Eurusdprediction
EURUSD: Bearish Butterfly Pattern Signals ReversalThe EURUSD pair is currently forming a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), a classic reversal structure frequently observed in technical analysis. The Butterfly Pattern suggests that the current bullish momentum may soon exhaust, giving way to a potential bearish trend.
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ):
Point D, at the completion of the Butterfly pattern, is identified as a Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). This zone is critically important for several reasons:
Key Resistance Area: The PRZ aligns with a significant resistance level, historically indicating strong selling pressure.
4-Hour Trend Line: The zone coincides with a downward sloping trend line on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
61.8% Fibonacci Retracement: The PRZ is also at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the preceding move, adding another layer of confluence to our bearish bias.
Entry and Risk Management:
Given the confluence of technical indicators at the PRZ, we anticipate a trend reversal to bearish from Point D. Our proposed trading strategy is as follows:
Entry Point: 1.08865
Stop Loss: 1.09030
The stop loss is strategically placed above the PRZ to protect against potential false breakouts and limit downside risk.
Take Profit Levels:
To effectively manage our positions and lock in profits, we have set multiple take profit levels:
TP-1: 1.08700
TP-2: 1.08535
TP-3: 1.08370
These targets are derived from previous support levels and the harmonic pattern projections.
Conclusion:
The confluence of the Bearish Butterfly pattern, key resistance, trend line, and Fibonacci level significantly strengthens the bearish case for EURUSD at Point D. By entering the market at 1.08865 with a stop loss at 1.09030, and targeting the specified take profit levels, traders can capitalize on the anticipated bearish reversal while maintaining disciplined risk management.
Today weare going HIGHER EURUSDLast setup was pretty good for EURUSD but i had no triggers. Unfortunately my long limit ordes wasn't triggered for few pips. This time i want to swing and i am entering long targeting 1.09250 and i will DCA if price will go lower. I have some strong motivations for that and i think today's NFP will give us a good pump. ECB has finally started to cut rates, USD is getting weaker while GOLD price Is rising (and china Is buying GOLD and selling USD). I think EURUSD price can reach 1.11/1.12 before December
EURUSD analysis 06/05/2024EUR/USD steadies below 1.0900 ahead of key US dataEUR/USD is consolidating below 1.0900 early Wednesday amid modest gains in the US Dollar. Fed rate cut bets keep US bond yields lower, limiting the pair's downside. Key US data on Wednesday could provide some impetus ahead of the ECB on Thursday.
The pair is approaching the lower trendline of the uptrend and is being supported by the EMA34 and EMA 89. In case the news is positive for the USD, it is possible that EURUSD will break the trendline and two EMA line to approach the 1.08300 support zone.
The old peak at 1.9100 will be the first resistance area that the pair encounters when the price is pushed up from the current support area. With the negative release news for USD the highest level EURUSD reached today was 1.09700.
BUY zone 1.08300 SL 1.08000
SELL zone 1.09100 SL 1.09400
SELL zone 1.09700 SL 1.10000
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaDuring a recent rally, the EURUSD exhibited notable bullish momentum. In our video analysis, we explore potential long positions, contingent upon price aligning with our entry criteria. Examining the 4-hour chart, we observe a previous bearish trend that has been interrupted by a bullish market structure breakout. While my bias leans toward a long position, it remains contingent on price action developments outlined in the video.
Disclaimer: This content does not constitute financial advice.
EURUSD 1H Short Trade - 1:6 RRRPair: EURUSD
Action: Sell
RRR: 1:6
SL: 1.08999
TP: 1.06817
Indicators:
EMA200: The EMA200 serves as a critical indicator of the long-term trend direction.
MACD Trend: The MACD indicator helps traders assess the strength and direction of the trend.
Supertrend: The Supertrend indicator acts as a reliable tool for identifying entry points in alignment with the prevailing trend.
