EURUSD Setup: Buy First, Sell Later – Don’t Miss the Move!EURUSD has been trending upward for a while now, just as we discussed in the last post. We're reaching higher levels, and while it does look like we could be approaching a potential sell zone, I’m staying patient.
I believe there are still some highs above us that need to be taken out first. What we’re seeing right now could be manipulation—an attempt to trap early sellers. That’s why I won’t be selling yet.
Instead, I’m watching for buy setups today and tomorrow off key levels on my chart. Once those highs are swept and we get confirmation, that’s when I’ll start looking for potential sells.
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Eurusdshort
EURUSD Approaching Major Resistance - Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD is approaching a major resistance level, marked by significant selling pressure. This area has historically acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reaction if sellers step in again.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this resistance level, there is a high probability of a downward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head lower toward the 1.09742 level, which serves as a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break above this resistance would invalidate the bearish bias and could lead to further upside.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on EURUSD
EURUSD is on a strong 3-week rally correction that was almost got rejected on Friday due to the UK and US GDP data that came pretty strong and weak respectively.
That said, I am still quite anticipating for a possible correction to continue towards the 50% fib level at 1.0650, before we can start looking for a possible buy entry in the long term.
Trading Plan:
1. BUY if the resistance gets broken and retest successfully.
2. SELL if the current region acts as resistance for rejection towards the downside with an engulfing called on the 4H chart.
Targets:
1. Can be 1:2 for either entries.
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) indicates an Overbought but easing gradually towards the 50 level.
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EURUSD Technical AnalysisTechnical Analysis
The RSI indicator recently reached oversold levels, suggesting strong downward pressure. Currently, RSI is testing a descending resistance trendline, which has previously acted as a dynamic ceiling for momentum.
Given this setup, there is a higher probability that the price may continue to move lower, especially if RSI gets rejected at this trendline once again. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before entering any short positions.
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 Y25 TUESDAY 8TH APRIL 2025
Welcome back if you're returning, Welcome if you're new here!
Let's take a long into a much unchanged EUERUSD short analysis. The weekly time frame in particular is setting the short scene here. The weekly order block created in September 2024 is providing the valid short point of interest and we have witnessed rejection from that area.
It is also worth mentioning risk management. It does not really feel like a change in dynamic, the majority of us have seen similar price action movements during financial global shifts. My only take away is RISK MANAGEMENT during those/ these periods. One thing I have noticed being a trader is I can always find a position, the question is, BUT... "what position are you going to execute"
This was the difference between FRGNT now and FRGNT then.
Take EURUSD, we have alerts set just below our points of interest. Once that alert sounds, we are aware that our high probability set up is to be looked at closer.
EURUSD short forecast in that case remains 100% unchanged at this time and I shall link the EURUSD short forecast from week 15 beginning.
You may feel that there is no need to read but I hope this reenforces that at times there are trading periods in which there simply is no position to execute. Our job at professional risk managers is to ensure that when our set up does materialise, we are there ready with out account balance intact to bank the full rewards.
FRGNT X
EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 19th I shared this "EURUSD Sell and Buy Trading Plan"
I expected short term bearish moves towards the Fibonacci support zones and then continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan here!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (07.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0825
2nd Support – 1.0719
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EURUSD at Major Resistance: Will it Drop To 1.09000?OANDA:EURUSD reached a major resistance level that has previously acted as a strong barrier, triggering bearish momentum in the past. This zone also aligns with prior supply areas where sellers have stepped in, making it a potential point of interest for those looking for short opportunities. Given its historical significance, how price reacts here could set the tone for the next move.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.09000 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
Best of luck!
EURUSD forming a top?EURUSD - Intraday
Continued upward momentum from 1.0778 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday.
Trades at the highest level in 6 months.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 1.1105.
Our medium term bias is bearish below 1.1014 towards 1.0700.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
We look to Sell at 1.1160 (stop at 1.1245)
Our profit targets will be 1.0837 and 1.0700
Resistance: 1.1146 / 1.1160 / 1.1214
Support: 1.0837 / 1.0700 / 1.0675
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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EUR USD Weekly Timeframe Outlook EUR USD Trade Setup weekly timeframe
On the weekly timeframe EUR USD has tapped on a strong supply level.
this level has also acted as a strong resistance level in the past.
So we will be looking for selling opportunities from the lower timeframe.
Patterns to watch out for.
