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EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting. 🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Context: EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below. 📊 Technical Levels: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530 Target 1: 1.1268 Target 2: 1.1086 Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC) 🪙 Leading Asset Clue: Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics. ⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch: 🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12) 📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13) 💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference 📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines 🧠 Risk Factors: Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness Market overreacts to rate cut expectations Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR ✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints EURUSD Bearish Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk) FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell 📌 Final Note: Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.
Short
by ultreosforex
9
EUR/USD Rally Extends – Eyes on 1.20000 as Momentum BuildsHi Everyone, As outlined in our analysis last week (idea linked below), EUR/USD continued to the upside and reached the 1.15240 level. We expect price action to extend further toward the 1.16564 level, which would reinforce our long-term bullish outlook. A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔸 Triple Rejection Zone: Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance. 🔸 Strong Support Bounce: Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest. 🔸 Break and Retest Formation: Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation. 🔸 Projected Bullish Move: If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked. 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250 ✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure 🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum 📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000 🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750 🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
Long
by MrStellanSight
SNATCH & RUN: EUR/USD Long Setup (High-Risk Loot Zone)🔥 EUR/USD Heist: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! (Thief Trading Strategy) 🔥 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 Attention, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑💰💸✈️ Based on the 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, here’s our master plan to loot the EUR/USD "The Fiber" Forex Market! Follow the strategy on the chart—Long Entry is key. We’re targeting the high-risk Red Zone: overbought, consolidating, and primed for a reversal. Beware the trap—bulls must strike fast before bears ambush! 🏆💸 "Take the profit and treat yourself, trader. You deserve this heist!" 💪🎉 🚪 Entry Point (The Vault is Open!) 📈 "Swipe the bullish loot at any price—the heist is LIVE!" Pro Tip: Use Buy Limit orders within a 15-30 min timeframe (recent swing low/high). ALERTS ARE A MUST! 🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route) Thief SL at nearest swing low (1.12500) on the 3H timeframe (Day/Swing trade). Adjust based on your risk, lot size, and multiple orders. 🎯 Target (Loot & Scoot!) 🎯 1.17200 (or escape earlier if the cops show up!) ⚡ Scalpers’ Quick Grab 👀 Only scalp LONG! Big wallets? Raid straight in. Small stacks? Join swing traders for the robbery. Use Trailing SL to protect your stolen cash! 💰 📢 Why This Heist? (EUR/USD Bullish Momentum) "The Fiber" is heating up! Key drivers: Fundamentals (COT Reports, Macro Data) Sentiment & Intermarket Trends Future Targets & Score Outlook 🔗 Want the full intel? Check our bio0 for linkks! 👉👉 ⚠️ Trading Alert: News = Danger! 📰🚨 News releases = volatility spikes! Protect your loot: ❌ Avoid new trades during news. 🔒 Use Trailing SL to lock profits. 💖 Support the Heist Crew! 💥 Smash the Boost Button! 💥 More boosts = easier money steals! Strengthen our robbery squad! Every day is a heist—profit with Thief Trading Style! 🏆🚀 Stay tuned for the next robbery plan! 🤑🐱‍👤🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURUSD:Sharing of the Trading Strategy for Next WeekAll the trading signals this week have resulted in profits!!! Check it!!!👉👉👉 Fundamental Analysis: Easing EU-U.S. trade tensions have provided support for the euro, though the stability of the eurozone's economic recovery remains uncertain—subsequent economic data will influence EUR dynamics. Markets are closely monitoring U.S. economic indicators and Federal Reserve policy: weak data or dovish signals could weaken the USD, benefiting EUR/USD. Technical Analysis (4-Hour Chart): MACD: Positive histogram shrinking, indicating diminishing bullish momentum and a non-trending market environment. Price-Volume Divergence: Rising prices accompanied by declining trading volumes signal insufficient upward momentum. KDJ: Reading of 95 suggests overbought conditions. Key Levels: Resistance at 1.1461 (upper Bollinger Band), support at 1.1300. Trading Recommendation: Consider light long positions near 1.1350 on price retracement. Trading Strategy: buy@1.13500-1.13550 TP:1.14500-1.15000 Share accurate trading signals daily—transform your life starting now! 👇 👇 👇 Obtain signals👉👉👉
by MonicaLongman
EUR/USD Analysis – Possible Scenarios🔹 Price is currently trading around 1.1421, consolidating between key supply and demand zones. 🔴 Supply Zone (Order Block 1H): 1.14360 – 1.14590 📌 Strong bearish reaction from this resistance area. First scenario: rejection from this OB and a move downward. 🔵 Demand Zone (Order Block 4H): 1.13050 – 1.13430 ✅ If price fails to break the resistance, we could see a retracement to this OB. Bullish reaction here may offer long opportunities. 🟢 Fair Value Gap (FVG 1H): 1.11800 – 1.12220 📉 If OB 4H fails to hold, price could drop into this FVG area – a high-liquidity zone for potential reversal. 📊 Possible Scenarios: 1️⃣ Break and hold above OB 1H → price may extend toward next OB zone at 1.15150 – 1.15400 2️⃣ Rejection from OB 1H → pullback to OB 4H → possible long setup if confirmed 3️⃣ Break below OB 4H → deeper move into FVG 1H ‼️ Avoid premature entries – wait for valid confirmations. 🔍 Insight by ProfitaminFX If this outlook aligns with your bias, or if you see it differently, feel free to share your perspective in the comments. Let’s grow together 📈
by ProfitaminFX
EURUSD - Look for Short (SWING) 1:2.5!Price has formed an ascending channel on the higher time frame, currently consolidating before potentially entering a distribution phase. A breakout could occur in either direction, but if the chart pattern plays out as expected, we may see a break below the key support level. Let’s aim for at least TP1. Disclaimer: This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Short
by S-Fx_
EURUSD Analysis – Short Bias Builds on Key Resistance RejectionEURUSD pair is currently testing a critical resistance zone around 1.1495–1.1500, with bearish rejection beginning to form on the 4H timeframe. The technical setup suggests a potential lower high forming within the context of a broader downtrend, supported by a confluence of horizontal resistance and bearish risk catalysts. 🔍 Technical Overview: Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1575 (multi-timeframe key levels) Support Levels to Watch: 1.1234 (range base) and 1.1086 (swing low) Price Action: After a sustained rally, price is showing exhaustion near previous highs, and a rejection pattern is emerging, suggesting selling interest. Risk Management: Stop placed above 1.1575 high, with downside targets near 1.1234 and extended toward 1.1086. 🧠 Fundamental Backdrop: ECB Policy Outlook: Lagarde recently warned that a stronger euro and higher tariffs may hurt EU exports. This dovish tone could weigh on EUR sentiment in the medium term. US Dollar Strengthening: The latest US labor market data (ADP, JOLTS) beat expectations, showing continued resilience in employment and wage growth. This supports the Fed's data-dependent approach, favoring a stronger USD. Macro Tensions: Global trade concerns (Trump’s tariffs, weak China demand, Germany’s slowing job market) are adding pressure to EUR while supporting safe-haven USD flows. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey (April): Highlights persistent inflation fears and deteriorating economic confidence. ⏳ Scenario Outlook: ✅ Bearish Bias Preferred below 1.1500 with confirmation of rejection. 🎯 Target Zone 1: 1.1234 – Strong structure & demand zone. 🎯 Target Zone 2 (Extended): 1.1086 – Major low from mid-May. ❌ Invalidation: A breakout and close above 1.1575 would neutralize the bearish outlook and open up higher targets toward 1.17. Conclusion: The EURUSD pair presents a compelling short opportunity, with both technical resistance and macro pressure aligning for a retracement or reversal. Short setups are favored unless bulls reclaim and hold above the 1.1575 handle.
