EUR/USD Short Trade Analysis and Updated StrategyHello traders! Here is the update of my short trade on the EUR/USD pair on the 15-minute time frame. I explain the key details, adjusted levels and analysis behind this setup.
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.0500
Stop-loss: 1.05223 (placed above the nearest resistance).
Take profit: 1.0480 (targeting the closest support level).
The price remains below key moving averages, confirming bearish momentum.
Clear rejection near resistance levels indicates strong selling pressure.
Support Level in Focus:
1.0480 serves as a significant support zone. This is my primary profit target, as it may act as a potential bounce area.
The RSI shows neutral levels, suggesting the price still has room to move downward before reaching oversold territory.
Stop-loss is set at 1.05223, just above the recent resistance, to account for potential volatility.
Take profit is placed at 1.0480, with the possibility of extending it to 1.0455 if the support is decisively broken.
Actively monitoring the 15-minute chart to track price behavior and make real-time adjustments if necessary.
If the price breaks below 1.0480, I may shift the take profit to the next key support at 1.0455 to capture additional downside potential.
This trade setup offers a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, making it a favorable opportunity while adhering to proper risk management practices.
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Trading carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always conduct your own analysis and use a risk management strategy before entering any trade.
Eurusdtradesignal
Bullish Catalysts for EUR/USDTechnical Analysis
Monthly Chart:
The weakening of the U.S. Dollar (DXY) creates a favorable environment for bullish movements in EUR/USD. On the monthly chart, the euro is positioned near a significant support zone that aligns with a strong buying area. With the dollar's liquidity grab above 107.348 signaling further downside potential, EUR/USD is well-positioned for upward momentum.
Daily Chart:
The daily chart confirms a strong bullish structure, with higher highs and higher lows indicating sustained upward pressure. The recent weakness in the DXY aligns with this bullish trend, reinforcing the potential for continued euro strength. This week's price action suggests buyers remain firmly in control, and the technical setup supports a move toward higher targets.
Fundamental Analysis
Impact of the U.S. Dollar Weakness:
The euro stands to benefit significantly from the current bearish outlook on the DXY. With the Federal Reserve showing hesitancy toward further rate cuts due to inflation concerns and strong labor market conditions, short-term volatility is likely. However, any signs of labor market weakening or inflation stability could lead to aggressive rate cuts, further weakening the dollar and supporting EUR/USD upside.
Key Catalysts:
This upcoming week, Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and unemployment rate data are expected to provide critical directional cues:
Expected Increase in Unemployment: If the unemployment rate increases as forecasted, this would add downward pressure on the DXY, fueling strong upside potential for EUR/USD.
Nonfarm Payroll Volatility: Regardless of the outcome, NFP data typically injects significant volatility into the market. Even in scenarios where unemployment data does not meet expectations, the euro could still reach key targets due to the strong technical bullish structure and high demand at monthly zones.
Summary and Outlook
Technical and Fundamental Alignment:
EUR/USD is in a prime position for further upside given:
The bearish outlook on the DXY, signaling continued weakness in the U.S. Dollar.
The bullish structure on the EUR/USD daily chart, which supports continued buying pressure.
Key catalysts this week, including unemployment and NFP data, which are likely to favor euro strength under expected scenarios.
Key Factors to Monitor:
The actual results of unemployment and payroll data.
Fed commentary and market sentiment on potential rate adjustments.
Any unexpected geopolitical or macroeconomic developments affecting the eurozone or the U.S.
Price Expectations:
Short-Term Target: The bullish structure supports a move toward a significant monthly resistance zone where strong buy-side liquidity resides.
Medium-to-Long-Term Target: If dollar weakness persists and unemployment increases, EUR/USD could see a strong bullish move extending beyond this resistance, possibly forming new highs.
With the DXY weakening and structural alignment in favor of the euro, buying EUR/USD remains a favorable strategy this week, supported by both technical and fundamental factors.
