#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions.
Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey.
Team Setupsfx_
Eurusdtradeidea
EURUSD heads towards resistance, short-term reversal expectedEURUSD has been in a strong uptrend, and we’re currently observing price action is reaching a notable resistance zone. I am watching for a reversal here as marked on my chart, not expecting a major move, but rather a short-term rejection with a downside target at around 1.13670 , which also aligns with the POC.
This is where it can become a decision point, either price finds support and bounces, or it breaks below, and that’s when we might see the move start to extend lower.
If we get a decisive breakdown through that ascending trendline, my next area of interest is marked as TP2. From there we can expect either potential accumulation or another reaction, depending on broader market sentiment at the time.
That said, we're navigating a complex backdrop currently:
The EU macro environment is under pressure, as weak economic data from Europe is contributing to cautious sentiment around the euro.
Meanwhile, a sustained USD bid continues, supported by stronger U.S. growth expectations, favorable yields, and persistent global demand. This further weighs on EURUSD.
Adding to the uncertainty, escalating tensions between Israel and Iran have rattled markets this week. This geopolitical risk could be pushing oil prices higher:
It’s important to note that if price convincingly rejects here and loses structure, especially with high volume and obvious bullish structure, this setup would become invalid. In that case, I would reassess and adapt
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone,
As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week.
A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Rally Continues – 1.18000 in SightHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483.
Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022.
A successful bounce from above 1.16680 or slightly lower at 1.15998 would offer near-term support for a potential retest of the 1.17400 zone. A confirmed break above this resistance could pave the way for a move toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):Symbol: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 1 hour
Price Range Displayed: ~1.15300 to ~1.17500
Current Price: 1.16935
🔍
Key Chart Markings
BSL (Buy-side Liquidity):
Marked at the top in the yellow zone (~1.17250–1.17500).
Indicates where buy-side liquidity was likely taken—suggesting liquidity grab or stop hunt.
SSL (Sell-side Liquidity):
Marked at the bottom yellow zone (~1.15700–1.15900).
Indicates a potential drawdown area—price may seek this liquidity next.
Price Action:
The price recently made a higher high into the BSL zone, followed by a bearish rejection.
A projected path is shown: short-term retracement upward, followed by a larger move downward toward the SSL zone.
📉
Potential Outlook (Bearish Bias)
The chart suggests a bearish move is anticipated:
BSL has been swept, signaling a reversal point.
Target: Sell-side liquidity around 1.15800, possibly lower.
⚙️
Technical Implication
This setup follows Smart Money Concepts (SMC) or Liquidity Engineering:
Liquidity is taken from one side of the market (BSL), and price is expected to move to the other (SSL).
Possible setup for a short trade after confirmation of the retracement.
Overextended Rally into Resistance ZoneEUR/USD has pushed into the upper boundary of the Keltner Channel on the 4H timeframe, indicating a potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Price is showing signs of overextension with Heikin Ashi candles losing strength near a key resistance zone.
📉 Short Position Setup:
Entry: 1.17220 (near upper Keltner resistance)
SL: 1.17581 (above recent highs and volatility buffer)
TP: 1.15220 (targeting mid-channel and previous structure support)
🔻 Bearish Confluence:
Price rejecting upper Keltner band
Potential for mean reversion after strong rally
Weakening bullish momentum in candle structure
Confirmation with further bearish price action or divergence signals would strengthen the case for downside continuation.
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region.
The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength.
Technicals:
• The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep.
• Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails.
• Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening.
• My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500.
• A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact.
Fundamentals:
• ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth.
• EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening.
• Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising.
• Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved.
• USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent.
⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week.
🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations:
📊
Chart Details:
Pair: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 4-hour (H4)
Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD
🔍
Key Annotations & Zones:
🟫
Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area):
This area includes:
Accumulation
FVG (Fair Value Gap)
Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone.
🔼
Buy Side Liquidity:
Highlighted at the top of the range.
Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal.
🔽
Sell Side Liquidity:
Marked below the previous consolidation range.
Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward.
📈
Accumulation:
This phase occurred before the bullish breakout.
Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning.
📉
FVG (Fair Value Gap):
Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled.
Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move.
📌
Price Structure Analysis:
The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup:
Price grabs buy-side liquidity.
Enters a supply zone.
May return to fill the FVG.
Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone.
✅
Trading Implications:
Bearish Scenario:
Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows.
Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately):
If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
EURUSD Trade Plan: Retracement Into Key Fibo Zone POI.I’m currently watching EURUSD closely 👀. On the daily timeframe, it’s clearly broken structure and is now in a bullish trend 📈. Dropping down to the lower timeframes 🕒, price appears overextended and is now trading into a previous resistance level 🚧.
I’m anticipating a retracement into equilibrium — specifically the 50% level of the current swing, and ideally into the 50–61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone 🔁. If price pulls back into that range, I’ll be watching for a bullish market structure shift 🔄. I don’t want to see it push below the bullish imbalance 📉—I want that zone to hold as support so price can continue north 🔼.
If this plays out, my ideal entry would be around the imbalance and the 50% Fib level, with a stop loss just below the imbalance, and targets set at the current swing high and previous swing high, as detailed in the video 🎯.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This is not financial advice. Trading involves risk and you should only trade with capital you can afford to lose. Please do your own analysis or consult a licensed financial advisor.
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown
🔻 Price Action & Structure:
The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines.
The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend.
🔄 Projected Move:
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.
The white projected path shows:
A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800.
A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows.
A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity.
🧠
EQH = Equal High Liquidity
:
The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting.
It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing.
💡 Interpretation:
The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts.
Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook.
Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
EURUSD Breaks Structure: Bullish Continuation Opportunity💶 EUR/USD Analysis – Bullish Momentum Builds 📈
Taking a look at the EUR/USD on the daily chart, it’s clear the pair is currently in a strong bullish trend 🚀. Momentum has been building consistently, reflecting underlying euro strength and continued USD weakness.
🕓 On the 4H timeframe, we’ve now seen a clear shift in market structure to the upside, confirming bullish intent. Look for a continuation entry after a retracement back into equilibrium — ideally around the 50% level of the current price swing 🔄📐.
🎯 Trade Plan Idea:
Wait for price to pull back into equilibrium 🌀
Entry: Long from the discounted zone 🟩
Stop loss: Just below the recent swing low 🔻
Target: Previous high as a logical take-profit zone 🎯📊
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions. 📚💼
EURUSD on the riseYesterday, EURUSD failed to continue its pullback and has already recovered the drop caused by the news.
This suggests the correction might be over, and we could be seeing the start of a new bullish move.
The target is a breakout above the previous highs, aiming for 1,1706.
All positions we’re looking for are only in the direction of the main trend.
EURUSD After the FedInterest rates remained unchanged, and EURUSD dropped to 1,1471.
Keep an eye out for a continued correction toward the next key support at 1,1370.
From that level, look for signs of a bounce and potential buying opportunities.
Make a note of the news release time and watch for market reaction.
EURUSD before the FEDThe escalating conflict in the Middle East between Israel and Iran, which appears to be intensifying, is driving investors toward safer assets, leading to a stronger USD.
Today, all eyes are on the FED’s interest rate decision.
Watch for potential reactions at key support levels and a possible continuation of the current trend.
However, ahead of the announcement, it's advisable to reduce risk exposure and hold off on opening new positions.
EURUSD awaits upcoming newsYesterday, EURUSD climbed back above 1,1600, testing the previous high.
Tomorrow, the market is anticipating the FED’s interest rate decision.
For now, the trend remains clear, with expectations of increased volatility.
Keep an eye out for a higher low and a breakout above the previous high.
EUR/USD - Upside Bias Continues Amid Market EventsHi Everyone,
As outlined in our analysis last week, we continue to expect EUR/USD to advance further to the upside. A successful retest of the 1.15240 level provides support for the move.
This promises to be an eventful week as markets navigate geopolitical tensions and upcoming central bank decisions. As long as price holds above 1.14483, we anticipate a continuation higher toward the 1.16564 level, which would further reinforce our long-term bullish outlook.
A confirmed break above this resistance would likely open the door for a move toward 1.18325, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance.
We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈
📊 Technical Analysis Summary:
The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000.
🔍 Key Observations:
🔸 Triple Rejection Zone:
Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance.
🔸 Strong Support Bounce:
Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest.
🔸 Break and Retest Formation:
Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation.
🔸 Projected Bullish Move:
If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked.
📌 Trading Plan:
✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250
✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure
🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum
📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000
🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750
🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Bearish SetupA new SELL signal has emerged on the EUR/USD chart, signaling potential downward movement.
SELL Signal: Activated at 1.16500 after price tapped into a supply zone and rejected from a weak high, indicating a potential short-term reversal.
TP Zones:
TP1: 1.14881
TP2: 1.14284
Final TP: 1.13688
This setup offers a potential profit range of 160 to 280 pips.
Market Structure: Price is reacting strongly from the supply area and failing to break the weak high. With bearish momentum building, price may continue down toward the imbalance and demand zones.
Remember to manage your trades carefully and ensure this setup fits your overall strategy. Stay sharp and trade responsibly!
EURUSD Setup | CPI Fades, Fed Focus & Gold Leads Dollar ReboundEURUSD is showing signs of exhaustion after soft US CPI failed to extend the rally beyond 1.1495. While markets initially priced in a dovish Fed response, recent commentary and gold’s rejection from its highs suggest the dollar may be gearing up for a short-term recovery. With Gold pulling back and yields stabilizing, EURUSD could now follow suit lower into key support levels—especially if the Fed maintains a patient tone at this week’s meeting.
🔹 EURUSD (4H) Analysis
📉 Bias: Bearish
💡 Context:
EURUSD stalled just below 1.1500 after the CPI miss and now sits at a high-liquidity reversal zone. With DXY stabilizing and gold already rolling over, EURUSD may lag behind but eventually follow the same path. If the Fed leans hawkish or even neutral (ignoring political pressure), it could catalyze a drop toward 1.1268 and below.
📊 Technical Levels:
Resistance Zone: 1.1495–1.1530
Target 1: 1.1268
Target 2: 1.1086
Invalidation: Daily close above 1.1530 (or strong bullish follow-through after FOMC)
🪙 Leading Asset Clue:
Gold has already rejected major resistance (3,390–3,403) and is now pulling lower. Historically, EURUSD tends to follow when metals stall—especially if driven by real yields and Fed dynamics.
⚠️ Fundamentals to Watch:
🏦 FOMC Rate Decision & Dot Plot (June 12)
📈 US PPI + Jobless Claims (June 13)
💬 Fed Chair Powell's Press Conference
📰 Any shift in ECB or Fed rate cut timelines
🧠 Risk Factors:
Fed surprise dovish shift due to CPI softness
Market overreacts to rate cut expectations
Geopolitical risk-off flows favoring EUR
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
EURUSD
Bearish
Fed holding firm vs. ECB easing bias
Fed turning dovish post-CPI (Top Risk)
FOMC Rate Decision, PPI, Powell
📌 Final Note:
Gold is leading the turn as dollar strength resurfaces. EURUSD may lag initially but the macro context favors downside from this key resistance zone. Watch the Fed for confirmation—positioning into 1.1268 and 1.1086 looks attractive if the dollar gains traction post-FOMC.