DeGRAM | EURUSD downturn in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price is capped by a confluence of the June-July down-sloping channel roof and the former median resistance line at 1.1780; the last three candles form lower highs inside a micro bear-flag.
● Intraday structure now leans on the 1.1745–1.1750 support cluster: a break beneath this shelf completes the flag and exposes the channel floor/June pivot at 1.1690.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Pre-NFP dollar demand is rebuilding as ADP and ISM-services beat consensus, while French election uncertainty revives euro risk premium.
✨ Summary
Sell 1.1775 ± 5 pips; sustained trade below 1.1745 targets 1.1690. Short thesis void if 30-min candle closes above 1.1800.
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Eurusdsignal
DeGRAM | EURUSD will continue to grow rapidly📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps hugging the upper rail of the 3-month rising channel after re-testing the broken April triangle top as support, confirming fresh trend acceleration.
● Momentum is unbroken – every 4 h pullback since 17 Jun has held above the inner trend-line (now 1.1717); measured channel height points to the next fib / horizontal cluster at 1.1869.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US durable-goods orders and slowing housing data cooled 2-yr yields, while ECB speakers signalled no rush to ease again; the short-rate gap narrowed for a third session, underpinning EUR strength.
✨ Summary
Buy dips ≥1.1717; upside targets 1.1800 then 1.1869. Bull view void on a 4 h close below 1.1600.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the supply area📊 Technical Analysis
● Price formed an intraday rising wedge right inside the 1.1615-1.1635 supply band; the wedge has broken lower and the last two candles closed back under the long-term trendline retest.
● Bearish follow-through is favoured while price stays below 1.1604; first magnet is the confluence of former breakout base and inner channel support at 1.1569, with 1.1547 (mid-June pivot) the next objective.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Fresh Euro-area PMIs dipped below consensus while U.S. consumer-confidence beat, widening the short-rate gap and reviving USD bids.
✨ Summary
Sell rallies ≤1.1600; targets 1.1569 → 1.1547. Bias invalid if 30-min candle closes above 1.1635.
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EURUSD Short Part IIEURUSD Analysis
On EURUSD daily chart from CMC Markets quota, indicates a bullish trend with a symmetrical triangle pattern forming. The price has recently broken above a key resistance level, suggesting potential for continued upward movement.
Key Price Levels
Current Price: 1.16932
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16549
Take Profit 1 (TP1): 1.12003
Take Profit 2 (TP2): 1.09318
Trend Analysis
EURUSD shows clear signs on an ascending trend supported by higher lows and higher highs since early 2025. Both orange trend-lines which I created form a symmetrical triangle, with the price nearing the apex, hinting at a potential breakout or reversal which I have been looking for a reversal bearish breakout.
The upward momentum is strong, but the proximity to the upper trend-line and set take-profit levels indicates preparation for a possible correction. I still believe in shorts on EURUSD.
Conclusion
Traders and investors should monitor the price action near the triangle apex for breakout confirmation. The set stop loss and take-profit levels provide a structured approach to managing the trade, balancing potential gains with risk mitigation. Stay tuned for more updates on the trade.
EURUSD Sell/ShortFundamental Analysis
EURUSD rates is being influenced by the current Eurozone's economic performance, driven by key economies like Germany and France, continues to be shaped by industrial output, consumer confidence, and inflation trends. The European Central Bank (ECB) has likely maintained a cautious monetary policy, with interest rates possibly held steady or adjusted slightly to combat inflation while supporting growth. On the U.S. side, the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates, potentially in a tightening phase to address persistent inflation plays a critical role. Recent U.S. economic data, including GDP growth, employment figures, and consumer spending, may indicate a robust dollar, putting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, energy prices (affecting Eurozone energy imports), and trade balances between the U.S. and EU are likely contributing to volatility. Given the current date, recent ECB and Fed statements or data releases for June 2025 inflation reports.
