EUR/USD Short term short to long idea pending...This week, my focus for EUR/USD is on the supply zone near 1.05800. I anticipate a reaction from this level, making it a key area for potential sells at the start of the week. Following this initial move, I expect a bullish rally to develop midweek.
If the price drops to 1.05200, aligning with my 11-hour demand zone, I’ll shift my focus to potential buys. After receiving valid lower-timeframe confirmations, I plan to target the nearest liquidity pool to the upside as the price resumes its bullish trend.
Confluences for EUR/USD Sells:
Shift in Market Character: Price has shown signs of a downside reversal, suggesting a potential sell-off.
Unmitigated Supply Zone: A clean 2-hour supply zone remains untapped.
Liquidity Below: There’s significant liquidity to the downside that price may target.
Trend Recalibration: Despite the overall bullish trend, a pullback is necessary for continuation.
Note: If the supply zone at 1.05800 fails to hold, it will further confirm bullish momentum. In this case, I’ll wait for a nearby demand zone to form, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the move to the upside. Patience will be key in this scenario.
Eurusdshort
Sell EUR/USD Bearish FlagThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bearish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0500, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0442
2nd Support – 1.040
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EURUSD Broke The Monthly SupportThe Pendulum Fork gives us good context of where Major Upper and Lower extremes are in this picture.
The rejection at the L-MLH is really a Tell, and should not be ignored then. Multiple opportunities there to go Short.
Then a small slanted support came into play, which also gives us another chance for a short.
Potential Targets are displayed by the yellow Arrows.
EurUsd Just Near to TP. (Late Post)Looking for Impulse down.
EurUsd moving down on retracement. It's important to have your own rules on RR and adhere to them. This trading idea is intended to assist you and enhance your knowledge. If you have any questions, please ask me in the comments.
Learn & Earn!
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EURUSD - SHORT IDEA H4Execute the price at the exact price mentioned, NO FOMO.
💡KEEP IN MIND💡
I am not a financial advisor and do not contribute to any of your losses or profits. To be safe, I recommend that you risk only 0.1 - 0.2% for the first week or 10 days, as no one can predict the market.
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MY EURUSD SHORT IDEA 01/11/2024Direction: Short
SL: 1.0849
Checklist:
- MA 20 going downward
- Break of Trendline
- Fib level
- Bounce from a Support/Resistance
- Penetrate a Support/Resistance
- Edgefinder Score
- Correlation Confluence
- Trading Central Preference
Technical:
1. MA 20 Yellow is falling to MA 100 and 200 (Purple and Red).
2. Red Trendline was broken recently.
3. Price bounced off from a Resistance zone.
4. No FIB level found.
5. Tradingcentral tool signaling DECLINE on Time frames 15m,1h,and 4h but it is bullish and signaling RISE on daily time frame at the moment.
6. Q4 seasonality is bullish actually but with a short term bearish.
Fundamental and economic:
1. I use Edgefinder tool which shows me a score of -1 "Neutral Bearish".
2. We have US elections coming up and regardless of which president wins it’s going to be bullish for USD.
3. US NFP came out horrible 12k but market wants a revision and is in a speculative state.
4. EUR / DE10Y is falling.
5. USD is on the rise after a recovery.
6. VIX spiked a little.
An idea for EUR/USDIt seems that the break of the long-term trend line of the euro was done the other day after the election of Trump as the president of the United States. In this range up to 1.06, we can expect to continue the fall. A position with R:R equal to slightly more than 1. It is not very attractive to enter, but you can think about it!
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.07800 back downThis week, my analysis for EU is showing slow movement, as it isn't close to any key Points of Interest (POI). However, after the CPI release, I expect a surge in liquidity, which could lead to a retracement in EU. From there, I’ll be looking to enter sell positions at a supply zone I've marked, which previously caused a break of structure to the downside.
There are two potential supply zones to watch: the 9-hour supply zone or the 2-hour supply zone above it. If price begins to slow down and distributes upward, I’ll be cautious. However, if the price continues to drop, I’ll wait for a new supply zone to form or look to enter buy positions from the 3-hour supply zone, as outlined in Scenario B.
Confluences supporting EU sell positions are:
- Price action has been strongly bearish, aligning with a pro-trend idea.
- The DXY has been bullish, which suggests EU could continue to move down.
- Liquidity remains focused to the downside.
- A potential supply zone is identified, providing a possible selling POI.
P.S. If price breaks structure to the downside, I’ll wait for a retest and then follow the downtrend.
Look out for CPI and remain diligent!
EURUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on support zone
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
EUR/USD Short Setup at Key Resistance LevelMy Short Idea Based on Downtrend Continuation
Short Entry: 1.0850
Stop Loss: 1.0900
Take Profit: 1.0800
The pair is in a downtrend, forming lower highs (LH) & lower lows (LL) and this retracement to 1.0850 resistance provides a solid short opportunity,
The RSI is nearing overbought levels adding confirmation to the bearish setup, The stop loss is safely above resistance to avoid false breakouts and take profit is at 1.0800, where strong support lies.
Good Luck!
Euro and its movement towards depthAccording to the economic data that was published recently and in the last two weeks, it seems that the euro will continue its downward movement. The two yellow and red paths are the possible paths of the euro towards the goals written in the chart. Capital management should always be your top priority.
EUR/USD Finally Finds Some Support, But Can it Build a Bounce?EUR/USD Talking Points
The strength from Q3 has been mostly erased so far in Q4, with a fast sell-off developing in EUR/USD.
In late-September the pair continued to grind away at the 1.1200 handle but not even a month later the pair has dropped by more than four big figures.
Support showed up at the 1.0761 level looked at on Tuesday. The big question now is whether that can lead to some profit taking from sellers, which could build a bounce and that can remain of interest for bears looking for lower-highs.
EUR/USD has now traded lower for 15 of the past 20 days. An amazing trend by any stretch but perhaps even more so when compared to the strength that showed in the pair during the first two months of Q3. While that prior bullish trend put in a month of grind at the 1.1200 level, eventually failing, the bear move that’s come in response has been fast and heavy. There’s been only a minimum of pullback so far and any excuse for sellers to continue pushing has so far contributed to continuation.
Last Friday brought a bit of bounce. That went along with a pullback in the USD from the 200-day moving average. But support soon showed at a key zone in DXY and bulls were off to the races (and bears in EUR/USD) after this week’s open.
In EUR/USD, that resistance earlier in the week played-in right off the underside of the 200-day moving average.
At this point the challenge is chasing an oversold trend as RSI on the daily remains in oversold territory on EUR/USD. There has been a bounce showing thus far at Tuesday's level looked around 1.0761. That price is the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of last year’s sell-off, and its confluent with a trendline originating from last year’s low.
EUR/USD Longer-Term
Just as I was saying in September when strength was all the range, EUR/USD remains in a range that’s been in-play since last year’s open. There have certainly been some clean shorter-term trends in the confines of that ranging backdrop, and we’ve made a fast move towards the support side of that range but if we do see sellers continuing to push, those values could soon come into play.
The current 2024 low plots around the 1.0611 Fibonacci level, which is the 38.2% retracement of the 2021-2022 major move. On the below weekly chart, I’ve linked that level to the shorter-term Fibonacci level at 1.0643 to create the next support zone, down.
Below that, it’s the 1.0500 level that put up considerable fight for about a month before leading to a turn a year ago.
--- written by James Stanley, Senior Strategist