Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD SCALPING TRADE 17.09.24The improving risk mood and heightened odds of a large Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut at this week's meeting caused the USD to weaken against its major rivals at the beginning of the week. Meanwhile, hawkish comments from European Central Bank (ECB) officials further supported the Euro.
Bullish Outlook for EUR/USD Next WeekNext week presents a strong bullish opportunity for EUR/USD, especially for long-term longs. While we may experience a short-term pullback, I expect the Euro to spike down early in the week before rallying on Wednesday, driven by the anticipated Fed rate cuts on the Dollar. My entry point will be around the 1.10236 demand zone, where I will look to open long positions. With a bearish outlook on the U.S. Dollar. The Euro is poised for a potential bull market.
(Take profit levels can be set higher based on your own analysis. My targets are for reference only—always trust your own strategy and avoid relying on others.)
EURUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
EURUSD is currently trading above the turning level of 1.099 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios:
The First Scenario , Since the price is trading above the turning level 1.099, it suggests an initial bullish sentiment , If the price rises and reaches the resistance level at 1.107, it indicates that the upward momentum is strong. A price movement above this level suggests further bullish potential , If the price stabilizes above 1.107 and continues rising, reaching 1.110 would confirm a sustained uptrend, as the market would have shown resilience and strength above previous resistance.
The Second Scenario , If the price falls below 1.099 and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this indicates a bearish shift as the price has broken through a support level , A decline to the support level at 1.094 would be a further bearish signal, For a confirmed downtrend, the price needs to break through the established channel and stabilize below it. This would indicate that the bearish trend is likely to continue, as the price has not only broken support but also failed to recover.
UPWARD LEVEL : 1.107 , 1.110 .
DOWNWARD LEVEL : 1.094 .
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 The EURUSD has broken key support levels across multiple timeframes, suggesting a continuation of the current bearish trend and potential further downside pressure.
Technical Overview
The pair is forming a bearish structure with lower highs and lows on the daily and 4-hour charts, signaling more bearish momentum that could drive the price toward previous lows.
Trading Strategy
I'm waiting for a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone, which often attracts price in trending markets. If the PPI data today strengthens the USD, this could offer a good entry point for a short trade, in line with the bearish outlook.
Risk Management
While the setup looks promising, it's important to wait for confirmation before entering. Look for bearish candlestick patterns or a rejection at key resistance levels within the Fibonacci zone to minimize risk.
Market Structure
Sellers are currently in control, and any rallies are met with selling pressure, pointing to a possible further downside if support levels continue to break.
Always do your own research and manage risk carefully. Never trade more than you can afford to lose. 📉✅
EUR/USD Faces Reversal After NFP: A Sell-on-Rallies StrategyAfter dropping near the 1.1 support level, EUR/USD began recovering its losses and successfully reclaimed the 1.11 resistance level. However, after testing the 1.1150 resistance (which previously acted as support during the top formation), the release of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data triggered a strong reversal, pushing the pair back below the 1.11 support level.
As of now, the price stands at 1.1080, and there is a high likelihood of further downside movement. In my view, selling on rallies presents the best strategy for this pair.
The first target is the support at 1.1, but as said, the pair could even drop to 1.0920 zone
EURUSDIk neem nog een keer een long entree op EU.
De vorige was op BE gesloten maar ik denk dat we nog een laatste push omhoog krijgen voordat we verder naar beneden gaan.
Al ligt dat natuurlijk ook aan de cijfers die aankomende woensdag uitkomen zoals de rente verlaging.
EU blijft ook sterk terug komen op de entree prijs wat een teken is van kracht.
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I'm taking another long entry on EU.
The previous one was closed on BE but I think we'll get one last push up before we go further down.
Although that also depends on the figures that will be released next Wednesday, such as the interest rate cut.
EU also keeps coming back strongly on the entry price, which is a sign of strength.
EURUSD week 37 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD gave up intraday gains and slipped below 1.1100 after hitting a fresh weekly high of 1.1150 during Friday's North American session. The broad currency pair's gains were offset by a solid recovery in the US Dollar (USD). The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, rose to near 101.40 after reversing intraday losses.
