EURUSD: Channel Up started its pull back.EURUSD is about to turn neutral again on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 55.947, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 54.703) as the uptrend got rejected today near the top of the two month Channel Up. As the 1D RSI is forming the same Bearish Divergence as the November 28th HH, we turn to selling again as this is technically the Bearish Wave of the Channel Up.
The previous HL was formed marginally over the 0.618 Fibonacci level, we aim at a similar symmetrical target (TP = 1.0900).
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Eurusdtrading
BULLISH TRENDS (closing 2023) EUR/USD currency pair is exhibiting a bullish trend Presently 1.10560 and we are aiming the bullish trend however the dx is still on declind at 101.390 and expected to reach 100.90 the lower high supply zone area.
if 1.1075-1.1085 lower high resistances are broken next target will be 1.1220.personally i expect Eurusd will be on long run.
EURUSD Longs from 1.09550 or 1.09200I anticipate EURUSD to wait for a decline in selling pressure and for the price to enter a demand zone, providing an opportunity for an upward buy. Currently, my focus lies on the two 5-hour demand zones that triggered the recent CHOCH.
This bias is more favorable as it aligns with the existing bullish trend in the EURUSD market. Despite my overall bearish outlook on this market, the ongoing bullish rallies remain robust. Furthermore, I anticipate further upside in the market to eventually reach a more premium supply zone.
Confluence for EURUSD Buys are as follows:
- Lots of liquidity left above in the form or trend lines and asian highs.
- Two demand zones on the 5hr time frame that has caused a CHOCH to the upside.
- This idea aligns with the temporary bullish trend that EURUSD has generated.
- Selling pressure is slowly getting exhausted and is pending an accumulation.
- For price to continue going higher and create a new leg it must react off a near demand.
P.S. The price has responded to a 50-minute supply zone, initiating bearish momentum. Now, I am anticipating the price to descend and undergo accumulation within the specified zones I have identified.
Comment your thoughts below and let me know what you guys think of EURUSD's current price
EURUSD: Confirmed Sell signal.EURUSD is technicall bullish on the 4H outlook (RSI = 59.390, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 51.118) but had a Double Top rejection on the R1 level (1.10200) on Thursday and is pulling back. The 4H MACD Bearish Cross is validation of the the short signal and the immediate target is the HL trend-line (TP = 1.07850). If the price crosses under the S1 level (1.07250), we will sell again and target the S2, even S3 levels.
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#EURUSD: Waiting for the breakthrough! Dear Traders,
After the NFP data, it came out to be mixed new while number of jobless claimed released higher than expected and previous month data. We are expecting price to breakthrough the trend line and we can maximize 200 pips or more.
thanks for your support throughout it means a lot ;)
#EURUSD: Possible short term selling opportunity! Hey Everyone,
DXY will be volatile this week due to NFP and other strong data coming out from Wednesday to Friday market will be too volatile and keeping that fact in mind we think EURUSD may be bearish. Wait for price to come to red designated area so that we can enter short there. Once entered keep stop loss small and to you risk management. Target will be divided into two, close half of the position at target one and keep the rest of the position running for price to reach our target two.
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EURUSD 13/12Pair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " a " Corrective Waves. Rejected from Daily Demand Zone. Strong Divergence in RSI. Making its " B " Corrective Wave that will completed at Previous Resistance or Fibonacci Level - 61.80%
Entry Precaution :
Wait for the Proper Rejection
EURUSD: Sell the spike, under the 1D MA50 targeting 1.06110.EURUSD is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 45.323, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 35.660), trapped inside the 1D MA200 and 1D MA50. We have grasped the bearish momentum ever since before the November 29th High, which as you see in the past ideas at the end, gave us the best short entry possible. Now with the Fibonacci retracement levels of the eleven month Channel Down even clearer and the RSI on the neutral zone where it gets sold, we have the opportunity to add an extra short position as close to the 0.382 horizontal Fibonacci as possible and target the 0.236 Channel Fibonacci (TP = 1.06110) like May 31st and September 14th.
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EURUSD: Under the 4H MA50 confirming a sell extension.EURUSD crossed yesterday under the 4H MA50 for the first time in 1 month and naturally turned the 4H technical outlook bearish (RSI = 35.006, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 40.444). Combined with the Bearish Cross on the 1D timeframe, this is a medium term sell signal. This combination has taken place before inside 2023 another two times and on both, the 4H MA200 wasn't enough to provide Support, not even the 1D MA50, which got targeted with relative ease.
All declines happened inside Channel Down structures. Consequently this is a technically validated level to short the market. We aim for a contact with the 1D MA50 (TP = 1.07200).
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EURUSD Possible buy zone!The EUR/USD currency pair is poised for significant developments in light of upcoming news and signals from the Federal Reserve indicating the possibility of interest rate reductions. This suggests that there could be notable shifts in the exchange rate between the Euro and the US Dollar in response to these factors.
Morgan Stanley and BofA’s 2024 EUR/USD Predictions Morgan Stanely has released what they call their top trade for 2024, and it is the exact opposite of Bank of America’s call.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley think selling EUR/USD around the current level of 1.10 is the trade to make next year, with a target for the pair reaching parity by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This outlook relies on sustained economic performance of the US. They also believe that technical recessions in the eurozone, Sweden, and the UK are expected to lead their respective central banks to initiate rate cuts in the second quarter of 2024. Selling Swedish krone (which has become a top ten traded currency recently) and the British pound might also be options for 2024 too, but this was not explicitly stated by the bank.
