EUR/USD Continued strength or FOMC Fallout?In this analysis I go over the EUR/USD and it's potential for further gains or a weakening bull and drop.
I expect a volatile week considering it's FOMC on Wednesday and ECB speaking on Friday.
Additionally, I share my outlook on ETF's I'm involved in. Currently in QQQE Put Option and closed my TQQQ Put for 30% gains last week.
As always, Good Luck and Trade Safe.
Eurusdoutlook
EURUSD analysis todayHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.03500(swing Trade) Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.07000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/USD "The Dollar Crusher" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔴Fundamental Analysis
- The Eurozone's economic growth is expected to slow down, while the US economy is expected to grow at a moderate pace.
- The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep interest rates steady, while the Federal Reserve is expected to maintain its accommodative monetary policy.
🟤Macro Analysis
- The Eurozone's inflation rate is expected to remain low, while the US inflation rate is expected to remain above the Federal Reserve's target.
- The Eurozone's trade balance is expected to remain in surplus, while the US trade balance is expected to remain in deficit.
🟠Sentimental Analysis
- Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% of investors being bullish.
- Hedge funds have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 12%.
🟣COT Analysis
- The Commitments of Traders (COT) report shows that commercial traders have increased their long positions in the EUR/USD pair, with a net long exposure of 10%.
- Non-commercial traders have also increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 15%.
🟡Trader Sentiment
- Retail traders have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 52% of traders being bullish.
- Commercial banks have increased their EUR/USD holdings, with a growth rate of 5%.
🔵Bullish and Bearish Data:
- Bullish Sentiment: Institutional investors have a bullish sentiment towards the EUR/USD pair, with 55% being bullish. Hedge funds have increased their long positions, with a net long exposure of 12%
- Bearish Sentiment: Asset managers are trimming their long exposure, and gross shorts are trending higher for large specs and asset managers since Q4
🟢Based on this analysis, the EUR/USD pair is expected to move in a bullish trend, with a 55% chance of an uptrend and a 35% chance of a downtrend. However, please note that market predictions can be unpredictable and influenced by various factors
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EUR/USD: The Euro Stays in Overbought TerritoryThe pair has been rising for the last five sessions, gaining approximately 1.4% , as expansionary policies in European countries have restored confidence in the euro. In contrast, the U.S. dollar continues to struggle with maintaining consistent demand due to the ongoing tariff battle led by the White House.
Accelerated Movement:
Since March 3rd, EUR/USD has experienced growth of over 5%, driven by strong short-term bullish momentum. Currently, the price is slowly approaching a key resistance zone, but recent price oscillations suggest that bullish momentum is fading, which could lead to short-term bearish corrections.
RSI Indicator:
The RSI line has started oscillating above the 70 level, which is the official overbought zone of the indicator. This suggests that the balance between buying and selling pressure has been lost, with bullish momentum fully dominating the market. The increasing speed of demand for EUR/USD may indicate a potential emergence of bearish corrections in the short term.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD histogram remains at its highest levels of the year, suggesting that buying pressure may be entering a phase of constant exhaustion. In the long run, this could also open the possibility of selling corrections in the upcoming sessions.
Key Levels:
1.1000 – Tentative Resistance: A potential psychological barrier that the price may face in its prolonged bullish streak. Oscillations above this level could confirm sustained buying pressure and signal the beginning of stronger upward movements in the chart.
1.07944 – Near-term Support: A neutral zone where the price has shown stability in the short term. This level may be important for potential selling corrections in the next trading sessions.
1.06173 – Distant Support: A key level corresponding to the highs reached in December 2024. Bearish oscillations reaching this level could jeopardize the current strong bullish trend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/USD – Bullish, But Time to Breathe!🚀 EUR/USD – Bullish, But Time to Breathe! 🚀
“Momentum is strong, but even the best trends need to take a breath before the next leg up.”
🔥 Key Insights:
✅ Bullish Structure Intact – No reason to fight the trend.
✅ Overextended Move – Markets don’t go up in a straight line; pullbacks create better entries.
✅ Healthy Retracement = Stronger Continuation – Chasing here is risky, waiting for a dip is smart.
💡 The Plan:
Wait for a Pullback Before Longs – Let price reset, don’t rush in.
Watch Volume Profile & CDV for Buyer Confirmation – Smart money leaves clues.
Ideal Entry = Lower Support Levels Holding – We want a strong base for the next move up.
“Patience is key. Let the market give you the perfect entry—not every green candle is a buy!” 🚀💶
I keep my charts clean and simple because I believe clarity leads to better decisions.
My approach is built on years of experience and a solid track record. I don’t claim to know it all, but I’m confident in my ability to spot high-probability setups.
If you would like to learn how to use the heatmap, cumulative volume delta and volume footprint techniques that I use below to determine very accurate demand regions, you can send me a private message. I help anyone who wants it completely free of charge.
