Eurusdsignals
EURUSD: Bearish Trend Will Resume Soon?! 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD looks bearish after a test of a key daily horizontal resistance.
The price formed a range and violated its support with a strong bearish candle.
Taking into consideration that the pair is trading in a strong bearish trend,
probabilities are high that it will resume soon.
I expect a bearish continuation at least to 1.0572
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EURUSD Bottom made. Now rally until end of year.The EURUSD pair eventually fulfilled all of our bearish signals since the September top, with the most recent one (November 11, see chart below) successfully hitting our 1.05300 Target:
We are now shifting to a long-term bullish sentiment after a long time, as the price finally reached the 1.05185 - 1.04500 Support Zone, which is holding for almost 2 years (since early January 2023).
The 1W RSI is virtually identical to the July - September 2023 Bearish Leg, on which we based all of our sell signals, as it was identified from early on that the similarities between the two were strong (1D chart).
Now that the 1.236 Fibonacci extension got hit, we expect the bullish reversal to reach at least the 0.5 Fibonacci level, as it happened on November 20 2023. As a result, our Target is currently 1.09400.
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Oversold Signals Spotted as EUR/USD Nears 1.06 LevelFxNews —The EUR/USD pair dipped after it tested the 50-period simple moving average. The pair is currently testing the 1.066 support while the RSI and Stochastic signal oversold, and the Awesome Oscillator shows divergence.
The downtrend will likely resume after the mild consolidation near 1.076. Please note that a dip below support will trigger a new bearish wave that could extend to 1.06.
EURUSD The sell-off isn't over yet.The EURUSD pair is extending the sharp sell-off after the most recent bearish signal upon the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection. This is practically the same sideways Zones we talked about almost a month ago (October 14, see chart below):
The price broke below the 1-year Higher Lows trend-line that was the last 'hope' for a bullish reversal and should now extend the bearish trend even lower. The 1D MA100 rejection was also a rejection on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and as you can see this is identical to the August 31 2023 rejection. That was half-way through a Channel Down (also starting from the Resistance Zone) that eventually targeted the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on this pair, targeting 1.05300 (Fib 1.236 extension), unless the 1D RSI hits 25.00 (oversold), in which case take profit regardless, as this RSI reading preceded the October 03 2023 bottom.
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Republicans Retake Senate, EURUSD Holds at Critical ResistanceFxNew s—The October 23 low at 1.076 is the immediate resistance. The EUR/USD price is likely to exceed this level.
If this scenario unfolds, the consolidation phase could extend to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level, backed by the bearish fair value gap area.
This level provides a decent opportunity to join the bear market. Therefore, traders and investors should closely monitor the resistance area that expands from 1.081 to 1.084, backed by the 100-SMA, for bearish signals.
EURUSD / TRADING UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Movement to Supply Zone (1.092 - 1.095):
• Prices are attempting to reach a supply zone between 1.092 and 1.095. This level acts as potential resistance where sellers may enter, potentially halting further upward movement.
Potential Decline to Demand Zone (1.085 - 1.083):
• If prices face resistance near 1.092 - 1.095, they might pull back to the demand zone between 1.085 and 1.083. This demand zone represents a level of support where buyers might enter, stabilizing prices.
Outlook if Prices Stabilize Above 1.085 - 1.083:
• Stabilization above this demand zone suggests an opportunity for prices to increase. The next target is another supply zone between 1.101 and 1.104, which could act as a new resistance level.
Risk of a Decline if Demand Zone is Broken:
• If prices break below the demand zone (1.085 - 1.083), it signals potential for further decline to a lower demand zone (1.079 - 1.076). A break below 1.076 would likely confirm a downtrend.
Trend Confirmation Based on Zone Breaks:
• Breaking the supply zone (1.092 - 1.095) would signal an uptrend, while a break below the demand zone (1.079 - 1.076) would confirm a downtrend.
