Trading Plan:
📌 I’m looking for buying opportunities on dips, aiming to retest the 1.1150 resistance area. This scenario is invalidated only by a daily close below 1.09.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 19th I shared this "EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan"
I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan here!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT POTENTIAL Q2 W15 Y25 MON 7TH APRIL 2025
An almost picture perfect setup. Let's take a look into why and what we forecast.
Take a look at the weekly chart. We have had a previous bearish close from the weekly order block. That's a tick in our book. The even better news is that weekly wick of rejection has also mitigated the daily order block up at the highs!
Another serious level of confluence that will in turn support out short forecast. Now what can we expect to happen next for price action. We shall not guess, we will wait to see how the market plays but I'll inform you of what FRGNT X would love to see.
-Price action fill the previous weekly closed wick area.
- In doing so, can we reach the 15' Order block that was left behind.
- Can we grab a lower time from break of structure from that point of interest.
- Once the above occurs. We short the market doing to clear points of interest.
The plan for EURUSD is very very simple this Monday morning. Let's see how it plays out.
FRGNT X
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Bias After NFPThe U.S. dollar has managed to regain some ground in the short term after several sessions of gains in EUR/USD. Currently, the pair is showing a downward move of just over 1%, following the NFP report, which showed 228,000 new jobs versus the 137,000 expected. This has slightly increased demand for the U.S. dollar in recent hours, as the market anticipates the possibility of higher inflation and, consequently, more restrictive Fed policy in upcoming decisions.
Uptrend
Since February 28, a strong upward trend has been in place, showing a clear buying bias in EUR/USD. So far, selling corrections have not been strong enough to break key trendline levels, making this the dominant formation to watch in the short term.
RSI
In the case of the RSI, oscillations have started to approach the overbought zone near the 70 level. Additionally, it is important to note that while EUR/USD has posted higher highs, the RSI has shown lower highs, reflecting a bearish divergence and signaling a potential imbalance driven by strong short-term buying pressure. This could eventually lead to downward corrections in the sessions ahead.
Key Levels:
1.1000 – Major resistance: This level remains the most relevant round-number resistance on the chart. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce bullish momentum in the short term.
1.07911 – Near-term barrier: This level is located near the 200-period moving average and could serve as a tentative zone for future selling corrections.
1.06132 – Distant support: Positioned around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, this level marks a key breakpoint that, if reached, could invalidate the current bullish structure.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week
This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity.
A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first.
Confluences for EU Buys:
EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside.
The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias.
A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside.
Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken.
Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports.
◉ Fundamental Rationale
● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth.
● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024.
● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors.
◉ Technical Observation
● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal.
● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