On the other hand, Bank of America has suggested that shorting the USD is the trade to make, particularly against the Euro and South African Rand. BofA sees the potential falling interest rate in the eurozone increasing the attractiveness of euro-based stocks and other investments.
EURUSD: Top of the Channel. Sell signal.After turning overbought on the 1D time-frame (RSI = 68.344, MACD = 0.008, ADX = 40.692) EURUSD made a HH at the top of the November Channel Up and got rejected. We expect a pullback all the way to at least the 4H MA50, and as it is confirmed by a MACD Bearish Cross, we are already short and targeting a little over the bottom of the Channel Up (TP = 1.08425).
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EURUSDPair : EURUSD ( Euro / U.S Dollar )
Description :
Impulse Correction Impulse , Completed " 123 " Impulsive Waves at Fibonacci Level - 61.80% or Daily Demand Zone and Rejecting with Strong Bearish Price Action with Divergence in RSI. If it Rejects then Sell after Retest
Entry Precautions :
Wait for the Breakout or Retracement
EURUSD: Above the 1D MA200 2.5 months.The EURUSD pair reacted extremely positively on the lower than expected U.S. CPI, naturally so and crossed over the 1D MA200 for the first time since September 1st. The 1D technical outlook is almost overbought (RSI = 69.156, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 16.674) and even though some relief pullback is to be expected, this rally should complete by the end of the month a +5.55% rise from the bottom. This is our short term target (TP = 1.10215), which is at the top of the Channel pattern.
See how each bullish leg rises on a 1D RSI HL trendline and is almost of the same range (+5.55% and +5.98%). Technichally, if no bullish fundamentals distort this pattern, the pair should get rejected there and pull back to S1 (TP = 1.0655) early in January.
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EURUSD ANALYSIS AS PER WAVE THEORY AND DEMAND SUPPLY
We have a Wave 1 complete and Wave 2 is in formation as it's a retracement in Lower Degree.
6 Months Source Supply to Annual Destination Demand is the start and end points of the downtrend.
Monthly Supply to short till the Annual Demand.
ENJOY THE RIDE ! ! !
EURUSD: Still bullish but 1D MA50 pullback eyed.EURUSD hit all of our targets (charts at the bottom), made a HH at the top of the Channel Up but even though it crossed above the R1 level (1.07375) it failed to close over it and got rejected. The trend remains bullish on the medium term, as the 1D technical outlook suggests (RSI = 58.604, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 24.656) but we do expect a technical pullback to test the strength of the 1D MA50.
If the trend has indeed shifted from bearish to bullish, then the pair should close the 1D candles from now on over the 1D MA50. Additionally, the 1D RSI's HL trendline can offer Support. We are expecting a rebound around 1.06300, targeting the 1D MA200 and a new HH on the Channel Up (TP = 1.07900).
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EURUSD: Bullish short term but foggy long term outlook.EURUSD is neutral on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 52.933, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 25.234) as despite having made a clear bottom on October 3rd, a month has passed and still hasn't been able to close over the 1D MA50. In fact (including today), it has been rejected three times and despite crossing it, it failed to close the 1D candle above it.
The two medium term rallies prior to October (March and June) have been far more aggressive but the duration has been similar on both (48-50 days). The 1D MACD Histogram along with comparing where the price is, relative to the previous rallies (0.618 Time Fibonacci level), shows that technically there might not be much time or room for the price to move upwards.
Nevertheless, with the formation of the 4H Golden Cross, which has delivered a Higher High on both previous rises, a closing over the 1D MA50, will be a buy signal for us, targeting the R1 level (TP = 1.07375). Beyond that we can't be very optimistic for the pair.
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EURUSD 4H : Interest rate will decide EURUSD
New forecast
The EUR/USD pair is trading around support for the ascending corrective channel at 1.0540 , and trying to break it . because Breaking it will lead the price to head towards achieving further expected declines during the coming period, targeting visiting the 1.0496 level as the next aim.
Therefore the downward trend scenario will be remain for the coming period supported by Moving average 50 supports the continuation of the suggested downward trend, taking into account that breaching 1.0632 and holding above it will lead the price to return to the upward path. so the main condition to be continue at the bearish trend is stability under 1.0540 and then our target will be activate .
The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0590 and support line 1.0496.
Additionally ,Today News will affect the market .
resistance line : 1.0562 , 1.0590
support line : 1.0540 , 1.0496
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
EURUSD Where to next?Looking at the charts on the weekly TF, price is attempting a retest on the previous support already broken. If it holds as a new found resistance we just might see price push lower on $EURUSD. For now, I'd rather wait to see the way price will choose to move. Key area in focus is 1.06964
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Disclaimer:
All trade ideas are given for educational purposes and should not be treated as an investment advice, hence do your due diligence. Past results does not guarantee future results
EURUSD: Medium term buy opportunity.EURUSD was rejected on the 1D MA50 and turned into a sell that hit our target and the bottom of the Channel Up. Now that 1D is neutral again technically (RSI = 48.387, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 24.654) and the 4H MACD formed a new Bullish Cross (every Channel Up bottom has been formed on one) we can buy again and aim for another +1.85% rise (TP = 1.07150). A crossing over the R1 level (1.07375) would be bullish on the long term and target the 1D MA200.
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