EURUSD targeting 1.0500 after the 1W MA100 rejection.Late August (Aug 26, see chart below) saw us emphasizing the critical role of the Lower Highs trend-line, being the top of a multi-year Falling Wedge pattern that started at the peak of the 2008 Housing Crisis, and its important on the long-term trend, with a break-out being bullish while a rejection being bearish:
The price was eventually rejected exactly at the top and at the same time the 1W MA100 (green trend-line), which did the July 2023 rejection. That rejection initiated a correction back to the Symmetrical Support Zone of 2015.
As a result, we expect EURUSD to gradually descend towards that Zone and by mid 2025, hit 1.0500.
Notice also that the 1W RSI also got very close to its 15-year Resistance Zone. This has triggered in the past more brutal sell-offs.
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EUR/USD Builds Bullish Momentum with Strong Support and Pin BarAfter bottoming at 1.0760 exactly one week ago, FX:EURUSD has started to consolidate, forming what appears to be a base.
Since then, dips below 1.08 have been consistently bought up, culminating in a strong bullish Pin Bar candle yesterday.
To further support this bullish outlook, this base is forming at a key confluence of support levels, reinforcing the potential for an upward move.
With this in mind, I am looking to buy this pair, ideally on a dip, to ensure a positive risk-to-reward ratio of 1:2.
My target for a reversal is set at 1.0950, with respect to 1.09 resistance (this could serve as short term trader's target)
EURUSD confirmed the bottom. Low risk buy now.The EURUSD pair has turned sideways since it hit last week the bottom of the 1-year Channel Up and even though it hasn't broken above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yet, the 1D RSI has given us the strongest buy signal possible.
That is breaking above its MA (yellow trend-line) after rebounding on oversold soil (below 30.00) last Wednesday. This is exactly what happened on the April 16 2024 Low. Even if that is a mid-correction rebound like the February 14 one, as both decline sequences have been of -4.00%, it suggests that we can target at least the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level until the price resumes the bearish trend.
As a result, we consider this a low risk buy, targeting 1.10000 (below the 0.618 Fib).
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EURUSD expected to rebound on an oversold 1D RSI.The EURUSD pair made a straight hit on our 1.08350 Target (September 23 idea, see chart below) following the 1.12000 Double Top rejection:
Right now the price sits below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having failed to recover it in the past 2 days. This is however the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the last Low, which is where the February 14 2024 correction reversed.
At the same time, the 1D RSI turned oversold last Thursday, which is an even bigger bullish indication. For the past 2 years (since September 27 2022), every time the RSI got oversold (below 30.00), it was a very strong buy signal as the price reversed.
On the February 14 Low it reversed to the 0.618 Fib (blue), so currently our minimum target on this buy opportunity is 1.10550.
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EURUSD Bearish trend intact.The sell signal after the Double Top (September 23, see chart below) and the RSI Lower Highs rejection turned out to be a very accurate one and the price has already covered 75% of the distance to hitting our 1.08350 Target:
Given that there shouldn't be much divergence until then, we want to focus today on the 1W time-frame. As you can see, based on the ranged (Rectangle) pattern of the past 2 years, the price is at the top of the neutral zone, not even having broken the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1.08350 is located on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and that is the minimum downside we expect, as the 1W MA100 provided the Lows of June 24 and April 15 2024. The long-term Support Zone is located considerably lower than that (1.04500 - 1.05250) and that is technically the downside potential of the pair.
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EURUSD formed the first 4H Death Cross in 4 months.The Double Top on EURUSD last time we mentioned it (September 23, see chart below) worked perfectly and followed its technical bearish bias as not only did the price got rejected but also broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the May's Channel Up:
At the same time, the pair just completed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame in almost 4 months (since June 14) and every time in the past 2 and more years (except June 14) that it made that formation, it gave a solid medium-term (at least) sell signal.
As a result, there is no reason to diverge from the 1.08350 bearish Target, which as with the February 14 Low, it is on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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EURUSD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support.
After a retest of a broken structure, the price started to consolidate
within a narrow horizontal range.
Bearish breakout of the support of the range is a strong bearish confirmation.