EURUSD: expected to have a downward adjustmentEURUSD: This currency pair in today's session is expected to have a downward adjustment in the context that the ECB will announce that EUR interest rates today are expected to decrease, so it is possible that EURUSD will re-examine the 1.0800 support area first. when the outlook increases again. However, observing on technical factors, the uptrend is still the dominant trend. You can consider waiting to buy with EURUSD today around the support area of 1.0800
EURUSD DAILY PLANHere is another daily plan about EURUSD. I expect a drop in the London session at least the first level i marked (1.085). There itink the price could range preparing the next upide moves. If this level will not hold, i expect a continuation of the drop till the second supporto zone at 1.0825 and i think the price will bounce there, making a bullish setup that should continue tomorrow and Friday
EURUSD accumulates with upside amid negative backdrop for USDEURUSD: The EUR yesterday adjusted slightly, then increased again in the early morning session this morning. On the H4 frame, it can be seen that the uptrend has returned to dominate before, however in today's session it is expected that the market will largely still accumulate with the advantage of increasing points in the context of quite a lot of negative information for the USD and the market. The school is waiting for nonfarm news this weekend. Therefore, you can consider buying EURUSD in today's session. Recommended to buy around 1.0860
EURUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving in an UPWARD channel.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
dollar Index to fall towards 101, 100Dollar index has been weak on recent weeks and this move is likely to continue. I expect XETR:DAX to continue falling towards it's previous support and resistance levels at around 102, 101 then 100
If this move happens then it is good news for pairs like FX:EURUSD and FX:GBPUSD as they are all set to drift north. Fundamentally news have been against the dollar recently. On monday 3rd we had US ISM Manufacturing figures which came lower than expected. Today 4thmay24 their is JOLTS Job opening report which is also expected to be lower and this will be a negative driver for $dax.
Always do your own research before pulling and shots .
Use a hard stop loss and good luck. Check my socials and follow for updates
EURUSD - Long from bullish order block !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Fundamental news: This week on Thursday we will see results of Interest Rate in Europe and on Friday we have NFP day. News with high impact on EUR and USD, so pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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DXY Trading Plan for the week 03.06.2024Good morning traders. 🥳
Hope you all had a great weekend and ready for the week ahead.
A quick glance at the charts this morning and the dollar has reset back to the POC levels it entered last week with and on the 12 hr we can see that we are now forming a descending triangle which means that if we break above 105.000 we could see a continuation to the upside targeting key level 106.507 and if we break below 104.408 then we will see a continuation to the downside targeting 102.686.
I'm quite keen on seeing the dollar reach key level 104.209 to which I will be looking for Buy's on EUR/USD, Gold and Silver throughout the week.
We've been in a range across the other assets as well so this week could definately be a breakout week to the upside for all dollar pairs if that's the case.
Hope you have a great day and that your screens are green.
Happy Trading. 📊
EUR/USD Longs 1.08300I'm expecting the price to retrace back down to the 4-hour demand zone. Once it reaches this level, I'll wait for price accumulation to buy back up. If the price breaches this zone due to the Asian low underneath, I'll be more interested in the 6-hour demand zone right below, which looks more probable.
I anticipate the price to rise and take out the pool of liquidity around the Asian high region. Once this liquidity is taken, I expect the price to slow down and enter the 11-hour supply zone, where we can look for potential selling opportunities.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- The Demand zone has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside as well as that wick that needs to get filled.
- Price is already been bullish so this is a pro-trend trade.
- In order for price to keep going up it must retrace and enter these key levels to trigger a rally.
P.S. Since the price hasn't broken another level of structure as I expected, the 6-hour extreme looks more appealing to me. We'll see what the price decides to do on Monday.
Have a great trading week and thanks for 1k followers!
EURUSD - in strong downtrendEURUSD - May 31, 2024
Today EURUSD stays in a downtrend, yesterday`s restoration turned into short-lived and the pair remains on course to attain 1.0800 once more withinside the early buying and selling hours of the month. weekend session.
