EurUsd- Bottom in place?Yesterday, EurUsd spiked under 1.07 and, after a low at 1.0674, the pair reversed and managed to break back above the falling trend line started at the beginning of the month (we also have a long tailed bullish engulfing on our daily chart).
This spike and reversal could very well suggest a bottom in place and EurUsd could be ready for more gains.
Confirmation for a bottom comes with the price above 1.0750-1.0760 zone resistance and, in such an instance bulls could expect more gains with 1.0850 as target and negation under yesterday's low.
Eurusdtechnicalanalysis
EURUSD: Anticipating Non-farm!EUR/USD advances toward 1.0750 amid US debt deal optimism
Fundamental technical analysis:
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) continues to be present in the middle. The average price is still declining, with the 34 EMA and 89 EMA staying steady, creating a consistent downtrend over a period of time. Additionally, the flag pattern has begun to take shape.
Market overview:
On Friday, EUR/USD started to rise after a four-day decline that resulted in the pair reaching its lowest level in over two months near 1.0700. The near-term technical outlook does not yet show a bullish inclination in the short term, and the next directional move may be influenced by the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data from the US later in the day.
The US Dollar (USD) was boosted on Thursday by positive macroeconomic data releases from the US, which revived expectations for one more Federal Reserve (Fed) rate increase in June. The US Bureau of Economic Analysis revised the first-quarter annualized Gross Domestic Product growth to 1.3% from 1.15 in the initial estimate, and the weekly Initial Jobless Claims came in below the market expectation of 245,000 at 229,000.
A key reversal on EUR/USD just formed at a major support clusterA bullish engulfing candle has formed on the EUR/USD daily chart, which could carry some weight given the technical levels of support it sits upon.
Despite an intraday break below 1.0700, the market rebounded and closed back above this big round number. The 200-day EMA also provided support following an intraday false break beneath it, and it is worth mentioning that the 200-day EMA provided support on three occasions between the end of February and beginning of March before a strong rally formed.
The RSI (14) dipped to its lowest level since September 2022. Whilst it is not within the classic oversold level of 30, it now sits at a similar level to the RSI low in February which preceded the March Rally.
Furthermore, yesterday’s low held above the March VPOC (volume point of control), which is the most traded level by volume (or ticks, in the case of spot forex). Whilst many would prefer real ‘exchange’ volume, I regularly use the ICE feed as it is an amalgamation of FX feeds and their respective liquidity providers, and I generally find their tick volumes to be quite reliable.
And finally, the decline form the May high has been in a relatively straight line which almost begs for correction higher.
So it appears we are at or very near to an inflection point on EUR/USD, and a move to 1.0800 seems achievable given the depth of its decline from the May high. Of course, incoming data is key so we will keep an eye on employment data for the US this week (ADP, JOLTS, layoffs, jobless claims) and to see if the jobs market shows further signs of softening ahead of Friday's NFP report, as that could reduce bets of a June Fed hike and support EUR/USD.
EURUSD 25May2023it is possible that wave 5 will end in the SnD area. if we drag the extension fibo, then fibo 1 will be in the SnD area. means wave 5 has the same length as wave 3, can wave 5 be longer than wave 3? yes it can! so when you decide to go long, it's better to wait for a reversal to occur in the SnD area.
EURUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD: Clings to multi-day low!Hello traders, some information to help you trade better is here.
The EUR/USD experienced a consecutive drop, resulting in the lowest daily close in two months, due to the US Dollar's increasing strength. The Greenback was supported by higher Treasury yields and risk aversion. Any recovery seen during the European session was short-lived, and the pair returned to trading near 1.0750.
Economic data released on Wednesday revealed that the German IFO Business Climate Index dropped slightly to 91.7 in May from 93.4 in April (revised from 93.6), contrary to the market expectation of 93. However, this report did not have any impact on the Euro. On Thursday, a new estimate of Q1 GDP will be released by Germany, which is expected to remain at 0%.
According to the FOMC minutes, officials had differing opinions on the future of interest rates. Some members believed that more rate hikes were necessary, while others argued against further policy tightening. Overall, there was uncertainty about the appropriate amount of policy tightening. The US Dollar experienced a slight weakening after the minutes, but still maintained most of its daily gains.
Market sentiment deteriorated further amid a gloomy growth outlook and the debt-ceiling drama. Negotiations continue in Washington but no deal yet. On Thursday, economic reports due in the US include Jobless Claims.
EURUSD: The return and new position of EUREUR/USD dribbles below 1.0800 amid lackluster US debt ceiling talks, focus on ECB’s Lagarde, Fed Minutes
The EUR/USD pair resumed its downward trend after a brief recovery, touching last week's low near 1.0760. The US dollar is performing better than the Euro, leading to a bearish bias for the pair. Despite optimistic statements from the European Central Bank (ECB), weak data from the Eurozone has failed to boost the common currency. Preliminary PMIs from May showed a decrease in the Manufacturing index, while the Service index managed to stay above market consensus. Inflation indicators improved slightly, but the Services sector's inflation rose, which is something that ECB officials have recently addressed. Germany's Manufacturing Index fell to a 36-month low, whereas the Service Index unexpectedly rose to its highest level in 21 months.
