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Eurusdtechnicalanalysis

EURUSD: The fate of the USD depends on the Fed's 2024 movesThe US dollar has been relatively stable this year, having strengthened significantly following the Fed's rate hike in 2022, but could face downward pressure in 2024 if the Fed cuts rates as expected. . The dollar has fallen only 2% against other major currencies this year, its first annual decline since 2020, supported by strong U.S. economic growth and the Federal Reserve's efforts to keep borrowing costs high. Ta. The Fed's surprising shift in stance came at its December meeting, when Chairman Jerome Powell suggested a sharp rate hike cycle that would send interest rates soaring to multi-decade highs was likely. It ended due to falling inflation. This has led to expectations for a 75 basis point (bp) rate cut next year, with the dollar weakening as lower interest rates generally make U.S. assets less attractive to profit-seeking investors. There is a possibility that Strategists are expecting a weaker dollar next year, but the possibility of an earlier rate cut could accelerate the dollar's weakness. But the strong U.S. economy could pose a challenge for those betting on the dollar. Kit Jacks, chief currency strategist at Société Générale (OTC:SCGLY), said aggressive monetary policy and growth stimulus in the US led to strong dollar strength. La, just like in the 1980s. Impending policy changes could eliminate some of these gains. The development of the dollar is particularly important given its central role in global finance. A weaker dollar could benefit the United States by making exports more competitive and increasing multinational corporations' profits when converting foreign earnings into dollars. According to FactSet, about a quarter of S&P 500 companies (INDEXSP: INX companies) derive more than half of their revenue from international markets. A December survey of 71 foreign exchange strategists predicted the dollar would weaken against G10 currencies in 2024, with most of the decline occurring in the second half of this year. The outcome will likely depend on the relative performance of the US economy and the speed with which central banks around the world adjust their policies. The European Central Bank is resisting pressure to cut interest rates to fight inflation as the euro zone struggles with a deepening economic downturn. The euro has appreciated more than 3% against the dollar this year. In contrast, Neuberger Berman's Thanos Baldas remains bullish on the dollar over the next 12 months, citing continued weakness in economies outside the United States.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD Longs from 1.09600 up towards 1.11000My forecast for this week aligns with my plan for GU as anticipated, with some minor adjustments. The concepts remain consistent, but the positioning is extended due to the trend line liquidity near the current price. I expect this liquidity and the Asian low to be taken out, leading price down towards the 5hr demand zone. Upon the formation of a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, I plan to initiate buy positions, targeting a move back up towards the 10hr supply zone located at the psychological level of 1.11000. This pair is currently favourable for me, exhibiting ideal price structure and aligning with a pro-trend perspective. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Unmitigated 5hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside. - Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again. - DXY is still looking bearish meaning that EURUSD is expected to rise. - Trend line on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering. - In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level. P.S. While I anticipate an initial drop to mitigate the demand, I acknowledge the possibility of remaining upside. This could lead price to react off the 10hr supply, subsequently eliminating the trendline liquidity below. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD: - A Detailed Analysis of Market Structure and FibonacciWelcome to my TradingView profile! In this article, we will embark on a journey together to explore the intriguing prospects of EURUSD, guided by the fundamental principles of market structure and Fibonacci retracement. I invite you to join me in analyzing one of the most traded currency pairs. Our primary instruments will be market structure, the identification of the trend direction, and the application of Fibonacci levels. We will delve into how these factors can provide meaningful insights for making informed trading decisions. he inclusion of detailed charts and illustrations will aid in visualizing the discussed concepts. We will explore key Fibonacci retracement levels and how they interact with the overall market structure. This will be an informative article, focusing on understanding the market context and applying fundamental concepts of technical analysis. The goal is to provide a clear perspective and stimulate critical thinking within our trading community. If you find this analysis valuable, I encourage you to subscribe to stay updated on my latest posts and market analyses. This is just the beginning, and subscribing will allow you to be among the first to receive updates and trading ideas. Feel free to make any adjustments or let me know if there's anything specific you'd like to modify!