The pair may continue falling to 1.1015
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EurUsd- Could drop 150 pipsYesterday, EUR/USD saw a sharp drop from the 1.12 level, reinforcing it as a strong resistance. The pair rebounded after touching the rising trend line, but in my view, it's only a matter of time before this support is broken.
In conclusion, I am looking to sell into rallies, targeting the 1.10 support, with a stop in place should there be a daily close above 1.12.
EURUSD Bullish continuation of the Channel Up.The EURUSD pair is defying the Double Top selling pressure of the 1.12100 Resistance and it appears that there are high probabilities of extending the Bullish Leg of the June's Channel Up.
With the support of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that contained the September 11 pull-back, the trend may be targeting the pattern's top for a new Higher High. It appears that so far there is high symmetry between the July - August 2024 Leg and October - November 2023 trend (both +4.99% rises), so the current uptrend may be of around +3.85%, similar to the one of December 2023.
As a result, with the 1D MACD also on a Bullish Cross, we are targeting 1.13500 for a Higher High.
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EURUSD Sell opportunity on a Double Top.The EURUSD pair made a Double Top last week near the 1.12000 Resistance following the Fed Rate Decision (-0.50% cut) and technically this is the first sign of a potential medium-term sell opportunity.
If we examine the price action on the 1D time-frame going back 2 years (November 2020), we can see a recurring pattern. When the 1D RSI breaks above the 70.00 overbought barrier and posts a Lower Highs trend-line, a sell signal emerges, which is valid until the RSI approaches the 30.00 oversold level.
This sell signal has so far emerged 2 times (February 02 2023 and December 28 2023) and both times the pull-back that followed hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The first correction registered a -4.70% decline while the second a -4.00%.
If this is a progressive pattern, then a potential new correction on the current RSI Lower Highs (Double Top for price) should be -3.30% (0.70 less than the previous), which as you can see on the chart falls exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, this isn't just a strong sell signal but also gives us a very reliable Target at 1.08350.
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EurUsd- Fall to 1.1 once more?Last week was favorable for Euro bulls, with the price climbing back to 1.12.
However, after three failed attempts to break above this level, the price has dropped sharply today and is now resting on the 1.11 support zone.
I anticipate a break below this level, with the next target being 1.10.
My strategy is to sell into rallies, with a stop above 1.12 to negate the setup.
EURUSD Channel Down hitting its top. Sell opportunity.The EURUSD pair rebounded on Friday on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today the price is testing the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 3-week Channel Down pattern. This presents an strong sell opportunity on an excellent Risk/Reward ratio and the upside is limited to the top but the downside having much room to drop to the bottom of the Channel.
The previous Bearish Legs declined by -1.41% and -1.56% respectively. As long as the price is closing below the top of the Channel Down, our target will be the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1.09900 (-1.26% from the top, negative progression relative to the previous Bearish Legs).
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EURUSD Sell signal confirmed.Last week (September 03, see chart below), we called for a major sell on the EURUSD pair as it closed a strong 1W red candle, almost at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up:
On Friday we got a strong confirmation of this sell signal as it closed in deep red and large wick on top, indicating a reversal of the short-term bounce. Naturally, today's opening to the week is equally bearish and we still expect that to be the first stage of the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Up.
We already have set a 1.0900 Target last week, which would make an ideal test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), but this week we establish a 2nd one as well at 1.08000. That would be just above Support 1 and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, almost a -3.95% decline, which since July 2023 and the pair's two major Bearish Legs, has been the minimum % decline we've had.
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EurUsd- Buy dips for 1.12 retestIn my last EUR/USD commentary, I mentioned that the pair could reach 1.11.
That target was not only met but exceeded, with a top at 1.12.
The pair is currently in a normal corrective phase, and once this correction ends, EUR/USD could resume its upward movement.
My strategy is to buy on dips near the 1.10 level, with the potential for a 1:3 risk-to-reward ratio depending on the stop-loss placement.
Shorter-term traders could also consider the 1.11 level as a point to take profits.