Plan trade in the intro
EURUSD: Russia is going to get rid of the Euros in their wealth.Russia announced that they were going to remove euros from their National Wealth Fund… This is not good news for euros folks… The Russians held over $11 Billion in euros… Hopefully, they will go about this in an organized and slow manner as to not move the markets wildly… But taking into consideration how much damage the European Union has done to the Russian economy, with their sanctions, could you blame the Russians if they decided to unload all euros on the markets and let them take their punishment? I’m just saying
EURUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD: Next goalFundamental Overview
Despite the bets for more rate hikes by the European Central Bank (ECB), the shared currency, EUR/USD, is not getting any respite. ECB President Christine Lagarde has warned that stubbornly high inflation needs to be curbed, and there are factors that can cause significant upside risk to the inflation outlook. However, this announcement does not impress investors or support the EUR/USD pair. Investors are now waiting for the ECB Bulletin for some impetus, while keeping an eye on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's appearance later this Friday.
EUR/USD holds gains above 1.0800 amid weaker US Dollar, yields
Plan trade in the intro
EURUSD 21May2023EURUSD still looks bearish, there is a possibility that the price will move up again but when the price rises more than the blue line it doesn't necessarily mean that the price is returning to the bullish trend, it could be that EURUSD is experiencing a complex correction. currently focusing on short options to the SnD area. adjust to each trading style to take short positions
EURUSD: downtrend!Technical Overview
The EUR/USD has been showing a negative trend since May 5, and Monday's slight improvement has not changed this trend. The immediate resistance level is at 1.0900, which is a horizontal level and the EMA-34 in 4-hour charts. If the Euro manages to go above this level, it could reduce the bearish pressure. However, to change the short bias from bearish to neutral/bullish, it must cross the downtrend line that is currently at 1.0950.
EURUSD - CURRENT SENTIMENT ANALYSE , DXY #EURUSD
- As of last day, the MARKET SENTIMENT for EUR was slightly on the DOWN SIDE. The main reason for that is that the dollar started getting stronger because of the short-term POSITIVE SENTIMENT for the dollar. Because it came with the NFP REPORT. The dollar weakened slightly after the FOMC last time. But the FED can raise the RATE HIKE or their CEILING RATE whenever necessary. Anyway, it was mentioned in the previous MEETING that the FED is still MONITORING INFLATION DATA.
- Definitely, according to the market structure, EURUSD can go down to the support level of 1.0756 below. At the moment, there is quite a down side bias in the market for EUR.
- After that EURUSD can go up to 1.1200 LEVEL according to the structure. If the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going DOWN, there will be more EURUSD SELL. So keep an eye on it.
EURUSD: Entry sell!Fundamental Overview
Mario Centeno, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated on Wednesday that the policy will continue to be strict for a while longer but indicated that interest rates ought to begin to decrease at some point in 2024. According to Bloomberg, some members of the ECB are suggesting that a rate increase may be necessary in September. This situation implies that there will be rate increases in both June and July.
Predicting continuation of downtrend
EURUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD - CURRENT SENTIMENT ANALYSE , DXY #EURUSD
- University review euro market operates without sentiment. And connecting online, it is possible to create a positive feeling with positive emotions. NFP report. FOMC mobile phone. Increase the feeding rate and increase the ceiling rate. Necessary meeting is underway to monitor federal inflation data.
- Market structure EuroUSD review 1.0836 support level review. There is a market bias for the euro university market.
- EURUSD 1.1200 level structure online. Market sentiment shares and commodities sell below EURUSD. So pay attention to it
EURUSD: Your good position buy!Fundamental Overview
Largade & Co's assessment that present financial conditions do not demand an immediate liquidity response is a favorable viewpoint. The policy rates in the rates and FX markets have a clear direction of travel, but it is now reliant on certain conditions. It is improbable that the policy rates have already reached their maximum point at 3.00%, which indicates that the EURO may strengthen on the crosses and possibly escalate on the FED pause.
Plan in the intro
EUR/USD Maintains Auction Area above 1.1000 Amidst Risk-On MoodThe #EURUSD pair is currently trading in a sideways trend above the critical support level of 1.1000. The US Dollar Index (DXY) is also looking vulnerable above 101.20, indicating a possible uptrend for #EURUSD.
Last week, the European Central Bank (ECB) announced an interest rate hike of 25 basis points (bps), and the ECB President, Christine Lagarde, kept the doors open for more interest rate hikes. This announcement has a comparatively more hawkish bias than the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to release on Wednesday, is the focus for investors after the United States Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Annual headline CPI is expected to soften to 4.4%, while the core CPI is seen accelerating to 5.8%.
The #EURUSD pair has formed a Double Top chart pattern, which will get triggered only after slipping below the immediate support of May 02 low at 1.0942. However, the pair is showing signs of an upside momentum as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) has shifted into the 40.00-60.00 range.
TRADE IDEA DETAILS
CURRENCY PAIR: #EURUSD
CURRENT TREND: Sideways
TRADE SIGNAL: ↗️Buy
👉ENTRY PRICE: 1.1035
✅TAKE PROFIT: 1.1185
❌STOP LOSS: 1.0942
#EURUSD #USCPI #ECB #InterestRateHike #DoubleTopChart #Inflation