EURUSD 4H : Support further decline EURUSD
New forecast
The euro/dollar pair rose during the day to reach support at the 1.0700 level, showing some slight upward bias, waiting to encourage the price to resume negative trading and test the 1.0661 level initially, remembering that breaking this level will push the price to achieve negative targets starting at 1.0632 and extending to 1.0612. .
Therefore, the downward trend will remain effective, keeping in mind that breaching 1.0718 will lead the price to achieve additional gains before any new attempt to decline.
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0718 and support line 1.0661.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
resistance line : 1.0700 , 1.0718
support line : 1.0686 , 1.0661
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
Eurusdsignals
EURUSDWillson came to visit bro 😁
The euro pared back its recent gains post-NFP with several US central bank speakers 'outperforming' their European Central Bank (ECB) counterparts. In particular, the Fed's Logan and Bowman emphasized the resilience of the US economy and the likely need for further interest rate hikes. In short, Fed officials will likely adopt a 'wait and see' approach as more data is needed after the recent NFP miss.
EURUSD Bullish break-out above 1D MA50. Buy the pull-back.The EURUSD pair hit of the both targets (see chart below) we set on our recent idea (October 30):
The price broke and closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since August 10, which is a major medium-term bullish break-out signal. The 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is right above but technically after breaking Resistance 1 (1.07375), it eyes Resistance 2 next (1.09455).
The 1D CCI is on Higher Highs and this is consistent with the mid-rally consolidation on both of the previous rebound legs of the 2023 Megaphone pattern. In fact, every time the pair closed a 1D candle above the 1D MA50, it later pulled back on it to test it as a Support and resumed the rally. The eventual peaks have completed at least a +5.47% rise.
As a result, we are looking for a pull-back in order to buy again and target 1.1000 (less than +5.47% rise from the bottom).
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EURUSD New bullish wave incoming. 1st 4H Golden Cross in 4monthsThe EURUSD pair hit both of our targets on the latest bullish signal (see chart below) we gave on October 16, as it completed a technical Higher High on October's Channel Up:
The price is now staging the new bullish leg as it established the new Higher Low on the Channel Up. Even though the recent Higher High was rejected on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line), which is a bearish sign long-term, the emerging 4H Golden Cross (first since June 19), has the strength to invalidate that rejection.
As a result, a closing above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) will be a buy break-out entry for us, targeting 1.07125 (+1.85% rise from the bottom) and 1.07375 (Resistance 2) in extension. Note that as with every Channel Up bottom so far, the 4H MACD formed a Bullish Cross.
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EURUSD Analysis. Signal for next week.Hello everyone. i want share my idea about EURUSD.
After big bearish movement we see some consolidation but there is not any sing for trend change. Price action is easy to identify where it will go, i think the trend will continue and the reason is price falling and dollar index bullish movements which is strong with also fundamentally.
Here is my setup for this trade.
Open Position - 1.059
Stop Loss - 1.069
Take Profit - 1.03
Always Make your own research!!! Manage risk!!!
EURUSD MACD Bullish Cross is about to reverse the bearish trend!The EURUSD pair is on the verge of a medium-term trend shift from bearish to bullish as:
1) Not only did it form the 1st MA50 (blue trend-line) / MA100 (green trend-line) Bullish Cross on the 4H time-frame since July 12
2) But also is about to complete the 3rd rising Bullish Cross on the 4H MACD.
Those two can give shape to a Channel Up pattern that will target the two main Resistance levels, the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.06350 and the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1.06850. Target 1 is neatly placed just under Resistance 1 while Target 2 near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the emerging Channel Up.
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EURUSD Still bearish but buy above the Channel Down.The EURUSD pair is emphatically breaking above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) with the only time it has done so since this July Channel Down started being on August 30. The signal to sell has always been a 4H MACD Bearish Cross, so this is what we will wait for in order to lower the risk. If successful, we will target 1.0400 (-2.33% decline as the previous bearish legs). If however the price crosses above the Channel Down first and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) we will buy the break-out and target the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1.0785.
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EurUsd at crossroadsSince the recent top from mid-July, EurUsd dropped 800 pips, counting from top to bottom.
Recently, the pair found support shy under 1.05 and today, we are already in the 5th consecutive green day.