1. Double Top
2. Head and shoulders pattern
3. Bearish break and retest + it must align with the 0.50 - 0.618 Fib Retracement level for stronger confirmation.
4. Lower timeframe supply levels.
Check next post to see the pattern i found.
EUR/USD Triangle Breakout (02.04.2025)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Triangle Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0736
2nd Support – 1.0707
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EURUSD - what’s next?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective.
After making such a huge upside move, we are expecting EURUSD to have some sort of a correction or a pullback to the downside. After that we got a sell off on EURUSD and just today we hit the 50% correction level at around 1.08442 . After failing to break to the upside we can expect more sells to be in play. Any breaks to the downside from the current price will confirm this. Although TVC:DXY is not as strong at the moment, it still is a global reserve currency . We seen that in play last week when we saw massive upside on OANDA:XAUUSD and on TVC:DXY . We must understand that investors are also pouring their money into DXY as it is a global reserve currency. I still personally believe TVC:DXY holds more strength against TVC:EXY hence why I am still looking to short the pair.
Scenario 1: SELLS from current price
With the instant sell, we are risking a possible pullback and continuations to the upside however, DXY is looking like it will reverse. Failing to break to the upside can also be taken as a confirmation for potential sells.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the break of the Key Level (around 1.085)
With the break to the upside, we can expect more buys to come in play possibly targeting previous highs on EURUSD at around 1.09444.
KEY NOTES
- DXY possible reversal to the upside.
- Breaks above the KL and to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- EURUSD has completed the 50% correction to the upside.
- DXY is the global reserve currency.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
EUR/USD Double Top Analysis - Bearish Reversal Trade Setup This analysis highlights a Double Top pattern forming on the EUR/USD 4-hour timeframe, which is a classic bearish reversal pattern. The pattern signals a potential shift from a bullish trend to a downtrend, providing traders with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and target levels.
1. Understanding the Double Top Pattern
A Double Top is a trend reversal pattern that forms after an extended uptrend. It consists of two peaks (Top 1 and Top 2) at approximately the same resistance level, followed by a break below the neckline (support level), confirming the pattern.
Pattern Breakdown:
Top 1 & Top 2: These peaks represent failed attempts to break higher, showing strong selling pressure at resistance.
Support (Neckline): The price found support at a key level, where buyers initially stepped in, but eventually, this level was broken, triggering a potential downtrend.
2. Key Levels & Trading Setup
📌 Resistance Level (Bearish Rejection Zone)
The resistance level is marked in the 1.09500 - 1.09600 range.
Price action tested this zone twice (Top 1 & Top 2) but failed to sustain above it.
The repeated rejection indicates that sellers are dominant in this zone.
📌 Support Level (Neckline Breakout Confirmation)
The support level is marked in the 1.07700 - 1.07800 zone.
The price bounced off this area initially, but later broke below it, confirming a bearish move.
The breakout suggests selling momentum is increasing.
3. Trading Strategy – Bearish Setup
🔴 Entry Point (Sell Trigger)
A short trade is confirmed when the price breaks below the neckline (support level) after forming the Double Top.
The breakout confirms seller dominance and signals potential downside movement.
🚨 Stop Loss Placement
Stop Loss is placed slightly above the resistance level at 1.09575.
This ensures protection against false breakouts or price retracements.
🎯 Target (Take Profit Projection)
The price target is calculated based on the height of the Double Top pattern.
Target Level: 1.06639, aligning with the measured move from the resistance to the neckline.
4. Market Outlook & Risk Management
📉 Bearish Scenario (High Probability Move)
✔️ The market structure shows a strong bearish reversal with price failing to break above resistance.
✔️ The confirmed neckline break indicates sellers have taken control.
✔️ If the price continues lower, we can expect a move toward 1.06639.
📈 Bullish Scenario (Invalidation of Trade)
❌ If price closes back above resistance (1.09575), it would invalidate the bearish setup.
❌ This would indicate that buyers are regaining control, and the trade setup should be re-evaluated.
5. Final Thoughts & TradingView Tags
Summary of Trading Setup:
✅ Pattern: Double Top (Bearish Reversal)
✅ Sell Entry: Below the support neckline
✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.09575
✅ Target: 1.06639
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable
📌 Tags for TradingView Idea:
#EURUSD #DoubleTop #ForexTrading #BearishReversal #SupportResistance #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexSetup #TradingStrategy
EURUSD Short IdeaTrade entered. Entry rules met.
