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Eurusdprediction

The Euro Bull sharpening it's horns against the USD?After further analysis on the weekly and monthly chart, I have identified what looks like a much larger broadening bottom pattern which signals the possibility of much further U.S. Dollar weakness. Based on my previous video analysis, my original target for the EUR/USD was 1.2000 however 1.2500 – 1.3000 is not out of the question now. We haven’t traded in that price range since 2014. In the immediate term, we could see a bullish acceleration if we begin trading cleanly above 1.1500. I will expand on this analysis in my next upcoming weekly video. Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Long
by InternalTraderNYC
2
EUR/USD Bullish Setup – Targeting 1.16950Entry Zone (Buy Area): Between 1.12729 and 1.13101 Stop Loss: 1.12100 Target (TP1): 1.16950 Risk-Reward Ratio (R:R): Risk: 1.13101 - 1.12100 = 101 pips Reward: 1.16950 - 1.13101 = ~385 pips R:R ≈ 1:3.8 — excellent risk-to-reward 📈 Technical Observations Bullish Momentum: Strong bullish candles leading into the setup suggest buyers are currently in control. Support Zone (Entry Area): The purple zone has acted as a previous resistance, now turned support. Price may retest this zone before moving higher (as indicated by the blue path on the chart). Moving Averages: Red (likely 50 EMA) and blue (possibly 200 EMA) are showing a bullish crossover. Price is above both MAs, reinforcing a bullish trend. Projected Move: The setup anticipates a pullback before a continuation to the upside toward 1.16950. 🧠 Trade Idea Summary This is a buy-the-dip strategy within a bullish trend. Entering on the pullback allows for: Tighter stop loss Better entry price Higher R:R ratio ⚠️ Risk Considerations A break below 1.12100 would invalidate the setup. Monitor for bearish reversal patterns or news around the EUR/USD that might shift sentiment.
Long
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
11
EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar) 📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high. 🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement. 💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher. ⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome: If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower 🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio. 🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point. ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1307 Support and resistance levels: 1.1421 1.1378 1.1350 1.1263 1.1235 1.1193 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1307, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1350 If the price breaks through 1.1263, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1235
Long
by BraveTigercat
EURUSD Daily, H4,H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading Idea💡 Daily Timeframe: As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, EURUSD was rejected from the channel line. 💡 H4 Timeframe: FX:EURUSD started a corrective wave, This decline may continue, but the support area of ​1.1200 ~ 1.0890 could trigger a rebound. This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity. 💡 H1 Timeframe: The Triangle pattern formed in the price has broken downwards. The bearish wave is expected to continue as long as the price is below the strong resistance at 1.1334 1.1334 Support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now! 💡 H1 Forecast: Correction wave toward the Sell Zone Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs H1 Trading Idea: Sell now or wait for pullback and Sell on price rejection from 1.1334. SL: Above 1.1334 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
by ForecastCity
14
EURUSD Short Term Buy IdeaH4 - Strong bullish momentum Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD No opposite signs Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the strong support zone holds. If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
"EUR/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Sniper Entry🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area): 📍 Between 1.13755 – 1.14258 🚫 Expecting sellers to dominate here 🧱 Acts like a ceiling that price struggles to break 🔽 Sell Setup: 🎯 Entry Point: 1.13755 🔥 Stop Loss: 1.14258 (above zone — protection!) 💰 Target Point: 1.11611 📉 Expecting price to drop after entering this zone 📏 Risk vs Reward: ⚠️ Risk: ~50 pips 🏆 Reward: ~210 pips ✅ RR Ratio: ~1:4.2 (very favorable) 📊 EMA (7, close): 🟠 Current price is hovering around EMA ⏳ Suggests consolidation or a potential reversal soon 🔁 Scenario Plan: 1. 📈 Price moves into supply zone 2. 🚨 Triggers entry (Sell) at 1.13755 3. 🚀 If wrong, hits Stop Loss at 1.14258 4. ✅ If correct, drops to Take Profit at 1.11611 Summary: ✍️ Bearish outlook 🛑 Strong supply/resistance expected 📉 Good setup for a short position with low risk and high reward