EURUSD Raid On Liquidity? Contemplating the Next Move!👀👉 EURUSD remains in a strong downtrend, evident on the daily and 4-hour charts. Currently, we’re seeing an aggressive pullback on the 4-hour timeframe. I’m eyeing a short entry but holding off early in the week—waiting to see how price develops from the London session into the New York open. In this video, we break down market structure, price action, and blend Wyckoff & ICT concepts in an easy-to-understand way. 🚨 Not financial advice. 📉✅
EURUSD EUR/USD consolidates gains below 1.0500 amid weaker US Dollar
EUR/USD holds gains below 1.0500 in European trading on Monday, having recovered from its two-year low of 1.0332. This rebound is due to a sell-off in the US Dollar and the US Treasury bond yields amid a US bond market rally. The focus shifts to German data and ECB-speak.
The Euro came under pressure after PMI data highlighted continued weakness in Eurozone business activity. The HCOB Flash Eurozone Composite PMI fell sharply to 48.1 in November, down from 50.0 in October and well below expectations of 50.0. This decline reflects a contraction in the services sector for the first time in ten months, coupled with a persistent downturn in manufacturing.
On Thursday, European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip Lane cautioned that a potential global trade war, driven by the expected implementation of President-elect Donald Trump’s higher tariffs, could lead to significant global economic losses. "Trade fragmentation entails sizeable output losses," Lane emphasized.The S&P Global US Composite PMI climbed to 55.3 in November, indicating the strongest growth in private sector activity since April 2022. The US Services PMI surged to 57.0, up from 55.0 in October and significantly exceeding market expectations of 55.2, marking the sharpest expansion in the services sector since March 2022. Meanwhile, the US Manufacturing PMI edged higher to 48.8 from 48.5 in October, aligning with market forecasts.
EURUSD SELL NOW on MondayEUR/USD remains in positive ground on Friday, as profit-taking hit the US Dollar ahead of the weekend. Still, Powell's hawkish shift and upbeat United States data keeps the Greenback on the bullish pathFurther losses could see EUR/USD testing its 2024 low at 1.0495 (November 14), before the 2023 bottom at 1.0448 (October 3).
On the upside, immediate resistance lies at the 200-day SMA of 1.0865, seconded by the November high at 1.0936 (November 6) and the provisional 55-day SMA at 1.0947.
In addition, the short-term technical outlook remains bearish as long as EUR/USD stays below the 200-day SMA.
The four-hour chart highlights accelerating downward momentum, with key support levels at 1.0495 and 1.0448. On the upside, initial resistance appears at 1.0653, followed by 1.0726. The RSI rebounded above 32.Looking forward, potential trade policies from the Trump administration, including tariffs on European and Chinese goods, could push US inflation higher. If the Fed adopts a cautious or hawkish stance, it may continue to lend support to the US Dollar.
EUR/USD (aka) "FIBER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist EUR/USD (aka) "FIBER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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EURUSD "The Fiber" Bearish Robbery Plan on Short sideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist EURUSD "The Fiber" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2hrs timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
5 days ago
Trade active
Swing Trading Bank Robbery Plan Executed Successfully
EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 The EURUSD has broken key support levels across multiple timeframes, suggesting a continuation of the current bearish trend and potential further downside pressure.
Technical Overview
The pair is forming a bearish structure with lower highs and lows on the daily and 4-hour charts, signaling more bearish momentum that could drive the price toward previous lows.
Trading Strategy
I'm waiting for a retracement to the 50-61.8% Fibonacci zone, which often attracts price in trending markets. If the PPI data today strengthens the USD, this could offer a good entry point for a short trade, in line with the bearish outlook.
Risk Management
While the setup looks promising, it's important to wait for confirmation before entering. Look for bearish candlestick patterns or a rejection at key resistance levels within the Fibonacci zone to minimize risk.
Market Structure
Sellers are currently in control, and any rallies are met with selling pressure, pointing to a possible further downside if support levels continue to break.
Always do your own research and manage risk carefully. Never trade more than you can afford to lose. 📉✅
Eurusd EUR/USD retreats toward 1.0900 after US data
EUR/USD struggles to preserve its recovery momentum and declines toward 1.0900 in the second half of the day on Thursday. Better-than-expected weekly Initial Jobless Claims data from the US supports the USD, causing the pair to stretch lower.EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.The EUR/USD pair fell following the release of US employment-related data and pierces the 1.0900 mark. The daily chart shows it’s down for a third consecutive day and that technical indicators turned south, in line with the increased selling pressure. At the same time, the pair trades above all its moving averages, although the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) has lost its upward strength and turned flat at around 1.0870. The case for a steeper decline seems limited, albeit a break through 1.0890, the immediate support level, could exacerbate the decline.