Short
by ultreosforex
18
ECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month HighECB Cuts Rates. EUR/USD Spikes to 1.5-Month High Yesterday, as widely expected, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates for the eighth time since May 2024. According to ForexFactory, the main refinancing rate was lowered from 2.40% to 2.15% (having stood at 4.50% in May 2024). According to Reuters: → ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that interest rates are now at a “good level”, despite the extremely high uncertainty caused by tariff threats from President Donald Trump. → Following the press conference, markets interpreted the message as a sign that the ECB is unlikely to cut rates again at its next meeting in July. In response to the ECB's decision, the EUR/USD rate jumped to its highest level in a month and a half, but later retreated (as indicated by the arrow) back to previous levels. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Four days ago, while analysing the EUR/USD chart, we: → drew an ascending channel; → suggested that bullish momentum could push the EUR/USD rate up to the psychological level of 1.1500 during the current week. In fact, at yesterday’s peak, the rate came very close to 1.1500. However, a candlestick with a long upper shadow had formed on the EUR/USD chart, by the end of the day. Additionally, this morning, the 1.1450 level has acted as a resistance zone. This suggests bearish activity, which could pull the rate down towards the lower boundary of the local channel (outlined in black), and possibly even attempt a breakout below it. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD(20250606) Today's AnalysisMarket news: The European Central Bank cut three key interest rates by 25 basis points. Lagarde hinted that the rate cut cycle will end, and the market is no longer fully pricing in another 25 basis point rate cut this year. Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 1.1447 Support and resistance levels 1.1537 1.1503 1.1481 1.1412 1.1391 1.1357 Trading strategy: If the price breaks through 1.1447, consider buying, and the first target price is 1.1481 If the price breaks through 1.1412, consider selling, and the first target price is 1.1391
by NuggetsWarriors
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Decision Near 1.1400 Amid Rate Cut BetsCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD is consolidating above the 1.1400 psychological level as markets brace for the European Central Bank’s monetary policy announcement. The ECB is widely expected to cut its Deposit Facility Rate by 25bps to 2.00%, marking its seventh consecutive rate cut since June 2024. Technically, the pair continues to trade within a well-defined ascending channel, reflecting a broader bullish structure. Current price action is facing a minor resistance near 1.1421, which is the top of the short-term range and also a key trendline rejection zone. A clean breakout above this area could expose the monthly resistance near 1.1557. However, if OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD fails to breach this level initially, a pullback toward 1.1366 (channel base support) is possible before bulls regain control. The bullish setup remains valid as long as price holds above this support zone. Traders should monitor the ECB press conference for signals on whether the central bank may pause further easing later this year. Resistance : 1.1421 , 1.1557 Support : 1.1366 , 1.1250
Long
by ATFX_Global
EUR/USD Short IdeaEUR/USD Short Idea [ /b] ING sees EUR expensive near 1.145 with likely drift toward 1.13; ECB rate‑cut expectations and firm US data cap upside. Softer euro-area CPI and tomorrow’s ECB meeting keep rate-cut expectations alive, capping EUR/USD rallies. Lingering tariff tension, diverging central-bank paths and well-defined chart levels combine to drive the current high-conviction plays: euro softness after a below-target CPI print and Thursday’s looming ECB rate cut meet still-solid U-S data, making EUR/USD ripe for a fade from 1.14.
Short
by TerraBullMarkets
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD started a downside correction from the 1.1450 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1450 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move above the 1.1300 zone, as mentioned in the previous analysis. The Euro tested the 1.1450 resistance and recently corrected gains against the US Dollar. The pair dipped below 1.1400. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1395. It even traded below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high. The pair is showing some bearish signs, and upside potential might remain limited. Immediate resistance is near the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.1395. The next major resistance is near the 1.1450 zone. An upside break above the 1.1450 level might send the pair toward the 1.1500 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1550 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.1209 swing low to the 1.1454 high at 1.1330. The next major support is near the 1.1300 level. A downside break below the 1.1300 support could send the pair toward the 1.1210 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD Trade Setup: Heres My Trade Plan!📈 EUR/USD Trade Outlook: Bullish Trend in Focus 🇪🇺💵 I'm currently watching EUR/USD, and it’s holding a strong bullish trend — with clear higher highs and higher lows across the board 🔁. On the 4-hour timeframe, price has pulled back into equilibrium, and I’m eyeing a potential buy opportunity if the structure continues to hold 🛒. 📚 Looking at historical price action, this setup has played out reliably in the past. That said, it's important to acknowledge that deeper pullbacks can occur — often sweeping liquidity below previous lows before resuming the trend 💧. ⚠️ This is a real risk, so consider conservative position sizing and always manage your risk appropriately. 💬 Drop a comment below if you're watching this setup too — I’d love to hear your take! ❗️Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The content shared is for educational and informational purposes only. Please do your own analysis and trade responsibly.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Euro Pulls Back – Eyes on ECB and Tariff TurmoilCMCMARKETS:EURUSD FX:EURUSD EUR/USD pulled back from a six-week high of 1.1454 to trade near 1.1379, down 0.52% on Tuesday, as strong U.S. labor market data and revived trade tensions lifted the dollar. April JOLTS job openings rose to 7.39M, beating expectations, signaling a resilient U.S. economy despite a 3.7% drop in factory orders. In parallel, Trump’s announcement to double tariffs on steel and aluminum has reignited trade war concerns. Markets are also watching for a potential Trump–Xi call later this week. Meanwhile, the Euro lost ground after May HICP inflation in the Eurozone fell to 1.9%, below the ECB’s 2% target. With core inflation slowing as well, markets have priced in a 25 bps rate cut at Thursday’s ECB meeting. Technically, OANDA:EURUSD EUR/USD is still trading within a rising channel but rejected key minor resistance zone just below the descending trendline. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the path toward monthly resistance near 1.1559. On the downside, Support Zone 1 (around 1.1375) must hold to maintain the bullish bias; further weakness may expose Support Zone 2 (around 1.1338) Resistance : 1.1445 , 1.1559 Support ： 1.1375 , 1.1338
Long
by ATFX_Global
EURUSD on 3rd May 2025By looking at EURUSD in 4h timeframe, it is trading on very strong zone as it became support now due to yesterday breakout. Also there is uptrend trendline which is acting as strong support, if it breaks our next target will be down to 1.12490 and 1.12930. if this support holds then price may surge in upward direction. Need to wait till breakout in downward. Key point. Support - 1.14190, 1.13600, 1.13152 Resistance - 1.14906, 1.15440 If you like it do follow and share. Any Query Reach Us or comment down. Follow for more updates. Rudra Vasaikar Wishes You A Great And Very Amazing Trading Life. Trade Safe, Trade Right. RISK WARNING 🔴 🔴 🔴 There is high risk of loss in Trading Forex, Crypto, Indices, CFDs, Features and Stocks. Choose your trade wisely and confidently, please see if such trading is appropriate for you or not. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Highly recommended - Information provided by Pro Trading Point are for Educational purpose only. Do your investment according to your own risk. Any type of loss is not our responsibility. HAPPY TRADING.
Short
by rudravasaikarrr
EURUSD Back to 8H Support ZoneFollowing the bullish breakout of the trendline on the 4-hour timeframe and the subsequent pullback to the mentioned level, along with confirmations on lower timeframes, we expect the price to retrace toward the 8-hour support zone to gather momentum for a potential continuation of the upward trend. While a precise touch of the support level is not guaranteed, based on the current setup, it remains a likely scenario. A possible entry zone could be around the highlighted orange area. Based on this setup, I anticipate a potential drop of approximately 4% in EUR/USD, targeting the 1.095 level. Disclaimer: You are responsible for your own trades. Do not risk more than 2% of your account on a single setup.
Short
by Milad_S
2