EUR/USD Faces Key Rejection – Bearish Pressure IntensifiesThe daily candle is facing rejection from the descending trendline, confirming strong bearish pressure.
The daily trend remains negative, aligning with the broader bearish sentiment on the weekly chart. For bulls to regain control, EUR/USD must break above the trendline and the 100 EMA at 1.0670.
Failure to do so could lead to further downside, especially if the 1.0300 support zone is breached.
DYOR, NFA
Eurusdtrade
EurUsd could drop under parity in 2025 (0.95 target)Now that 2024 has concluded, EUR/USD has ended the year at its lowest point, marking a 7% decline from January and a 9% drop from its summer peak.
Most notably, the pair fell 6% since November—a significant move for such a typically stable currency pair, highlighting strong bearish momentum.
Technical Analysis
On the daily chart, the EUR/USD has shown a steady downtrend since its double top in August and September. Every meaningful reversal attempt was met with selling pressure, leading to a quick resumption of the downward trajectory.
The long-term (monthly) chart paints an even grimmer picture. The pair has been in a clear downtrend since its 2008 peak of 1.60, and it now sits precariously on critical support levels from the 2015 and 2017 lows.
Fundamental Outlook
The fundamentals align with the technical bearish trend. Diverging monetary policies and a bleak economic outlook for the EU add to the pair's struggles.
Conclusion:
Given these conditions, a drop below parity appears likely in the coming year. The most prudent trading strategy for EUR/USD is to sell into rallies and wait for further declines.
My target is 0.95, but, to be honest, I would not be very surprised by 0.9
EURUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Pattern FormationThis pair just touched, rebounded and closed above the Weekly FVG(BISI to be precise) and based on last weeks prediction, I anticipated that it might sweep the liquidity,but did not manage.
However, I do anticipate that we might be targeting the 2023 Yearly Low at 1.0455, so that we can cover the yearly FVG that "might form" between 2023 and opening of 2025. Remember that our overall target is 1.127.
For the entry points, we will wait for the market retract down a little bit (at around the FVG / 1.026 - 1.027) so that we can have an entry.
Target - 1.0455, Sl - 1.022 and entry at 1.027.
EURUSD Pattern FormationThis currency has been bearish for the past few weeks and I do anticipate that it will sweep the sell side liquidity (1.02), touch the weekly fair value gap before targeting the buy side liquidities at 1.127.
The entry position will be based on the lower timeframe, which I will give on the next analysis.
NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD on declines NEW IDEA FOR EURUSD on declines
The EUR/USD currency pair is in a downtrend on the 4-hour timeframe and is currently oscillating between two key support and resistance levels.
Key levels:
1.0449 Resistance:
This level acts as a short-term ceiling to prevent further price gains. If this level is not broken, selling pressure could reinforce the downtrend.
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EURUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisEURUSD is moving on support zone
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
EUR/USD Bearish Trend: Possible Reversal & Trade Opportunities👀💡 In this video, we analyze the EUR/USD currency pair, currently in a bearish trend on the 4-hour timeframe. Notably, the trend appears overextended, and as we approach the end of the trading week, there’s a potential for a low to form either for the week or the day. This could lead to a retracement on Friday and Monday, with the possibility of a move higher as the market seeks liquidity and establishes the next day’s high. Such movements could present opportunities for counter-trend trades on Friday and potential continuation trades on Monday if the trend persists. Please note, this is not financial advice. 📊✅
EURUSD Trade LogEURUSD TDV Trade Log – Swing Long Plan
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Trade Setup Overview:
- Instrument: EURUSD
- Entry Zone: 0.5 Monthly Fair Value Gap (FVG), which aligns with the Weekly FVG.
- Technical Confluences:
- Both the Monthly and Weekly FVG levels exhibit bullish signals.
- Weekly RSI is in oversold or "deep waters," indicating potential upward momentum.
- Risk Management:
- My personal risk: 4% (highly aggressive and not financial advice).
- Recommended risk: Adjust to your own risk tolerance—always prioritize capital preservation.
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
- Stop-Loss: Below the lower boundary of the FVG.
- Take-Profit: Double the distance of the stop-loss.
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Macro Analysis Supporting This Swing Long:
1. US Interest Rate Dynamics:
- Recent Federal Reserve projections have suggested higher-for-longer rates, leading to USD strength.
- However, the shock effect of these projections appears to be diminishing, signaling potential stabilization or reversal in USD strength.
- Market sentiment suggests that the economic impact of elevated rates may start weighing on the USD as growth prospects taper.
2. Eurozone Economic Factors:
- Despite economic struggles, the ECB has hinted at maintaining relatively tight policy, providing a degree of support for the EUR.
- Any positive surprise in Eurozone data could act as a catalyst for a EURUSD recovery.
3. Technical Alignment with Macro Themes:
- The confluence of the Monthly and Weekly FVGs signals robust technical support zones.
- Bullish signals from these levels align with the potential macroeconomic reversal in USD strength, creating a favorable environment for a swing long.
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Personal Notes:
This trade aligns with both the technical framework of my system and macroeconomic insights. The key is discipline—if the setup invalidates (e.g., price action breaks below critical levels), do not force the trade. Always stay within your risk parameters, and remember this is not financial advice.
Good luck and trade safely!
EURUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled and rejection from bearish OB + institutional big figure 1.04000.
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EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD Entry PointsAccording to the previous analysis, based on the weekly analysis, we can see that I am bearish biased on this currency before we have a massive bull run.
Based on the 4H timeframe, we can wait for the price to retract up a bit, take some liquidity sweeps at the REHs ~Relative Equal Highs~ (touch the -OB ~ Order Block~) and have our sniper sell entry at 1.047 with the Stop loss at 1.050. Incase the price does not retract there, we can have our second entry at 1.037 and SL at 1.045.
Let us wait and see what this pair will offer coming next week.
EURUSD and GBPUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Will EUR/JPY Clear the 166 Resistance Zone? EUR/JPY daily chart shows a bullish breakout above a descending trendline, with the price now approaching the key resistance zone at 165.500–166.000.
A successful breakout above this level could push the pair higher, targeting 168.000 or beyond. However, if the resistance holds, a pullback toward the support zone at 161.500–162.000 is likely, offering potential re-entry opportunities.
Bearish Momentum in EUR/USD:Analyzing the Descent to Key SupportTechnical Analysis of EUR/USD:
Current Trend: The EUR/USD pair is demonstrating a bearish trend across multiple timeframes, specifically observed on the Daily (D1), 4-Hour (H4), and 1-Hour (H1) charts.
Key Price Levels: The price has repeatedly tested the resistance level at 1.06, with three significant touches, effectively absorbing available liquidity around this zone.
Future Price Targets:
First Target: 1.023
Second Target: 0.9935
Market Outlook: We anticipate continued monitoring and will provide updates to our analysis as market conditions evolve throughout the week. Based on current trends and technical indicators, we expect the price to reach our first target price (TP1) within the next one to two weeks.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk. The above analysis is based on current data and market conditions are subject to change. Always use appropriate risk management strategies.
EURUSD Analysis==>>Pumping Soon!?EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is currently moving near the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022) , Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , and an Important Support line .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD is completing microwave 5 of the main wave 5 , so we should expect bullish waves soon .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.049 AFTER the Downtrend line is broken , and if the Resistance zone($1.040-$1.022) is broken, we have to wait for further increases .
⚠️Note: If EURUSD breaks the Important Support line, we can also expect the break of the Heavy Support zone($1.040-$1.022).⚠️
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high/low level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 1.02500 (or) Escape before the goal
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