Technical Analysis:
Based on the provided EURUSD 1D chart (covering mid-2024 to mid-2025), the following technical observations can be made:
Trend and Moving Averages:
For EURUSD it shows a descending trend from a peak around 1.48 in mid-2024, with a potential reversal or consolidation forming in mid-2025. The 50-day and 200-day moving averages (depicted as orange lines) are sloping downward, with the price recently testing these levels around 1.12-1.13. A break above the shorter-term moving average could signal bullish momentum, while a failure to hold might confirm a continuation of the downtrend. Looking for key support levels here are identified at 1.09318 (TP 2) and 1.08000, with the current price hovering near 1.12003 (TP 1). Resistance is notable at 1.15625 (SL) and the previous high near 1.4800. The price action suggests a potential bounce from the recent low, with the next target being the resistance zone around 1.15625 if bullish momentum persists. Candlesticks and volume patterns are showing a recent green candlesticks indicate buying pressure, potentially forming a reversal pattern near the 1.12 level. Volume analysis would confirm the strength of this move, with higher volume on upticks supporting a breakout.
Overall Bias:
The technical setup suggests a short-term bullish correction within a broader bearish trend, contingent on breaking and holding above 1.15625. A drop below 1.09318 would invalidate the bullish case and resume the downtrend toward 1.08000 or lower.
Sentiment Analysis
Market sentiment as of June 2025 likely reflects heightened interest in EUR/USD due to recent economic data and central bank policies. Traders and analysts are closely watching for signs of ECB rate cuts or Fed rate hikes, which could sway the pair. On social platforms and financial forums, there may be a mix of caution and optimism looking out for caution due to the Eurozone's economic challenges (energy costs, political uncertainty), and optimism if U.S. data softens, weakening the dollar. The chart's visibility on trading platforms suggests retail and institutional traders are actively monitoring this pair, with a focus on the 1.12-1.16 range as a critical decision point. Sentiment could shift rapidly based on upcoming economic releases or geopolitical developments.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair is at a pivotal juncture, with fundamentals pointing to a stronger USD due to Fed policy, while from a technical standpoint suggest a short-term bounce toward 1.15625 if support at 1.12003 holds. Sentiment indicates active trader interest, with eyes on central bank moves. A break above resistance could target 1.4800 (long-term), while a failure might see a decline to 1.08000. Monitor upcoming data for confirmation.
DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has spiked into the confluence of the long-term channel roof (≈1.1615) and a steeper resistance line, printing a rejection candle and bearish divergence on the 1 h RSI.
● The move leaves a lower high versus 13 Jun and snaps the micro up-sloper; a slide back inside the grey 1.1560-1.1520 supply should accelerate toward the mid-June swing floor at 1.1490.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hotter US S&P-global PMIs rekindled Fed “higher-for-longer” chatter, lifting two-year yields and the DXY, while French election uncertainty widens Bund-Treasury spreads—both pressuring EUR.
✨ Summary
Fade rallies 1.1580-1.1610; sustained trade beneath 1.1560 targets 1.1520 ➜ 1.1490. Bearish view void on an hourly close above 1.1630.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD growth in the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● The chart for EURUSD, as indicated in the upper right corner, displays a classic descending wedge pattern, which is typically a bullish reversal signal. Price action has respected the wedge’s lower boundary multiple times, forming a series of higher lows while sellers failed to push the pair below the 1.0670 support zone. The most recent candles show a decisive breakout above the wedge’s upper trendline, accompanied by increased volume, suggesting that buyers are regaining control. This breakout is further validated by the RSI indicator, which has moved out of oversold territory and is now trending upward, confirming the shift in momentum.