I have a long list of my proven technique below:
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🌍 ICPUSDT.P: Massive Upside Potential | Check the Trade Update For Seeing Results
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📊 BTC.D: Retest of Key Area Highly Likely
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EUR/USD at Key Resistance: Is a Major Retrace Coming? 💹📉
In this video, we dive deep into the EUR/USD currency pair and analyze the current market conditions. 📊 At the moment, the pair is overextended and trading into a critical weekly resistance level. 🚨 There's a high probability that the buy orders driving the price higher will interact with the buy stops resting at this zone, potentially triggering a significant retracement. 🔄 Join me as we break down the trend, price action, and market structure, and explore a potential trade idea based on these insights. 🧠💡 Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting out, this analysis will give you valuable perspectives on how to approach key levels in the market. ⚠️ This is not financial advice—always trade responsibly! ⚠️
Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more market insights! 👍📈✨
Are EUR/USD Bulls burnt out yet?...After last week’s monstrous bull move on the EUR/USD, I had short positions at 1.0740 and 1.0795 which I ended up closing because I wanted to wait and see how much momentum this thing had.
I got back in short at an average price of 1.0827 with a modest target at 1.0600. Although it looks like bullish momentum is stalling, I remain cautious.
Resistance at the upper trend-line and Fibonacci (Tesla Number 63.69%) looks to be setting a ceiling so hopefully we begin retracing.
Trading convincingly above 1.0900 would invalidate this EUR/USD trade.
Also, the stock market is currently getting hammered so my put options on TQQQ are looking good thus far as well.
For more in depth analysis on the current positions, refer to my previous video posted.
We’ll see how this one progresses.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
Fatigue in EUR/USD: Time to Sell the Rallies?Last week, EUR/USD saw an explosive rise, breaking above my 1.06 target and even surpassing the next resistance at 1.08.
However, signs of fatigue are emerging, and there appears to be significant selling liquidity around the 1.09 level.
With the DXY currently in a support zone and potentially set for an upward reversal, I expect EUR/USD to decline and correct its 500-pip rally.
A break back below 1.08 would confirm this scenario, potentially leading to a test of the 1.06 zone.
Selling rallies near 1.09 could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
FX Pre Market Analysis - Is the EUR/USD explosion slowing down?In this week's pre market analysis video, I go over the completed EUR/USD trade and what I'm looking for moving forward. The EUR/USD had an explosive bullish move last week however, there could be indications of momentum slow down.
Currently holding short at 1.0815 and would like to see us stay below 1.0900 - 1.9500 max for a pullback towards 1.06000.
The long term perspective could indicate a pullback out of a large triangle formation, followed by equal or new lows below 1.0000.
Good Luck and Trade Safe.
EURUSD Will be in bearish directionHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EUR/USD Ready to DROP? | Monthly FVG Sell Zone in Focus! 💰 Smart Money Preparing for a Bearish Move on EUR/USD!
The EUR/USD is reacting from a key Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is currently in a Monthly Corrective Phase (CRT). This signals that institutions might be positioning for a larger bearish move.
EURUSD Weekly FOREX Forecast: March 10 - 14thIn this video, we will analyze EURUSD and EUR Futures. We'll determine the bias for the upcoming week, and look for the best potential setups.
While the USD is bearish, the EUR is finding strength to the upside. This is noted in the very strong Friday candle. Meh NFP numbers, tariffs and trade wars are pulling the USD down, allowing the EUR and the other majors to move higher.
Look for a retracement to the +FVG in the beginning of the week. This could potentially set up the higher probability buy setup that potentially forms there.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
EUR/USD: Breakdown Amidst Euro Surge on German Fiscal StimulusThe EUR/USD currency pair has recently experienced significant movements influenced by both technical patterns and fundamental developments.
Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD pair has been trading within a well-defined ascending channel, characterized by higher highs and higher lows. However, recent price action indicates a breach below the channel’s lower boundary, suggesting potential bearish momentum. This breakdown could signal a trend reversal or a corrective phase, with the next support level identified around 1.06339. Traders should monitor this level closely, as a sustained move below it may confirm further downside potential.
Fundamental Analysis:
The euro has surged, marking its most substantial weekly gain against the dollar since 2009. This appreciation is largely attributed to Germany’s announcement of a historic fiscal stimulus package aimed at bolstering the Eurozone’s economic recovery. In contrast, the U.S. dollar has weakened due to escalating trade tensions and concerns over the economic implications of aggressive trade policies under President Trump. Investors are increasingly favoring the euro, reflecting optimism about the Eurozone’s growth prospects compared to the uncertain U.S. economic outlook.
EUR/USD Daily OutlookEUR/USD is losing upside momentum after hitting 1.0853 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. Downside of retreat should be contained above 55 4H EMA (now at 1.0593) to bring another rally. Above 1.0853 will resume the rise from 1.0176 to 161.8% projection of 1.0176 to 1.0531 from 1.0358 at 1.0932 next.
