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Eurusdtechnicalanalysis

#EURUSD: Possible short term selling opportunity! Hey Everyone, DXY will be volatile this week due to NFP and other strong data coming out from Wednesday to Friday market will be too volatile and keeping that fact in mind we think EURUSD may be bearish. Wait for price to come to red designated area so that we can enter short there. Once entered keep stop loss small and to you risk management. Target will be divided into two, close half of the position at target one and keep the rest of the position running for price to reach our target two. If you like our work and analysis, please like the idea.
Short
by Setupsfx_
8
EURUSD - D1\H4EURUSD D1 - The price has corrected by 60% from the impulse of the 1st wave, which could potentially form the beginning of the 3rd wave and lead to a decline to the levels of 1.05409 H4 - To consider the entry, it is better to wait for the formation of a 3-wave structure and consider the entry, at the moment the price may also continue to rise. After confirmation of the pattern, it will be possible to consider targets for D1. What can you expect? Waiting for a 3-wave structure and considering selling; if you are considering entering from these levels, reduce your risk so as not to fall into a continuation of the upward movement. Short Target during pattern formation 1.06636 - 1.05409 - 1.04283 - 1.02488
Short
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD - D1\H4EURUSD D1 - The price has reached level 161, which may lead to a potential correction and the formation of the 2nd wave. The price may correct by 50-60% of the impulse. H4 - The price has formed a 3-wave structure, with a breakout of 1 wave, which may lead to a correctional ABC structure to the levels of 1.08721. The risks should also not be increased for a corrective movement. What can you expect? You can consider entering from the level of ~1.07818 with further movement to the target 1.9019. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave - 1.07414 or the 1st wave - 1.07216. Long Targets 1.08155 - 1.08367 - 1.08721 - 1.9019
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaThe EURUSD has shown a robust upward trajectory, subsequently experiencing a bearish shift in market structure. This video delivers an intricate breakdown of this trend, meticulously scrutinizing price fluctuations and uncovering potential trade prospects through comprehensive evaluations across weekly and daily timelines. Expect a comprehensive review encompassing price shifts, market patterns, trend assessments, and vital technical analysis elements. It's imperative to stress that the information shared here serves solely for educational purposes and should not be construed as financial counsel.
by tradingwithanthony
EURUSD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn the recent times, EURUSD has broken market structure to the downside, indicating a possible sell opportunity. This video presents a detailed analysis of this trend, meticulously examining price movements on both the weekly and daily charts. Please note, the content presented here is purely educational. It's crucial to emphasize that while the analysis provides valuable information, it should not be interpreted as financial advice or guidance.
Short
by tradingwithanthony
EURUSD Longs from 1.07000 up to 1.08800This week's forecast for the EURUSD aligns with the breakdown observed in GBPUSD, indicating a positive correlation between these pairs. In the case of EURUSD, I anticipate further downward movement to reach a 19-hour demand zone. Following this, I expect a bullish reaction, propelling the price upward towards a more favorable supply zone for a potential sell-off. Additionally, there is significant liquidity positioned above the current price, providing an additional rationale for a retracement. Given the recent bearish trend, I foresee an impending pullback, which I anticipate will occur during this week. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Price entering a 19hr demand zone that caused a broke of structure to the upside on HTF. - There lots of liquidity lying above in the form of Asian highs and trendline liquidity. - Price has been moving bullish the last couple of weeks and I consider this a pro-trend trade. - The DXY (Dollar) is also temporarily bearish which means I'm expecting this pair to keep going up. - The imbalances that were left previously have now been filled so price could be ready to retrace. P.S. Although I am currently seeking buying opportunities in the demand area just below the current price, it wouldn't be surprising if the price decides to drop further to reach a more affordable zone. This adjustment could potentially result in an improved bullish position. Additionally, upon entering a supply zone, I anticipate the price to sustain a bearish trend, given the prevailing bearish sentiment in the overall market for the EURUSD.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD resume uptrend?EURUSD's daily chart showcases a strong bullish momentum, with a notable opportunity for a sustained buy position identified at the highlighted demand level in blue. This level, signaling a concentration of unfilled orders, suggests significant underlying strength. The envisioned long-term target for this buy position aligns strategically with the supply zone at the chart's pinnacle. Investors eyeing potential opportunities in the currency pair may find the current bullish trend compelling, with the highlighted demand level serving as a promising entry point. The anticipation of continued upward movement is supported by the concentration of unfilled orders at this level, reinforcing the potential for a sustained bullish trajectory with the long-term target aligned to the supply zone at the chart's upper extremity.
Long
by ForexWizard01
EURUSD Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaExploring the EURUSD currency pair's current dynamics, our analysis unveils a prevailing bullish trend across higher time frames, particularly evident on the monthly and weekly charts. Our focus shifts to the daily time frame, strategically aiming for an optimal entry point. At this juncture, the price has undergone a significant swing and is now undergoing a retracement phase. Our keen attention is directed towards pinpointing a retracement within the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone – an area we favor for entry. We look at both a 1D and 4H timeframe scenario. This video meticulously breaks down price action, market structure, and overarching trends, shedding light on critical facets of technical analysis. Throughout this presentation, we delve deeply into pivotal aspects such as market structure, nuances of price action, trend dynamics, and other indispensable technical analysis components. It's crucial to emphasize that this content is for educational purposes. However, it's imperative to avoid construing it as financial advice.
by tradingwithanthony
EURUSD Shorts from 1.09700 or 1.11000EURUSD presents an intriguing scenario as it recently responded to a 10-hour demand zone, potentially signaling another upward rally. Since clear buying opportunities are currently lacking, I'll be patient and wait for the price to enter a supply zone, providing a chance to catch a potential pullback. However, it's worth noting that these zones are not the most optimal due to the substantial liquidity present. My preferred zone is the 8-hour supply at 1.11000, coinciding with the 0.78 Fibonacci range on a higher timeframe. Here, I anticipate a robust bearish reaction. At present, I will monitor the price for the completion of a Wyckoff distribution before considering sell positions. Alternatively, I'll await the establishment of a new demand level, providing a new buying opportunity in which we can take towards the marked supply (POIs). Confluences for EURUSD shorts are as follows: - Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frames. - Price approaching a very good key level of supply, anticipating a distribution to play out. - Lots of liquidity below to target in the form of asian lows, equal lows and imbalances. - DXY is also overall bullish long term despite the short term bearish trend. - In order for price to push higher it needs to retrace from a level of supply. P.S. won't dismiss the chance of this demand zone failing, considering that the price has mitigated the second time it has now created relative equal lows. Moreover, there's a direct imbalance below that price may seek to fill before initiating another decisive upward move. However, given the current state of the EU market, adaptability is crucial, given the presence of numerous liquidity areas and zones of lower quality.
Short
by Hassan_fx
2
Factors Contributing to the EUR's Decline Against the USDDear Esteemed TradingView Members, Environment In recent months, the Euro (EUR) has experienced a notable depreciation against the US Dollar (USD), reaching parity for the first time in two decades. This decline can be attributed to a confluence of factors, including: Economic Disparities: The ongoing economic challenges in Europe, particularly the energy crisis and the escalating war in Ukraine, have dampened investor confidence in the region's economic outlook. This has led to increased demand for the USD as a safe haven asset. Monetary Policy Divergence: The European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates to combat inflation, in contrast to the US Federal Reserve's more aggressive tightening cycle. This divergence in monetary policies has made the USD more attractive to yield-seeking investors. Technical Breakdown : The EURUSD pair has broken through significant technical support levels, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment. This technical breakdown has accelerated the EUR's downward trajectory. Political Uncertainties: Ongoing political uncertainties in Europe, such as the upcoming Italian elections and the potential for renewed tensions between Russia and the West, have further weighed on the EUR. These factors have collectively contributed to the EUR's recent decline against the USD. While the EUR's depreciation may pose challenges for European exporters, it could also benefit European tourism and make European goods more competitive in international markets. The future direction of the EURUSD pair will depend on the evolving economic landscape and monetary policy decisions in both the eurozone and the United States. Technicals The bottom chart shows strong bullish candle on DXY today. Furthermore, the EUR price was overbought compared to EMAs see the top chart, where price has been highly above all the visible EMAs, and the RSI printed a bearish cross on the middle pane. EUR could fall to at least an EMA20 retest, which is around the upper blue line. Persisting bearishness could find the next support at the bottom blue line. These blue lines are historic supports, which could stop or reverse bearish progress. Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. Conduct your own research. This publication explains only one aspect of my approach, not my comprehensive strategy. The idea focuses on observations around the price action; reading the indicator descriptions is recommended for understanding of the calculations. Kind regards, Ely
