EURUSD Shorts from 1.09700 or 1.11000EURUSD presents an intriguing scenario as it recently responded to a 10-hour demand zone, potentially signaling another upward rally. Since clear buying opportunities are currently lacking, I'll be patient and wait for the price to enter a supply zone, providing a chance to catch a potential pullback. However, it's worth noting that these zones are not the most optimal due to the substantial liquidity present.
My preferred zone is the 8-hour supply at 1.11000, coinciding with the 0.78 Fibonacci range on a higher timeframe. Here, I anticipate a robust bearish reaction. At present, I will monitor the price for the completion of a Wyckoff distribution before considering sell positions. Alternatively, I'll await the establishment of a new demand level, providing a new buying opportunity in which we can take towards the marked supply (POIs).
Confluences for EURUSD shorts are as follows:
- Overall trend of the market is bearish on the higher time frames.
- Price approaching a very good key level of supply, anticipating a distribution to play out.
- Lots of liquidity below to target in the form of asian lows, equal lows and imbalances.
- DXY is also overall bullish long term despite the short term bearish trend.
- In order for price to push higher it needs to retrace from a level of supply.
P.S. won't dismiss the chance of this demand zone failing, considering that the price has mitigated the second time it has now created relative equal lows. Moreover, there's a direct imbalance below that price may seek to fill before initiating another decisive upward move. However, given the current state of the EU market, adaptability is crucial, given the presence of numerous liquidity areas and zones of lower quality.