Short
by Jameshead007
EURUSD TECHNICALS & FUNDAMENTALS🧱 Wave Structure & Pattern Wave (1)–(5) structure is complete with strong impulse. Wave (5) looks extended with a steep angle — could mean temporary exhaustion before a pullback or sideways correction. Volume surged heavily during Wave (5), suggesting high participation and buying climax potential. ✏️ Key Levels: Current Price: ~1.1394 Support Zone: Around 1.1300–1.1250 (previous resistance = now support) Next Resistance Levels: Minor: 1.1450 Major: 1.1600 (psychological and historical) 📈 Trendlines: Clear rising trendline support from late January — keep an eye on any break below for early reversal signs. A healthy retest of the 1.1300 zone could offer a long re-entry if bullish structure holds. ⚠️ Risk Watch: After a 5-wave move, expect either an ABC corrective phase or a consolidation range. Don’t get faked out by small pullbacks — corrections are normal after strong impulses. 🧠 Fundamental Analysis 📰 Key Drivers Today: 🇺🇸 U.S. Data / Sentiment: Retail Sales (March) — stronger data could push the USD higher, putting pressure on EUR/USD. Fed’s rate outlook: any hawkish hints from FOMC speakers or stronger data can boost USD. 🇪🇺 Eurozone Factors: ECB’s recent dovish pivot is in focus. German ZEW Economic Sentiment release is coming — a major sentiment mover. Slower EU inflation data may keep ECB from tightening further, limiting euro upside unless the dollar weakens. 💸 Bond Yields & Dollar Index (DXY): Rising U.S. yields or a DXY bounce could be a headwind. DXY is hovering at key support — a rebound could stall EUR/USD's rally. 📊 Sentiment Overview: Short-term: Bullish, but approaching overbought. Medium-term: Cautious bullish — possible retest of support before continuation. Macro: Dependent on U.S. data surprises and ECB tone. 🔍 Summary & Strategy Thoughts: Bias Levels to Watch Trigger Idea ⚡ Bullish Break above 1.1450 Target 1.1600 if dollar weakens further ⚠️ Neutral / Pullback Retest of 1.1300–1.1250 support Buy-the-dip zone if trendline holds 🐻 Bearish (Short-Term) Break below 1.1250 Possible deeper correction toward 1.1100–1.1050
by xxChartWhizxx
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 - Weekly Order Block rejection Setup 1 -15' break of structure - Tokyo low range remains - Pull back into 15' order block - Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish Setup 2 - Lower time frame break of structure - Lower time frame bearish candle formation Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays. Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us. It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play! EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25 FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/AUD 4H Trade Setup: Demand Zone Bounce to 1.87500🔵 Key Zones and Levels 🟦 Demand Zone: Strong support area where price has bounced multiple times. ✅ Confluence with the trendline gives extra strength. 🎯 Entry Point: 1.78990 Perfect spot for a potential buy setup. 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962 Below the demand zone to protect against false breakouts. 🚀 Target Point: 1.87500 Profit goal with an impressive +4.85% potential (867.4 pips)! 📊 Price Action 📍Current price: 1.80528 (hovering near EMA and close to entry) 🔁 Price has tested the support zone several times — showing signs of accumulation. ⬆️ Potential bullish breakout from this zone. 🔍 Indicators & Patterns 📏 EMA (7): Price is near it, waiting for a clear move above for momentum. 📈 Trendline: Holding well as dynamic support. 🔶 Channel pattern: Higher highs and higher lows indicate uptrend structure. 📌 Summary 🟢 Buy Setup: 🛒 Entry: 1.78990 🛑 Stop Loss: 1.76962 🎯 Target: 1.87500 ⚖️ Risk-Reward: Great R:R setup with strong technical backing!
Long
by Jameshead007
EURUSD(20250414) Today's AnalysisMarket news: Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1339 Support and resistance levels: 1.1624 1.1517 1.1448 1.1229 1.1160 1.1054 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1339, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1448 If the price breaks through 1.1229, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1160
Long
by BraveTigercat
2
EUR/JPY Eyes Breakout — Can Bulls Push Through Resistance?EUR/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis EUR/JPY is holding strong above a rising trendline that’s acted as support since 2022. The pair recently bounced from a key support zone and is now testing a major resistance area. A breakout above this zone could trigger a bullish continuation, while rejection may lead to another pullback toward the trendline. Key Levels: Support: 153.5–155.0 Resistance: 163.5–165.0 Watch for: Weekly close above resistance for bullish confirmation. Structure remains bullish as long as the trendline holds.