In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, the risk skews to the downside. EUR/USD retreated sharply after repeatedly meeting sellers around a flat 20 SMA, somehow suggesting buyers capitulate. Technical indicators, in the meantime, head firmly south within negative levels, supporting another leg lower.
Support levels: 1.0890 1.0845 1.0800
Resistance levels: 1.0950 1.1005 1.1045
EURUSD ( TREND UNDER RESISTANCE TRENDLINE ) ( 4H )EURUSD
HELLO TRADERS
Tendency the price trade below resistance trendline , indicates OANDA:EURUSD is under bearish pressure .
TREDN ANALYSIS : resistance trendline toward a downward a direction , and the price stabilizing below this , indicates the price trying to reach a support level .
TURNING LEVEL : a blue line between resistance and support level around 1.084 , indicates if the price stabilizing below this level reach support level , if the breaking turning level reach a resistance level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : there is a green line around 1.094 , indicates selling have already increase this level , so if the price breaking turning level reach this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : there is a red line below turning level around 1.071, indicates buying have already increase this level , so if the price stable below turning level reach this level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : first the price will trying to rising a turning level around 1.084 , after dropping to the support level around 1.075 , then stable below this level reach 1.071 .
if the price breaking turning level reach a resistance level by 1.091 , then stable by open 4h candle above this level reach a 1.094
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.091 , 1.094
SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.075 , 1.071
EUR/USD Analysis Amid Geopolitical TensionsThe exchange rate between the Euro (EUR) and the US Dollar (USD), known as EUR/USD, is a key player in global finance. Lately, it's not just economic ups and downs that are calling the shots, but also rising political conflicts around the world. One hot spot to watch is Israel, where the potential release of sensitive information could cause ripples across Europe and impact the EUR/USD rate.
Geopolitical Tensions and Market Reactions
Background Context
In response to the Hague Tribunal's demand for war crimes information, Israel has hinted at releasing a highly sensitive and potentially explosive video. This footage, allegedly compiled by the Israeli National Security Agency (NSA) from Hamas body cameras, contains graphic atrocities from the October 7th incident. The content is so disturbing that its release could incite widespread unrest, particularly in Europe, where issues with radical Islamic cells and terrorism are already prevalent.
Potential Impact on Europe
Europe, with its diverse population including significant Muslim communities, has long been a focal point for discussions on integration, radicalization, and security. The release of such a video could exacerbate existing tensions, potentially leading to civil unrest or even conflict. The implications of such an event would be profound, affecting not only the social fabric of Europe but also its political and economic stability.
Europe's Future: Insights from Israel's Video Teasers
Israel has chosen not to release the video or any parts of it. However, they have now decided to share limited teasers of the video with European countries to give them an idea of what to expect.
The message suggests that there is a religious war on the horizon, and Europe's silence on Islamic matters is seen as a dangerous mistake. It emphasizes that a religious war is inevitable and already underway, and it warns that the consequences will be significant, affecting the geography, politics, and demographics of Europe.
Economic Implications
For the EUR/USD currency pair, these geopolitical tensions could translate into significant volatility. The euro might face downward pressure due to increased political risk and potential instability within the Eurozone. Investors typically seek safer assets in times of geopolitical uncertainty, which could bolster the U.S. dollar's strength against the euro.
Key Factors to Watch
ECB Policies and Economic Data
Amidst these geopolitical concerns, it is crucial to monitor the European Central Bank's (ECB) policies and economic indicators. Inflation rates, GDP growth, and unemployment figures will continue to play significant roles in determining the euro's value. Any signs of economic slowdown or policy shifts in response to rising geopolitical tensions could further impact the EUR/USD pair.
Federal Reserve Decisions
On the other side of the Atlantic, the U.S. Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions remain a critical factor. With the U.S. economy showing resilience, any hawkish signals from the Fed could strengthen the dollar. Conversely, dovish policies or signs of economic weakness could provide some relief to the euro.