Short
by Elysian_Mind
2
EURUSD: Fed official: Interest rates will stay limited for a Interest rates are "estimated to be at their lowest level in 25 years," Williams told the New York Fed's Bretton Woods Committee meeting. "I think it is appropriate to maintain a hawkish stance for some time to fully restore balance and return inflation sustainably to our long-term target of 2%," he said. The Fed is expected to keep interest rates on hold at its next meeting, giving it time to assess the economy after raising rates sharply from near zero in March 2022 to over 5% in July. . At the same time, expectations are rising in the bond market that the Fed's tightening cycle will come to an abrupt end with its first rate cut in May. "There's not a lot of sleep deprivation" given market expectations, Williams said, adding that any rate cuts would depend on inflation and how the economy progresses. He expects inflation to continue falling toward the 2% goal, and expects the Fed's price index to fall more than 2% next year and reach the target by 2025. Government figures on Thursday showed the PCE index fell to 3% in October. "We have taken a limited stance and things are moving in the right direction. We can now assess whether we need to do anything more." Still, the New York Fed president said if price pressures persist longer than expected, "additional policy tightening may be necessary," and Williams, like his colleagues, believes the current political path is not sufficiently restrictive. He emphasized the need to continue monitoring the data to assess whether this is the case. . So far, fourth quarter data shows signs of a significant decline in economic activity. Data released Thursday showed U.S. consumer spending fell in October compared to the previous month as inflation continued to slow. Inflation-adjusted personal spending rose 0.2% last month and 0.3% in September, according to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. The report also noted that the core PCE price index increased by 0.2%. The index rose 3.5%, its lowest level since 2021. Although he expects economic growth to remain below trend next year, he is "quite positive." Economists generally expect growth to be around 2%.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
Morgan Stanley and BofA’s 2024 EUR/USD Predictions Morgan Stanely has released what they call their top trade for 2024, and it is the exact opposite of Bank of America’s call. Analysts at Morgan Stanley think selling EUR/USD around the current level of 1.10 is the trade to make next year, with a target for the pair reaching parity by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This outlook relies on sustained economic performance of the US. They also believe that technical recessions in the eurozone, Sweden, and the UK are expected to lead their respective central banks to initiate rate cuts in the second quarter of 2024. Selling Swedish krone (which has become a top ten traded currency recently) and the British pound might also be options for 2024 too, but this was not explicitly stated by the bank. On the other hand, Bank of America has suggested that shorting the USD is the trade to make, particularly against the Euro and South African Rand. BofA sees the potential falling interest rate in the eurozone increasing the attractiveness of euro-based stocks and other investments.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD: Low valuations of euro zone bank stocks could hamper creThe European Central Bank (ECB) on Monday expressed concern about the low valuations of euro zone bank stocks, suggesting it could have a negative impact on future credit growth. Hybrid by imposing strict conditions on the borrower. Bank profits have increased significantly this year, thanks in part to higher net interest income due to higher ECB rates, but stock market valuations have not kept pace. Many banks appear to be trading at a discount to fundamentals. The ECB has pointed out that this could lead to financial system instability in the long run. Banks that are undervalued by investors may struggle to raise new capital when they need it, the ECB said in its financial stability review report. The central bank continued to insist that weak valuations directly lead to tighter financing conditions for the real economy. We find that banks' increased exposure to corporate credit risk and the perception of bank stocks as value stocks are major contributors to valuation stagnation. However, the ECB also noted that these fundamentals do not fully explain current valuations. Increased uncertainty regarding future payments to shareholders may also be a factor. Meanwhile, some euro zone governments have introduced banking taxes and the ECB is considering raising interest-free reserve requirements, which could lead to lower revenues. The ECB argues that the tax risk on dividend income sources impacts valuations more than on growth stocks, whose cash flows are expected to be reinvested internally and returned to investors in the future. Far away.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD - W1\H4EURUSD W1 - The price has corrected by 60% from the first wave, which may lead to the potential formation of the 3rd wave. D1 - The price moves in a range, for sales, confirmation is required to open positions. It will be possible to consider it after fixation and retest behind the trend line. H4 - If you are considering buying, you can buy from the lower border with the potential to break through the upper border. To exit purchases and consider selling, it is better to wait until it is fixed behind the trend line and the formation of a 3-wave structure, which will give the opportunity to enter at the beginning of the 3rd wave. What can you expect? You can consider entering from the level ~1.08873 (wait for the level to be fixed, the best option would be to wait for a retest after fixation) with further movement to the target 1.06563. Cancellation of the idea so as not to take increased risk on the idea levels beyond the end of the 2nd wave or 1st - 1.09911 - 1.10664 Short Targets 1.08233 - 1.07754 - 1.07179 - 1.06563
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EURUSD Longs from 1.09000 up to 1.10000EURUSD is looking very good in terms of entering high quality POI's and it is following the temporary bullish trend very well. So from this we will try to catch pro trend trades up to the daily supply or ideally the 8hr supply zone on top of it. As of now, price has created a small BOS to the upside so I will be waiting for a small pull back to the 12hr demand in order to buy up. As price Is near a decent amount of liquidity I would like to wait for a clean CHOCH and for a spring to take out any remainder asian lows for me to consider a buy opportunity. However, as there's major news this week like NFP, so I would approach any potential setup with caution and lower my usual risk size. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Temporary trend for EU is bullish and this follows the trend as well as the DXY bias. - In order for price to make a bearish move it will have mitigate the daily above or the 8hr supply. - There's asian high above that hasn't been taken which is liquidity that needs to get swept. - Price keeps breaking structure to the upside and candles on HTF are very bullish. - Momentum is starting to slow down as it has currently reacted to a 4hr supply. - In order for price to continue going up it must come down in the form of a pullback so we can create a new leg to the upside. P.S. The Wyckoff accumulation is still pending as I'm waiting for price to mitigate my zone, sweep liquidity and change character to the upside. I am also aware price could fall lower due to the ineffeciencies below and then tap into a cheaper zone for buys back up.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSD: Potential to turn BEARISH!Thd D1 swing structure is bearish, having made a bearish BOS externally. Internally, price is bullish, having successive iBOSs to achieve the pullback to an internal LQ target. Price has reached a premium supply zone, a high probability location to look for a shift in the market from bullish to bearish, starting the next bear leg to make the HTF LL. If you like the analysis, tap the LIKE or BOOST button. If you want to see more free analysis, consider subscribing to my channel. Thank you. May profits be upon you.
Short
by RT_Money
2
EURUSD Shorts to 1.08500 (Possibly lower)My bias for this week's prediction is for EURUSD to move bearish, As it has tapped into a strong level of supply. I will be waiting for wyckoff distribution to play out in order for us to catch sells this week. Simultaneously, the dollar has also tapped in to a demand zone which is expected to initiate a bullish reaction hence why I am bearish for EU. The 16hr supply hold a lot of precedence as not only its on the higher time frame but, it has also caused a BOS to the downside which continued the overall bearish trend. Not only that but, the zone has also swept liquidity which is a good sign that this zone will get respected. Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows: - Price tapped into a 16hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Overall price trend is bearish on the EURUSD chart. - Imbalances left below to target which hasn't been filled yet. - Lots of trendline liquidity to the downside and asian lows that's been left. - Dollar (DXY) is inside a 5hr demand which I'm anticipating a bullish reaction from. - Price has steadily approached the zone with weaker bullish candles indicating that bullish pressure is exhausted and over bought. P.S. I would love to see the asian high inside the zone get swept first in the form of a UTAD for a better confirmation of a sell but we will see what price does on Monday. Usually its a slow day however, I will be waiting for a clean CHOH on the lower time frame to give me a better insight of when price wants to expand to the downside.
Short
by Hassan_fx