EUR/USD Longs from 1.09200 back upThis week, my analysis has diverged from GU due to the bullish reaction in EU triggered by the NFP, causing a CHOCH (Change of Character) to the upside. The higher time frame structure has broken, creating clean demand zones. I now expect price to retrace to one of these demand zones before continuing its upward movement.
If price continues to rise and fully fills the imbalance, I anticipate a bearish reaction from the 22-hour supply zone, leading to a slowdown and distribution.
Confluences for EU Buys:
- NFP Impact: NFP caused a CHOCH to the upside, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish.
- Demand Zones: Clean demand zones have been left behind, signaling areas where price may pull back.
- Daily Imbalance: Price is currently in a daily imbalance, which may trigger a pullback.
- Bullish Trend: The current trend is bullish, supporting the continuation of upward movement.
P.S. If price reacts to the imbalance with a bearish pullback, this could provide buying opportunities from the 5-hour demand zone or the 17-hour extreme demand.
Eurusdtradeidea
EURUSD Analysis week 32Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD gained on Friday after the Greenback was weakened by the poor US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data.
With the US economic data turning sour, investors extended their losses for two days on growing concerns about a broader recession in the domestic US economy, triggering a flight from risk assets and sending equity indices sharply lower.
Next week, the US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. Euro-wide retail sales for the year ending June are scheduled for release early Tuesday. This will give us a clearer picture of the current stage of the currency market.
Technical Analysis
GBPUSD formed a wide range after the NF release with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.094 and 1.082. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is looking to surpass EMA 89 to escape the short-term downtrend of the past week. Specifically, it proves that the price line has broken out of the downtrend line. The uptrend may face the highest resistance at 1.098 when the price breaks out of the immediate resistance at 1.094. On the other hand, recovery is necessary in an uptrend. The price trend may retest the broken trend zone around 1.083 after some investors take profit. If the downtrend is established, the strong support zone next week will be 1.075.
Resistance: 1.094-1.098
Support: 1.083-1.075
Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 Stoploss 1.071
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.098-1.100 Stoploss 1.102
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea 👉🔍In this video, we closely examine EURUSD. Recently, the EURUSD has experienced a strong bullish rally but now appears overextended and has reached a key resistance level. Given this overextended move, I'm looking for a buy opportunity on a Fibonacci retracement.
In the video, I share my insights on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies. 📊✅
EUR/USD Trade Setup on the Daily TimeframeEUR/USD pair is currently moving sideways on the daily timeframe, forming an ascending channel characterized by higher highs and higher lows. It recently broke out and found support at the 1.08000 level.
We are now looking for buy entries at this support level. Let's scale down to the lower timeframes to identify potential buy patterns and entry confirmations.
EURUSD Trade Idea👉 My bias for EURUSD is bearish according to this 4H chart. We can clearly see lower highs and lower lows, along with a break in market structure to the downside, accompanied by significant displacement with the candle above the break. As always, trading involves risk. This is not intended as financial advice, and it's wise to trade responsibly with consistent and conservative risk management.
Possible EURUSD movement last week of July 2024Following the concept of the penultimate weekly candle of indecision and considering that the previous candle was bearish, we will look for bearish options. However, it is important to be careful of possible attempts to liquidate and manipulate the market, which may influence purchases before following the natural downward trend.
Trading Rules
Never trade too long - Risk management is essential.
Never trade without confirmation - Wait for clear signals.
Never trust signals blindly - Do your own analysis and research.
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PORTUGUESE-BR
Seguindo o conceito da penúltima vela semanal de indecisão e considerando que a vela anterior apresentou queda, buscaremos opções de baixa. No entanto, é importante ter cuidado com possíveis tentativas de liquidação e manipulação do mercado, que podem influenciar compras antes de seguir a tendência natural de baixa.
Regras de Negociação
Nunca negocie muito - A gestão de risco é essencial.
Nunca negocie sem uma confirmação - Espere por sinais claros.
Nunca confie cegamente em sinais - Faça sua própria análise e pesquisa.
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Tome cuidado e negocie bem!
EURUSD and GBPUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure until trade below turning level .
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level around 1.091 , indicates the price trade below this level reach a support level , but if breaking this level reach a resistance level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (1) : around 1.094 , for reach this level will be breaking turning level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL (2) : around 1.097, for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle above resistance level (1) , it make created a new historical peaks .
SUPPORT LEVEL (1) : support level at 1.087, for reach this level the price will be trading below
turning level .
SUPPORT LEVEL (2) : this support level at 1.084 , for reach this level will be breaking by open 4h candle below support level (1) .
CORRECTIVE LEVEL : the price retest 1.091 , before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.094 , 1.097.
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.087 , 1.084 .
EUR/USD Short ideas from 1.09100 or 1.09300My bias for EU is similar to GU, as I am mainly looking for sell opportunities. Last week’s price distribution across higher time frames has left promising zones to watch, specifically the 4-hour and 17-hour supply zones. If these zones are mitigated, I will look for redistribution within them.
If the price continues to drop, I will look for counter-trend trades to catch retracements, possibly from the 11-hour demand zone I’ve marked or the 5-hour demand zone if the price goes deeper.
Confluences for EU Sells:
Newly created supply zones near the UTAD show promising selling opportunities.
There is significant liquidity to the downside in the form of Asia lows and imbalances that need filling.
The dollar is bullish, aligning well with the bearish bias for EU.
This is a pro-trend trade on the higher time frame.
P.S. I will wait to see how the price action unfolds, as the current price is somewhat distant from my points of interest (POIs), but I expect the price to keep dropping.
