EUR/USD: The upward momentum will be exhausted, beware of traps!Following the sharp rise in EUR/USD on Wednesday, EUR/USD turned down on Thursday and took back all the gains of the previous day.However, there was a rebound during Friday time, but the currency pair rebounded on Friday and broke through 1.0600. The trend of the euro reflects that the market situation is still relatively tangled at this stage.
On Wednesday, EUR/USD rebounded to the 20-day line (SMA) at 1.06844 and fell back in resistance.After falling below the 20-day line on February 2, it did not break through the 20-day line several times during the rebound, proving that there is still a lot of pressure on the market here. The technical indicators of the daily chart are slightly biased to the downside, and there is no clear direction for the time being. The failure to break through 1.0700 indicates that EUR/USD may continue to consolidate around 1.0600.
The trend of the 4-hour chart shows that EUR/USD is currently slightly higher than the downward channel since the beginning of February. There is no clear breakthrough signal for the time being. EUR/USD maintains a slight downward tendency. If it returns to the downward channel, the bears may take action, causing EUR/USD to fall to 1.0560 (the midpoint of the downward channel), but as long as EUR/USD remains above 1.0560, the bearish momentum is still limited, and once the exchange rate stabilizes above this position, the euro may point to 1.0650/60.
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Eurusdshort
Looking for short continuation EURUSD – the week of 27 Feb The USDX (USD index) has been bullish recently and ended last week with a massive bullish candle. As a result, EURUSD has been declining and I cannot see any reason why this should change next week. Price is currently within an intermediate S/R zone and a pullback is likely. The deeper pullback we get, the better it will be. That would be great because that will provide a good price to take a short and a smaller stop.
My recommendation would be to switch to a lower time frame such as H4 or H1 and look for signals that the downtrend is resuming. Targets can be located at next support areas near 1.040 and then the parity level of 1.000.
Nothing is 100% in trading, so as always, use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my analysis, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more awesome content.
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EURUSDEURUSD has been examined in different dimensions:
1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system.
2- The structure of recently formed waves
3- Current market momentum
4- The structure of classical and price patterns
In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis.
In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
EURUSD H4: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1.06800On the H4 timeframe, prices are showing bearish orderflow and are currently testing the resistance zone at 1.06800, which coincides with the Fibonacci confluence levels and descending trend line. We could see a reversal below this level to the support zone at 1.0550, which is in line with the graphical low. Prices are holding below the Ichimoku cloud as well, supporting the bearish bias. Failure to hold below the resistance zone at 1.06800 could see prices push higher to test the next resistance zone at 1.0770 which is also in line with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
EURUSD DAILY UPDATEHi all
After the release of positive statistics for the CPI, we saw a rejection at the previous high on the H4 resistance level 1.07897 yesterday. In the daily chart, price rejection occurred several times prior to the level's 1.06952 breakout.
Therefore, I will partially close at the support level of 1.06610. A break through the level of 1.06609 could terminate the upward HL and confirm the LH.If the 1.06609 level is broken, I see a drop to 1.06107.
My trading strategy isn't intended to be used as a signal service. It's a process of gaining knowledge of market structure and improving my trading abilities.
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Day TradeKing W. Harbmayg's Journal Entry #6
1. Thesis: Price broke previous day's high before pulling back, giving what is likely a false break since structure is still primarily to the downside. I believe sells are in order; with my stop loss set at the above all high, I feel relatively secured if this move is indeed a breakout reversal.
2. Performance: (1 out of 5)
Confidence— 5
Discipline— 4
Communication— 5
EURUSD H4: Bearish outlook seen, further downside below 1.0620On the H4 timeframe, prices are showing bearish order flow with lower lows and lower highs formed. A pullback to the resistance zone at 1.0620 could present an opportunity to play the drop to the next support zone at 1.0500, in line with the graphical low and 50% Fibonacci extension. Prices are holding below the Ichimoku cloud and 50 EMA, while Stochastic RSI is in the overbought region above 80, supporting our bearish bias.
EURUSD Downtrend. The trend retest in 1.06128 at 0.236 Fibonacci Retracement level. A possible downtrend to 1.04824 at 0 Fibonacci Retracement Level.
The Federal Reserve still considering to increase the interest rates due to a still high US inflation rate.
The Fed has implemented a series of interest rate hikes in an effort to tame inflation that had been at its highest level in some 41 years. Markets widely expect a few more hikes before the Fed can pause to assess the impact the tighter policy is having on the economy.
“Simulations of our baseline model suggest that the Fed will need to tighten policy significantly further to achieve its inflation objective by the end of 2025,” the researchers said.
EURUSD 200 PIPS FIRST TPin my previous analysis, I predicted EURUSD sell, and it moving nicely according to the analysis. I have booked 200 pips first TP and move stoploss to break even, I'm expecting it to touch the yellow zone I plotted. from that yellow zone we will know if it will continue downtrend or just retest to the upside.
Euro can break support area and continue to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price formed the seller zone, which it tested and begin to decline. Over time, the price broke through the support area 1.0625-1.0610 and continued to fall. We are also seeing the Euro reach the next support area, which it re-tested and begin to rise. The price is currently trading near resistance line, where it has created a possible fake breakout. I think the Euro can continue to fall, so I decided to set two goals. Support area 1.0540-1.0530 and at level 1.0500. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