Eurusdtradeidea
EURUSD Seasonal & Technical Analysis: In this comprehensive video analysis, we delve into the technical indicators and historical patterns of the EURUSD currency pair, aiming to provide valuable insights for traders and investors. Our analysis strongly suggests the continuation of bearish momentum for EURUSD.
Starting with the weekly and daily time frames, we identify prominent head and shoulder patterns that are indicative of a potential downturn in the market. These patterns often serve as reliable signals for trend reversals, and their presence across multiple time frames enhances their significance.
Furthermore, our analysis extends to the seasonal aspect, where a decade-long examination reveals a compelling trend. Over the past 10 years, a remarkable 80% of the time between January 17th and March 1st has seen bearish movements in the EURUSD. This historical trend strengthens the argument for a continued bearish trajectory in the upcoming weeks.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or someone looking to understand the dynamics of the currency markets, this video analysis provides a comprehensive overview of the technical factors and historical trends supporting the belief that EURUSD is poised for a sustained bearish phase. Stay informed and make well-informed decisions by tuning in to this in-depth analysis.
EURUSD Lokking BearishExpanding upon our prior analysis, the Euro has reached the predetermined target at 1.08991 and is currently exhibiting a strong positive response within this specific zone. This observed market behavior instills confidence, and we foresee a prolonged upward trajectory in the Euro-Dollar chart in the hours ahead. This ongoing positive trend reinforces our conviction in the potential for sustained Euro strength against the Dollar.
EURUSD: The USD is quiet with low trading volumeThe dollar was weak in early European trading on Monday as traders weighed the possibility of an early interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and a U.S. holiday slowed trading volume.
At 4:35 p.m. ET (9:35 p.m. Japan time), the dollar index, which tracks the U.S. dollar against a basket of six other currencies, was trading 0.1% higher at 102.242 as the holiday began. Martin Luther King Jr.
Data released on Friday showed the U.S. producer price index unexpectedly fell in December, increasing traders' expectations that the Federal Reserve will start cutting interest rates as early as this year.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market now has a 78% chance that the Fed will start cutting interest rates in March, compared to a 68% chance a week ago.
This week's US statistical calendar is quiet, with the focus on retail sales figures scheduled to be released on Wednesday. Investors will be closely watched for signs that consumer spending, a key driver of economic growth, remains resilient despite rising interest rates.
Retail sales are expected to increase by 0.4% in December, following a 0.3% increase in November.
Investors will also have the opportunity to hear from several Fed officials, including Fed President Christoper Waller, Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic, and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daley.
The value of the euro rose even though Germany's GDP fell
In Europe, the euro/USD pair edged up to 1.0953, even as data showed the eurozone's largest German economy contracted by 0.3% in the final quarter of the year. Last year and he will decrease by the same amount throughout 2023. But despite this weakness, recent inflation data largely confirms the European Central Bank's current thinking, meaning rate cuts are not on the table in the short term, said ECB chief economist Philippe. Lane said Friday.
Eurozone inflation rose to 2.9% in December from 2.4% in November.
EUR/USD Analysis: Targeting a breakout to the downside? EUR/USD Analysis: Targeting a breakout to the downside?
The EUR/USD currency pair seems poised for a technical breakout.
Analysing the 8-hour chart reveals a consolidation phase since the start of the year, following a decline below 1.1000, with this mark acting as a resistance level on two occasions since then.
Currently, EUR/USD is resembling a triangle/flag pattern, suggesting a potential technical breakout. The looming question is: Which direction will the pair break out? There are arguments to be made for both sides of the equation, but perhaps the case for a break to the downside is more convincing?
Traders are pricing in an ~80% probability of a Fed rate cut in March. Simultaneously, an European Central Bank (ECB) rate cut for April is also on the horizon.
While both central banks might fail to meet these expectations, the likelihood that the Fed pushes back might be lower than that of the ECB.
According to Governing Council member Robert Holzmann, speaking at the World Economic in Davos, the prospect of ECB rate cuts in 2024 appears highly unlikely. At the same time, he emphasized the persistent threat of geopolitical conflicts, such as those in the Middle East, which pose a risk to Euro supply chains and energy markets. This ongoing uncertainty could exert pressure on consumer prices, creating a challenging environment that might interfere with any potential rate cuts from the ECB.
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video we take a close look at the EURUSD currency pair. We can see that this has been bullish on the higher time frame. We can see that it has traded into resistance, has also been range-bound since Friday and we are looking for a potential trade opportunity if market conditions are favourable. In the video we discuss price action, market structure, the trend and other important aspects of technical analysis. As always this information is for educational purposes only and not to be construed as financial advice.
EURUSD Longs from 1.08000 back upCurrently, EURUSD has been in a prolonged range, gathering significant liquidity. Given the current state of equilibrium, I am not actively seeking trades at this moment. However, I anticipate a potential move to unfold, continuing the bullish trend. For now, I will be patiently waiting for a breakout before considering any trading opportunities.
There is another plausible scenario where price breaks above to mitigate the 10-hour supply zone, leading to a bearish reaction. This possibility is valid, considering the imbalances just below that need filling and liquidity that requires sweeping.
My confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- A 10-hour demand zone below triggered a new CHOCH to the upside.
- The overall short-term trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals a favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- I also expect the dollar to keep dropping indicating that EU will keep going up.
P.S. As price is still considerably distant from any nearby Points of Interest (POI), I am content to wait patiently and refrain from taking any immediate action until price triggers one of the levels I am monitoring.