Long
by unichartz
EURUSD Daily Analysis 📊 EURUSD Daily Chart – 12/04/2025 Price has shown strong bullish momentum after a clear market structure shift (MSS) and a clean break above the previous daily low (PDL). The recent breakout from the order block (OB) confirms bullish intent, supported by the price filling and respecting the Fair Value Gaps (FVG). 🔍 Key Highlights: Bullish MSS confirms a shift in structure. Price filled the FVG below and used it as support. Potential retracement into the new FVG (around 1.11500–1.12500) before targeting the monthly high at 1.14738. 📈 Bias: Bullish 📌 Target: Monthly high above 1.14700 📉 Watch for: Price reaction at FVG zone before continuation.
Long
by Herotraderfx
FX Liquidity 'Worse Than Covid' Amid Tariff Shock. Long EUR/USD?Liquidity Seizes Up: Dealers Report Conditions 'Worse Than Covid' Amid Tariff Turmoil The intricate plumbing of the global foreign exchange market, typically the world's deepest and most liquid financial arena, experienced a severe blockage in recent days, with dealers reporting liquidity conditions even more challenging than during the peak of the Covid-19 crisis in early 2020. Triggered by the sudden announcement of potential sweeping tariffs by former US President Donald Trump, the ability to execute large trades without significantly moving prices evaporated, creating treacherous conditions for market participants before a temporary pause on the tariff implementation offered a brief respite. Reports indicate that available liquidity for a single transaction, or "clip," in major currency pairs plummeted to lows around $20 million. While this figure might still sound substantial, it represents a dramatic reduction from the norms in the multi-trillion dollar-a-day spot FX market, where clips of $50 million, $100 million, or even more could typically be absorbed with minimal market impact, especially in benchmark pairs like EUR/USD. This liquidity drought occurred paradoxically alongside a spike in overall trading volumes. Both algorithmic trading systems and human traders on principal desks were highly active, reacting to the news flow and heightened volatility. However, this surge in activity masked a fundamental deterioration in market quality. High volume accompanied by low liquidity signifies frantic, often smaller, trades occurring across widening bid-ask spreads, with market makers unwilling or unable to provide firm quotes for substantial sizes. It's the market equivalent of a crowded room where everyone is shouting, but no one is willing to make a firm commitment. Why 'Worse Than Covid'? Unpacking Dealer Sentiment The comparison to the Covid-19 crisis is stark and revealing. The initial wave of the pandemic in March 2020 caused unprecedented volatility across all asset classes as the world grappled with lockdowns and economic shutdowns. FX liquidity certainly suffered then, with spreads widening dramatically. However, dealers suggest the current environment, driven by tariff uncertainty, felt different, and arguably worse, for several reasons: 1. Nature of the Shock: Covid-19, while devastating, was primarily a health crisis with economic consequences. Central banks globally responded with massive, coordinated liquidity injections and policy easing, providing a clear backstop (even if the initial shock was severe). The tariff announcement, however, represents a political and policy shock. Its potential impact is multifaceted – affecting inflation, growth, supply chains, corporate earnings, and international relations – and far harder to model. The policy path forward, including potential retaliation from other countries, is deeply uncertain. 2. Central Bank Reaction Function: During Covid, the playbook for central banks was relatively clear: provide liquidity and ease financial conditions. In response to potential tariffs, the central bank reaction is much less certain. Tariffs could be inflationary (raising import costs), potentially pushing central banks towards tighter policy, while simultaneously being negative for growth, which might argue for easing. This ambiguity makes it harder for markets to price in a predictable policy response, adding another layer of uncertainty that dampens risk appetite and liquidity provision. 3. Fundamental Uncertainty vs. Panic: While Covid induced panic, the underlying driver was identifiable. The tariff threat introduces deep uncertainty about the fundamental rules of global trade. This makes it exceptionally difficult for market makers, who provide liquidity, to price risk accurately. When risk becomes unquantifiable, the natural reaction is to withdraw, reduce quote sizes, and widen spreads significantly to avoid being caught on the wrong side of a large, unhedged position. The Tariff Trigger: A Wrench in the Works Donald Trump's proposal for a "reciprocal" or blanket tariff system, potentially starting at 10% on all imports with higher rates for specific countries, fundamentally challenges the existing global trade framework. The announcement immediately forced market participants to reassess: • Inflation Outlook: Tariffs directly increase the cost of imported goods, potentially fueling inflation and impacting interest rate expectations. • Economic