EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 (Sell to Buy) My EU bias currently is to catch a temporary move down. As price approaches a high-quality 11-hour supply zone, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution to confirm a sell opportunity.
Whether or not price mitigates the supply zone, I'm expecting it to retrace to a newly formed demand zone, ultimately aiming to make a new high. Therefore, once price reaches the 10-hour demand zone, I will be looking for buy opportunities.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows :
- Price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside.
- The current trend is bullish, matching the dropping DXY.
- There is significant liquidity to the upside, with strong bullish candles on the higher time frame.
- Demand zones have been created near the current price, indicating potential for another rally.
P.S. Once price returns to the 10-hour demand zone, I will be on the lookout for a Change of Character (CHOCH) on the lower time frame to confirm my buy opportunities. For now, I'll wait to see how Monday's market opens.
Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD - Trade analysis !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejects from liquidity zone.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate on EUR, news with high impact on currency.
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EURUSD ( PUSHING TO BULLISH ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
after the price breaking a supply zone , the price has taken an upward direction
Tendency the price trade above turning level at 1.084 , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a black line between resistance and support level around 1.084 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line above turning level around 1.091 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for OANDA:EURUSD
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a black line below turning level around 1.079, indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for OANDA:EURUSD
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price after CPI breaking a supply zone , know the price has taken a bullish direction , have three conditions for OANDA:EURUSD movement
FIRST CONDITION : price directly rising to inside a supply zone to touch a resistance level at 1.091 , then to reach a 1.094
SECOND CONDITION : the price trying to reach a turning level at 1.084 , after rising a resistance level
THIRD CONDITION : if the price breaking turning level by open 4h candle below a this level reach a support level at 1.079 , then trade below this level reach a 1.072
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.091 , 1.094
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.079 , 1.072
EURUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TREDN ANALYSIS : resistance trendline toward a downward a direction , and the price stabilizing below this , indicates the price trying to reach a support level .
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 1.084 , indicates if the price stabilizing below this level reach support level , if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 1.089, indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 1.075, indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price stable below turning level reach this level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to rising a turning level around 1.084 , after dropping to the support level around 1.075 , then stable below this level reach 1.069 , if the price breaking turning level reach a resistance level by 1.089 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 1.095
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.089 , 1.095
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.075 , 1.069
EURUSD pre-NFP projectionEURUSD is on a long term buy profile. We saw price react from the 4H OB and confirmed that with SMT w GBPUSD. Price is reacting bearish from the current level and I strongly believe its headed for the 4H Breaker and FVG before continuing its bullish momentum. Short term idea is to look for sells then buy from the breaker.
EURUSD ( TREND UNDER RESISTANCE TRENDLINE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates OANDA:EURUSD is under bearish pressure .
TREDN ANALYSIS : resistance trendline toward a downward a direction , and the price stabilizing below this , indicates the price trying to reach a support level .
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 1.084 , indicates if the price stabilizing below this level reach support level , if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 1.094 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 1.071, indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price stable below turning level reach this level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to rising a turning level around 1.084 , after dropping to the support level around 1.075 , then stable below this level reach 1.071 .
if the price breaking turning level reach a resistance level by 1.091 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 1.094
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.091 , 1.094
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.075 , 1.071
EURUSD looks clean!!Daily Outlook
- According to the next day Model, we are anticipating the next daily candle (Monday) to be bullish
- We are close to the DOL, so I believe we will sweep the high before going for the Daily FVG
4H Outlook
- We created CISD, therefore I am anticipating a retest on the OB then from there we are going for the DOL
- IRL ♻️ERL
1H Outlook
- We have a 1H FVG that could potential push price to ERL, however I would love to see a deeper LTF retracement into the OB then a push to the upside.
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.08600 back down.This week's forecast for EU is looking very promising for sells. I hope for price to break the current supply zone, although we might see a reaction from it before price reaches the daily supply zone above. This upper zone is a more valid level for taking sells.
If Monday opens with a sweep of the Asia high and a clear CHOCH, I might consider imminent sells from the current zone, but with lower risk as the POI is not ideal. From there, I expect price to drop into a demand zone, where I can look for new buying opportunities.
Confluences for EU Sells:
Price is in a supply zone and showing weakness in bullish pressure.
There is a daily supply zone above that holds good validity.
DXY is also in a demand zone, aligning with the negative correlation.
There is lots of liquidity and imbalance below, drawing price downward.
P.S. If price respects a nearby demand and breaks both supply zones, it will confirm a bullish bias, and I will start looking for buys.
LET'S THINK TOGETHER ABOUT EURUSDIn the past week we have witnessed a sharp increase in the eurusd. The climb started from the 1.06700 zone where the pair created support with a triple touch in recent weeks.
Before this restart I would have bet on a visit to the 1.0600 area where we find a lot of liquidity, this did not happen... but this does not mean that the price cannot return there.
At this point let's analyze the two possibilities together.
In favor of the long we have a cot report from last week which shows institutional positions LONG on the pair, all the moving averages (20/50/100/200) were exceeded without a response in the TF daily and above all a weak dollar, which has refused the visit at the highest levels of recent months.
Instead, in favor of the short we have the zone we are entering which is full of resistances, Fibo and POC levels. At the same time the RSI oscillators in the average TFs show overbought. The Cot reports have not been updated and institutional investors are most likely starting to consider unloading long positions after the rise. Retail sentiment 87% long vs 13% short.
At this point comes my idea: We will most certainly see a decline in the short/medium term to fill the areas left and then we will have to observe how the price will react to understand whether to go long and where.
I am currently positioned short and watching whether the price will need higher resistances to open new higher positions.
Always think with your head, do not copy signals without having a valid idea about the operation you are about to open.
EURUSD: in a positive stateEURUSD: The EUR is still in a positive rising state and it is expected that in today's session, the prospect of an increase is still very high with the possibility of breaking through the 1.0820 threshold and reaching a higher target area above the 1.0900 area in the context of The USD is increasingly weakening. You can consider maintaining the buying position with EURUSD today.
EUR/USD Outlook ICT Concepts💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on EUR/USD , dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
📊 Key Levels Analysis
Let's first discuss the key levels highlighted in the chart and then consider how to utilize them effectively. As you can see, the previous month's high ( PWH ) is positioned prominently above the chart, while both the previous week's low ( PWL ) and the previous month's low ( PML ) are clustered together at a significant level.
🚀 Price Movement Overview
In the provided chart, the price initially surged through the previous week's high ( PWH ) and continued to rise, reaching the Fair Value Gap ( FVG ). Subsequently, it retraced to the gap created below the chart.
🔍 Current Price Behavior
The gap has been respected well, and now the price is moving towards the Buy Side Liquidity ( BSL ) marked on the chart. We can anticipate the price to breach this level to gather the liquidity resting above it.
📈 Bias and Potential Entries
The current bias is bullish until we reach the buy side liquidity. At that point, we should look for potential short opportunities. However, it's crucial to note that we have swept a low resistance liquidity at 1.07543 , which could provide an entry point on lower time frames.
⏳ Trading Strategy Advice
Overall, it's important not to rush into any positions. Wait for the key levels to be taken out and then look for potential entry points. Additionally, be aware of high-impact news events scheduled for the coming days, which could influence market movements.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring EUR/USD today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
GAP CLOSED, WHAT'S NEXT?The short on EURUSD got perfectly closed as I was expecting and we made enough profit (honestly I was expecting the price to go up more and add more shorts, but it's ok). Now the chart looks bullish for the short term, but we will probably see a slow price action this days. I have a short term target for a buy at 1.085, but the main view is still bearish. So, the plan is to hold the long for a scalp and wait for a short entry (if the structure doesn't change)
EASIEST TRADE OF THE WEEK! EURUSDMarket gap are always gifts, but usually we can see them on indices. Market gap on forex are a double gift, because they rarely happen. In this case, we can see a good market gap on EURUSD, and gap got always closed. We can see it also happened some days ago and this will happen again. Longs will get trapped, and market will probably range for a while before going to close the gap. Accumulate shorts!
The chart is a battleground, revealing who got crushed!In the early days of exchange trading, there was no technical possibility to visualize market quote movements, and traders analyzed ticker tapes. The real hype and massive interest in exchange speculation owe it to the technical possibility of displaying exchange information in the form of charts with ticks, bars, candles, and other more exotic ways of displaying price movements (Renko, Kagi). This led to a rapid growth of various schools of technical and graphical analysis. Just Google it, and you'll be overwhelmed by the sheer amount of info out there. It's like, every chart can be interpreted in a million ways, and three analysts will give you four different opinions on the same chart. It's crazy!
But after 15+ years of trading, I've come to realize that the essence of graphical analysis is all about finding the "suffering" market participants. Classic patterns make it easy to spot areas of market activity and where traders are piling in. I'll give you some examples, backed by data from open sources, that'll show you just how predictable retail traders can be.