Looking at the chart we can see that the pair is at a crossroads at this moment and anything could happen.
On one hand, the trend is still bearish and under important confluence resistance given by the falling trend line and the horizontal resistance from 1.0630
On the other hand, a break above this level should lead to a deeper correction towards 1.08
The best approach is to wait and see for either a break up, or a reversal candle from this level.
EURUSD Don't trust this short-term rebound for a second.The EURUSD had a 2-day rise that almost touched the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the counter trend rebound towards the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2 month Channel Down. The 4H MA50 hasn't been broken since September 20 but even if it does, we are far from turning bullish. As long as it remains below the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), it is a sell opportunity, targeting 1.03500 (bottom of Channel Down, above both the standard -2.34% decline and 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Only a closing above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) can justify a bullish break-out (medium-term). The 4H RSI is forming the same kind of pattern it did on the last 4H MA100 rejection.
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EurUsd- In search for next supportAfter reaching the important 1.05 support last week, EurUsd corrected to the upside.
However, this correction was short-lived and, after touching 1.0620 resistance, the pair started to fall again.
Yesterday we also had a drop under 1.05 and at this moment EurUsd is trading at 1.0466.
The trend remains strongly bearish and the road is clear to 1.0360 next support.
As long as the pair is trading under 1.06, sell rallies should be the strategy
EurUsd- Bottom could be in place. At least for now.A few days ago I drew attention that, although the trend for EurUsd is strongly bearish, sellers should be careful at the proximity of a major support around 1.05.
The pair reversed yesterday exactly from this zone and is trading now towards 1.06.
In my opinion, a bottom could be in place, at least for now and traders should look to buy dips against this 1.05 level.
The target could be set around 1.07 resistance.
EURUSD Short-term Buy Signal at the bottom of the Channel.The EURUSD pair is extending the bearish trend firmly within the borders of the 2-month Channel Down hitting in the process last week's target:
As you see, it failed to break above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) so we didn't pursue Target 2. We are in a similar situation now, with the price again at the bottom of the Channel Down, while the 4H RSI is about to hit the oversold territory (sub 30.00). We take it again as a buy opportunity, targeting the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) at 1.06300. As before, if the price breaks above the 4H MA100, we will re-buy and target 1.07200 (+1.44% rise).
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EurUsd could correct higherSince mid-July, EurUsd has started to drop and the pair lost 600 pips since then in a clear down trend.
However, after touching the end of May low support, the pair started to reverse and the last 2 daily candles indicate the possibility of reversal.
Keep in mind though that we are now in the zone of a strong resistance and only a break above this zone would confirm continuation to the upside.
In such an instance, traders could target 1.0770 zone
EURUSD Buy signals but follow the break-outs.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the July 27 High. So far it has only made two Lower Highs touching its top and we may be starting the sequence that might complete the 3rd.
On the short-term we expect the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) to be tested and the target on our current buy is 1.0700. That is still below the Inner Lower Highs trend-line, similar to August's decline.
Beyond that, we will take a 2nd buy only if the price breaks above the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), in which case, we will target the top of the Channel Down and the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) at 1.08000 (+1.65% bullish extension).
Note that the 4H MACD is close to completing a Bullish Cross.
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EURUSD On the 1W MA50 after 8 red weeks. Strong rebound ahead?The EURUSD pair got last week the closest to the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) it has been since the January 02 2023 1W candle, practically the start of the year. The 1W MA50 has been the long-term Support of the bullish trend since the pair broke above it on the week of December 05 2022. Testing it after that long can provide a technical rebound, especially considering the fact that last week the trend completed eight (8) straight red 1W candles.
To put things into a more detailed context, the price action of the past 12 months is similar to the one that preceded the March 29 2021 1W MA50 test. Both lasted on a similar date range (50 weeks/ 350 days and 54 weeks/ 378 days respectively) from the bottom to the 1W MA50 test and the 1W RSI on both dropped from 70.00 to 42.50. The 2021 rebound marginally broke the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level before getting rejected on a Lower Highs trend-line to the 2021 - 2022 Bear Cycle.
As a result, it is worth attempting a medium-term buy, as long as the 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50 and target the 0.786 Fibonacci level, which on this occasion is at 1.11500.