● The technical setup is reinforced by the presence of a horizontal resistance level at 1.0750, which has acted as a magnet for price in previous attempts. The chart also highlights a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily timeframe, signaling strong demand and a potential continuation toward the next resistance at 1.0820. The moving averages are beginning to converge, with the shorter-term MA crossing above the longer-term MA, a classic bullish crossover that often precedes sustained upward movement. These factors collectively point to a high-probability scenario for further gains in the EURUSD pair.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Recent fundamental developments support the bullish technical outlook. Over the past two days, the Federal Reserve has maintained its policy rate, but forward guidance has hinted at a possible rate cut later this year, which has weighed on the US dollar. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank has adopted a more cautious stance, with the probability of a near-term rate cut decreasing as inflation data remains sticky in the eurozone. Additionally, easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and stable US retail sales have reduced safe-haven demand for the dollar, further supporting the euro’s advance.
✨ Summary
● A confirmed breakout above the descending wedge and bullish momentum indicators suggest a long entry on EURUSD above 1.0750, targeting 1.0820. The bullish scenario remains valid as long as price holds above the 1.0670 support. A close below this level would invalidate the setup and call for a reassessment of the trend.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD reached the resistance level📊 Technical Analysis
● Bulls defended the rising-channel mid-line (≈1.1480), turning it into support and snapping the intraday falling wedge; hourly closes now print higher highs above the reclaimed 1.1520 pivot.
● A tight bull flag is forming against 1.1560; its 1.618 swing coincides with the upper rail / 1.1617 resistance, keeping the channel’s momentum bias pointed north.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US housing starts and a slide in 2-yr yields pulled the DXY to two-week lows, while ECB’s Knot warned “premature cuts risk inflation flare-ups,” widening the short-rate gap in the euro’s favour.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1515-1.1530; flag break >1.1560 targets 1.1617, stretch 1.1670. Bias void on an H1 close below 1.1480.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD double bottom📊 Technical Analysis
● The price is currently testing the upper resistance of a descending wedge pattern after forming a clear double bottom formation. This double bottom occurred precisely at a confluence of support, where the long-term ascending support line intersects with the lower boundary of the wedge, indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal from the 1.1450-1.1470 area.
● This recent bullish price action follows a prior "double top" pattern that initiated the corrective move downwards into the current wedge. A decisive breakout and hold above the wedge's resistance would invalidate the recent bearish pressure and confirm that buyers are taking control, with the first significant target being the horizontal resistance line near 1.1523.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Market attention is centered on the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting. While no rate change is expected, forward guidance is key. Current market sentiment, as noted by analysts at RoboForex and FreshForex, is pricing in the possibility of a Fed rate cut later this year, which could place downward pressure on the US Dollar.
● Conversely, the Euro is finding support from a comparatively hawkish European Central Bank (ECB). Recent reports indicate that the probability of an ECB rate cut has diminished, suggesting a policy divergence that favors EUR strength against the USD, underpinning the technical case for a move higher.
✨ Summary
Long entry on a confirmed 30-minute candle close above the descending wedge resistance (~1.1485); initial target 1.1523 → 1.1560. The bullish outlook is invalidated on a close below the double bottom support at 1.1450.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD rebound from the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● A completed AB=CD (0.883 / 1.112) pattern at the channel floor (1.1488) produced a hammer, signalling exhaustion of bears at the measured PRZ.
● Price is now reclaiming the micro structure high 1.1526; that flips the inner range to support and opens the next intra-channel pivot 1.1560, with room to the upper wall near 1.1600.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● EZ May trade balance swung back to a €4 bn surplus while weak US housing starts shaved another 4 bp off 2-yr yields, compressing the short-rate gap and underpinning EUR bids.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.1500-1.1530; break >1.1560 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1650. Bull bias void on 30 min close below 1.1480.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the lower boundary of the channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro keeps stair-stepping along the inner trend-line of the 2-month rising channel; each dip to the line (green arrows) is met with higher lows, confirming firm demand around 1.1485-1.1500.