Safe-Haven Flows
During times of increased uncertainty, currencies such as the U.S. dollar and Swiss franc, known as safe-haven currencies, tend to increase in value. Investors may choose to move their investments out of riskier assets, such as the euro, and into the perceived safety of the dollar. This movement to safety could cause a further decrease in the EUR/USD exchange rate.
Strategic Considerations
Hedging Against Risk
For investors and businesses with exposure to the EUR/USD pair, hedging strategies become essential. Options, futures, and other derivative instruments can provide a buffer against unexpected currency fluctuations due to geopolitical events.
Diversification
Diversifying investments across various currencies and asset classes can help reduce risks. Spreading out investments can provide better protection against geopolitical uncertainties.
Monitoring News and Updates
Staying informed about geopolitical developments, economic data releases, and central bank announcements is crucial. Real-time news feeds and analysis can help traders and investors make more informed decisions.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD currency pair is currently facing challenges arising from economic fundamentals and escalating geopolitical tensions. There is a possibility of Israel releasing sensitive footage, which could have significant implications for Europe. This may impact not only the social and political landscape but also economic stability in the region. Therefore, market participants should remain vigilant, use strong risk management strategies, and be prepared for increased volatility in the currency markets.
EURUSD SELL INCOMINGWe’re bouncing within a channel and a wedge. Price is close to an area of confluence plus there’s been a down trend for some time now. With this particular trade I see it being valid if these few things happen: it must respect the channel and 4 hr order block that was created, a 15 minute has to be created in that premium zone & triggered during NY Session and lastly I’d only go for 1:2 RR. There must be confirmations because there is still a possibility that there can be a trend line breakout. Considering all the multiple confirmations will increase the chances of the trade being successful. Good luck to everyone trading!
EURUSD Money Heist Plan on Bullish DirectionMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist EURUSD Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level Police Force is waiting for our arrival, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan,
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money Use Trailing Stop To Protect Looted Money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target it will update after the Breakouts.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday.
EUR USD EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.
EUR/USD could be due a break from its bearish drubbingHaving fallen for six consecutive days, bearish momentum on EUR/USD is beginning to fade. Tuesday's low also held above the 1.06 level and 71.6% Fibonacci level whilst RSI (14) and (2) are in oversold levels on the daily chart.
The 4-hour chart shows bullish divergences on the RSIs, so the bias is to seek dips towards 1.06 for a long towards 1.0650 at a minimum. As we suspect some mean reversion higher is due - even if only temporarily.
EURUSD BUYGood evening everyone! Don't forget to put your thumbs up and write comment if you like the idea.
Half of the movement has already passed, and now I’m waiting for the break to the level of 1.07 and from there I’ll start working from the long position. This week we will have important news on the labor market, because it was the labor market that Powell pointed out at the last meeting and said that if it decreases, we can begin to reduce the rate. Therefore, I believe that this week will be a culmination
Target: 1.09000
Eurusd sell confirm signal EUR/USD retreats to the 1.0860 area during the early Asian trading hours on Friday. The downtick of the major pair is backed by the firmer US Dollar and higher US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the German IFO Business Climate on Friday ahead of the Fed's Chair Powell.
On the upside, EUR/USD is expected to face initial resistance at the March high of 1.0981 (March 8), then the weekly top of 1.0998 (January 11) and the psychological barrier of 1.1000. Further increases from here might lead to a December 2023 peak of 1.1139 (December 28).
Confirm eurusd sell signal
EUR USD sell EUR/USD picks up extra upside traction and opens the door to a potential test of the psychologial 1.1000 hurdle on the back of increased selling pressure in the Greenback following February's Non-farm Payrolls (+275K).
EUR/USD targets 1.1000 on weaker Dollar post-Payrolls
EUR/USD is the forex ticker that tells traders how many US Dollars are needed to buy a Euro. The Euro-Dollar pair is popular with traders because its constituents represent the two largest and most influential economies in the world. Follow real-time EUR/USD rates and improve your technical analysis with the interactive chart. Discover the factors that can influence the EUR/USD forecast and stay up to date with the latest EUR/USD news and analysis articles.
Confirm signal