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EUR/USD Shorts from 1.11000 back down to demandPrice action for EUR/USD is very similar to GBP/USD (GU). If GU continues rising to mitigate that deeper supply, it aligns with the 1.11000 level in the 20-hour supply zone for EUR/USD. I expect the bullish pressure to gradually die down and for price to eventually mitigate this supply. Therefore, I don’t expect a major move on Monday, but this scenario could play out over the week. If price sells off from the 20-hour supply zone, I will then wait for scenario (B), which involves the mitigation of the daily demand that caused a break of structure to the upside. There's also a refined version of this demand on the 19-hour time frame, which looks promising for buys to continue the bullish trend. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Bullish pressure is getting exhausted, suggesting a potential retracement. - There is a lot of liquidity below, along with imbalances that need to be mitigated. - This outlook aligns with expectations for the DXY to rise slightly. - This is a counter-trend short-term trade with the goal of eventually rejoining the pro-trend. P.S. If price reacts to the current imbalance and goes back down, I will look to enter buys to take price back up to the supply zone. However, buys are favorable due to the current bullish trend.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD analysis week 33Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD regained momentum and rose to 1.1020 in the American session on Friday after snapping a three-day winning streak. Upbeat macroeconomic data from the United States boosted the US dollar (USD) and sent EUR/USD lower. The US Department of Labor reported that initial weekly jobless claims fell by 7,000. Improved risk sentiment on Friday morning made it difficult for the USD to continue Thursday's gains and sent EUR/USD higher. The US economic calendar will feature data on Housing Starts and Building Permits for July. Additionally, the University of Michigan will release preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index data for August. The market reaction to these data may not last long. Technical Analysis EURUSD continues to trade in an ascending channel with the nearest support and resistance in the price range at 1.106 and 1.091 after gaining ground above 1.100. On the D1 timeframe, the EMA 34 has crossed well above the EMA 89, indicating a strong bullish market structure, with the upside momentum heading towards the most important resistance around 1.113. On the other hand, any daily close below the 1.1091 support would not confirm a bearish reversal. The pair would need to break the 1.081 support to truly break the bullish structure on the current chart. Resistance: 1.106-1.113 Support: 1.092-1.081 Trading Signals SELL EURUSD 1.112-1.114 SL 1.116 BUY EURUSD 1.092-1.090 SL 1.088
by TVS-Trader
EUR/USD Longs from 1.08200 back up This idea aligns with my other pairs. After mitigating a daily imbalance, price is showing clear rejection and heading down to fill the imbalance left from last week's NFP news event. If price reaches the extreme demand level on the 17-hour timeframe, I'll wait for a Wyckoff accumulation to buy back up. Meanwhile, I’m watching for a new supply zone to sell from or considering imminent sells as price is currently in a 4-hour supply zone. Confluences for EU Sells: Price broke structure to the upside on the higher timeframe. Significant liquidity and imbalances remain to the upside. A clean 17-hour demand zone triggered this bullish move. Large imbalance above the demand zone that needs filling. P.S. If price moves higher and surpasses the last swing high, I'll look to the deep supply on the 22-hour timeframe as the next drop-off point.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD Longs from 1.09200 back upThis week, my analysis has diverged from GU due to the bullish reaction in EU triggered by the NFP, causing a CHOCH (Change of Character) to the upside. The higher time frame structure has broken, creating clean demand zones. I now expect price to retrace to one of these demand zones before continuing its upward movement. If price continues to rise and fully fills the imbalance, I anticipate a bearish reaction from the 22-hour supply zone, leading to a slowdown and distribution. Confluences for EU Buys: - NFP Impact: NFP caused a CHOCH to the upside, indicating a shift from bearish to bullish. - Demand Zones: Clean demand zones have been left behind, signaling areas where price may pull back. - Daily Imbalance: Price is currently in a daily imbalance, which may trigger a pullback. - Bullish Trend: The current trend is bullish, supporting the continuation of upward movement. P.S. If price reacts to the imbalance with a bearish pullback, this could provide buying opportunities from the 5-hour demand zone or the 17-hour extreme demand.