EURUSD ( BREAKOUT CHANNEL ) ( STRONG BULLISH ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency , the price is under strong bullish pressure ,after breakout 1.084
TURNING LEVEL : the price of turning level between 1.091 and 1.094 , indicates the price breaking 1.091 reach a new resistance level or created a new historical peaks , but if breaking 1.094 reach a support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : in the last chart price reach a full resistance level , know this level at 1.096
and 1.099 , for reach this level after breaking 1.091 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : support level at 1.088 . for reach this level should be price breaking a turning level at 1.094 .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price is sensitive area , yesterday price have strong rising an breakout a supply zone reach a full target , created a new historical peaks , price breaking 1.091 rising or reach a new resistance level at 1.096 , then reach a 1.099 , after breaking 1.094 reach a support level at 1.088 it is a strong support level , the by open below 4h candle below this level reach 1.079 .
TARGET LEVEL
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.096 , 1.099 .
SUPPORT LEVEL ; 1.088 , 1.079 .
EURUSD ( UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE ) ( 1H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
TENDENCY : generally the price stabilizing above turning level , indicates is under bullish pressure .
TURNING LEVEL : the price around 1.088 , as long as the price trading above this level reach a resistance level , breaking this level trying to touch a support level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price in previously , rising until reach a resistance level , currently price 1.090 , as long as the price trading above turning level reach a resistance level my goal 1.093 , but small retest inside FVG area before rising .
PRICE ACTION :
LONG CONDITION : the price trying to retest a FVG area , then rising a resistance level at 1.093 , breaking this level reach a next level at 1.096 .
SHORT CONDITION : if the price breaking turning level at 1.088 by open 4h candle below this level reach a support level at 1.086 , then stabilizing below this level reach a 1.082.
TARGET LEVEL :
LONG CONDITION / RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.093 , 1.096 .
SHORT CONDITION / SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.086 , 1.082 .
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we take a close look at the EURUSD currency pair. Right now, it's in a strong bullish trend. However, it seems a bit overextended, and since it's Monday, I'm being cautious. I'm looking for an entry point if the price drops back into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone.
In the video, I share my thoughts on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies.
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 (Sell to Buy) My EU bias currently is to catch a temporary move down. As price approaches a high-quality 11-hour supply zone, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution to confirm a sell opportunity.
Whether or not price mitigates the supply zone, I'm expecting it to retrace to a newly formed demand zone, ultimately aiming to make a new high. Therefore, once price reaches the 10-hour demand zone, I will be looking for buy opportunities.
Confluences for EU Sells are as follows :
- Price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside.
- The current trend is bullish, matching the dropping DXY.
- There is significant liquidity to the upside, with strong bullish candles on the higher time frame.
- Demand zones have been created near the current price, indicating potential for another rally.
P.S. Once price returns to the 10-hour demand zone, I will be on the lookout for a Change of Character (CHOCH) on the lower time frame to confirm my buy opportunities. For now, I'll wait to see how Monday's market opens.
EURUSD ( PUSHING TO BULLISH ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
after the price breaking a supply zone , the price has taken an upward direction
Tendency the price trade above turning level at 1.084 , indicates is under bullish pressure
TURNING LEVEL : a black line between resistance and support level around 1.084 , indicates if the price stabilizing above this level reach resistance level , if the breaking turning level reach a support level
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line above turning level around 1.091 , indicates selling have already increase this level , when you reach this level buyer have more supply for OANDA:EURUSD
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a black line below turning level around 1.079, indicates buying have already increase this level , when you reach this level selling have more demand for OANDA:EURUSD
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price after CPI breaking a supply zone , know the price has taken a bullish direction , have three conditions for OANDA:EURUSD movement
FIRST CONDITION : price directly rising to inside a supply zone to touch a resistance level at 1.091 , then to reach a 1.094
SECOND CONDITION : the price trying to reach a turning level at 1.084 , after rising a resistance level
THIRD CONDITION : if the price breaking turning level by open 4h candle below a this level reach a support level at 1.079 , then trade below this level reach a 1.072
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.091 , 1.094
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.079 , 1.072
EURUSD ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure
TREDN ANALYSIS : resistance trendline toward a downward a direction , and the price stabilizing below this , indicates the price trying to reach a support level .
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 1.084 , indicates if the price stabilizing below this level reach support level , if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 1.089, indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 1.075, indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price stable below turning level reach this level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to rising a turning level around 1.084 , after dropping to the support level around 1.075 , then stable below this level reach 1.069 , if the price breaking turning level reach a resistance level by 1.089 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 1.095
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.089 , 1.095
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.075 , 1.069
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.08600 back down.This week's forecast for EU is looking very promising for sells. I hope for price to break the current supply zone, although we might see a reaction from it before price reaches the daily supply zone above. This upper zone is a more valid level for taking sells.
If Monday opens with a sweep of the Asia high and a clear CHOCH, I might consider imminent sells from the current zone, but with lower risk as the POI is not ideal. From there, I expect price to drop into a demand zone, where I can look for new buying opportunities.
Confluences for EU Sells:
Price is in a supply zone and showing weakness in bullish pressure.
There is a daily supply zone above that holds good validity.
DXY is also in a demand zone, aligning with the negative correlation.
There is lots of liquidity and imbalance below, drawing price downward.
P.S. If price respects a nearby demand and breaks both supply zones, it will confirm a bullish bias, and I will start looking for buys.
EURUSD: in a positive stateEURUSD: The EUR is still in a positive rising state and it is expected that in today's session, the prospect of an increase is still very high with the possibility of breaking through the 1.0820 threshold and reaching a higher target area above the 1.0900 area in the context of The USD is increasingly weakening. You can consider maintaining the buying position with EURUSD today.