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside as current rally from 1.0176 is still in progress. Next target is 161.8% projection of 1.0176 to 1.0531 from 1.0358 at 1.0932 On the downside, below 1.0721 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rise.
EURUSD - FOMC Prep - These 2 scenarios to anticipateMarket is overall uptrend after previous low showed the reversal point to head higher.
Bias is for the Buy
However, FOMC can produce volatility so we can have spikes in both direction.
There's a Sell scenario off an H4 gap.
But the preferred idea is to head lower, getting a better price on the HTF, then continue to the Equal Highs / Double top, taking out the liquidity target eventually.
Be aware, if it's not clear this week, we may have a clearer picture on next week's news and the move could also happen then if there's a delay/ranging market.
The D1 timeframe usually provides the smoother outlook. I mostly base my ideas on that.
Leave your comments below if you have any questions. Thanks
EURUSD: Last idea hit 286+ pips, now sell for sometime? Price is approaching a key selling zone where we expect price to reverse and make a small or major correction in price. This can be a good entry for intraday traders who are looking for a sell entry. Wait for price to show bearish sign before entering. Good luck and trade safe.
Show some support by liking and commenting our ideas, if you want regular updates from us then do follow us. Thank you for the love in advance. ❤️
EURUSD: Another Buying Opportunity Emerging!Dear Traders,
Price of EURUSD is approaching a key level where we can expect it to reverse and continue the bullish move where it will likely to create another record high of 2025. Please use proper risk management while trading.
show support by liking and commenting the post! ❤️
EUR/USD Breaks Resistance – Bullish Momentum or Pullback Ahead?what are your ideas on EURUSD?
The EURO/USD pair breaks a resistance level after touching the bottom of the ascending channel,increasing the probability of a new bullish wave.
AS THE RESISTANCE IS BROKEN NOW THE NEXT target will be the top of the channel .
Here we have two points to watch on
A bullish continuation is likely if price holds above the resistance.
A rejection from the 200 EMA could lead to consolidation or a pullback before another attempt higher.
what do you think will EUR/USD sustain the support and be on bullish movement ?
EUR/USD 1.0600 target hit and cleared. Possible Danger Ahead...Mid week update on the EUR/USD trade: The target has been hit out of the descending broadening pattern and a 343 pip gain at 1.06220 has been locked in.
The EUR/USD made a very strong bullish move today which enabled an exit in the trade however, I am now keeping a very close eye on the possible bearish opportunity coming up if price begins trading around 1.07000 at that upper trend-line.
Both the MACD and the RSI are displaying a continuation divergence (otherwise known as a "Hidden" divergence") and that could spell very bad news for the bulls.
I have done some analysis on the weekly and monthly chart and it further gives me a reason that the bears could be lurking around the corner. I will include that analysis in my next weekly pre market preview video.
For the previous analysis on the EUR/USD and Stock Market down move, refer to my previous video posted.
Update you all soon.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
"EUR/USD: Long Opportunity at Trendline Support"Uptrend Momentum with Key Support & Resistance Levels
1. Overall Market Structure & Trend
The EUR/USD pair is currently in an upward trend, as indicated by the well-defined ascending trendline. This trendline has been respected multiple times, providing strong dynamic support. The price has been making higher highs and higher lows, further confirming the bullish structure.
2. Critical Buying Zone & Upward Trendline Support
A key buying zone is highlighted in the 1.0400–1.0440 region. This area aligns with both the trendline support and the previous consolidation zone, making it a strong potential demand area. If the price retraces into this zone, a bullish reaction is expected, offering a potential entry opportunity for long positions.
3. Moving Averages as Dynamic Support
The price is currently trading above the 200-period moving average (blue) and the 50-period moving average (red). These moving averages are acting as dynamic support levels, reinforcing the overall bullish bias. A successful retest of these levels could provide confirmation for further upside movement.
4. Potential Upside Target at 1.0550
The immediate upside target is set around the 1.0550 resistance level, which marks a previous high. A breakout above this zone could trigger further bullish momentum, potentially pushing the price towards higher resistance levels.
5. Short-Term Pullback & Rebound Potential
Currently, the price is undergoing a minor correction. However, as long as the trendline and the buying zone remain intact, a bullish rebound is the most likely scenario. The red arrow on the chart indicates an anticipated upward movement upon a successful retest of the support zone.
6. Conclusion & Trading Strategy
- Bullish Outlook: As long as the price remains above the upward trendline and key support zone, the bias remains bullish.
🔹Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 1.0400–1.0440 (buying zone)
Resistance: 1.0550 (target area)
Trade Setup: A potential long entry could be considered upon confirmation of a bounce from the trendline and support area, with a target of 1.0550 and a stop-loss below 1.0380.
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