EUR/USD Trade Setup – 1 Hour TimeframeMessy Price Action 🤕🤧
On the 1-hour timeframe, EUR/USD has formed a supply zone around the 1.11600 price area, and the price is currently pulling back to that level. Meanwhile, the DXY (US Dollar Index) is tapping into a demand level on the daily timeframe.
I’ve also noticed the price slowing down at a minor resistance level, but I’ll wait for a pullback to the supply zone for a more effective entry. Minor support and resistance levels are generally less reliable.
Note: There are two types of Support and Resistance Levels
1. Major Support and Resistance Levels:
These levels have the strength to stop and reverse a trending market altogether.
They are key turning points in the market.
2. Minor Support and Resistance Levels:
These levels only temporarily delay rising or falling prices within a larger trend.
They provide short-term pauses but are generally less impactful..
Eurusdprediction
EUR/USD Sell to Buy idea from 1.10200This week's analysis for EUR/USD (EU) is quite interesting, as there is significant liquidity on both sides of the market. My plan is to wait for a liquidity sweep before considering trade entries. Ideally, I would like to see the price reach my 17-hour demand zone to continue the upward trend.
If the price doesn’t immediately reach that point of interest (POI), I’ll look for a short-term sell opportunity from the 4-hour supply zone, but only if I get the right confirmation. While there are equal highs and Asia session highs above the supply zone, I’ll be cautious and look for additional confluences.
Key confluences for EU buys:
- Significant liquidity to the upside, including equal highs and Asia session highs.
- A 17-hour demand zone that caused a break of structure to the upside.
- This is a pro-trend idea, with buys looking more favourable.
- The DXY (Dollar Index) is bearish, further supporting the bullish outlook for EU.
P.S. If the price breaks structure to the upside, I’ll look for a new demand zone to buy from. There’s a lot of liquidity built up above the current price that the market may target.
EURUSD aggressive move higher is coming**Monthly Chart**
Last month's candle on EURUSD closed bullish after it swiped the liquidity above Dec 2023 high just shy away from 1.12000 (round number). This month's candle suggests a continuation of the move at least to tap 1.12000 and move above the July 2023 high at around 1.14000 level.
**Weekly Chart**
Last week candle closed as a bullish engulfing candle which suggests a continuation of the move higher at least towards 1.12000 and then 1.14000 levels (round numbers).
**Daily Chart**
EURUSD moved higher last week, swiped the liquidity above the previous swing high, and tested the IPA only to move lower. I believe there is still momentum to the upside. However, the structure is currently not supporting it. I would like to see EURUSD move at least to daily IPA and give us a buying structure if it moves higher. The next target is above 1.1250 and then 1.14000 level.
EUR/USD Reverses at Supply Level Amid German PMI WeaknessGermany’s Manufacturing PMI continued its decline, dropping to 40.3 in September, falling short of the forecast of 42.4. This latest figure signals ongoing weakness in Europe’s largest economy, as the manufacturing sector struggles with reduced demand and broader economic challenges. The PMI contraction adds further pressure to the already fragile outlook for the Eurozone, and it has contributed to the recent bearish moves in the EUR/USD pair.
As anticipated in our recent analysis, the EUR/USD reacted sharply to the supply level around 1.11500, starting a reversal following the weak data. The currency pair’s behavior confirms the importance of this key resistance area, which has once again acted as a barrier to further gains. The reversal gained momentum as the Services PMI for the German economy also disappointed, falling to 50.6 in September, below the expected 51.0. The combined weakness in both manufacturing and services sectors signals a broader slowdown in the German economy, weighing on the Euro.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the EUR/USD, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in sentiment between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders remain largely long on the EUR/USD, reflecting optimism that the Euro will recover. However, "Smart Money" — large institutional traders — continue to hold a bearish position, suggesting that they expect further downside for the pair.
This contrast in positioning underscores the potential for more weakness in the Euro, particularly if the economic data from Germany and the Eurozone continues to disappoint. As smart money maintains a bearish stance and the EUR/USD begins its reversal, traders should remain cautious of potential short-term rallies and focus on the broader downtrend that seems to be forming.
Looking ahead, traders will keep a close eye on future economic data releases and central bank decisions, as these will likely shape the next leg of the EUR/USD’s movement. For now, the pair appears set to continue its downward trend, with the 1.11500 supply level serving as a strong point of resistance.
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EURUSD WEEKLY UPDATESHello fellow traders. waiting for a weekly candle to break the 2023 highs!
Looking for a sell after a weekly candle that make a wick!
This idea base on Re-accumulation. this is not a financial advice.
Wait for 1.12754 to be break. then wait a closed candle on weekly timeframe.
FOr buy area see the chart, Look for entry buy zone 1.06946 after a week candle closed!
This is only my Point of view.
Trade base on your understanding.
Follow for more.
Swing trades. come and check me out for autoscale copy trading.
ciao.
Happy weekend.!
EURUSD week 39 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD faced selling pressure above 1.1150 during North American trading hours on Friday. The major currency pair fell as the US dollar (USD) recovered. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the greenback's value against six major currencies, rebounded sharply to near 101.00
However, the overall outlook for the US dollar remains uncertain, following the Fed's aggressive rate cut and growing market expectations that the US central bank will continue its aggressive policy easing cycle. The Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps) as policymakers appeared to focus on restoring strength in the labour market as inflation eases to the bank's 2% target.
