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EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting. 🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Context: EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below. 📊 Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530 Target 1: 1.1268 Target 2: 1.1086 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC) 🪙 Leading Asset Clue: Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics. ⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch: 🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12) 📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13) 💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference 📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines 🧠 Risk Factors: Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness Market overreacts to rate cut expectations Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD Bearish Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk) FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell 📌 Final Note: Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
Short
by ultreosforex
10
EURUSD Gearing Up for Next Leg Up – DXY Weakens After PPI MissToday, key U.S. economic indexes were released, providing fresh insights into inflationary pressures and the state of the labor market: Core PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.3% | Previous: -0.4% Lower than expected – suggests weaker underlying producer inflation. PPI m/m: Actual: 0.1% | Forecast: 0.2% | Previous: -0.5% Slight miss – overall inflation at the producer level remains soft. Unemployment Claims: Actual: 248K | Forecast: 242K | Previous: 247K Slightly higher than forecast – signaling some cooling in the labor market. Market Outlook : These data releases point toward cooling inflation and softness in job growth, which may strengthen the dovish narrative around the Fed’s next move. DXY Index ( TVC:DXY ) is under pressure, and EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is showing signs of bullish momentum . ----------------------------------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 1-hour time frame . EURUSD is trading near the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) and Monthly Resistance(2) . In terms of Elliott Wave theory , EURUSD appears to be completing microwave 4 . Microwave 4 could be completed at one of the Fibonacci levels . I expect EURUSD to attack the Heavy Resistance zone($1.182-$1.160) at least once more after completing microwave 4 and could even rise to the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1446 , we can expect more dump. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔸 Triple Rejection Zone: Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance. 🔸 Strong Support Bounce: Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest. 🔸 Break and Retest Formation: Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation. 🔸 Projected Bullish Move: If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked. 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250 ✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure 🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum 📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000 🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750 🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
Long
by MrStellanSight
EURUSD pullback complete – Will it rise to 1.17765 next?OANDA:EURUSD remains firmly within a well-defined uptrend channel, continuing to respect the key boundaries of the channel and showing sustained bullish momentum. The price has been consistently forming higher highs and higher lows, signaling that the uptrend is still intact. The recent pullback seems to be a healthy correction, which could pave the way for another upward move. The price is now approaching a significant support zone, defined by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand level. If this area holds strong, it could offer an excellent re-entry point for buyers, with the next target being 1.17765 , which coincides with the middle of the uptrend channel. As long as the price remains above this support level and the rising trendline, the bullish trend remains in play. However, any breach below these levels could signal the end of the bullish setup and open the door to a deeper pullback. Always confirm your setups and ensure appropriate risk management. Wishing you successful trades!
Long
by Jessica_Paul
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D13 Y25 PERHAPS THE LAST CHANCE FOR SHORTS- GRAB A THE BEST DISCOUNT ! Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅1 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
(iFVG) before continuing its fall.EUR/USD is now ready to move downward. The market has already cleared out all the liquidity above, which suggests that it's now in the mood to drop. Earlier, on the 4-hour timeframe, the market had formed a bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), but that has now been broken to the downside. Currently, there are chances that the market might touch the imbalance (iFVG) before continuing its fall. Keep an eye on that level and observe how the market reacts there. It could be an important zone. Do Your Own Research (DYOR)! This is not financial advice.