Have a great trading week ahead!
EURUSD: Swing Sell Coming in| have a patience for it to happen|FX:EURUSD overall EU remain bearish after it rejected at previous high, EURO failed to gain control even after DXY plummeted, looking at the chart in 2 hour time frame, we expected price to rise up to fill the liquidity void and in that area we think there is huge amount of interest from sellers side.
what do you think of EURUSD do you think it will drop? Please like and comment your views let's discuss different bias.
EURUSD END-WEEK ANALYSIS 2 UPDATE 08/10/2023 Market Update: A Shift in EUR/USD Sentiment
As anticipated, we witnessed a small pullback in EUR/USD, hinting at a bearish trend resumption. However, the market structure has taken an unexpected turn. Heading into next week, I'll be shifting my focus towards long positions. Stay flexible, adapt to changing conditions, and, as always, manage risk diligently. 🚀💹 #EURUSD #Forex #TradingView #TradingStrategy
THIS IS THE SAME FOR ALL THE OTHER MAJOR PAIRS
EURUSD 11/01Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves at Previous Strong Resistance and making its " A - wxy " Corrective Wave. Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Long Time Frame and Consolidation Phase in Short Time Frame , Wait for the Breakout and Retracement
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaWe can see that the EURUSD has traded into a strong resistance level after a bullish rally. In the video we take a quick look at the trend, market structure, price action and we discuss a possible trade idea. As always this is not to be construed as financial advice.
Will EUR/USD go to 1.1250? A detailed analysisHello traders and the entire Tradingview community! Previously on my EUR/USD
analysis from last week, I opened EURUSD long@1.0880 level when price dipped
during Friday's data release.
Currently, EUR/USD is well above the 1.09 level. From the chart, you can see that
price is consolidating at the lower trend line of the ascending price channel.
So, based on the price action , I believe EUR/USD is likely to go towards 1.10. A sustained
move above 1.10 will take the price towards 1.1250. My plan is to buy the dips
in EUR/USD.
EURUSD Longs from 1.09200 or @1.08000 Back upEURUSD shares a similar bias with GU, but the price exhibits more imbalances and liquidity at greater distances. While there is a 50-minute demand zone near the current price, I anticipate only a minor reaction from it. My primary buying opportunities are within the 10-hour demand zone, which offers a more discounted price.
Alternatively, there's a possibility that price continues its upward movement, reaching the 10-hour supply zone above. This represents a promising Point of Interest (POI) for me, where I expect price to undergo distribution before a potential sell-off. However, at the moment, I'm patiently waiting for price to accumulate within either of my demand zones to capture buying opportunities along this temporary bullish trajectory.
Confluences for EURUSD buys are as follows:
- Bullish pressure weakens, evident in a CHOCH and confirmed by a BOS
- A 11hr demand zone below triggered a break of structure to the upside.
- The market trend is bullish, aligning with this idea.
- Imbalance above the demand signals favourable reaction at my POI.
- Abundant liquidity above, including trend lines and untouched Asian highs.
- Price needs to dip to a significant demand level for an upward rally to persist.
- Lots of imbalances lying below that need filling before price continues to ascend.
P.S. Although my long-term outlook for this market remains bearish, I will be actively seeking buying opportunities for EURUSD as the dollar continues to exhibit a bearish trend.
EUR/USD needs to break this key level for further uptrendHello traders and the Tradingview community! Previously we had a great profit
by selling EUR/USD@1.1120 last week. Our target of 1.0940 was hit yesterday generating
more than 180 pips profit.
Currently, EUR/USD is consolidating around the mid 1.09 levels. The direction of the
next move will be determined by how price behaves around the 1.0965 mark.
If we see a strong bullish candlestick that breaks the key 1.0960 level, we can expect
1.10 and 1.11 very soon.
Currently, I have a couple of buys in EUR/USD from 1.0910 and 1.0930 levels. I will continue
to update the idea when I have a new entry.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 3The buyers were unable to hold the 1.10 resistance zone as the selling pressure rapidly increased, penetrating this resistance with a very strong force. It is likely that the price will continue to go down with these developments, the target is The next step will be around the lower border of the rising price channel. Trend followers patiently wait. If there is a notable price increase signal in this area, then they should consider entering new buying positions.
Analyzing the EUR/USD: Anticipating a Bearish Move Towards 1.07 In the current market scenario, there's a keen interest in the EUR/USD pair as it exhibits a potential bearish move. The price trajectory is notably approaching the crucial 1.07 level, following the formation of a distinctive right shoulder pattern.
Traders and analysts are closely monitoring this pair, anticipating and analyzing any forthcoming downside movements in the coming days. Stay tuned for insights and updates as the market dynamics unfold.
EUR/USD breaks out! Real or another false breakout?Hello traders, EUR/USD has finally broken out of the resistance level
around 1.1020. In fact, as of now, price has breached the 1.1101 level as well.
However, keep in mind that this is a low-volume trading session due to the
Holidays. So, it could be a false breakout as well.
A week later when normal trading volumes come back, we might see EUR/USD
falling back below 1.10 again. I am watching out for potential sell entries
in EUR/USD. Technically, the next major resistance lies around the 1.1267 level
EURUSD: Another Bull Run Towards 1.1200?Dear Traders,
Happy Holidays,
EURUSD recently had some short of correction and now there is sign that price may push towards 1.1200 price area before the NFP next week. A proper risk managed entry can give you around 150 pips.
good luck and trade safe:
all the best for new year 2024 , may this year fulfil all your trading goals.