Now, I know some experienced traders might say, "Patterns don't work, and this knowledge isn't enough." But I call BS - patterns do work, and the real question is who's extracting the most value from them? Of course, interpreting market patterns is just one piece of the puzzle.
Here's an analogy: think of experienced hunters preparing for a hunt. They don't just wander around looking for prey; they identify the habitats, study the location, and track the animal's migration paths. They have a plan, limited time, and the right gear to get the job done.
It's the same with pro traders with really big money. They plan and execute their strategy, using the behavior of less-informed participants in certain "hotspots" that attract retail traders like magnets. It's simple: a a newbie sees a market situation that looks just like one from a technical analysis book, and they're like, "Ah, I've got this!"
Alright, let's take a look at the current situation with the Euro. I've got a screenshot with the average long and short positions of retail traders marked on the chart. It's a 1-hour time frame, which is probably the most popular one, right? Think about it, why is this time frame so popular? The data is from an open source, as of Friday evening. Take a minute to study this chart. What catches your eye?
Let's zoom in and add some lines and arrows. Voilà! What do we see? The average long and short positions of participants (from the open source) almost perfectly match the breakouts of local highs and lows. This is what's called "trading the breakout" in the books.
We can make an intermediate conclusion: the "bulls" were encouraged to open positions and got stuck in a losing zone, while the "bears" are celebrating their victory, as the market is favoring them and they're in a small profit. In other words, the market sentiment is bearish.
Woohoo, case closed, let's go to short the Euro now!
And yes, and no! The Euro quotes have been below the average short position of traders since June 14th, for two whole weeks, inviting everyone to start shorting. Even a blind "bull" can see it's time to switch sides). Here are some more numbers from the open source: short positions on the Euro decreased by 11.55% last week , while bearish positions grew by 8.55% . These are broker-aggregated data, no insider info here. You can find them yourself if you put in some time and effort. These numbers, as you understand, confirm our hypothesis that this "shorting invitation" didn't go unnoticed.
Now, in the context of this article, think about it: "Will the 'Hunters' take advantage of this situation?" Or will the market take us all for a profitable ride? Oh boy...
Let's look at the current situation with the Yen. It's a 1-hour chart with opened buys and sell levels marked.
What can we conclude: a massive bearish candle clearly encouraged a lot of short positions to open, while the "bulls" opened at the upper range boundary during its test, and the market is favoring them, while the bears are suffering. But what's even more important, they're not just suffering, but also reversing the market. According to open data, the number of open short positions grew by 14.09% last week . Good luck to them in this tough business! However we should remember that short positions are closed at a stop-loss by "market buy" orders, which gives an impulse for further growth.
What do I want to convey with this article, what do I want to share with you, mates?
Evaluate market sentiment through the prism of "suffering" participants - that's, in my opinion, the best indicator!
Usefully utilize information from open sources about retail positioning, there's a lot of value in it.
Try to look at the chart with the eyes of a "hunter", search for traps set. Make such analysis a necessary part of your strategy to gain an edge, without which trading on markets is like playing "roulette".
It's a journey, folks. Some get it earlier, some later, but eventually, most traders come to realize they need to "dig deeper", learn more about market mechanics, and improve their strategies. It's a painful process, but it's worth it.
So, don't give up! Get back on your feet, and try again. As 50 Cent said: Get rich or die trying!
A EUR/USD breakout is imminent (Weekly)I've been closely observing the EUR/USD price action on both the daily and weekly charts, and it looks like a major move is imminent.
Price is getting squeezed within that diamond pattern, and the best strategy right now is to stay flat and keep observing.
Once I can identify the direction, I'll be on the lookout for divergence at key support and resistance areas to start initiating positions in the direction of the price trend.
EURUSD: turned down to the support zoneEURUSD: EUR in yesterday's session also fell back to the support zone, showing that selling pressure is increasing with the EU. Today's session, Ace noted that it is very likely that the EU will penetrate this support zone. Therefore, you can sell down on EURUSD in today's session. Recommended to sell around 1.0700
EURUSD finally finds support on the trendlinesIdea No : 07
our last 6 ideas were spot on (check them on our profile), let's talk about 7th
EURUSD is in the declines for a few days now and it is staring to show some support near our trendlines on H4
we also moving towards oversold areas and weekly ATR is also very close
therefore, expect it to follow our green arrow in the near term