Growth: Trade wars can disrupt supply chains, raise business costs, reduce export competitiveness (due to retaliation), and dampen consumer and business confidence, weighing on growth. • Currency Valuations: Currencies of countries heavily reliant on exports to the US, or those potentially facing steep retaliatory tariffs, came under pressure. The US dollar itself experienced volatility as markets weighed the inflationary impact against the potential growth slowdown and risk-aversion flows. This complex interplay of factors, combined with the political uncertainty surrounding the implementation and potential scope of such policies, created a perfect storm for volatility. Algorithmic systems, programmed based on historical correlations and data, struggled to navigate a potential regime shift driven by policy pronouncements. Human traders, facing heightened risk and uncertainty, became more cautious. Liquidity providers, facing the risk of being adversely selected (i.e., only trading when the market is about to move sharply against them), drastically reduced their exposure. The Impact: Beyond the Trading Desks The evaporation of liquidity has real-world consequences: • Increased Transaction Costs: Corporates needing to hedge currency exposure for international trade face higher costs (wider spreads). • Execution Risk: Asset managers rebalancing global portfolios find it harder and more expensive to execute large trades, potentially suffering significant slippage (the difference between the expected execution price and the actual price). • Systemic Risk: In highly leveraged markets, poor liquidity can exacerbate sell-offs. Margin calls, as reportedly seen alongside the tariff news, can force leveraged players to liquidate positions rapidly into an illiquid market, potentially triggering a domino effect. The temporary pause in the tariff implementation announced subsequently provided some relief, likely allowing liquidity to recover partially from the extreme lows. However, the underlying uncertainty hasn't disappeared. Until there is greater clarity on the future direction of US trade policy, the FX market is likely to remain susceptible to bouts of nervousness and reduced liquidity. Should You Long EUR/USD Based on This? A Cautious No. While the liquidity situation is dire and reflects significant market stress, using poor FX liquidity itself as a primary reason to take a directional view, such as longing EUR/USD, is generally flawed logic. Here's why: 1. Liquidity is Not Direction: Market liquidity reflects the ease and cost of transacting, not necessarily the fundamental direction of an asset price. Poor liquidity is a symptom of high volatility, uncertainty, and risk aversion. While these factors can influence currency direction (e.g., risk aversion often benefits perceived safe-haven currencies), the liquidity state itself isn't the driver. Both buyers and sellers face the same poor liquidity. 2. Universal Impact: The reported liquidity crunch affected the global spot FX market. While specific pairs might have been hit harder at times, the underlying issue was broad-based risk aversion and dealer pullback, impacting EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD, and others. It doesn't inherently favor the Euro over the Dollar. 3. Focus on Fundamentals and Sentiment: A decision to long EUR/USD should be based on a broader analysis of: o Relative Monetary Policy: Expectations for the European Central Bank (ECB) versus the US Federal Reserve (Fed). o Economic Outlook: Growth prospects in the Eurozone versus the United States. o Risk Sentiment: Is the broader market mood risk-on (often favoring EUR) or risk-off (which can sometimes favor USD, though the tariff news complicated this)? o Tariff Impact Analysis: How would the proposed tariffs, if implemented, differentially impact the Eurozone and US economies? Would potential EU retaliation harm the US more, or vice-versa? 4. Increased Trading Risk: Poor liquidity makes any trade riskier and more expensive. Spreads are wider, meaning entry and exit costs are higher. Slippage on stop-loss orders or take-profit orders is more likely. Executing large sizes is challenging. Therefore, even if you have a strong fundamental view to long EUR/USD, the current liquidity environment makes executing and managing that trade significantly more difficult and costly. Conclusion The recent seizure in FX liquidity, reportedly surpassing the severity seen during the Covid crisis onset, underscores the market's extreme sensitivity to geopolitical and policy uncertainty. The threat of sweeping tariffs injected a level of unpredictability that forced liquidity providers to retreat, even amidst high trading volumes. While the temporary pause offers breathing room, the fragility remains. For traders, this environment demands heightened caution, smaller position sizes, and wider stop-losses. Critically, basing directional trades like longing EUR/USD solely on the state of market liquidity is misguided. Such decisions must stem from a thorough analysis of economic fundamentals, policy outlooks, and risk sentiment, while acknowledging that poor liquidity significantly raises the cost and risk of executing any strategy.
by bryandowningqln