Eurusdprediction
EUR/USD Faces Key Rejection – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesThe daily candle is facing rejection from the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish pressure.
The daily trend remains negative, aligning with the broader bearish sentiment on the weekly chart. For bulls to regain control, EUR/USD must break above the trendline and the 100 EMA at 1.0670.
Failure to do so could lead to further downside, especially if the 1.0300 support zone is breached.
DYOR, NFA
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISFollowing up on the guide that I posted on the weekly timeframe, internal price action on the 2H is bullish and we are currently at the OB which supports the first outcome.
Price could continue down without giving us a bearish choch which is a 50/50 trade IMO.
I would prefer to see a bearish choch first to increase its probability of holding.
If we break above the strong week high I will try to go long with the 2H internal aiming for short term targets until I see a bearish choch to target the weekly low.
The least probably but still possible outcome is for price to go above the December high if the 2H internal price action continues bullish.
We also have some very important news releases with Services PMI and NFP being the major ones so be sure to manage your risk this week like every week.
EURUSD DETAILED ANALYSISFollowing up on the guide that I posted on the weekly timeframe, internal price action on the 2H is bullish and we are currently at the OB which supports the first outcome.
Price could continue down without giving us a bearish choch which is a 50/50 trade IMO.
I would prefer to see a bearish choch first to increase its probability of holding.
If we break above the strong week high I will try to go long with the 2H internal aiming for short term targets until I see a bearish choch to target the weekly low. There are several areas where we could see a choch but keep in mind they could just give a reaction (no choch) to then just continue going higher.
The least probably but still possible outcome is for price to go above the December high if the 2H internal price action continues bullish.
We also have some very important news releases with Services PMI and NFP being the major ones so be sure to manage your risk this week like every week.
EurUsd could drop under parity in 2025 (0.95 target)Now that 2024 has concluded, EUR/USD has ended the year at its lowest point, marking a 7% decline from January and a 9% drop from its summer peak.
Most notably, the pair fell 6% since November—a significant move for such a typically stable currency pair, highlighting strong bearish momentum.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, the EUR/USD has shown a steady downtrend since its double top in August and September. Every meaningful reversal attempt was met with selling pressure, leading to a quick resumption of the downward trajectory.
The long-term (monthly) chart paints an even grimmer picture. The pair has been in a clear downtrend since its 2008 peak of 1.60, and it now sits precariously on critical support levels from the 2015 and 2017 lows.
Fundamental Outlook
The fundamentals align with the technical bearish trend. Diverging monetary policies and a bleak economic outlook for the EU add to the pair's struggles.
Conclusion:
Given these conditions, a drop below parity appears likely in the coming year. The most prudent trading strategy for EUR/USD is to sell into rallies and wait for further declines.
My target is 0.95, but, to be honest, I would not be very surprised by 0.9
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.03600 back down?My analysis for EUR/USD (EU) this week closely mirrors my expectations for GBP/USD (GU), as both pairs share similar points of interest (POIs). I’ll be focusing on capitalizing on the bearish trend evident in the formation of lower lows and lower highs.
With the recent break of structure to the downside, new supply zones have been created. I’ll be waiting for a retest of these zones to catch sell opportunities in alignment with the overall trend. Once the price sweeps liquidity and forms a clear schematic, I’ll enter sell trades targeting the demand zone below.
Confluences for EU Sells:
- The price has shown a Change of Character (CHOCH) and multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside.
- A few unmitigated supply zones remain, which are likely to be tapped.
- Lots of liquidity below, alongside imbalances that need to be filled.
- The Dollar Index (DXY) is bullish, strengthening the bearish case for EU through correlation.
Note: If the price continues dropping, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look for counter-trend buy opportunities from a valid demand zone.
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Short Continuation - Flag Set-upAfter having much success trading this down over the Christmas Period, EURUSD Looks to have disproved the fakeout of 1.05 and we will look to jump on the wagon for the next impulse on its way back to 0.96 - Providing a good retest is given allowing at least a 2:1 RRR down to 1.2, which is the 61.8 Fib Level of the weekly move up.
EURUSD Pattern FormationThis pair just touched, rebounded and closed above the Weekly FVG(BISI to be precise) and based on last weeks prediction, I anticipated that it might sweep the liquidity,but did not manage.
However, I do anticipate that we might be targeting the 2023 Yearly Low at 1.0455, so that we can cover the yearly FVG that "might form" between 2023 and opening of 2025. Remember that our overall target is 1.127.
For the entry points, we will wait for the market retract down a little bit (at around the FVG / 1.026 - 1.027) so that we can have an entry.
Target - 1.0455, Sl - 1.022 and entry at 1.027.
EUR/USD (SMC) concept+fib expansion!⭐EUR/USD has been in a strong downtrend, surpassing one of the last strongly confirmed supports, which makes me think that it will tend to retest this area from 1.03550, defying the continuation of the trend
⭐Before this retest of the support, my opinion is that it will go back down to the POI (point of interest) also called the strong demand zone
⭐Without much explanation in case the price does not test that POI I will automatically enter buy after confirmation that he will no longer retest that area
Inputs if retest POI: Inputs if doesn't retest POI:
Entry Price : 1.02650 Entry Price : 1.03200
Stop Loss: 1.02400 Stop Loss : 1.0300
Take Profit 1: 1.03100 Take Profit 1: 1.03100
Take Profit 2: 1.03550 Take Profit 2: 1.03550
Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky) Take Profit 3: 1.04000 (risky)
EURUSD Buy IdeaWhy am I bullish on FX:EURUSD as we approach NFP release? Well, lets analyse the weekly candle expansion. As depicted, price swept the previous week's high during the accumulation phase and shifted the market structure bearish, creating a change of character. During Manipulation, we saw price react from the 50% of the accumulation range making the bearish bias valid. Distribution delivered to the downside as expected and now we almost tapping a significant POI (weekly imbalance). We are anticipating a reversal because bears are now exhausted, so a long projection. Buy!
EURUSD Pattern FormationThis currency has been bearish for the past few weeks and I do anticipate that it will sweep the sell side liquidity (1.02), touch the weekly fair value gap before targeting the buy side liquidities at 1.127.
The entry position will be based on the lower timeframe, which I will give on the next analysis.
EURUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on support zone
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
EUR/USD Bearish Trend: Possible Reversal & Trade Opportunities👀💡 In this video, we analyze the EUR/USD currency pair, currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Notably, the trend appears overextended, and as we approach the end of the trading week, there’s a potential for a low to form either for the week or the day. This could lead to a retracement on Friday and Monday, with the possibility of a move higher as the market seeks liquidity and establishes the next day’s high. Such movements could present opportunities for counter-trend trades on Friday and potential continuation trades on Monday if the trend persists. Please note, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan
---
Trade Setup Overview:
- Instrument: EURUSD
- Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG.
- Technical Confluences:
- Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals.
- Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum.
- Risk Management:
- My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice).
- Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
- Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG.
- Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss.
---
Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long:
1. US Interest Rate Dynamics:
- Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength.
- However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength.
- Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper.
2. Eurozone Economic Factors:
- Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR.
- Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery.
3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes:
- The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones.
- Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long.
---
Personal Notes:
This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice.
Good luck and trade safely!
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD Will be in bearish direction after Breaking ChannelHello Traders
In This Chart EURUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (EURUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts