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Eurusdtrend

EURUSD - Current technical pictureCurrent technical picture The euro strengthened after weak US employment data and broke above 1.1670, which greatly improved its technical sentiment The pair is currently testing its 200-hour moving average (≈1.1578) - stability above this level indicates confident interest in the euro The price has broken the 50% retracement level of the decline from the July 1 high (≈1.16098) and has already reached the 61.8% level (≈1.1661), which previously served as resistance in mid-July
Long
by Trade_Hive_Signals
EUR/USD Rises 2.3% Since the Beginning of AugustEUR/USD Rises 2.3% Since the Beginning of August As the EUR/USD chart shows today, the euro has strengthened against the US dollar, climbing above the 1.1670 level, compared to the 1.1400 area at the beginning of the month. Why Is EUR/USD Rising? According to Reuters, the US dollar's weakness is being driven by: → Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, which intensified following last week's disappointing US labour market data. → Anticipation of the upcoming US inflation report, scheduled for release on 12 August at 15:30 GMT+3. On the other hand, the euro is being supported by growing optimism around a possible resolution of the military conflict in Ukraine, as well as the potential meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart On 30 July, we noted that after hitting its July low, EUR/USD could stage a recovery — which indeed materialised. But does the chart now look bullish? A definitive bullish outlook is hindered by the sequence of lower highs and lower lows (A-B-C-D), which continues to form a bearish market structure. At the same time, the descending channel on the EUR/USD chart has become more pronounced. After a brief period of consolidation near the channel’s median line (marked with a circle), the price moved up towards the upper boundary of the channel. It is worth noting that a sharp decline occurred recently from these same levels (highlighted with an arrow), breaking through the blue support line. Given these factors, it is reasonable to assume that bearish activity may intensify around current levels, potentially slowing further EUR/USD growth. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD – Critical Zone AheadBack on June 29, I shared a buy idea on EURUSD (tagged below this post). Due to a busy schedule, I couldn't post an update—but as you can see, price reacted to my marked zone, did a quick stop-hunt, and moved up strongly. Now, the current zone marked on the chart is a potential short area, but again—we don’t tell the market what to do. We follow it. 📌 If the level breaks upward, we’ll wait for a pullback to go long. If a valid short signal shows up, we’ll go short. 🔁 Anything can happen—this is why I always remind traders: Don’t stand in front of the market. Those who do… often end up like sardines eaten by the whales 🐋—liquidated and out of capital. Let the market choose the direction, and we simply follow. 📈 Stay flexible. Stay humble. Stay profitable.
by ForexCSP
Fiber Battle Plan: Bulls Prepare for EUR/USD Uprising🏴‍☠️💸 EUR/USD "Fiber Heist Plan" – Thief Trader's Bullish Raid! 💸🏴‍☠️ 🔓 The Vault is CRACKED – Time to LOAD UP! 🚀📈💰 🎯 MASTER PLAN: Asset: EUR/USD ("Fiber") Direction: BULLISH HEIST 🐂💪 Entry Strategy: Layered Limit Orders (Sneaky thief-style accumulation) Trigger: Hull MA CROSS confirmed + Price > 1.16300 🎯 Stop Loss: 1.15100 (Guarding the loot!) 🛡️ Target: 1.18000 (Bank it & bounce!) 💰🔥 🕵️ THIEF TRADER’S BREAKDOWN: 💡 "Weak hands shake, WE TAKE!" – This is a high-probability bullish raid with layered entries for MAXIMUM stealth. ✅ ENTRY TACTICS: Buy Limit Orders stacked near swing lows (1.16300 zone) Only trigger AFTER Hull MA confirms bullish flip (No early fomo!) Scale in like a pro thief – don’t dump all bullets at once. ⚔️ RISK CONTROL (MANDATORY!): SL at 1.15100 (Break this? ABORT MISSION.) No revenge trading! Stick to the plan or get caught slippin’. 🎯 PROFIT SECURING: First TP: 1.18000 (Lock in gains!) Trailing SL option (If momentum stays strong, let it RUN!) 🚨 THIEF’S WARNING: ⚠️ News = Trap Zone! (Avoid fresh entries during high-impact news) ⚠️ No greed! Secure profits before the market reverses on you. ⚠️ Follow the Hull MA like a shadow – if it flips bearish, RE-EVALUATE! 🔥 SUPPORT THE HEIST! 💥 SMASH THAT LIKE & BOOST BUTTON if you're riding with the Thief Trading Crew! 💬 Comment "🚀 LOADED!" if you're in! We steal smart, trade sharp, and stack profits like bandits. Stay lethal, traders! 🐱‍👤💸🔥
Long
by The-Thief
EURUSD fails to develop short-term bullish. Here is whyEURUSD fails to develop short-term bullish. Here is why On August 1 the market received NFP report data. Numbers were so low that EURUSD has rocketed on 1.22% right immediately after publishing. The probability of a September reduction in interest rates is now estimated at approximately 94%, according to CME Fedwatch, up from 63% last week. Market analysts anticipate at least two quarter-point cuts by the end of the year. The odds increased following the release of disappointing non-farm payrolls data on August 1, which caused a decline in stock markets and led to Trump's reaction, firing the head of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and promising to replace her within a short timeframe. Still, the pair has failed to develop on August 1 bullish momentum and is currently pulling back from the local resistance of 1.15800. If the price fails to hold the EMA20 on 4-h timeframe, then the decline towards 1.14000 is expected.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
2
EUR/USD Intraday Analysis – Bearish Momentum Continues with WeakThe 1-hour chart of EUR/USD suggests continued bearish momentum, though a temporary price bounce may be on the horizon. The pair is currently trading around 1.15589, struggling below the 9-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). This indicates that short-term trend pressure remains bearish. 🔍 Technical Overview ✅ Price Action: The market recently made a lower low, touching near 1.15400 before showing a minor rebound. Sellers have clearly been in control, forming a strong sequence of bearish candles. The SMA 9 is trending downward and is acting as dynamic resistance, confirming bearish pressure. 📊 Indicators: SMA 9 (close): Price is still trading below the moving average, indicating that the pair is in a short-term downtrend. RSI 14 (Relative Strength Index): The RSI has dropped below the 40 level, which shows bearish momentum. However, the RSI has started to curl upward, suggesting a minor relief rally may occur — but it’s too early to confirm a reversal. 📈 Possible Trade Setups: 🔻 Sell on Pullback (Preferred): Sell Entry: Near 1.15750–1.15800 (around SMA resistance) Stop Loss: 1.16050 Take Profit: 1.15300 / 1.15000 ⚠️ Cautious Buy (Aggressive): If RSI breaks above 50 and price closes above SMA 9, short-term buying could be considered, but overall bias remains bearish until reversal confirmation. 🔧 Support & Resistance Levels: LevelPriceResistance1.15850Resistance1.16000Support1.15350Support1.15000  📌 Conclusion EUR/USD remains in a short-term bearish trend, with sellers dominating price action. While a minor RSI bounce is visible, the price still trades under SMA resistance, making “Sell on Rally” the more favorable strategy. Traders should be cautious of any news-driven volatility and wait for strong confirmation before entering aggressive buy trades.
Short
by forexinworld
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price has entered the green demand zone (1H FVG) around 1.1480 – 1.1520 after a strong bearish leg. We're expecting a bullish retracement from this zone, aiming toward the upper red FVG/OB zone around 1.1690 – 1.1715. 📌 There are two key scenarios: 1️⃣ Scenario 1: Price starts moving up from the green FVG → reaches red FVG zone → short setup after lower timeframe confirmation 2️⃣ Scenario 2: Price makes an initial move to ~1.1620 → pulls back to the green zone → pushes back up into the red OB → short setup on confirmation 🎯 Final target for both scenarios: a break below the green FVG zone and continuation down ✅ Entry only after confirmation from lower timeframes (3M–15M) ❌ No trades without confirmation
by ProfitaminFX
3
EURUSD FORMED BEARISH PENNANT. THE PRICE IS READY TO DROP.EURUSD FORMED BEARISH PENNANT. THE PRICE IS READY TO DROP. EURUSD has been trading sideways within the last day, showing lower highs and higher lows. Eventually, the price has formed the pennant chart pattern. What is a pennant? A pennant chart pattern is a short-term continuation pattern in technical analysis, resembling a small symmetrical triangle, formed after a strong price movement (flagpole). It consists of converging trendlines, indicating a brief consolidation before the trend resumes. Bullish pennants form after an uptrend, bearish pennants after a downtrend. The price is expected to decline towards 1.14500 support level
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
1
EURUSD 4H AnalysisAfter a strong bearish move, EURUSD has now tapped into the PD Low and shown a reaction. Structure remains bearish, but current price action near 1.1400 could lead to short-term retracement. 🔍 Key Levels: PD High – 1.1560: Strong supply zone, key bearish continuation level 1.1500–1.1450: Broken support, may now act as resistance PD Low – 1.1400: Demand zone, current price reacting from here 📌 Potential Scenarios: Short-Term Bounce from PD Low: Price reacting from 1.1400 demand. Intraday retracement toward 1.1470–1.1500 possible. Watch for bullish price action confirmation on lower timeframes. Bearish Continuation if price retests 1.1500–1.1550: Ideal area to look for fresh shorts. Continuation move could target 1.1350 or lower. 🎯 Bias: Still bearish unless we break and hold above 1.1560 (PD High). Patience is key. Let price test zone and wait for clear reaction before committing.
by srj_fxtrader
EUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early JulyEUR/USD Hits Lowest Level Since Early July As the EUR/USD chart indicates today, the euro has fallen below the 1.1550 mark against the US dollar, reaching the lows of June 2025. As a result, July may become the first month in 2025 to record a decline in the currency pair. Why Is EUR/USD Declining? There are two key factors driving the euro’s weakness relative to the US dollar: → Anticipation of the Federal Reserve Meeting. At 21:00 GMT+3 today, the Fed’s interest rate decision will be released. According to Forex Factory, analysts expect the Federal Funds Rate to remain unchanged at 4.25%-4.50%. → Market Reaction to the US-EU Trade Agreement. The trade deal signed last weekend between the United States and Europe is being critically assessed by market participants. As noted in our Monday analysis, signs of a bearish takeover emerged on the chart following the agreement’s signing. Since then, EUR/USD has declined by approximately 1.3%. The question now is whether the downtrend will continue. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart The upward channel that had remained valid since mid-May was decisively broken by bears this week. The nature of the breakout (highlighted by the red arrow) was particularly aggressive, with the price dropping from the 1.1710 level to the D point low without any meaningful interim recoveries. Key observations include: → The drop has resulted in a classic bearish A-B-C-D market structure, characterised by lower highs and lower lows. → On the 4-hour timeframe, the RSI indicator has fallen into oversold territory, reaching its lowest point of 2025 so far. → Notably (as highlighted by the blue arrow), there was a strong rebound from the 1.1455 support level earlier. Bulls demonstrated significant strength at that time, breaking through the R resistance line. Given these factors, we could assume that after this week’s sharp decline, EUR/USD may attempt a short-term recovery from the support zone (highlighted in purple). Should this scenario unfold, potential resistance may emerge near the 1.1630 level, as this area aligns with: → The 50% Fibonacci retracement of the C→D decline; → The breakout point of the lower boundary of the previous ascending channel, indicating a shift in market balance in favour of the bears. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips FurtherMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips Further EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1600 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1800 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1800 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1720 support against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 1.1660 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1520 level. A low was formed at 1.1519 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The market is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1770 swing high to the 1.1519 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1575 level. There is also a key downward channel forming with resistance at 1.1575. The next major resistance is near the 1.1665 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level. The main resistance sits near the 1.1770 level. An upside break above the 1.1770 level might send the pair towards 1.1800. Any more gains might open the doors for a move towards 1.1850. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1520. The next major support is near the 1.1465 level. A downside break below 1.1465 could send the pair towards 1.1350. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EURUSD - STRONGEST DECLINE FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHSEURUSD - STRONGEST DECLINE FOR THE LAST COUPLE OF MONTHS EURUSD has lost 1.32% yesterday on the U.S. - E.U. trade deal. Experts suggest that the relief felt by the United States and the European Union upon reaching a trade agreement has been overshadowed by worries about the potential economic harm caused by a 15% tariff on EU imports. The dollar has recently experienced a positive trend, and this trend could continue if U.S. economic data, including Friday's employment figures, indicates a strong economy. The investors who had previously made substantial bets on the euro's appreciation are now reversing their positions, causing the euro to weaken. Technically, the asset broke down the local trendline and is currently trying to rebound from the local support level of 1.15800. RSI tells us that the asset is oversold, so the most possible outcome here is the EURUSD to rebound from current level, retest former trendline and continues downwards movement.
Short
by ProfessorSingapore
EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint Bear Strike Activated!💣🎯Operation Fiber Down: EUR/USD Robbery Blueprint (Day Trade Edition) 💰🔫 🚨 Thieves, Hustlers & Chart Bandits Assemble! 🚨 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Welcome back to another Thief Trading Operation, where the money never sleeps—and neither do we. Let’s break into the vault of EUR/USD “The Fiber” with surgical precision. 🧠💼🕶️ 🧨 THE MASTER ROBBERY PLAN: EUR/USD SHORT STRIKE 🔍💸 💀 Market Bias: Bearish – Trend Reversal + Supply Trap Setup 🎯 Target: 1.14600 🛑 Stop-Loss: Near Swing High (around 1.16700 – 4H chart view) 🕓 Timeframe Focus: 15m / 30m / 3H 🧭 ENTRY ZONE: 👣 Plan your entry from recent high retests—that’s where the big money bulls get trapped. 🎯 Use Sell Limit Orders (DCA style / Layered Limit Orders) like a true thief setting up tripwires. 💼 RISK STRATEGY: 💡 SL should match your lot size and order count—not one-size-fits-all! 📌 Place above key structure or swing level (e.g. 1.16700) based on timeframe. 🔍 BEHIND THE SCENES – THE WHY: The EUR/USD "Fiber" pair is showing all the classic signs of a trend shift and bear raid setup, including: 📰 Fundamentals weakening the Euro 💣 COT Report reveals institutional exits 🍂 Seasonal Bias points to downward trend 📉 Intermarket Pressure from bond yields & USD strength 📊 Sentiment turning overly bullish = trap zone ⛽ Storage & Inventory imbalances adding fuel 📌 Reminder: Before any robbery, study the layout—Macro, Fundamentals, Sentiment, and Intermarket are your blueprint. 🚨 HEIST ALERT – PROTECT THE LOOT: 🕰️ High-Impact News Events? Tighten up! 💼 Don’t take fresh entries during releases. 🔐 Use Trailing SLs to lock in profits. 🎯 Exit with grace before the sirens start. ⚡🔥JOIN THE CREW, BOOST THE LOOT🔥⚡ 💥 Smash the Boost Button 💥 if you're vibing with the Thief Trading Movement. We ain’t just trading—we’re executing strategic robberies on the market’s weaknesses. 🧠💪 Every like = more power to the crew. Every comment = a new map to a vault. We rob, retreat, and repeat. Let’s make money with skill, not luck. 🕶️💰🚁 ⚠️ LEGAL COVER (For the Lawyers 😏): This plan is not investment advice, just an organized heist blueprint by chart robbers. Always manage your own risk and update your plan as the market evolves. 🕶️ Stay ready for the next master plan... Until then, keep your charts clean and your stops tight. 🕶️💣📉 – Thief Trader Out 🐱‍👤🚀
Short
by The-Thief
Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD RelationshipHello traders, Here’s an analysis that can be useful for both short-term and swing trades on EURUSD and DXY. Our trading team’s calculations are as follows: Analysis on the DXY – EURUSD Relationship Currently, DXY is at 98.200. Historical statistical data indicate that if DXY declines toward 96.300, there is approximately a **1.55% probability of an upward move** in EURUSD. Based on this scenario: Current EURUSD level: 1.16500 Projected target level:1.1830 While the correlation data show a strong inverse relationship, it’s important to note that periodic deviations can occur in the market. Therefore, this analysis should be considered a statistical projection only, not a guaranteed outcome.
TVC:DXYShort
by Nurlan_PT
1
Europe and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD DeclinesEurope and the US Sign Trade Agreement, EUR/USD Declines The past weekend was marked by the official signing of a trade agreement between the United States and Europe, as announced by US President Donald Trump and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen following their meeting in Scotland. According to reports, the agreement is based on a 15% baseline tariff on goods exported from Europe to the United States, with certain exemptions. As previously reported, a trade agreement with a 15% baseline tariff had earlier been concluded between the US and Japan. According to President Trump: → under no circumstances did he allow the baseline tariff for Europe to fall below 15%; → the European Union committed to investing in the US economy, purchasing weapons, and importing energy resources. The financial markets’ reaction to this news is noteworthy: → European stock indices opened the week with a bullish gap, reflecting relief that previously feared tariffs of up to 30% did not materialise; → the EUR/USD pair is exhibiting bearish momentum this morning. Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart As indicated by the black arrow, bearish sentiment intensified on Monday morning, pushing the pair towards the 1.1700 level, which had previously acted as resistance in mid-July. From the perspective of the ascending channel (shown in blue), its median line is currently acting as a resistance level – following contact with it, a short-term rally was broken (highlighted in purple). This reinforces the notion that bears are currently in control. Given the above, we could suggest that, should bearish sentiment persist on the EUR/USD chart, we may soon witness an attempt to break through the 1.1700 support level. A successful breach could open the path for further downside movement of the euro against the dollar, towards the lower boundary of the channel. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD analysis - 1H FVG and OB setupsOn the 1H timeframe, price is moving strongly towards the 1H supply zone (around 1.1780), and it is likely to reach this area first before pulling back. During the pullback, the blue FVG and green OB zones below are key areas for potential long entries: 🔹 FVG 1H around 1.1660 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1620 🔹 OB 1H around 1.1580 📌 Plan: 1️⃣ If the price reaches the upper supply zone, we will look for short scalps with confirmation on the lower timeframe (5M/3M). 2️⃣ After the pullback to lower zones, we will look for long opportunities with PA confirmation. 🎯 Long targets after pullback: 1.1700 – 1.1720, potentially 1.1750. ❌ No entry without confirmation.
by ProfitaminFX
10
EUR/USD Short from the nearby 1hrI’m currently more confident in EU’s bearish setup compared to GU, as price is nearing a clear point of interest (POI) that aligns well with the developing downtrend. The 2hr supply zone has already caused a CHoCH (Change of Character), and price has been approaching it slowly and with reduced momentum — often a strong indication of an upcoming reaction. While price isn’t near a demand zone yet, I’ll be keeping an eye on the 7hr demand zone below. If price reaches that area, I’ll be looking for a high-probability buy setup in line with the broader market context. Confluences for EU Sells: Price has tapped into a 2hr supply zone that caused a CHoCH to the downside Bearish pressure remains strong, supported by DXY strength Clean liquidity to the downside that needs to be swept Slowing momentum and signs of distribution as price approaches supply P.S. If price continues lower from this point, I anticipate another break of structure, which could form a new supply zone to work with later this week. Let’s stay patient, follow the flow, and execute smart. 🔥📉💼
Short
by Hassan_fx