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Eurusdshortsetup

EURUSD Shorts to 1.08500 (Possibly lower)My bias for this week's prediction is for EURUSD to move bearish, As it has tapped into a strong level of supply. I will be waiting for wyckoff distribution to play out in order for us to catch sells this week. Simultaneously, the dollar has also tapped in to a demand zone which is expected to initiate a bullish reaction hence why I am bearish for EU. The 16hr supply hold a lot of precedence as not only its on the higher time frame but, it has also caused a BOS to the downside which continued the overall bearish trend. Not only that but, the zone has also swept liquidity which is a good sign that this zone will get respected. Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows: - Price tapped into a 16hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Overall price trend is bearish on the EURUSD chart. - Imbalances left below to target which hasn't been filled yet. - Lots of trendline liquidity to the downside and asian lows that's been left. - Dollar (DXY) is inside a 5hr demand which I'm anticipating a bullish reaction from. - Price has steadily approached the zone with weaker bullish candles indicating that bullish pressure is exhausted and over bought. P.S. I would love to see the asian high inside the zone get swept first in the form of a UTAD for a better confirmation of a sell but we will see what price does on Monday. Usually its a slow day however, I will be waiting for a clean CHOH on the lower time frame to give me a better insight of when price wants to expand to the downside.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD short term Shorts to 1.06400This week I will be covering my sell setup idea towards an area of demand to end up buying with the trend. However due to DXY shift in trend, I will be looking for buys for EURUSD later on. Currently as of now price is inside an area of a 4hr supply zone so im expecting price to react off it to cause a retracement back down. Scenario (A) - Is for imminent sells to the downside as im currently waiting for price to complete the distribution via a clean CHOCH to the downside, it will hopefully then give us a clean order block for us to enter from. However, if this Supply gets violated (which is possible due to the strong bullish entry in the zone), I will then see that price will want to sweep the liquidity above and tap into the daily supply POI above. This will be ideal as price is at a much premium rate. Scenario (B) - Is that price will breach the zone we are currently in to take out the liquidity above, once it does that I will be looking for sell oppurtunities around the daily supply zone to target the 1.06400 mark in order to continue the bullish trend upwards. So currently we will be selling down to the demand so we can eventually trade with the trend. My confluences for EURUSD shorts are as follows: - Overall trend on the HTF (weekly/monthly) is bearish. - Price tapped in to a 4hr supply zone and there is a daily supply just above. - Momentum is slowing down expecting price to distribute and choch to the downside. - Imbalances were left below due to NFP news so im expecting it to get filled via a pullback. - For price to continue in its recent bullish trend im expecting price to come back to those demand levels anyways. P.S. Even though price is bearish overall, It has chnaged charcter and broken structure on the 4 hourly. Short term I am bullish and I will be looking for potential buys, but for now im selling down to eventually buy at a discounted price.
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
EURUSD ShortBy this analysis, many traders will probably end up losing, but we are looking for a selling opportunity. From the weekly timeframe, we are still bearish, and we perceive the intraday bullish signal as a result of NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls) and trapping retail traders into long positions. We would much prefer to take advantage of the weekly liquidity around 1.08350 (grab) and then start buying in weekly FVG. But waiting for confirmation candle. Leave a comment below what do you think.