● Friday’s break back above the former wedge cap turned 1.1550 into support; clearing the last swing high at 1.1605 would expose the channel median / fib cluster at 1.1650, with the upper rail near 1.1745 as an extension.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Softer US retail-sales and a slump in NY Fed manufacturing pulled Treasury 2-yr yields under 4.70 %, while ECB speakers warned that further cuts “are not a given,” narrowing the rate gap and reviving euro bids.
✨ Summary
Long 1.1520-1.1560; hold above 1.1550 targets 1.1650 ➜ 1.1745. Bias void on an H4 close below 1.1480.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD formed the double top📊 Technical Analysis
● A double-top printed at the channel roof (≈ 1.1600) and a bearish engulfing candle signal exhaustion; price is slipping back inside last week’s inner trend-median, turning 1.1550 into fresh resistance.
● Hourly RSI diverged lower and the grey return line from 1 June has broken; pattern depth points to 1.1500 support, with the channel mid-band / former triangle apex near 1.1470 as the next magnet.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Post-CPI profit-taking meets cautious ECB rhetoric: Lagarde reiterated “no preset easing path,” yet money-markets still price two Fed cuts by year-end, inviting near-term dollar reprieve.
✨ Summary
Short 1.1540-1.1560; break below 1.1520 targets 1.1500 → 1.1470. Bear view void on an H1 close above 1.1600.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD above the 1.15📊 Technical Analysis
● Hourly close above 1.1500 completed a small ascending triangle; price is now hugging the rising-channel’s upper rail after a chain of higher-lows, pointing toward the 1.1600 objective.
● Triangle top and channel mid-line overlap at 1.1500-1.1520; while candles stay above, risk : reward favours a push to the next fib / upper parallel near 1.1650.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● US core-CPI eased to 0.1 % m/m, driving Treasury yields lower and lifting September Fed-cut odds >70 %, weakening the dollar, while ECB officials talked up a “data-dependent” pause, keeping euro bids firm.
✨ Summary
Long bias while price holds 1.1520; targets 1.1600 then 1.1650. Invalidate on an hourly close below 1.1470.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis
● Euro holds above 1.137 – 1.140, where the channel’s mid-line meets the old wedge roof, printing a fresh higher-low (green arrow).
● Price is compressing inside a pennant capped at 1.142; flag height projects to 1.156 – 1.160 at the rising-channel median once 1.142 gives way.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● After the ECB’s “one-and-pause” cut, sticky EZ core CPI (2.9 % y/y) and softer US payrolls narrowed the 2-yr rate gap, keeping flows tilted toward the euro.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.137–1.141; pennant breakout >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Long bias void on an H4 close below 1.126.
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EUR/USD – Bearish Setup with Potential Drop Toward 1.1285 and 1.EUR/USD is showing signs of exhaustion near the 1.1475 Fibonacci extension level (127.2%), with a completed five-wave impulse pattern likely followed by an ABC correction.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
A clear 5-wave Elliott structure suggests a top might be in.
Price is now losing momentum, indicating the start of a corrective move.
If selling continues, 1.12850 will be the first key level to watch.
A break below that could open the door for a deeper correction toward 1.12286.
📉 Momentum Support:
The Detrended Oscillator shows a loss of bullish momentum, aligning with the corrective structure expectation.
🔴 Invalidation:
A break back above 1.1475 would invalidate the bearish count and suggest trend continuation.
This setup favors short opportunities on breakdown confirmation with targets at the next major supports.
DeGRAM | EURUSD formed a bullish takeover📊 Technical Analysis
● A bullish engulfing on the grey 1.135-1.139 demand band reclaimed the inner trend-median and confirmed the base of the rising 2-month channel.
● The pull-back has just retested the broken wedge top (~1.140) as support; pattern height projects a grind to the channel mid-rail / horizontal cluster at 1.1565.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Ahead of the ECB’s expected “one-and-pause” 25 bp cut, EZ core CPI stayed stuck at 2.9 % y/y while soft US job-openings and lower T-bill yields narrowed the 2-yr spread, helping bids return to the euro.