Short
by Peter_Wade
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level. We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
Testing Upper Channel Line || Eyes on 1.16 and Previous High📌 EURUSD 4H – Testing Upper Channel | Eyes on 1.1600-1.1666 🕓 June 12, 2025 👤 By: MJTrading 🔍 Technical Overview: EURUSD continues its upward trajectory within a clean ascending channel, respecting both dynamic structure and EMA support zones. We're now retesting a key confluence area: ============================================================== 🔻 Bearish Setup Idea: Entry Zone: 1.1570–1.1600 Stop Loss: Above 1.16666 (round number & psychological resistance) Target: Channel midline (~1.1450) or lower band (~1.1380) 🧠 Why This Zone Matters: 🔺 Previous Swing Highs: Price is revisiting the April peak zone (~1.1570) 🧱 Round Number Confluence: 1.1600 & 1.1666 📉 Rising Channel Resistance: Upper boundary hit after extended leg 🔄 Potential Mean Reversion: EMAs are lagging behind price ⚠️ Invalidation: A clean break and close above 1.1700 with follow-through may invalidate short bias and signal continuation toward 1.1800+ 💬 Patience is power. Let the levels do the talking. 📎 #EURUSD #ForexAnalysis #TechnicalTrading #SmartMoney #PriceAction #RoundNumberLevels #MJTRADING
Short
by MJElahifx
EURUSD is continuing its uptrendEURUSD is still in a strong uptrend. There was a drop in the Asian and European sessions on Friday but that was not enough to reverse the pair. The end of the US session saw the price being pushed up by the bulls from the 1.155 price zone and is stuck in this resistance zone. The price continues to increase when breaking 1.155 will head towards the resistance of 1.161, the highest peak of last week. If there is a retest of 1.155, the price will head towards 1.166 next week to be able to use short-term SELL strategies The BUY strategy is still prioritized as the EU is still in an uptrend. The main BUY zone of the pair is still waiting for 1.150 and lower is the breakout zone of 1.145 Resistance: 1.161, 1.166 Support: 1.150, 1.145
Long
by VHT_Trader
Let the market pull back toward the marked FVG.🚨 EUR/USD Traders – Eyes on This Setup! 💹 The market has been respecting a trendline over the past few days, bouncing off support and climbing steadily. 🧗‍♂️ While doing so, it’s also been tapping into Fair Value Gaps (FVGs)—a clear sign of smart money interest. 📊 🔥 And guess what? We’ve just seen a breakout above the trendline resistance! This could be the beginning of a strong bullish move. BUT… patience is key! 🕰️ 📉 Let the market pull back toward the marked FVG zone. If it does, that could give us a golden buy opportunity with high potential upside! 🚀 🧠 Always remember: Do Your Own Research (DYOR) 📛 Not Financial Advice – Trade Smart!
Long
by Peter_Wade
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D12 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD(20250612) Today's AnalysisMarket news: ① The EU hopes that the trade negotiations will be extended beyond the suspension period set by Trump. ② Bessant: As long as "sincerity" is shown in the negotiations, the Trump administration is willing to extend the current 90-day tariff suspension period beyond July 9. ③ Trump will hold multiple bilateral talks during the G7 summit. ④ The total customs revenue of the United States in May reached a record high of US$23 billion, an increase of nearly four times year-on-year. ⑤ Lutnick: One deal after another will be reached. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1463 Support and resistance levels: 1.1556 1.1521 1.1499 1.1427 1.1404 1.1369 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1499, consider buying in, and the first target price is 1.1521 If the price breaks through 1.1463, consider selling in, and the first target price is 1.1427
Long
by NuggetsWarriors
Today's EUR/USD Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsThe EUR/USD is trading at the upper end of its recent range, having hit an intraday high of around 1.1440 and remaining near that level. The US Dollar strengthened in the early session due to optimism about the easing of Sino-US trade tensions, but later declined as European stocks fluctuated. Technically, the daily chart shows bulls remain in control, with the 20-day SMA rising gently at 1.1330. In the short term, the pair is range-bound around the 20-day SMA, yet to confirm a bullish breakout, while the 100-day and 200-day SMAs support the overall upward trend. EUR/USD buy@1.14200-1.14300 tp:1.14600-1.14900
Long
by EvanField
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸 "Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉 🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!) 📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!" Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST! 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route) Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!) 🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!) ⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Grab 👀 Only scalp LONG! Big wallets? Raid straight in. Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery. Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰 📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum) "The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Future Targets & Score Outlook 🔗 Want the full intel? Check our bio0 for linkks! 👉👉 ⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨 News releases = volatility spikes! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Use Trailing SL to lock profits. 💖 Support the Heist Crew! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 More boosts = easier money steals! Strengthen our robbery squad! Every day is a heist—profit with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W24 D10 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅4 hour order block ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURUSD Potential Long then ShortEUR/USD looking to trade around a key supply zone between 1.1450–1.1500. We’re watching for signs of bearish rejection to build a short bias from this area. No trade unless price confirms. Main Setup: If price retests upper zone (~1.1450–1.1500) and shows clear bearish price action, I’ll be looking to enter short. Ideal signs: rejection wicks, SFPs, bearish engulfing, lower timeframe structure shift. Break & Retest Option: If price breaks below 1.1390, a clean bearish retest could offer a continuation short setup. Structure break confirmation is key here. This is a forecast, and trades will be dependent on live PA. If we don’t get confirmation, we don’t force it. Patience is key. DXY Outlook: The Dollar Index looks bearish overall but is currently in a small corrective bounce. A short-term DXY pullback would support a push into EUR/USD’s supply zone — lining up nicely with our plan. If DXY flips back to bullish, that strengthens our short setup.
Short
by SKA_CAPITAL