Short
by Monesta
1
EurUSD short Swing Idea (updated)Key Resistance Level: This zone marked on chart historically acted as a significant resistance level in the EUR/USD pair. While the overall trend might be upwards, targeting a reversal from this resistance level can be a viable strategy. Price action near this level could trigger a bearish reversal or increased selling pressure. Overbought Conditions: Assessing the overbought conditions on technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) can provide insights into potential reversals. If the RSI is in overbought territory (above 70), it suggests that the market may be due for a correction or reversal. Bearish Candlestick Patterns: Monitoring bearish candlestick patterns, such as shooting stars, bearish engulfing patterns, or evening stars, can provide additional confirmation of a potential reversal. These patterns indicate that selling pressure is increasing and a reversal could be imminent. Fibonacci Retracement: 61.8% Fibonacci levels often act as resistance during reversals and may present opportunities for short positions. Fundamental Analysis: Economic Data: Keeping an eye on economic data releases from both the Eurozone and the United States is essential. Positive economic indicators from the United States, such as strong GDP growth or better-than-expected employment figures, could strengthen the US dollar and potentially trigger a reversal in the EUR/USD pair. Central Bank Policy: Monitoring statements or actions by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) is crucial. Any indications of a shift towards tighter monetary policy by the Fed or looser policy by the ECB could influence market sentiment and potentially contribute to a reversal in the EUR/USD pair. Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Market sentiment and risk appetite play a significant role in currency movements. Any changes in global risk sentiment, driven by factors like geopolitical tensions or economic uncertainties, could lead to a shift towards safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar, potentially favoring a reversal in the EUR/USD pair. Conclusion: While the overall trend of the EUR/USD pair might be upwards, a short position from 1.12747 to 1.13420 can be considered as a potential reversal opportunity. Monitoring key resistance levels, overbought conditions, bearish candlestick patterns, and employing Fibonacci retracement levels can help identify potential entry points for a short position. Additionally, keeping an eye on economic data, central bank policies, and market sentiment is crucial for assessing the probability of a reversal. Remember to manage risk effectively and adjust your strategy if market conditions change.
Short
by realtrademaster
EURUSD SHORT 4HREURUSD has been trending upwards for sometime now but seems to have met a roadblock at 1.1000 after testing the supply zone. Price managed to go above the supply zone with a few pips but quickly got absorbed and reacted aggressively and created a change of character (CHoCH) after price broke through the recent demand indicating the willingness of price to make some correction. Wait for price to head back to mitigate the supply zone that caused the CHoCH around 1.0990. Once price reaches back, we can navigate to lower time frames like 15mins or 1hour and wait for price to align structurally to the downside again before looking for selling opportunities. short term targets should come around 1.0805. Remember to always apply proper risk and money management on all your trades.
Short
by tonyeiyetan
EURUSD weekly outlook: Bearish bias for June weeks 3-4Weekly Outlook (W) Bear bias until price action establishes an uptrend above 1.1092 6/15/23 Still making higher highs and lower highs Last week of May just made the last higher low @ Weekly fib 78.6 level Expectation: IF Continues uptrend: reach last HH level or 1.1100 and eventually 1.1250 (27 ext) If not: Price reactions from levels below: 1) 0.0865 H&S Weekly line and does a downtrend from there 2) Weekly IMB and OB with BOS down. INVALIDATION POINT: 1.1092
Short
by RSC_FX
2
EURUSD The Potential price movement while we get close to X DATEThe market is currently going through a period of uncertainty. The market is very optimist about the Debt Ceiling agreement. This is definitely going to be a Catalyst this week and half of the following week. If the agreement is seal we could see a strong dollar. This trading idea is based on what is the price doing in Daily time frame. Also taking into consideration the Catalyst. In Daily time frame we have a price trending down. The price already stablished the last Lower High with a three-formation candle. The Price already gave us a nice move to the downside. The next point of entry could be at the price inefficiency of the third candle of the three-formation candle. Which is the zone that is presented in this trading idea. The 1st take profit is based on important level of liquidity. The 2nd take profit is based on -.272 fib level and the 3rd take profit is based on important level of liquidity that is in confluence with the -.618 fib level. It is important to know that the market will be very sensitive with any important update about the debt ceiling.
Short
by Wiiso
2
IT ALL MAKES SENSE NOW!! EURUSDOn a bullish day look for price to short 1-3 Standard Deviations before the Algorithm begins to LONG Price. On Bearish Days look for price to Long 1-3 Standard deviations before the algorithm engages the short. You can trade with this information both ways when you know the bias of the day. It’s safer to WAIT until price hits the standard deviation that is closest to the ADR of the asset that you are trading that day. This will give you accuracy and confidence when the long or short is initiated. The shorter DR that creates the standard deviations the more accurate. DR 25-35 pips tends to give you the greatest accuracy. Anything over 40 pips tends to have variables: News 📰 Heavy Consolidation, and seek and destroy algorithmic profiles✅ 🔼 I AM #SmartMoney aka Master Jedi & SENSI of #SniperGang EVERYBODY EAT$$$$$
Short
by Master-Jedi-Trader
1