EUR/USD - High-Probability Short Setup! Are we going lower?EUR/USD - This trade is based on a bearish retracement rejection from a key Fair Value Gap (FVG), targeting a strong confluence area where Fibonacci levels and volume profile data align.
🔹 Entry Criteria:
Price has tapped into a Fair Value Gap (FVG) twice, showing signs of rejection.
The green zone represents an imbalance where sellers previously stepped in, making it an ideal short entry area.
Look for bearish confirmation, such as wicks, bearish engulfing candles, or lower timeframe breakdowns before executing the trade.
🔹 Target (Take Profit - TP):
The primary target is the 0.618 - 0.65 Fibonacci retracement zone (Golden Pocket), a strong level where price often reverses.
This level aligns with the Point of Control (POC) from the volume profile tool, adding further confluence.
🔹 Stop-Loss & Invalidation:
Stop-loss should be placed above the last high near the FVG zone to protect against invalidation.
If price closes above the FVG zone, the trade setup becomes invalid, as it would indicate bullish strength and a possible continuation higher.
🔹 Additional Considerations:
Price is likely seeking sell-side liquidity below previous lows, supporting the downside move.
Market conditions and potential fundamental catalysts (news events) should be monitored before entry.
📌 Summary:
This trade idea involves shorting from a key imbalance zone (FVG), expecting price to fill the gap and move toward a high-probability support area at the Golden Pocket + POC confluence zone. However, if price closes above the FVG, the trade setup is invalidated, signaling a potential bullish continuation. 🚀
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Eurusdshort
EUR/USD Wedge Breakout (17.2.25)The EUR/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Wedge Breakout Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0413
2nd Support – 1.0375
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EURUSDEUR/USD has faced strong rejection from the 1.04400 resistance level in the H1 timeframe, signaling a possible downside move. If bearish momentum continues, the price may decline towards the following key levels:
📉 Target 1: 1.03950
📉 Target 2: 1.03500
🔹 Stop Loss: 1.04700 (to limit potential losses in case of reversal)
Scenario on EURUSD 12.2.2025On the EURUSD market, I would see the following scenarios. I think that if a floor were to be established, then the sfp at the price of 1.02424 should follow, from here the price could rebound upwards. If the market does not react to this level, then we have the last option and that is the sfp at the price of 1.01958. Then we only have the monthly level, which if it does not hold, I would look for an entry into the long until somewhere below this level, otherwise I see short positions first around the price 1.04650 and then around the monthly level at the price of 1.05795.
BEARISH SWING SETUP ON EU The last setup I posted was bullish and did give a good reaction that I took as confirmation however the trade did not play out. This then caused a bearish choch on the daily and price has since pulled back and is now showing bearish structure.
Both swing and internal structure on the 4H timeframe and above are bearish so that is the direction I'm following right now.
Fractal structure on the 4H is currently bearish and I will continue trading in that direction targeting January's low.
$EURUSD IdeaToday, my analysis of EUR/USD points to a potential bearish movement, based on the following points:
First, the correction on the 1-hour chart suggests that the pair is seeking liquidity outside the daily range. The daily IRL region coincides with a 4-hour OB (Order Block) and a swing high, which could create an order cluster. The expectation is that the price will react at this level, seeking the original consolidation and completing the bearish move.
This is the outlook for the day, with a focus on maintaining discipline and managing risk as market conditions evolve.
EUR/USD Weekly: Double Top Signals Further Downside Potential
The EUR/USD weekly chart shows a clear double top formation, with the neckline already broken, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
Scenario 1:
The price could retest the broken neckline, which now acts as resistance, before resuming its downward move. This scenario aligns with the prevailing bearish trend, targeting the key support zone at 0.99810.
Scenario 2:
If the price manages to break above the resistance after retesting the neckline, it may enter a consolidation phase within the larger descending channel. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless the price breaks out of the channel.
The ultimate target for this downtrend lies in the 0.99810 region, where significant support could trigger a reaction. Traders should monitor the neckline retest and price behavior near resistance for further confirmation.
EURUSD - Sell Setup After Key Support BreakOANDA:EURUSD has decisively broken below a key trendline, signaling an increase in bearish momentum. This breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control, with the potential for further downside continuation.
In the near term, price may revisit the breakout level for a retest, where the previous support could now act as resistance. A failure to reclaim this level would reinforce bearish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of renewed selling pressure. If sellers maintain dominance, the price may head toward the 1.03120 level.
For confirmation of continued downside movement, traders should look for bearish technical signals, such as a rejection wick, a bearish engulfing candlestick, or increased selling volume. Conversely, a sustained move back above the resistance level could invalidate the bearish setup and shift the bias toward a potential bullish recovery.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation before jumping in.
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Fri 31st Jan 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 3x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 3x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a EUR/USD Sell, NZD/USD Sell & a USD/SGD Buy. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim