Eurusdprediction
Fomo Liquidity Pullback 🤐Anticipating a pullback with London session to clear Fomo liquidity. Depending on the amount, we may observe a pullback to 1.07435 4hr Resistance zone. If the market is extra stubborn then we may see a more sustained pullback to 1.075 area. Manufacturing data during NY session today surprised to the upside and beat the forecast creating a dramatic selloff on EurUsd. Not surprised for us here at ShrewdCatFx since we have been outlining the Market sentiment surrounding USD with hot labor market and increasing inflation readings last month of March. Good manufacturing data was just gasoline on the already hot USD. On another note, it's the beginning of the week still.. it's pretty early in the week and we've already observed some great volatility.. I believe we may observe some rversion to the mean for EurUsd and London will cause some pullback volatility to gather liquidity and plus it's only Monday. We still have ADP and NFP which will be a good excuse for more volatility.. so in the meantime we may mess around and range or pullback.. if not then I may be wrong and our next 4hr zone 1.07265 and 1.07105 are our next short targets for the upcoming sessions which has USD job openings news which is forecasted to decrease slightly across the previous data point which lines up with some at least short term EUR strength.. safe trading
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe EURUSD has experienced downward pressure, evident on both the daily and 4-hour time frames. Currently, the price is overextended, and I am actively seeking a shorting opportunity if the price retraces around the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci level. In the video, we delve into price action, analyse the trend, evaluate market structure, and discuss a specific trade idea with defined entry points, stop loss, and target levels. As always, please remember that this information is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
EURUSD LONG Daily TFEURUSD LONG Daily TF
Daily TF:
4H TF:
1H TF:
Trade to be initiated only when price closes above Blue Sloping TL. Otherwise, Trade should not be initiated. THe pattern formed is deformed Inverse H&S found in Daily TF.
Stop Loss should be 25 to 30 pips after initiating the trade or 5 pips below round figure of 1.07
EurUsd Beginning of Q2, 2024 📅Hello Traders, the March Monthly candle has closed bearish with a large top wick which looks to have rejected the top of our Monthly range at 1.1028. We now have 3 Monthly candle closing bearish consecutively which suggest more downside on EurUsd possible as we enter Q2, 2024. The top wick on the March monthly candle looks like a fresh liquidity grab for a push towards our monthly support level 1.057 in April. Our first stop will be the February monthly candle low price ( 1.695).
Strong Jobs data in March and increasing Inflation readings suggest continued uncertainty surrounding the Fed's ability to get a handle on the market. In the meantime we can observe USD strength Q1 ,2024 and this may continue as we enter Q2. Anything can happen in the markets and it's important that we always remain flexible in our approach and strategy for profiting from the markets. In the short term, our key levels of interest are Daily Resistance level created last week 1.08373. Another key level being the level that we mentioned multiple times last week, 1.0765 weekly support level. The Friday daily candle (march 29th) reacted off here and closed bullish. The next key level is 1.07105 Daily Support Level.
Monthly
Weekly
Daily
EURUSD ANALYSISThis is my anticipation on the EURUSD, our daily time frame recently broke structure to the downside, we would then do good to anticipate a pullback after the expansion BUT before we can anticipate that pullback, we need to see or have a confirmation in price on a time frame lower than the daily which will confirm our bias for the bullish pullback, as showed in my analysis, I wanna see price trading lower first to take the sellside liquidity first before we can begin the pullback, should price continue trading lower and not give us any confirmation for a pullback, we're not gonna engage, we simply let it go for this particular week, the same applies for when price just pulls back without first taking the sellside liquidity.
EUR/USD SHORT/SELLEURUSD appears to have broken the lower trendline on the 4-hour time frame. We expect a retest of our entry level before a downtrend. Additionally, as of the 26th, reports show that 14,959 short positions were added by large speculators, indicating a downtrend for the week.
📉 Expectations:
Anticipate the pair to re-test key support levels as highlighted in the attached chart.
📊 Trading Strategy:
This trade is based on a combination of fundamental, technical analysis, and candlestick patterns. It's a long-term position, so ensure sufficient margin to manage market fluctuations. Implement proper risk management in line with your account size.
🚦 Trading Rules:
1️⃣ Rule 1: If the trade does NOT surpass our entry level (GREEN LINE ON THE CHART), Do not enter the trade.
2️⃣ Rule 2: When the market hits Target 1, consider closing some positions or move your STOP LOSS to ENTRY price for safe trading.
3️⃣ Rule 3: After reaching Target 1, avoid placing new trades based on the same signal/alert.
4️⃣ Rule 4: If the market consolidates for more than 2 days, close the trade and patiently wait for the next favorable trading opportunity.
Trade responsibly. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
EUR/USD Bearish outlook and potential sells from 1.08200My perspective on EU is to anticipate its bearish trajectory. With recent downward structure breaks and its arrival at a demand zone, I foresee potential failure to breach deeper levels or ideally a retracement to touch either of the two newly marked zones at points (A) and (B). Following this, I'll be on the lookout for a wyckoff distribution to initiate selling to sustain this trend, as my bias for this pair remains bearish.
While there's a similarity between EU and GU, EU is already within the demand zone, where I expect a bullish response, unlike GU. Therefore, I anticipate GU to rise before a drop, similar to this pair. It's worth noting that immediate buys might not be ideal, especially considering Monday's bank holiday for EUR.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows:
- Price broke structure again on the higher time frames.
- Overall market trend is bearish so this aligns with the overall bias.
- Two new supply zones emerged near current price in which we can expect a bearish reaction to take place.
- Lots of liquidity still left to the downside that needs to be taken in the form of asian lows.
- Price might currently undergo a retracement back to an area of supply as its in a demand right now.
P.S. It wouldn't be unexpected if the price continues its ascent and reaches the 4-hour demand zone adjacent to the imbalance, a significant area I'm closely monitoring. However, I am anticipating a bearish descent from the recently established supply levels.
Have a great trading week guys!
USD JPY 1HRUSD JPY 1 hour timeframe outlook.
On The one-hour timeframe, the market is currently consolidating on that resistance level, we need to see a break out to the downside and a retest to get an entry for SELL.
On the other hand, if the market breaks above the resistance level to the upside we need to see a retest of the broken resistance turn support to get a BUY entry ⏰
Monthly Candle Closure Volatility ♠️Some banks and Institutions require their execution desks to close positions as the month comes to and end. This sometimes causes wild and irrational choppiness in the price action. Caution as the market closes out the month of March 24'. PCE data is forecasted to decrease which could spark some optimism and a rebound to the upside to end the month. If not, we may very well see a continuation of momentum with safe-haven buying of the USD aka EurUsd heads to the sea floor.
Next target for shorts is weekly level 1.07663 and 1.07451 4hr zone.
0:0 Monthly timeframe
3:42 Weekly timeframe
5:30 Daily timeframe
7:03 4hr timeframe
9:30 1hr timeframe and upcoming news
Retest 1.083 prior to more Downside -> EurUsd 🐺Based off fundamentals and apparent momentum in the market, my bias remains as bearish for the EurUsd currency pair. The Monthly candle has reteaced nearly all of it's gains as we come to a close in 2 days. The the top wick signals rejection from the high of the Monthly resistance to me (1.103). This coincided with Jobs data and Increasing inflation data and the last few weeks we have observed bearish momentum in the market. Yes this week so far we have recieved some buying pressure off the 1.0805 daily support level. Although with GDP data forecasted to remain unchanged tomorrow and Housing data expected to grow for the U.S. economy, I can observe more potnetial USD strength to end the March Monthly candle. First target is 1.0805 retest of the Daily support level, then 1.08 4hr zone and ultimately 1.0768 weekly level
EURUSD Analysis of PreferforexAccording to the 4hour View, the pair EURUSD is in Bullish, it break the bullish structure and now it is retracing to find more liquidity and to mitigate the unmitigated POI.
It is now near to a POI, expecting the bullish continuation when the price touch and react on this POI.
EURUSD: EURUSD technical analysis todayLast week, US Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers anticipated hobby quotes might lower through three-quarters of a percent factor through the give up of the year. The Fed and European Central Bank aren't predicted to ease as speedy or to the identical quantity as rising markets, leaving bring buyers to be greater selective. State Street Global Advisors recommends moving to lower-threat bring trades and the use of the solid Swiss franc because the investment forex, favoring shopping for the Indian rupee towards the Chinese yuan Quoc.
Low volatility is a key thing in prefer of bring trading, with Deutsche Bank`s CVIX index, which measures predicted volatility in 9 main forex pairs, hitting a low of almost 2-1/ 2 years. This has endorsed buyers to preserve conducting hobby charge bring trades. London-primarily based totally ING cited that no matter expectancies of multiplied volatility on the begin of the year, sturdy US information maintained the enchantment of bring trades for the time being.
Despite current hobby charge modifications through the Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Japan, marketplace volatility stays subdued, as indicated through low three-month dollar/yen implied volatility .
However, analysts warn that it might not take lengthy for markets to disrupt and bring trade, with ability triggers together with important financial institution policy, monetary information monetary occasions, geopolitical occasions and elections, mainly withinside the US this year. Petersen emphasised that the brink for multiplied volatility is pretty low, suggesting that the present day balance withinside the forex marketplace can be very delicate.