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EurUsd could resume its down moveOn 8 September I wrote that a relief rally could be next for EurUsd and this should be considered an opportunity for traders to sell rallies around resistance and join the downtrend at better prices.
Indeed the pair rose and reversed exactly from under 1.0780 resistance.
The recent rise is corrective in nature and formed a flag pattern and we could see a new leg down.
I remain bearish under 1.08 and my target is the 1.0550 zone with interim support at the recent low.
EURUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD hit the bottom of the Channel Down.The EURUSD pair hit yesterday the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down that started after the July 27 High. As the 4H MACD is about to form a Bullish Cross, this emerges technically as a buy opportunity on the short-term.
Our target is 1.0850, just below the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down, marginally below a projected +1.42% price range, which was the lowest so far rebound within this pattern.
The 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) is the short-term Resistance while the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) the long-term Support, where closing below restores the bearish trend for more months to come.
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EurUsd could drop to 1.05 zoneIn my previous EurUsd analysis I wrote that the break of the one-year rising trend line could signal further losses for the pair and traders should keep an eye on the 1.09 zone, suggesting selling above this figure.
EurUsd reversed perfectly from resistance leaving a long-tailed continuation Pin Bar on our chart suggesting bears are very strong.
Going further, I expect further weakness for the pair and I'm looking for a drop to important 1.05 very important zone support in the medium term.
The strategy should be sell rallies and only a daily close above the recent high would negate this bearish scenario.
EURUSD 1st hit on the 1D MA200 after 9 months! BUY!!The EURUSD pair finally hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time in 9 months (since November 30 2022). That is a direct hit at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 2023 Channel Up, which is so far holding. Perhaps the strongest buy signal that we could see also emerged, as the 1D RSI hit the 33.00 Support, which formed the bottoms of May 31 and February 24.
Based on all the above dynamics, this is the strongest buy opportunity on EURUSD on a 3 month horizon. It will be confirmed after it closes above the 4H MA200 (green trend-line) but the Risk/ Reward ratio is good enough for a buy entry now. Our first Target is the 0.786 Fibonacci Channel level at 1.13000 and second the 1.14000 (would complete a +6.00% rise from the current bottom level).
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EurUsd could drop under important supportSince the recent 1.13 top, EurUsd started to fall, with rallies clearly sold.
Also, the mid of August is marked by a break under the ascending trend line that kept the price elevated for almost a year.
At this moment the pair is trading exactly at the horizontal support and a break also under this support is probable.
In such an instance EurUsd could drop to the next important support that lies 200 pips under.
I'm looking to sell rallies for EurUsd and an ideal price could be 1.0950 with negation above 1.1150 for a 1:3 risk: reward trade.
EURUSD Time to turn bullish again.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the sell target that we set on last week's analysis (see chart below):
This is an update to that idea as the price is now not only approaching the bottom of the 9 month Channel Up but also the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), having the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance.
Being only a few pips before completing the -4.11% decline of the previous Lower Low correction in May, it is worth booking any sell profit and turn bullish again for the long-term. If you want to wait some more however, the last buy condition will be fulfilled when/ if the 1D RSI hits the 33.00 Support, where it rebounded on both the May 31 and February 24 lows.
As far as our target is concerned, we aim at the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level - Internal Higher Highs Zone at 1.14000. That would also complete +5.50% rise, similar to April's Higher High.
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EURUSD - RSI SIGNAL ANALYSISEURO/USD
RSI SIGNAL ANALYSIS
- Diagonal parallel channel acting as confinement zone
for price, good for timing buys/sells and for stops
above or below.
- Red zones on the chart are oversold levels and green
are overbought.
RSI OVERSOLD
- Can remain oversold for 28 - 30 weeks
- Prime time window to buy is from week 26 - 28
RSI OVERBOUGHT
- Can remain overbought for 17 - 22 weeks
- Prime time window to sell is from week 17 - 22
- An RSI double top pattern has signaled the last
overbought tops.
You can also clearly see the relevance of the POC Line which price oscillates around or has trouble with breaching.
We can observe what happens the next time the RSI is oversold or overbought and maybe we can use these weekly time windows to better gauge a buy or sell opportunity.
PUKA