Confluences:
✅ Bearish overall bias
✅ Bearish demand zone
✅ Bearish impulse crab pattern
✅ Bearish divergence
✅ Bearish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Price is in entry zone
✅ Required risk:reward met
⭐ I shared this watch zone in my weekly forex outlook this week, you can subscribe by clicking the link in my bio.
EURUSD Trading: Unveiling the Precise Strategy GuideAfter last week's decline, the euro against the US dollar started to recover at the beginning of this week and is currently trading within the positive range around 1.0850.
According to the Wall Street Journal, the White House is adjusting its tariff policy set to take effect on April 2nd. It may cancel a series of tariffs targeting specific industries and instead impose reciprocal tariffs on countries with significant trade relations with the US. Affected by this news, during the European morning session, US stock index futures rose by 0.8% to 1.0%.
On the 4 - hour chart in the European morning session on Monday, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator climbed to 50, indicating that the recent bearish momentum has dissipated to some extent.
In terms of the upward direction, the 50 - period Simple Moving Average (SMA) forms an interim resistance level at 1.0880, followed by 1.0900. If the euro - US dollar pair can firmly stand above this level, the next resistance level may be at 1.0950.
EURUSD Trading Strategy:
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
EUR/USD: Bearish Reversal Potential at Fibonacci LevelEUR/USD daily chart provides a nice short opportunity. The pair recently experienced a retracement as part of an extended downtrend, reaching the 70.00% Fibonacci retracement level and facing resistance at the 1.09957/1.09947 level. A confluence of technical variables in this way can serve as a potential reversal point and resumption of the underlying bearish trend.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Sell short EUR/USD at or near the prevailing price (1.08361) on confirmation of bearish price action such as a rejection candle off the resistance point.
Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order above the new high (1.12142) or at a judiciously chosen resistance level to manage risk.
Take Profit: Look for the following support levels as probable take-profit points:
1.07323
1.07286
1.06794
EURUSD Maintains Bearish Momentum - Is 1.07500 the Next Target?OANDA:EURUSD is trading within a well-defined descending channel, with price action consistently respecting both the upper and lower boundaries. Recently, the price rejected a key resistance zone, reinforcing bearish momentum and signaling a potential continuation toward lower levels.
The current price action suggests that if price continues to respect this resistance, we could see further downside toward 1.07500, aligning with the lower boundary of the channel. However, if price breaks above the channel and sustains above it, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, potentially signaling a shift in momentum. Monitoring price action and volume at this level will be essential for confirmation.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
Fri 21st Mar 2025 EUR/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a EUR/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
EURUSD: What does mathematics say about its trend?EURUSD pair!! What can we expect from its trend in the coming weeks? It's common knowledge that the euro has strengthened significantly since March 3rd, as the chart clearly shows. What has this been due to? Multiple factors (Trump, USD technical decline, tariffs, manipulation, etc.). But what's important for a trader? Knowing the direction in the coming weeks. If we look at the surveys (shown in the chart), 90% of traders believe that the EURUSD will go down. And us? What do we think...
---> Let's analyze the chart to think mathematically and forget about surveys and people's opinions because that's how a profitable trader should think, like a bot!
Mathematically, it's clear: BEARISH in the long term and BULLISH in a RECUMBENT PHASE or LOSING STRENGTH in the short term. In the chart above (H4), we clearly see that the trend is bullish, but that it has begun to retreat and break through key support zones. And if we look at the chart below (H1), the price is entering a POSSIBLE TREND CHANGE ZONE! If it breaks through the gray zone, the EURUSD WILL DROP STRONGLY!
With this data and the SURVEY... What would you think as a TRADER? That the EURUSD WILL DROP IN THE COMING WEEKS, and therefore, we must be prepared for possible short entries.
---> But is this opinion reliable yet? From my point of view, when the trend on the H1 chart turns bearish (Bear), I would enter short without hesitation, but NOT BEFORE! The volatility due to tariffs can MANIPULATE MATHEMATICS and therefore give us FALSE SIGNALS. And the fault won't lie with math, but with market manipulation, because math works perfectly in a stable market, but when there are people (Mr. TRUMP) who manipulate everything, ANYTHING CAN HAPPEN IN A MATTER OF HOURS OR MINUTES :-).
In short, we clearly see a BEAR PHASE in the EURUSD, which is also in favor of its weekly trend, so it could be strong and take us back to the 1.05000 zone.
Best regards, and I will update the PAR information in the coming days.