Long
by ICTBulletFX
EURUSD: The USD fell as expectations of interest rate cuts increThe U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year. Market participants are keeping an eye on the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. The futures market indicates that there is an 89% probability that interest rates will be cut by March 2024, and it has been pointed out that there is a possibility that interest rates will be cut by March next year. Despite these forecasts, some analysts, including those at Monex USA, have expressed skepticism about the Fed's willingness to ease early, saying the dollar could appreciate if the expected rate cuts do not materialize. suggested. In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Analysts at Monex USA highlighted the unstable economic situation in Europe and the United Kingdom, predicting that their central banks could cut interest rates before the Fed. The euro rose 0.09% to $1.1113, close to a five-month high and posted a 3.7% annual gain, its best performance since 2020.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD Technical analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video analysis, we focus on dissecting the movements of EURUSD. We can see that the EU has traded into a significant resistance level. Below the current price level, we pinpoint an imbalance key support zones. Throughout the presentation, we delve into comprehensive trend analysis, intricacies of price action, the underlying market structure, while also briefly outlining a prospective trade opportunity. It is important to note that this is not financial advice and is meant for educational purposes only.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EURUSD → Second Rejection at 1.10! Short to 1.06? Let's Answer.EURUSD was rejected twice at the Resistance Zone and ended last week with a bear bar closing on its low! Should we short here? How do we trade this? 🤔 Short answer (pun intended!), yes! My analysis from last week showed the price action around 1.078 which is right on the EMA support ribbons. Too far away from resistance to short, too far away from the Support Zone to long. The EMA ribbons themselves are support as we now can see, the price action has bounced off of them back to the Resistance Zone. Now that we've seen a second rejection, that's our confirmation to short. The first was our signal, second our confirmation and because the bar closed on its low, we have optimal probability to enter a short position here. Target 1:2 Risk/Reward with a protective stop just above the double top at 1.10, then target the 1.06 area to take profits. Look for a bull response at the 1.06 area, a potential long opportunity using the same trade management style as this one. Refer to my analysis from last week for that setup: Additional Note: We're trading the Daily chart here, this trading range came after a bull channel which in isolation, should give us a long bias while we're between 1.06 and 1.10. However, zooming out to the Weekly chart shows us we're rejecting price off of the 200EMA. It's reasonable to have a short-term bull bias in this range, but caution should be used in either direction because of that Weekly 200EMA. 💡 Trade Ideas 💡 Short Entry: 1.089 🟥 Stop Loss: $0.955 ✅ Take Profit: 1.057 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Two Rejections at Resistance Zone, Bias to Short. 2. Second Rejection Bear Bar Closing on its Low. Run Short to 1.06 Area. 3. 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio, Watch Out for Support at EMA Ribbons. 4. RSI at 55.00 and above Moving Average, Needs to Fall Below. 5. Also Reasonable to Scalp 1:1 and Move Stop Up to Entry. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 Probability of profit increases dramatically when you wait for what is called "confirmation" on the chart. This comes after a signal bar closes, indicating the next moves on the chart. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
Short
by TraderEngineering
EURUSD Longs from 1.09550 or 1.09200I anticipate EURUSD to wait for a decline in selling pressure and for the price to enter a demand zone, providing an opportunity for an upward buy. Currently, my focus lies on the two 5-hour demand zones that triggered the recent CHOCH. This bias is more favorable as it aligns with the existing bullish trend in the EURUSD market. Despite my overall bearish outlook on this market, the ongoing bullish rallies remain robust. Furthermore, I anticipate further upside in the market to eventually reach a more premium supply zone. Confluence for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Lots of liquidity left above in the form or trend lines and asian highs. - Two demand zones on the 5hr time frame that has caused a CHOCH to the upside. - This idea aligns with the temporary bullish trend that EURUSD has generated. - Selling pressure is slowly getting exhausted and is pending an accumulation. - For price to continue going higher and create a new leg it must react off a near demand. P.S. The price has responded to a 50-minute supply zone, initiating bearish momentum. Now, I am anticipating the price to descend and undergo accumulation within the specified zones I have identified. Comment your thoughts below and let me know what you guys think of EURUSD's current price
Long
by Hassan_fx