Long
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Analysis week 32Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD gained on Friday after the Greenback was weakened by the poor US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data. With the US economic data turning sour, investors extended their losses for two days on growing concerns about a broader recession in the domestic US economy, triggering a flight from risk assets and sending equity indices sharply lower. Next week, the US will see the ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for July on Monday. Euro-wide retail sales for the year ending June are scheduled for release early Tuesday. This will give us a clearer picture of the current stage of the currency market. Technical Analysis GBPUSD formed a wide range after the NF release with the nearest support resistance in the range of 1.094 and 1.082. On the H4 timeframe, EMA 34 is looking to surpass EMA 89 to escape the short-term downtrend of the past week. Specifically, it proves that the price line has broken out of the downtrend line. The uptrend may face the highest resistance at 1.098 when the price breaks out of the immediate resistance at 1.094. On the other hand, recovery is necessary in an uptrend. The price trend may retest the broken trend zone around 1.083 after some investors take profit. If the downtrend is established, the strong support zone next week will be 1.075. Resistance: 1.094-1.098 Support: 1.083-1.075 Trading Signals BUY EURUSD zone 1.075-1.073 Stoploss 1.071 SELL GBPUSD zone 1.098-1.100 Stoploss 1.102
by TVS-Trader
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea 👉🔍In this video, we closely examine EURUSD. Recently, the EURUSD has experienced a strong bullish rally but now appears overextended and has reached a key resistance level. Given this overextended move, I'm looking for a buy opportunity on a Fibonacci retracement. In the video, I share my insights on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies. 📊✅
Long
by fxtraderanthony
Possible EURUSD movement last week of July 2024Following the concept of the penultimate weekly candle of indecision and considering that the previous candle was bearish, we will look for bearish options. However, it is important to be careful of possible attempts to liquidate and manipulate the market, which may influence purchases before following the natural downward trend. Trading Rules Never trade too long - Risk management is essential. Never trade without confirmation - Wait for clear signals. Never trust signals blindly - Do your own analysis and research. If you found this idea useful, please support it by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 ✅ Hit the like button, subscribe and share on other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade setups and updates on this analysis. ✅ Feel free to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well! PORTUGUESE-BR Seguindo o conceito da penúltima vela semanal de indecisão e considerando que a vela anterior apresentou queda, buscaremos opções de baixa. No entanto, é importante ter cuidado com possíveis tentativas de liquidação e manipulação do mercado, que podem influenciar compras antes de seguir a tendência natural de baixa. Regras de Negociação Nunca negocie muito - A gestão de risco é essencial. Nunca negocie sem uma confirmação - Espere por sinais claros. Nunca confie cegamente em sinais - Faça sua própria análise e pesquisa. Se você achou esta ideia útil, por favor, apoie curtindo e compartilhando. 👍🙂 ✅ Clique no botão curtir, inscreva-se e compartilhe em outros fóruns de negociação. ✅ Siga-me para ideias futuras, configurações de negociação e atualizações sobre esta análise. ✅ Não hesite em compartilhar suas ideias, comentários, opiniões e perguntas. Tome cuidado e negocie bem!
Short
by ForexPlace
EUR/USD Short ideas from 1.09100 or 1.09300My bias for EU is similar to GU, as I am mainly looking for sell opportunities. Last week’s price distribution across higher time frames has left promising zones to watch, specifically the 4-hour and 17-hour supply zones. If these zones are mitigated, I will look for redistribution within them. If the price continues to drop, I will look for counter-trend trades to catch retracements, possibly from the 11-hour demand zone I’ve marked or the 5-hour demand zone if the price goes deeper. Confluences for EU Sells: Newly created supply zones near the UTAD show promising selling opportunities. There is significant liquidity to the downside in the form of Asia lows and imbalances that need filling. The dollar is bullish, aligning well with the bearish bias for EU. This is a pro-trend trade on the higher time frame. P.S. I will wait to see how the price action unfolds, as the current price is somewhat distant from my points of interest (POIs), but I expect the price to keep dropping.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video, we take a close look at the EURUSD currency pair. Right now, it's in a strong bullish trend. However, it seems a bit overextended, and since it's Monday, I'm being cautious. I'm looking for an entry point if the price drops back into the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone. In the video, I share my thoughts on price action, market structure, and the trend. Remember, this content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trading carries significant risk, so it's important to use responsible risk management strategies.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.09200 (Sell to Buy) My EU bias currently is to catch a temporary move down. As price approaches a high-quality 11-hour supply zone, I'll be watching for a Wyckoff distribution to confirm a sell opportunity. Whether or not price mitigates the supply zone, I'm expecting it to retrace to a newly formed demand zone, ultimately aiming to make a new high. Therefore, once price reaches the 10-hour demand zone, I will be looking for buy opportunities. Confluences for EU Sells are as follows : - Price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside. - The current trend is bullish, matching the dropping DXY. - There is significant liquidity to the upside, with strong bullish candles on the higher time frame. - Demand zones have been created near the current price, indicating potential for another rally. P.S. Once price returns to the 10-hour demand zone, I will be on the lookout for a Change of Character (CHOCH) on the lower time frame to confirm my buy opportunities. For now, I'll wait to see how Monday's market opens.
Short
by Hassan_fx