7 Dimension analysis for EURUSD🕛 TOPDOWN - Bearish Momentum in a Multi-Month Downtrend
Overview: The monthly and weekly analyses indicate a multi-month downtrend with the initiation of a current impulsive bearish move. The focus is on the daily timeframe for a detailed perspective.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Bearish impulsive move in progress, marked by a proper high.
🟢 Inducement: Completed.
🟢 Pull Back 1st: Deep pullback with a reversal and bearish momentum.
🟢 Internal Structure: Choch (Contraction) observed.
Ext OB mitigated, indicating a potential reversal.
🟢 Resistance/Supply/Distribution/Premier: Multiple indicators, including trendlines, suggest further downward movement.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Raising Wedge breakout signals bearish continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
ey Considerations:
Record session count with a Change in Guard (engulfing) candle, a strong reversal sign.
Momentum signals, including strict engulfing and a last bullish FOMO candle.
3️⃣ Volume: Pivot points of fixed range volume show volatile reversal signals. Average volume during correction move reinforces the bearish bias.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone.
🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways with a loud move.
🟢 Loud Moves: Bearish loud move observed.
🟢 Overbought/Oversold Rejections: Count of 3.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band provides support, but momentum suggests potential breakage.
🟢 Formation of a W pattern at the top of the move.
6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than EUR, adding to the bearish bias.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Supply area and extreme Order Block.
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Momentum - both patterns are bearish.
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Sell right now.
💡 Decision: SELL.
🚀 Entry: 1.08450
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1030
🎯 Take Profit: 1.0143
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.75
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
SUMMARY: The analysis strongly supports a bearish momentum, aligning with the ongoing multi-month downtrend. Key indicators such as candle patterns, volume considerations, and momentum signals reinforce the sell decision. The strategy involves clear risk management and exit criteria.
Eurusdprediction
EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1000 Amidst US GDP Data and..EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1000 Amidst US GDP Data and Upcoming Core PCE Report
The EUR/USD pair maintains its positive stance, firmly holding ground above the psychological mark of 1.1000 as it reaches its highest level in four months during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The pair's trajectory aligns with our previous forecast, where the price successfully reached the initial take profit at 1.10100.
Key Market Movements:
EUR/USD is currently trading around 1.1008, marking a modest 0.05% gain for the day.
The pair continues to follow a bullish uptrend, supported by positive momentum and favorable technical signals.
US GDP Growth Data:
The US GDP growth number for Q3 expanded by 4.9%, slightly below the market's estimation of 5.2%. This data influenced the market dynamics but did not deter the EUR/USD's upward trajectory.
Upcoming Focus on US Core PCE Report:
Investors are eagerly anticipating the release of November’s US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (Core PCE) on Friday.
Projections suggest a 0.2% month-on-month (MoM) rise and a 3.3% year-on-year (YoY) increase. This data is expected to impact the pair's movements as traders assess the inflationary landscape.
ECB Statements and Market Sentiment:
European Central Bank (ECB) Vice President Luis de Guindos emphasized that it is premature for monetary policy to ease, expressing confidence in avoiding a technical recession in the Eurozone.
ECB Governing Council member Martins Kazaks indicated that the central bank intends to maintain current interest rates for an extended period, potentially pushing back the expected rate cut to mid-2024.
Technical Outlook and Targets:
The EUR/USD pair's bullish trend is evident in higher timeframes, presenting potential for a further uptrend.
Our second take profit target remains at 1.11500, providing an optimistic outlook for continued bullish momentum.
As the EUR/USD pair navigates key economic data releases and central bank statements, traders are advised to monitor developments closely, considering potential shifts in market sentiment and the impact on the pair's trajectory.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.08600 with targets at 1.10650 & 1.1150 in extension.
EUR/USD: A Steady Rise Amidst Global Market DynamicsEUR/USD's Bullish Momentum: A Steady Rise Amidst Global Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD currency pair recently experienced a surge in its value, reaching close to the significant 1.1000 mark before encountering a slight retracement. This move comes after a rebound from the 38.2% Fibonacci level, confirming our earlier forecast of a renewed bullish impulse.
As of the latest update, the pair is currently trading around the 1.09560 area, demonstrating a positive trend. The backdrop for this ascent includes a favorable opening in Wall Street and decreasing US Treasury bond yields. Despite the release of better-than-expected Housing Starts data, the USD struggled to find traction, reflecting the impact of global market dynamics on currency valuations.
An additional factor influencing recent market movements is the soft inflation data from the UK, reigniting expectations for a potential Bank of England rate cut in the first half of the upcoming year. This development led to significant losses for the Pound Sterling against other major currencies. While the USD did absorb some capital outflows, the Euro stood out as an attractive option for investors, leading to EUR/GBP achieving a fresh three-week high above 0.8650.
Looking ahead, the scheduled speech by the Chicago Federal Reserve (Fed) President in the latter part of the day could introduce further dynamics to the currency markets.
Maintaining our bullish bias, we anticipate a continuation of the positive trend, especially considering the supportive factors in the global financial landscape. The pair's recent retracement could be viewed as a temporary pause before another potential climb towards our targeted levels. Investors will be keenly observing further market developments and central bank actions to gauge the future trajectory of EUR/USD.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.0800 with targets at 1.1010 & 1.1150 in extension.
Our previous Entry / Idea :
EURJPY: MUFG CEO: BoJ may eliminate negative interest rate policMitsubishi UFJ Financial Group (MUFG) President Hiroki Kamezawa stated in an interview with Japanese media outlet Asahi Shimbun:
The BoJ is gradually achieving its price target and wage hike
"This is only a matter of time."
The negative interest rate policy could be eliminated as early as 2024 due to positive developments in wages and prices. This policy has put pressure on the businesses of financial institutions because it reduces the profit margins they can earn on lending.
MUFG is Japan's largest financial group and the world's second largest bank holding company.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast December 20EURUSD price action hasn't changed much, we see the price still trading around the daily and weekly resistance zones. Currently there is no signal of price reduction so it is impossible to sell.
For the time being, please continue to monitor this current resistance area. If the price forms a nice sell-down signal or in a low time frame you see the price changing trend, you can also consider it. sellable.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast December 19After falling sharply from the 1.10 resistance area and creating a bearish signal (rail pattern) on the daily, EURUSD had little fluctuation in the past session, with no significant changes. As mentioned, short-term rallies will give bearish bettors more advantageous entry points, you can wait to buy at the resistance zone.
EURUSD: The dollar is weakening amid rising expectations for a r
The dollar is currently volatile against most major currencies as market sentiment has been hit by expectations that the US Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates. The exception remains the Japanese yen, which maintains its position against the dollar even after the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy.
Fed officials sought to manage market expectations after last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in 2024. This outlook has led to a rally in financial markets, with current expectations based on the CME FedWatch tool putting the probability of a rate cut at the March Fed meeting at 67.5%.
Kyle Rodda, Senior Financial Markets Analyst at Capital.com, said the Fed now has to decide on countermeasures that could be consistent with market expectations or lead to market instability. said it is necessary to do so. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic reiterated Tuesday that he expects two rate cuts in the second half of this year, but stressed there is no need to take immediate action. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates depends on economic development.
The dollar index, which compares the greenback against a basket of other currencies, was little changed at 102.20, after earlier falling more than 0.3%. The index hit a four-month low of 101.76 last week. Rodda also said that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the dollar's direction, indicating whether the expected rate cuts next year are justified. Investors are currently awaiting the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which could provide insight into whether inflation has slowed enough to warrant easing. may be provided. Will politics start next year?
EUR/USD approaches minor support level, what now?Hello traders, hope you had a great weekend. Last Friday, we made some
good profits of 100+ pips by selling EUR/USD at the 1.10 resistance level.
Now, at the moment, the price is approaching a minor support. Whether the support
level holds is another question. Price action tomorrow will be the determining
factor. Although, as we approach the end of the year, volumes will continue to
reduce as most of the big institutional traders will be on holiday.
Of course, I would not open any new sells at the current price levels. However,
in case EUR/USD spikes up to the resistance again, I will consider putting in
new sell trades.
#EURUSD: DXY will be dominate! this weekEURUSD will likely to drop due to strong sellers presence price bounced up on after FED decision led DXY to drop heavily. Due to a sudden price increase due to economic data, price left massive gaps in the market. It is very likely that before any further big move we can pick this intraday trade idea.
💡 EURUSD: Predicted December 18After approaching the target price range around the 1.1000 barrier, the price fell sharply in the past session, losing most of the previous session's gains and creating a rail pattern on the daily. This behavior shows that the price may peak at 1.1000. Expect the price to soon test the lower boundary of the down channel. However, those who want to reverse should wait after small rallies for a better entry if want to sell now.
EURUSD H1 / Looking for a SHORT Trade, see why ... 📊Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for EURUSD H1. At the moment, the Liquidity level was taken, next, we have a very important resistance level at the price of 1.09600, and also at the same level we can see an Order Block. In case of confirmation, I expect a bearish dominance until the price of 1.08100.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 up towards 1.10500The bias for the EUR/USD this week remains bullish, given the recent downward break in the DXY (Dollar) structure. Currently, the price has responded to a supply zone, leading to a partial retracement. My anticipation is for the price to continue its descent towards a demand level, creating an opportunity for me to consider buys within the ongoing bullish trend.
The demand zones identified on the 10-hour and 2-hour charts triggered an impulsive upward movement, leaving an imbalance. Recognising this pattern suggests that the price is likely to revisit these levels and react in a bullish manner.
Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- DXY (dollar) continues to break structure to the downside indicating that EU will rise.
- Lots of liquidity to the upside that hasn't been taken in the form of asian highs and trend lines.
- Demand zones haven been left on the 10hr and 2hr below the levels of imbalances.
- The price also responded to a near by 23-hour supply zone last week, and this event could serve as the catalyst for a retracement, paving the way for a new upward movement.
P.S. Additionally, I acknowledge the possibility of the price ascending and reaching the Asian high, which is in close proximity to the current price. Should this occur, my expectation is for the price to respond to the refined supply on the 50-minute chart above it, or potentially rise further to establish a more favourable sell opportunity.
I would also love to hear you guys thoughts on this pair so be sure to leave a comment!
EURUSD possible drop to support levelThe downward trend for EURUSD is anticipated to persist, having peaked at 1.10 last week before a rapid retreat.
The failure to breach this resistance level for the second time signals robust downward pressure against bullish movements. Although short-term corrections may occur in the upcoming week, the overall outlook favors a decline. The potential liquidity and turning point for EURUSD are projected to be around the 1.78 mark.
EURUSD Long Term Sell Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
Sold EUR/USD@1.0908, Possibility of 1.08. Anyone with me?Hello fellow traders! Similar to my trade ideas on GBP/USD and XAU/USD that
I published an hour ago, I have also sold EUR/USD because there is a lack
of a follow-through in EURUSD.
I believe EUR/USD will go the 1.08 level again. Selling EUR/USD@1.0910 with a
Stop loss above the resistance box and TP at 1.08 is potential sell trade.
EURUSD - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.08000.
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