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Eurusdshort

EURUSD Shorts from 1.09700 or 1.11000EURUSD presents an intriguing scenario as it recently responded to a 10-hour demand zone, potentially signaling another upward rally. Since clear buying opportunities are currently lacking, I'll be patient and wait for the price to enter a supply zone, providing a chance to catch a potential pullback. However, it's worth noting that these zones are not the most optimal due to the substantial liquidity present. My preferred zone is the 8-hour supply at 1.11000, coinciding with the 0.78 Fibonacci range on a higher timeframe. Here, I anticipate a robust bearish reaction. At present, I will monitor the price for the completion of a Wyckoff distribution before considering sell positions. Alternatively, I'll await the establishment of a new demand level, providing a new buying opportunity in which we can take towards the marked supply (POIs). Confluences for EURUSD shorts are as follows: - Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frames. - Price approaching a very good key level of supply, anticipating a distribution to play out. - Lots of liquidity below to target in the form of asian lows, equal lows and imbalances. - DXY is also overall bullish long term despite the short term bearish trend. - In order for price to push higher it needs to retrace from a level of supply. P.S. won't dismiss the chance of this demand zone failing, considering that the price has mitigated the second time it has now created relative equal lows. Moreover, there's a direct imbalance below that price may seek to fill before initiating another decisive upward move. However, given the current state of the EU market, adaptability is crucial, given the presence of numerous liquidity areas and zones of lower quality.
Short
by Hassan_fx
2
EURUSD → Rejected!? Will the Price Fall to 1.06 or Rush to 1.12?EURUSD made contact with the resistance zone, as predicted from last week's analysis. We're now faced with a decision to short or wait on the sidelines for more price action. How do we trade this? 🤔 The conditions at this moment make it reasonable to short , but there is a caveat! It's very possible the price pulls back a bit to the resistance zone for another test before dropping. If you didn't short at the resistance zone, it's reasonable to wait for the price to crawl back up to the 1.09600 area to enter. Enter after another sell signal, then 1:2 risk ratio down to the bottom of the trading range around 1.05900. If the price breaks resistance, wait for it to confirm support on the resistance zone then look for a long entry off of a bull signal and confirmation bar. 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 1.09600 🟥 Stop Loss: 1.11450 ✅ Take Profit: 1.05900 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Rejection at the Resistance Zone, Reasonable to Short. 3. If Shorting, Watch EMAs for Support. 4. Look for a pullback to resistance before the price falls. 5. RSI at 57.00 below Moving Average, Bias to Short. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
Why does The Market aka Price Move?Price moves for two reasons in Forex- to fill imbalances- and to areas of liquidity aka Timmy-Jimmy-Bobby-Karen-and James nem Stops and Limit orders :) This is the 4hr TF of EURUSD. This is the beginning of a very strong downtrend. There is a HUGE Edge to be in on a trend when it starts. We are going into the last month of trading and the market consolidates and expands aka shifts. Time and Price is everything in the Forex Market and there are no coincidences in Forex. EURUSD is selling going into 2024- The DXY is rebounding STRONG right now- read the signs.
Short
by Master-Jedi-Trader
2
Morgan Stanley and BofA’s 2024 EUR/USD Predictions Morgan Stanely has released what they call their top trade for 2024, and it is the exact opposite of Bank of America’s call. Analysts at Morgan Stanley think selling EUR/USD around the current level of 1.10 is the trade to make next year, with a target for the pair reaching parity by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This outlook relies on sustained economic performance of the US. They also believe that technical recessions in the eurozone, Sweden, and the UK are expected to lead their respective central banks to initiate rate cuts in the second quarter of 2024. Selling Swedish krone (which has become a top ten traded currency recently) and the British pound might also be options for 2024 too, but this was not explicitly stated by the bank. On the other hand, Bank of America has suggested that shorting the USD is the trade to make, particularly against the Euro and South African Rand. BofA sees the potential falling interest rate in the eurozone increasing the attractiveness of euro-based stocks and other investments.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD Trade Idea FOREXCOM:EURUSD is bullish in the Daily, it has: 1. Bounced from a demand zone 2. Swept a low before the push 3. Slightly reacted to a Daily Supply -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The 4H Chart shows: 1. A Bullish Run 2. Unfilled Imbalance -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- On the 1H, Price is in a supply zone as well -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If price gives me proper confirmation during open, I will look for sells towards the imbalance of the 4H
Short
by FX_Apprenticeship
EURUSD | Monthly | Chapter 3 | No mercy, no EuroAfter beeing stopped out of my last Short at EURUSD (See related idea). I took a look at the monthly chart. Price is currently at a big support level. If we should see further movement down, (i would prefer to see 2 monthly open and closes under "Support area 1) i will look to short on a retest of said support area. SL would be based on a LTF however i would not want to see a open and close above Support area 1. Main points: - As long price doenst manage to get above Support area 1 (open and close of a monthly candle) i dont look to take any longterm longs. - Current area is a no-trade-area as it easily could become an engulf and shoot above the Support area 1. As mentioned i prefer to see further down movement before going short. Good luck Disclaimer: - This information does not constitute as financial advice and is only for educational purposes. I am not your financial advisor. - You trade entirely at your own risk - Make your own research - Finance and trading is evil, capitalism is bad, duh ;)
by a_tale_of_bulls_and_bears
EUR/USD: Trends Amidst Fed Caution and Technical AnalysisThe foreign exchange market, a dynamic arena where currencies engage in a perpetual dance, is currently witnessing notable shifts in the EUR/USD pair. This analysis delves into the intricate interplay of both fundamental and technical factors influencing the Euro against the US Dollar. Against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach to monetary policy and recent technical developments, we explore the potential for a downtrend in EUR/USD. The aim is to provide a comprehensive understanding of the market dynamics, linking the Fed's commitment to interest rate management, the impact of slowing US inflation, and the technical chart patterns that may shape the future trajectory of this critical currency pair. Join us in dissecting the nuances that contribute to the potential downward movement of EUR/USD, with an ultimate target set at 1.05719 by the year's end. Fundamental Analysis: Cautious Fed Monetary Policy: In its recent meeting, the Federal Reserve (Fed) reiterated its cautious approach to interest rate management, choosing not to raise rates. This decision reflects a policy focused on economic stability and vigilance against potential negative impacts. Impact of Slowing US Inflation: The Fed's commitment to raising interest rates only when necessary, particularly in relation to inflation control, indicates a concern for the balance between economic growth and price stability. A slowdown in US inflation could alleviate pressure for interest rate hikes. Euro Strength Amid Dollar Decline: The Euro has strengthened against the US Dollar, partly due to market concerns about a potential decline in the value of the Dollar. Investors may be seeking alternative investments in the Eurozone deemed more attractive. Technical Analysis: Resistance at the November 21 Pivot Point: On November 21, EUR/USD encountered resistance at the pivot point of 1.09594, which represents the highest level in the past three months. Failure to surpass this level can be interpreted as a rejection by the market to push prices higher. Potential Bearish Reversal: Failure to breach the pivot point resistance could signal a potential bearish reversal, especially if followed by further price declines. This may indicate buyer fatigue and seller strength, potentially leading to further declines. Target Price of 1.05719: Aligned with fundamental analysis, the potential decline in EUR/USD could be a response to tighter US monetary policy and the increasing allure of the Dollar. The target price of 1.05719 is considered a realistic level given market conditions and supporting fundamentals. Conclusion: Fundamental analysis indicates that the Fed's cautious monetary policy and the decline in US inflation could provide additional support for Dollar strength. Meanwhile, technical analysis, with the pivot point at 1.09594 as the highest in three months, highlights resistance and the potential for a bearish reversal. This combination of factors forms the basis for considering a short position on EUR/USD, with a target price aimed at 1.05719 by year-end. Monitoring both fundamental and technical developments is crucial for risk management and making informed trading decisions.
Short
by fardycurry
2
EURUSD Long term short ideas from 1.10500 (or 1.11000)This idea is based on my higher time frame bias that I have marked out from a while back, as we are steadily approaching a key level on the HTF. I'm going to be expecting EU to melt back down towards 1.07500 or lower to fill in major imbalances that have been left from before. In addition to this, we are entering the 0.78 region of the fib range which is a more premium zone to sell. As of now I will be waiting for price to slow down momentum and start showing some signs of weakness, in order for give us a a better sign that price is ready for a reversal. Ideally I want to wait for the 8hr supply on top of the daily however, if we see our lower time confluence i.e. Wyckoff distribution & CHOCH, I will be then looking to enter and hold on an intra-day basis. Confluences for long term EURUSD shorts are as follows: - EU is overall bearish on the higher time frame like the (monthly and weekly) - This is a pro trend trade that will be following the overall market trend. - Internal structure is also bearish as we have CHOCH on the higher time frame with a BOS. - Price is approaching a daily supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Price is also entering the 0.78 area of the fibonacci range good sign for a potential reaction. - Lots of FVGs on the higher time frame below as well as major pools of liquidity points. - Price has also swept lots of liquidity to the upside and has take out most of trend line Liq. P.S. Personally, I see price most likely reacting off the 8hr supply above the daily, just because there was a previous consolidation that still holds some liquidity above it. Hence why I will be waiting for that to get swept to mitigate the institutional candle that was left by the 8hr POI.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Shorts to 1.08500 (Possibly lower)My bias for this week's prediction is for EURUSD to move bearish, As it has tapped into a strong level of supply. I will be waiting for wyckoff distribution to play out in order for us to catch sells this week. Simultaneously, the dollar has also tapped in to a demand zone which is expected to initiate a bullish reaction hence why I am bearish for EU. The 16hr supply hold a lot of precedence as not only its on the higher time frame but, it has also caused a BOS to the downside which continued the overall bearish trend. Not only that but, the zone has also swept liquidity which is a good sign that this zone will get respected. Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows: - Price tapped into a 16hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Overall price trend is bearish on the EURUSD chart. - Imbalances left below to target which hasn't been filled yet. - Lots of trendline liquidity to the downside and asian lows that's been left. - Dollar (DXY) is inside a 5hr demand which I'm anticipating a bullish reaction from. - Price has steadily approached the zone with weaker bullish candles indicating that bullish pressure is exhausted and over bought. P.S. I would love to see the asian high inside the zone get swept first in the form of a UTAD for a better confirmation of a sell but we will see what price does on Monday. Usually its a slow day however, I will be waiting for a clean CHOH on the lower time frame to give me a better insight of when price wants to expand to the downside.
Short
by Hassan_fx