✨ Summary
Long 1.137-1.140; hold above 1.135 seeks 1.156 ➜ 1.160. Invalidate on H4 close < 1.126.
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EUR/USD Analysis – Possible Scenarios🔹 Price is currently trading around 1.1421, consolidating between key supply and demand zones.
🔴 Supply Zone (Order Block 1H): 1.14360 – 1.14590
📌 Strong bearish reaction from this resistance area. First scenario: rejection from this OB and a move downward.
🔵 Demand Zone (Order Block 4H): 1.13050 – 1.13430
✅ If price fails to break the resistance, we could see a retracement to this OB. Bullish reaction here may offer long opportunities.
🟢 Fair Value Gap (FVG 1H): 1.11800 – 1.12220
📉 If OB 4H fails to hold, price could drop into this FVG area – a high-liquidity zone for potential reversal.
📊 Possible Scenarios:
1️⃣ Break and hold above OB 1H → price may extend toward next OB zone at 1.15150 – 1.15400
2️⃣ Rejection from OB 1H → pullback to OB 4H → possible long setup if confirmed
3️⃣ Break below OB 4H → deeper move into FVG 1H
‼️ Avoid premature entries – wait for valid confirmations.
🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX
If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
DeGRAM | EURUSD fixed above the resistance line📊 Technical Analysis
● Price has broken the H1 descending-channel roof and twice “fixed” above it at ≈1.137, turning the former ceiling into short-term support.
● The rebound forms an ascending triangle under 1.142; its measured swing targets 1.156 – 1.160, where the violet long-term resistance line and mid-channel parallel converge.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Markets expect the ECB to cut only 25 bp on 6 Jun and signal patience, while soft US JOLTS openings and slipping ISM-prices lifted September Fed-cut odds past 60 %, narrowing the 2-yr yield gap and underpinning EUR.
✨ Summary
Buy 1.135-1.137; triangle break >1.142 seeks 1.156 → 1.160. Long view void on an H1 close below 1.126.
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EURUSD: Pullback From Support Confirmed 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Update for our yesterday's setup on EURUSD.
It feels like the pair has successfully completed a retracement,
respecting an intraday horizontal support.
A double bottom formation on that and a formation of a bullish
imbalance candle provide a strong bullish confirmation.
I think the pair may rise at least to 1.144 support soon.
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DeGRAM | EURUSD broke the downward channel📊 Technical Analysis
● Price broke the H4 descending channel roof and reclaimed 1.130 support; the breakout is holding above the long-term blue trend-line, creating a fresh higher-low cluster.
● Momentum is compressing in a bull flag between 1.1420 resistance and 1.1330 support; flag depth projects to 1.1565-1.1600 near the violet channel cap.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Flash EZ CPI jumped to 2.6 % y/y vs 2.5 % est. while US ISM mfg. slid to 48.1, trimming Treasury yields and widening EUR-USD rate appeal.
✨ Summary
Long 1.133-1.136; flag break >1.142 targets 1.156 → 1.160. Trend risk flips on a close below 1.126.
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EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward.
Key point.
Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152
Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440
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DeGRAM | EURUSD retest of the support📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rebounded off the flag base (1.128) and reclaimed the inner grey trend-median, keeping the sequence of higher-lows inside the two-year rising channel.
● The flag’s upper rail at 1.145 has been tested twice; a close above completes the pattern and projects to the channel roof / horizontal confluence at 1.1600, while dynamic support rises with the violet breakout line at 1.1214.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Euro stays bid after May EZ headline CPI re-accelerated to 2.6 % y/y, tempering expectations for aggressive ECB cuts, whereas weaker US ADP hiring and cooling core-PCE pressured real yields and the dollar.
✨ Summary
Long bias above 1.128; flag break > 1.145 targets 1.1600, stretch 1.1950. Invalidate on daily close < 1.1080.
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