In terms of interest rate guidance, Fed policymakers see the federal funds rate heading towards 4.4% by year-end, according to the latest dot plot. However, traders expect a further 75 bps cut to 4.00%-4.25%, according to the CME FedWatch tool.
🕯Technical Analysis
The EURUSD uptrend has seen some minor corrections but the buying pressure remains strong, so the immediate price range the pair faces next week is around 1.222 and 1.112. The highest measured Fibonacci extension of 1.618 will be around 1.126 and a retracement of the strategic support zone of 1.108 will keep the pair from a long slide.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.126-1.128 Stoploss 1.130
BUY EURUSD zone 1.112-1.110 Stoploss 1.108
#EURUSD: 600+ PIPS Buying Chance Emerging! Good LuckFX:EURUSD
Price in weekly timeframe shown us a clear price indication of what it could be heading towards. There are more than enough confirmations which helped us to analysis and predict the future price of EU. Although, there is a big chance that price may drop a bit further down due to FED involvement within the market tomorrow. However, we are confident enough that price will remain bullish for upcoming weeks. Good luck.
KOG's RED BOXES - EURUSD EURUSD:
Key level red box here is around the 1.1045 region with the bias being bullish above. Swing high currently in production, immediate red box needs to break.
Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
EURUSD 1H TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS | SELL MEAL IS READY WHAT YOU THINKHello, everyone! I hope you’re all doing well and ready to dive into today’s trading opportunities. I’m excited to share my analysis on EURUSD and discuss a potential setup that I believe could be quite rewarding for us.
As we assess the current market landscape, it’s clear that eurusd has recently grabbed all buy-side liquidity. This movement indicates a potential shift in market sentiment and opens the door to bearish momentum. With this in mind, I’m considering a short position on eurusd, with my entry point at 1.11800.
Here’s my detailed outlook:
Market Analysis: The price action we’ve seen suggests that buyers have exhausted their strength. With liquidity being tapped out, we’re now likely to see sellers take control, pushing prices lower. Historical patterns and current trends support this bearish outlook, making it an opportune moment to capitalize on potential downward movement.
Target Levels: For this trade, my first target is set at 1.11450, and I’m aiming for further downside to around 1.11150. These levels have shown significant support in the past, and I anticipate they will be crucial in this trading session.
Risk Management: To protect our investment, I’m implementing a stop loss at 1.12200. This provides us with a comfortable 30-pip buffer, allowing for some market fluctuation while safeguarding our capital. It’s essential to have a clear risk management strategy in place, especially in volatile markets like eurusd.
Trade Execution: I encourage everyone to analyze this setup based on your own strategies and risk tolerance. Always ensure that your trade aligns with your overall trading plan. If you’re considering this trade, I recommend staying vigilant and watching for confirmation signals before entering.
Community Engagement: I want to take a moment to express my heartfelt gratitude for the incredible support and engagement you’ve shown for my ideas. Your feedback not only motivates me but also enriches our community. If you have insights, alternative perspectives, or questions about this setup—or if there’s anything else on your mind—please share in the comments! I’m eager to discuss and learn from all of you.
Looking Ahead: As we navigate today’s trading session, let’s remain focused and adaptable. The markets can change rapidly, and being prepared to adjust our strategies is key to success. Remember, trading is not just about making profits; it’s also about continuous learning and growth as traders.
Thank you all once again for being such a fantastic community! Together, let’s make the most of today’s trading opportunities. Here’s to a successful day ahead—let’s aim for those profits! 🚀💰✨
Happy trading, everyone!
EURUSD → We have to waitDuring yesterday's session, the euro hit the key weekly level at 1.11250
The price movement today will be crucial, as tomorrow's interest rate decision is due and high volatility is expected. We have to keep in mind that the 1.11500 level has not yet been touched.
Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
EURUSD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 EURUSD Analysis on 1HR chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- there is Bearish divergences
-Rising Wedge reversal pattern is form
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 0.67295
- Stop Loss = 1.11500
- TP1 = 1.11030
- TP2 = 1.10790
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
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EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
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EUR USD Intraday & Daily Analysis for start of new week!
It looks like there is more demand for buying the EURO right at this moment!
The chart shows a lot of buying during the week of the EURO from order-blocks, which led to a rally in the EURO against the USD and a perfect fib level retracement at 50% level to more buyers.
There are double-tops on weekly and monthly charts which could hinder things a little bit,
Bullish Outlook for EUR/USD Next WeekNext week presents a strong bullish opportunity for EUR/USD, especially for long-term longs. While we may experience a short-term pullback, I expect the Euro to spike down early in the week before rallying on Wednesday, driven by the anticipated Fed rate cuts on the Dollar. My entry point will be around the 1.10236 demand zone, where I will look to open long positions. With a bearish outlook on the U.S. Dollar. The Euro is poised for a potential bull market.
(Take profit levels can be set higher based on your own analysis. My targets are for reference only—always trust your own strategy and avoid relying on others.)