Signs of slowing labour demand have fuelled market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could start cutting interest rates aggressively.
The ECB is widely expected to cut interest rates again at its September meeting. The central bank started the policy easing process in June but left its key lending rate unchanged in July. In the final quarter of the year, traders remained divided on whether the ECB would cut at its November or December meeting, or both.
📊Technical Analysis
The bounce and high of 1.115 has created a new bearish channel for EURUSD. On the 4-hour time frame, the two EMAs have come together, indicating that the bullish momentum is not as strong as last week and that a trend reversal is in order. The narrow price range that the pair formed last week at 1.113 and 1.101 is widening as a break from the narrow range could see the pair reach last month's high around 1.119 and on the upside, the support at 1.095 will keep the pair in the long-term bullish channel.
Support: 1.101-1.095
Resistance: 1.115-1.119
🕯Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.119-1.121 Stoploss 1.123
BUY EURUSD zone 1.095-1.093 Stoploss 1.091
EUR/USD Longs to short idea from 1.10500 My analysis for EU is similar to GU. Currently, the price is very close to a 3-hour demand zone where I will be looking for buying opportunities. Once the price enters this zone, I will wait for distribution before targeting the nearest supply zone for a potential sell.
When the price reaches that supply zone, I will consider entering sells, as there's a similar setup in GU from last week's NFP. However, my ultimate target is the extreme supply zone at the 10-hour level.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- The price has created a clean demand zone that caused a change of character (CHOCH).
- In the short-term trend, there's substantial liquidity to the upside for price to take.
- This setup aligns with the DXY (Dollar Index).
- Price has filled in an imbalance as well.
Note: I am more inclined to take these buys since the demand has caused a CHOCH on the higher time frame. Have a great trading week, and don't forget about the upcoming CPI data!
EurUsd- Buy dips for 1.12 retestIn my last EUR/USD commentary, I mentioned that the pair could reach 1.11.
That target was not only met but exceeded, with a top at 1.12.
The pair is currently in a normal corrective phase, and once this correction ends, EUR/USD could resume its upward movement.
My strategy is to buy on dips near the 1.10 level, with the potential for a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio depending on the stop-loss placement.
Shorter-term traders could also consider the 1.11 level as a point to take profits.
EURUSD - Monthly Timeframe (The Bigger Picture) It’s crucial to step back and look at the bigger picture, especially when analyzing the EURUSD.
EURUSD, the most traded currency pair worldwide, has seen relatively small price movements in 2023 and 2024 compared to previous years. In the attached chart, I’ve highlighted the full price range for these two years—and the data speaks for itself. The market has been trading in a very tight range, showcasing how slow things have been overall.
With 12 years of trading experience, I’ve noticed this significant slowdown has affected swing trading strategies. While lower timeframes have seen some nice movements, the broader market has been quiet, primarily moving around major news events. As a result, veteran traders, including myself, who focus on risk management and avoid trading during big news events, have felt the impact.
That said, I believe this could change soon, especially as we approach the US presidential election. Stay tuned!
#ForexTrading #EURUSD #MarketAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingInsights #ForexStrategy #FinancialMarkets #RiskManagement #SwingTrading #Eltaajir #PuraVita
#EURUSD: +300 pips buying opportunity one not miss! FX:EURUSD
We have an excellent opportunity to buy a swing entry on eurusd, our previous few setups has hit the target, now since the price is in correction zone, we think it is right time to identify the area where we think price can reverse from. This is the perfect and most ideal zone for buying, if price does not respect our zone then it will confirmed that trend has changed and we will no longer buy EURUSD. Good luck.
EURUSD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
in the last chart fit full target .
The overall trend remains downward as long as trading stays below the turning level of 1.108.
Currently, prices are below this level, suggesting a potential decline towards the first support level at 1.103. If a 4-hour candle closes below this support, further declines are expected, targeting the second support level at 1.099 .
For prices to increase, the turning level must be broken and stabilized above, which could lead to a rise towards the first resistance level at 1.113, and potentially further to 1.119 .
KEY LEVELS :
Turning Level : 1.108
Resistance Levels : 1.113 , 1.119
Support Levels : 1.103 , 1.099
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EUR/USD Longs from daily level of demand 1.10000My analysis for this week aligns well with both DXY and GBP/USD, as the dollar is approaching a major supply level. When the price reaches that supply zone, I expect EUR/USD (EU) to mitigate its daily supply, potentially forming a Wyckoff accumulation pattern. Once this pattern is completed, I plan to look for buying opportunities, potentially holding positions at an intraday level.
If the price retraces upward before mitigating the demand, I will consider selling from the supply zones I've marked, which are near the current price. Specifically, I will watch the 7-hour and 10-hour supply zones for potential short-term sell setups.
Confluences for EU buy opportunities include:
- The higher time frame trend is bullish, with a recent break of structure to the upside.
- A daily demand zone has been established, which also caused a break of structure to the upside.
- There is significant liquidity to the upside, including untouched Asian session highs.
- This trade setup aligns with the higher time frame trend, making it a pro-trend trade idea.
P.S. As it is NFP week, be cautious of increased volatility due to economic news later in the week. Stay vigilant and TRADE SAFELY!
EUR/USD Ahead of PCE Price Index NumbersEurope’s single currency is poised to end the week on the back foot versus its US counterpart and snap a two-week bullish phase. As of writing, the currency pair is down by -0.9%.
50-Month SMA Resistance
Starting from the monthly chart, the 50-month simple moving average (SMA) at US$1.1109 currently offers dynamic resistance, a line situated just south of resistance at US$1.1233. Together, this area could prove difficult to overcome. Should bulls eventually manoeuvre beyond the said area, nevertheless, and explore territory beyond the US$1.1276 peak (July 2023), this would be noteworthy and signal the beginnings of a longer-term uptrend for the pair.
Scope to Continue Southbound
Leaving resistance at US$1.1214 unchallenged, price action on the daily timeframe dethroned support at US$1.1127 (now marked resistance) and has opened the floor for further underperformance to support coming in at US$1.1019. This is joined by a channel resistance-turned-support line taken from the high of US$1.0916, as well as 38.2% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ratios at US$1.1040 and US$1.1005, respectively.
Overall, the trend is higher on the daily timeframe and the recent correction may be viewed as a dip-buying opportunity, particularly at support between US$1.1005 and US$1.1040.
H1 Resistance Above US$1.11
Ahead of the PCE Price Index release, we can see price action flirting with space south of the US$1.11 handle. Big figures are widely watched and traded numbers. Therefore, given that the trend is to the downside in the short term and the room seen to continue lower on the daily timeframe, a test of US$1.11 as resistance would be logical. Still, given resistance situated above US$1.11 between US$1.1113 and US$1.1111 (1.272% Fibonacci projection ratio), a whipsaw north of US$1.11 could also be seen (red arrows).
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀 👉 The EURUSD currency pair is currently displaying signs of price extension as it approaches a key support level. This technical setup suggests the possibility of a corrective move. Our strategy is focused on identifying trading opportunities, particularly if upcoming data releases affecting the EUR and USD are favorable later today.
This analysis should be viewed in the broader macroeconomic context. The recent interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan has introduced significant volatility into global financial markets. Consequently, traders should be prepared for sustained elevated volatility, which could significantly influence price movements and risk management strategies.
The convergence of these technical and fundamental factors presents a compelling trading scenario. However, it's essential to emphasise the importance of stringent risk management. Traders are strongly advised to conduct thorough independent research and carefully evaluate their risk tolerance before making any trading decisions.
Please note: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice or a specific recommendation to execute any trade. 📊✅
EU pullback Expected a pullback from 1.1100/20 area support filling imbalances to near 61,8% (1.1153) or 75% (1.1170) .. we have 2 liquidity areas above (red boxes). So 1.1150/75 must be the area where they will reverse ( If 1.01175 Daily pivot will hold) to 1.1080 to test the base of substructure B