Accordingly, the outlook remains favorable for dealers while EURUSD remains beneath many vital resistance stages and regularly lowering in step with the energetic Trendine line.
In addition, with the growing probability that the ECB will lessen hobby fees earlier than the Fed, the opportunity of the EUR/USD trade price persevering with to weaken wishes to be taken into consideration withinside the medium term.
Wait for the SELL point to retest the EURUSD trendlineEUR/USD fell sharply on Wednesday, returning to the 1.0800 degree after broad-primarily based totally danger urge for food disappeared. The pair is buying and selling firmly inside technical resistance as buyers put together for a sequence of mid-variety European financial signs on Thursday, observed with the aid of using an replace on Gross Domestic Product increase (GDP) quarterly for the United States.
Pan-European purchaser self belief in May is predicted to preserve constant at -14.3, at the same time as the Overall Economic Sentiment Index is predicted to get better barely to 96.2 from 95.6. Then, US quarterly GDP is predicted later withinside the day, with annual Q1 GDP forecast to say no barely to 1.3% from 1.6%. Markets hungry for hobby charge cuts from the Federal Reserve may be seeking out symptoms and symptoms of weak point withinside the US financial system as increase solidifies, the hard work marketplace tightens and inflation figures display up. Inflation stays high, hindering the Fed`s capacity to reduce hobby fees at a fast pace. Investors hold to search.
The buying and selling week will cease with German Retail Sales on Friday, predicted to fall -0.1% MoM in May. Pan-European Core Consumer Price Index (HICP) for the 12 months resulted in May is forecast to growth to 2.8% from 2.7%. US inflation records will cease the buying and selling week, with the United States Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index predicted to stay unchanged at 0.3% MoM in April.
EurUsd - Lower, 1.000 pips lowerHello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at EurUsd .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
EurUsd has been trading in a descending channel formation for a very long period of time. At the moment EurUsd is once again retesting the upper resistance in confluence with a horizontal structure so there is simply a higher chance that we will see a continuation lower from here. This means that as stock traders - especially from Europe - we can continue to trade our U.S. stock position without worries.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD SELL INCOMINGWe’re bouncing within a channel and a wedge. Price is close to an area of confluence plus there’s been a down trend for some time now. With this particular trade I see it being valid if these few things happen: it must respect the channel and 4 hr order block that was created, a 15 minute has to be created in that premium zone & triggered during NY Session and lastly I’d only go for 1:2 RR. There must be confirmations because there is still a possibility that there can be a trend line breakout. Considering all the multiple confirmations will increase the chances of the trade being successful. Good luck to everyone trading!
Potential SELL STOP on EUR/USD from 1.0883I have a potential EUR/USD SHORT trade from 1.0883.
1.0883 is WR1 (weekly resistance 1) pivot and this pivot co-incides with a line of resistance which was last weeks high (Monday 20th May).
This morning, 1.0879 has proven too tough to break for EUR/USD BULLS despite several attemps.
It's possible we may see EUR/USD decline from these levels though the proximity of the WR1 is usually irresistable and my guess is that we'll see a final push to reach the pivot.
This effort may be too much for EUR/USD BULLS and I'd expect to see SELLERS jump in at WR1 and drive the price south.
On the D1 time frame we can draw a trendline from the 18th July 2023 high (1.1279) through the March 8th 2024 high at 1.0983 and this line meets the recent high at 1.0898 12 days ago and we are now up against this line.
All this means that EUR/USD BULLS have it all to do to head much higher and I'd expect to see a reversal in the 1.0900 to 1.0880 area.
If we do indeed readh WR1 and we see the price stall and reverse (as expected) then I'll use the Andean Oscillator to confirm the SELL trade and once I see the lower time frames turn BEARISH then I'll enter SHORT.
Although we've been in an uptrend since mid April, the overall structure remains BEARISH.
A break of the trendline mentioned above though could be signfiicant as a look at the D1 time frame shows us that we are in a well defined flag/pennant formation and if price breaks out north then we can expect to see EUR/USD head much higher.