7 Dimension analysis for EURUSD🕛 TOPDOWN - Bearish Momentum in a Multi-Month Downtrend Overview: The monthly and weekly analyses indicate a multi-month downtrend with the initiation of a current impulsive bearish move. The focus is on the daily timeframe for a detailed perspective. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish 🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS) 🟢 Swing Move: Bearish impulsive move in progress, marked by a proper high. 🟢 Inducement: Completed. 🟢 Pull Back 1st: Deep pullback with a reversal and bearish momentum. 🟢 Internal Structure: Choch (Contraction) observed. Ext OB mitigated, indicating a potential reversal. 🟢 Resistance/Supply/Distribution/Premier: Multiple indicators, including trendlines, suggest further downward movement. 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Raising Wedge breakout signals bearish continuation. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS ey Considerations: Record session count with a Change in Guard (engulfing) candle, a strong reversal sign. Momentum signals, including strict engulfing and a last bullish FOMO candle. 3️⃣ Volume: Pivot points of fixed range volume show volatile reversal signals. Average volume during correction move reinforces the bearish bias. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI: 🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone. 🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways with a loud move. 🟢 Loud Moves: Bearish loud move observed. 🟢 Overbought/Oversold Rejections: Count of 3. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle band provides support, but momentum suggests potential breakage. 🟢 Formation of a W pattern at the top of the move. 6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than EUR, adding to the bearish bias. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish ☑️ Current Move: Impulsive ✔ Support/Resistance Base: Supply area and extreme Order Block. ☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Momentum - both patterns are bearish. ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed. ☑️ Final Comments: Sell right now. 💡 Decision: SELL. 🚀 Entry: 1.08450 ✋ Stop Loss: 1.1030 🎯 Take Profit: 1.0143 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO. 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.75 🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days SUMMARY: The analysis strongly supports a bearish momentum, aligning with the ongoing multi-month downtrend. Key indicators such as candle patterns, volume considerations, and momentum signals reinforce the sell decision. The strategy involves clear risk management and exit criteria.
Short
by Optimum369
3
EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 up towards 1.10500The bias for the EUR/USD this week remains bullish, given the recent downward break in the DXY (Dollar) structure. Currently, the price has responded to a supply zone, leading to a partial retracement. My anticipation is for the price to continue its descent towards a demand level, creating an opportunity for me to consider buys within the ongoing bullish trend. The demand zones identified on the 10-hour and 2-hour charts triggered an impulsive upward movement, leaving an imbalance. Recognising this pattern suggests that the price is likely to revisit these levels and react in a bullish manner. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - DXY (dollar) continues to break structure to the downside indicating that EU will rise. - Lots of liquidity to the upside that hasn't been taken in the form of asian highs and trend lines. - Demand zones haven been left on the 10hr and 2hr below the levels of imbalances. - The price also responded to a near by 23-hour supply zone last week, and this event could serve as the catalyst for a retracement, paving the way for a new upward movement. P.S. Additionally, I acknowledge the possibility of the price ascending and reaching the Asian high, which is in close proximity to the current price. Should this occur, my expectation is for the price to respond to the refined supply on the 50-minute chart above it, or potentially rise further to establish a more favourable sell opportunity. I would also love to hear you guys thoughts on this pair so be sure to leave a comment!
Long
by Hassan_fx
#EURUSD: Possible short term selling opportunity! Hey Everyone, DXY will be volatile this week due to NFP and other strong data coming out from Wednesday to Friday market will be too volatile and keeping that fact in mind we think EURUSD may be bearish. Wait for price to come to red designated area so that we can enter short there. Once entered keep stop loss small and to you risk management. Target will be divided into two, close half of the position at target one and keep the rest of the position running for price to reach our target two. If you like our work and analysis, please like the idea.
Short
by Setupsfx_
8
EURUSD - D1\H4EURUSD D1 - The price has corrected by 60% from the impulse of the 1st wave, which could potentially form the beginning of the 3rd wave and lead to a decline to the levels of 1.05409 H4 - To consider the entry, it is better to wait for the formation of a 3-wave structure and consider the entry, at the moment the price may also continue to rise. After confirmation of the pattern, it will be possible to consider targets for D1. What can you expect? Waiting for a 3-wave structure and considering selling; if you are considering entering from these levels, reduce your risk so as not to fall into a continuation of the upward movement. Short Target during pattern formation 1.06636 - 1.05409 - 1.04283 - 1.02488
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD - D1\H4EURUSD D1 - The price has reached level 161, which may lead to a potential correction and the formation of the 2nd wave. The price may correct by 50-60% of the impulse. H4 - The price has formed a 3-wave structure, with a breakout of 1 wave, which may lead to a correctional ABC structure to the levels of 1.08721. The risks should also not be increased for a corrective movement. What can you expect? You can consider entering from the level of ~1.07818 with further movement to the target 1.9019. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave - 1.07414 or the 1st wave - 1.07216. Long Targets 1.08155 - 1.08367 - 1.08721 - 1.9019
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals