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Eurusdprediction

EURUSD at Make-or-Break Zone: Time to Short?EURUSD – Key Data Out Today, Short Setup Confirmed? Today, several important economic indexes were released for both the Euro(EUR) and the Dollar(USD) . Let’s break them down in a simple way: Eurozone PMI Data: Mixed to Weak France: Manufacturing PMI: 48.4 (slightly lower than forecast) Services PMI : 49.7 (flat, but below 50 = contraction) Germany: Manufacturing PMI: 49.2 (weaker than expected) Services PMI : 50.1(slightly expansionary) Eurozone Overall: Manufacturing PMI: 49.8 (still below 50) Services PMI : 51.2 (slightly stronger than forecast) ECB left the Main Refinancing Rate unchanged at 2.15% , which was widely expected. U.S. Data( TVC:DXY ): Strong and Surprising Unemployment Claims: 217K (better than expected 227K) Manufacturing PMI: 49.5 (below forecast of 52.7 – a negative surprise) Services PMI: 55.2 (well above forecast and previous – bullish for USD) Interpretation : The Eurozone's growth remains sluggish, especially in France and Germany. Despite a drop in U.S. manufacturing, the services sector remains strong, and unemployment data confirms labor market resilience. This mixed picture slightly tilts the balance in favor of the U.S. dollar, especially as the ECB remains on hold while the Fed may still consider being restrictive. Bias: Short EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) Fundamentals support a Short position in EURUSD, in line with the current technical setup. --------------------------------- Now let's take a look at the EURUSD chart on the 4-hour time frame to find the best Short position . EURUSD is currently trading in an Ascending Channel and at a Heavy Resistance zone($1.1845-$1.1602) . Also, in terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD is completing a microwave 5 of the main wave 5 . One of the most important supports ahead for EURUSD could be the 100_SMA(4-hour TF) . If the currently 4-hour candlestick forms a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern , it is a better sign for EURUSD to fall . Also, we can see the Regular Divergence(RD-) between Consecutive Peaks . I expect EURUSD to decline to at least $1.169 AFTER breaking the lower line of the ascending channel . Second Target: Support zone($1.1642-$1.158) and Monthly Pivot Point. Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $1.1850 Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
21
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is moving strongly towards the 1H supply zone (around 1.1780), and it is likely to reach this area first before pulling back. During the pullback, the blue FVG and green OB zones below are key areas for potential long entries: 🔹 FVG 1H around 1.1660 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1620 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1580 📌 Plan: 1️⃣ If the price reaches the upper supply zone, we will look for short scalps with confirmation on the lower timeframe (5M/3M). 2️⃣ After the pullback to lower zones, we will look for long opportunities with PA confirmation. 🎯 Long targets after pullback: 1.1700 – 1.1720, potentially 1.1750. ❌ No entry without confirmation.
by ProfitaminFX
8
EURUSD – Bulls Still in Control, Trend ResumesIn my previous EURUSD analysis, I pointed out that the pair was nearing an important confluence support around 1.1620, and that – given the overall bullish trend – this zone could offer solid long opportunities. What followed? The market briefly dipped below that zone, even challenging the psychological 1.1600 round number. But instead of breaking down, bulls regrouped, stepped in with force, and pushed the pair aggressively higher. 📍 At the time of writing, EURUSD is trading at 1.1770, and my long trade is running with a comfortable 150 pips profit. 🔍 W hat’s Next? The current structure suggests a continuation of the uptrend, and the logical technical target is the recent high at 1.1830. Until proven otherwise, this is still a buy-the-dip market. ✅ Buying around 1.1700 could be a valid setup, especially if we see buying power on the intraday chart ⚠️ The Warning Sign Despite the bullish bias, keep in mind: If EURUSD drops and closes below 1.1670, the structure begins to shift — and this could signal a deeper correction or even trend reversal. 📌 Until then, the bias remains bullish, dips are to be watched for entries, and 1.1830 is the next checkpoint. D isclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
8
EUR/USD Recovery in Play — Eyes on ResistanceHi Everyone, Since our last update, EUR/USD briefly dipped below the 1.16000 level but quickly reclaimed the key 1.16450 zone — a level that continues to serve as an important structural pivot. Price has since stabilised above this support and is now moving back toward the highlighted resistance area around 1.17450. A sustained push toward 1.18000 in the coming sessions would further reinforce the presence of renewed buying interest. Our broader outlook remains unchanged: we continue to anticipate the pair building momentum for another move higher. A decisive break above 1.18350 could open the path toward the 1.19290 area and ultimately the 1.20000 handle. We’ll be watching closely to see whether this recovery gains traction and if buyers can sustain momentum through resistance. The longer-term view remains bullish, as long as price continues to hold above the key support zone. We’ll continue to provide updates throughout the week as the structure develops and share how we’re managing our active positions. Thanks again for all the likes, boosts, comments, and follows — we really appreciate the support! All the best for the rest of the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EURUSD Analysis - Can Buyers Push Price To $1.18000?Hello all dear traders! EURUSD is trading within a clear bullish channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. The recent bullish momentum shows that buyers are in control, suggesting further upside. The price recently broke above a key resistance zone and is now coming back to retest it. If this level holds as support, it will consolidate the bullish structure and increase the likelihood of a move towards the 1.18000 target, which is in line with the upper boundary of the channel. As long as the price remains above this support zone, the bullish outlook remains intact. However, a failure to hold this level could invalidate the bullish scenario and increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback. Remember, always validate your setups and use appropriate risk management.
Long
by Brian_Nguyenn
EURUSD(20250724) Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1751 Support and resistance levels: 1.1814 1.1791 1.1775 1.1726 1.1711 1.1687 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1775, consider buying in, with the first target price at 1.1791 If the price breaks through 1.1751, consider selling in, with the first target price at 1.1726
Long
by NicolaZhu
EURUSD Bearish Ahead as US Resilience Meets Eurozone FragilityEURUSD has shifted into bearish territory, pressured by growing divergence between a resilient US economy and a struggling Eurozone. The pair recently rejected the 1.1700 zone, forming multiple bearish structures on the 4H chart. With sticky US inflation, Trump’s renewed tariff agenda, and a dovish ECB, EUR/USD appears poised for a deeper move toward 1.1527 and possibly 1.1445 in the coming sessions. This setup is both technically and fundamentally aligned, but key event risk remains. 🔸 Technical Structure (4H) Clear rejection from the 1.1700–1.1710 zone. Bearish pennants and wedge patterns confirm continuation lower. Downside targets: 🔹 First: 1.1637 🔹 Second: 1.1527 🔹 Final: 1.1445 Risk zone: Above 1.1785 (invalidates short bias if broken cleanly). 🧭 Key Fundamentals 🇺🇸 Dollar Strength: Sticky inflation, stable labor market, and geopolitical risk all favor USD demand. 🇪🇺 Euro Weakness: ECB dovish tone persists amid weak data, soft PMIs, and stagnating growth. Yield Spread: US-Euro real yield spread supports further EUR/USD downside. Tariff Pressure: Trump’s 50% tariff plan and tensions with the EU weigh on EUR. ⚠️ Risks to Watch A surprise dovish pivot from the Fed. Weak US CPI or disappointing retail sales. Major risk-on flows that trigger broad USD weakness. New EU fiscal stimulus or Germany/France recovery surprises. 📆 Key Events Ahead 🇺🇸 US Core CPI – A hot print supports USD strength. 🇺🇸 Retail Sales & Powell testimony – Watch tone on rate cuts. 🇪🇺 German ZEW Sentiment, Eurozone HICP inflation – Weak readings would further drag EUR. 🔄 Leader or Lagger? EUR/USD is a lagger to GBP/USD, often following UK-driven USD moves. Acts as a leader for EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, EUR/CHF – weakness here cascades across EUR crosses. Tracks broad USD sentiment – dovish Fed pricing boosts EURUSD, while rate hike fears drag it. ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EUR/USD is bearish below 1.1700 as economic divergence, sticky US inflation, and rising geopolitical tensions favor the dollar. ECB policy remains soft, offering little support to the euro. Key risk lies in a dovish Fed pivot or softer US data. Watch US CPI and Powell for clues. This pair is likely to lag GBP/USD moves, but will lead EUR crosses lower if the downside momentum continues.
Short
by ultreosforex
16
EUR/USD Set to Fly – Don’t Miss This Perfect Channel Breakout!Hi traders!, Analyzing EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, we can observe that price is respecting the ascending channel and reacting to the dynamic trendline support (green dashed lines). A recent bounce suggests a potential bullish continuation within this structure. 🔹 Entry: 1.17399 🔹 Take Profit (TP): 1.17640 🔹 Stop Loss (SL): 1.17056 Price remains above the 200 EMA, confirming a bullish environment. The bounce aligns with the lower boundary of the channel and follows a short consolidation period, indicating buying pressure. The RSI also shows signs of recovery after approaching oversold levels, supporting the idea of upward momentum. This long setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio and aims to capture continuation toward upper channel resistance. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
Long
by FXOnTop
EURUSDHello traders, I've been closely monitoring the **EURUSD** pair for a while, and it’s now offering an ideal entry opportunity. It has presented several great setups for swing trading, and I’d like to share one of them with you today. 🔍 **Trade Details** ✔️ **Timeframe**: H4/D ✔️ **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: 1:4.22 ✔️ **Trade Direction**: Buy ✔️ **Entry Price**: 1.17281 ✔️ **Take Profit**: 1.18997 ✔️ **Stop Loss**: 1.16874 🔔 **Disclaimer**: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Long
by Nurlan_PT
EURUSD Analysis : Liquidity Sweep – EURUSD Targets TO Reversal🧠 Institutional Context & Big Picture EURUSD has been in a tightly controlled descending channel for several weeks—a classic sign of a market being engineered for liquidity collection. Rather than a naturally trending bearish market, this price action reflects stealth accumulation and market maker manipulation. The channel structure was used to: Establish a visible bearish trend (to trap sellers) Trigger emotional bias for continued shorting Build up stop orders below swing lows This phase was about building energy, not continuation. 🔍 Detailed Breakdown of the Chart Elements 📌 1. Descending Channel – Controlled Manipulation The pair moved within a well-defined bearish channel for multiple weeks. Each touch respected the top and bottom perfectly—not random, but institutional structure. It fostered retail confidence in the downtrend while market makers prepared for a reversal. 💥 2. Liquidity Sweep & Trap (Low Breaked & Liquidity Grabbed) Price spiked below the previous low, clearly sweeping liquidity on July 21. This is the "engineered breakdown", meant to trigger breakout sellers and stop out early longs. Immediately after the sweep, the price violently reversed—clear evidence of a liquidity trap. This is classic MMC logic: induce, trap, reverse. 🟩 3. QFL Base Formed – Bullish Engine Ignited At the point of reversal, the chart shows the formation of a QFL (Qualified Liquidation Failure) zone. This QFL base is the core of smart money accumulation—price broke below a base, then quickly reclaimed it. It's not just support—it’s the true origin of the reversal and an optimal entry point. 📈 4. Breakout from the Channel – Structure Shift Confirmed Price broke out of the descending channel with strong momentum, confirming: Structure shift from lower lows → higher highs Momentum shift in favor of bulls Entry confirmation for MMC-based long setups This breakout invalidates the bearish trend and signals a fresh leg up, likely toward unmitigated supply zones. 🟨 5. Current Price Action – Healthy Bullish Consolidation After the breakout, price is consolidating just above the broken channel, forming a mini-flag or base. This indicates: Smart money is accumulating more No significant selling pressure Likely continuation toward next supply 🎯 6. Next Targets – Reversal Zones Minor Resistance: ~1.1800 Major Resistance: ~1.1850 – 1.1880 Next Reversal Zone: 1.1900–1.1950 This zone is highlighted as a potential sell-off area where institutions may offload positions or create new traps. Watch for signs of exhaustion or redistribution here. 📌 Trade Plan Based on MMC Structure ✅ Bullish Scenario (Currently Active) Entry Area: Ideally at QFL base or breakout retest (~1.1700–1.1720 zone) Confirmation: Bullish price action (engulfing, flag break, or liquidity wick) Targets: 🎯 TP1: 1.1800 🎯 TP2: 1.1850 🎯 TP3: 1.1950 (Reversal Supply Zone) ❌ Invalidation: A break below the QFL base (~1.1670) with bearish volume would invalidate the bullish MMC structure. 🧠 Smart Money Insight & Logic Recap This entire move reflects a classic Market Maker Strategy: Build a trend (descending channel) to shape trader bias Trigger liquidity events (false breakdown) Accumulate at the lows via QFL logic Shift structure (channel breakout) Target unfilled institutional supply (1.1850–1.1950) This isn’t random—it’s engineered movement. Your job as a trader is to identify footprints, not follow the crowd.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURUSD Breaks Bullish Structure – Here’s My Trade Plan📍 Watching EURUSD closely—it's recently broken bullish (market structure) on the daily timeframe 📈. I’m now waiting for a retrace into a fair value gap, watching for the rebalance and a possible support zone touch before the next leg up 🔄🟢. 🎥 In this idea, I walk you through: 🔍 Price action 🧱 Market structure 📊 Trend direction 📋 And my personal trade plan for this setup Not financial advice ❌💼
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD Trading Price Channel, SELL Strategy✏️ OANDA:EURUSD H4 Timeframe EURUSD is trading in a bearish channel. This bearish channel may extend to the important support at 1.145. A break of this important support will form a Downtrend. Further upside recovery will remain limited by the channel, with the notable upper boundary at 1.16800. 📉 Key Levels Sell trigger: rejection from 1.168 with bearish confirmation Sell DCA: Break 1.155 Target: 1.145 Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Short
by VHT_Trader
10
EURUSD: Sell Opportunity after Trendline breakEURUSD was in a steep uptrend but it might stop with this recent break through the uptrend. A break like this one on a strong trendline that had multiple touches, indicates either a potential reversal or major pause in the trend. This candle that broke the trendline signals the first hint of structural change. I will be waiting for a retest and look to get involved in a short setup. Ideally, what I look for in retests is to be met with a confirming candle. This would confirm the sellers have taken over and validate the change from uptrend to potential downtrend or consolidation phase. My target would be around 1.1500. Just sharing my thoughts for the charts, this isn’t financial advice. Always confirm your setups and manage your risk properly. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis .
Long
by TrendDiva
60