GBPUSD: - A Detailed Analysis of Market Structure and FibonacciWelcome to my TradingView profile! In this article, we will embark on a journey together to explore the intriguing prospects of EURUSD, guided by the fundamental principles of market structure and Fibonacci retracement. I invite you to join me in analyzing one of the most traded currency pairs.
Our primary instruments will be market structure, the identification of the trend direction, and the application of Fibonacci levels. We will delve into how these factors can provide meaningful insights for making informed trading decisions.
he inclusion of detailed charts and illustrations will aid in visualizing the discussed concepts. We will explore key Fibonacci retracement levels and how they interact with the overall market structure.
This will be an informative article, focusing on understanding the market context and applying fundamental concepts of technical analysis. The goal is to provide a clear perspective and stimulate critical thinking within our trading community.
If you find this analysis valuable, I encourage you to subscribe to stay updated on my latest posts and market analyses. This is just the beginning, and subscribing will allow you to be among the first to receive updates and trading ideas.
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Eurusdtrend
💡 EURUSD: Forecast December 27EURUSD increased in price in the last session, the upward momentum was not strong enough to invalidate the doji pattern previously formed on the daily. Although this bearish model has been invalidated, suggesting the possibility that the uptrend will continue, the breakout force is not really strong, you should not buy at this time, need to wait patiently.
EURUSD: The USD fell as expectations of interest rate cuts increThe U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year.
Market participants are keeping an eye on the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. The futures market indicates that there is an 89% probability that interest rates will be cut by March 2024, and it has been pointed out that there is a possibility that interest rates will be cut by March next year. Despite these forecasts, some analysts, including those at Monex USA, have expressed skepticism about the Fed's willingness to ease early, saying the dollar could appreciate if the expected rate cuts do not materialize. suggested.
In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year.
Analysts at Monex USA highlighted the unstable economic situation in Europe and the United Kingdom, predicting that their central banks could cut interest rates before the Fed. The euro rose 0.09% to $1.1113, close to a five-month high and posted a 3.7% annual gain, its best performance since 2020.
EURUSD: Bullish consolidation? (Part II)In the short term we can say that the FX:EURUSD pair is bullish above 1.0930 (bullish scenario invalidation) on intraday chart. That said, from a technical perspective, we have already reached our previous Target around 1.1040 (see chart/idea below), and from this area a corrective structure should be logical with a potential ABC Pattern. If this idea is correct, the price should return below wave 4 (1.0994) before triggering a new rally. If we look at the 1H chart we see that the Price Action moves within a bullish channel, so the support area could be around 1,098/1,072. In conclusion, if the trend remains bullish, we expect a new consolidation at least around 1.1090 area in the short term.
1.1000-1.1040 TARGET
(Click on Chart for details)
C.O.T. Analysis
(Click on Chart for details)
What's you opinion? ...are you bullish or bearish on this pair?
Trade with care.
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EURUSD Technical analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video analysis, we focus on dissecting the movements of EURUSD. We can see that the EU has traded into a significant resistance level. Below the current price level, we pinpoint an imbalance key support zones. Throughout the presentation, we delve into comprehensive trend analysis, intricacies of price action, the underlying market structure, while also briefly outlining a prospective trade opportunity. It is important to note that this is not financial advice and is meant for educational purposes only.
EURUSD: Continue with the sell There was only a slight decrease in the last session, so no significant changes have appeared on EURUSD. Currently, we still have short positions according to previous reversal signals around the 1.10 resistance area, please continue. holding the position, the short-term target is still around the lower border of the rising channel, we will only abandon this strategy when the peak of 1.10 is completely broken.
7 Dimension analysis for EURUSD🕛 TOPDOWN - Bearish Momentum in a Multi-Month Downtrend
Overview: The monthly and weekly analyses indicate a multi-month downtrend with the initiation of a current impulsive bearish move. The focus is on the daily timeframe for a detailed perspective.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Bearish impulsive move in progress, marked by a proper high.
🟢 Inducement: Completed.
🟢 Pull Back 1st: Deep pullback with a reversal and bearish momentum.
🟢 Internal Structure: Choch (Contraction) observed.
Ext OB mitigated, indicating a potential reversal.
🟢 Resistance/Supply/Distribution/Premier: Multiple indicators, including trendlines, suggest further downward movement.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Raising Wedge breakout signals bearish continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
ey Considerations:
Record session count with a Change in Guard (engulfing) candle, a strong reversal sign.
Momentum signals, including strict engulfing and a last bullish FOMO candle.
3️⃣ Volume: Pivot points of fixed range volume show volatile reversal signals. Average volume during correction move reinforces the bearish bias.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone.
🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways with a loud move.
🟢 Loud Moves: Bearish loud move observed.
🟢 Overbought/Oversold Rejections: Count of 3.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band provides support, but momentum suggests potential breakage.
🟢 Formation of a W pattern at the top of the move.
6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than EUR, adding to the bearish bias.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Supply area and extreme Order Block.
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Momentum - both patterns are bearish.
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed.
☑️ Final Comments: Sell right now.
💡 Decision: SELL.
🚀 Entry: 1.08450
✋ Stop Loss: 1.1030
🎯 Take Profit: 1.0143
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.75
🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days
SUMMARY: The analysis strongly supports a bearish momentum, aligning with the ongoing multi-month downtrend. Key indicators such as candle patterns, volume considerations, and momentum signals reinforce the sell decision. The strategy involves clear risk management and exit criteria.
💡 EURUSD: Forecast December 19After falling sharply from the 1.10 resistance area and creating a bearish signal (rail pattern) on the daily, EURUSD had little fluctuation in the past session, with no significant changes. As mentioned, short-term rallies will give bearish bettors more advantageous entry points, you can wait to buy at the resistance zone.
EURUSD: The dollar is weakening amid rising expectations for a r
The dollar is currently volatile against most major currencies as market sentiment has been hit by expectations that the US Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates. The exception remains the Japanese yen, which maintains its position against the dollar even after the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy.
Fed officials sought to manage market expectations after last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in 2024. This outlook has led to a rally in financial markets, with current expectations based on the CME FedWatch tool putting the probability of a rate cut at the March Fed meeting at 67.5%.
Kyle Rodda, Senior Financial Markets Analyst at Capital.com, said the Fed now has to decide on countermeasures that could be consistent with market expectations or lead to market instability. said it is necessary to do so. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic reiterated Tuesday that he expects two rate cuts in the second half of this year, but stressed there is no need to take immediate action. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates depends on economic development.
The dollar index, which compares the greenback against a basket of other currencies, was little changed at 102.20, after earlier falling more than 0.3%. The index hit a four-month low of 101.76 last week. Rodda also said that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the dollar's direction, indicating whether the expected rate cuts next year are justified. Investors are currently awaiting the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which could provide insight into whether inflation has slowed enough to warrant easing. may be provided. Will politics start next year?
#EURUSD: DXY will be dominate! this weekEURUSD will likely to drop due to strong sellers presence price bounced up on after FED decision led DXY to drop heavily. Due to a sudden price increase due to economic data, price left massive gaps in the market. It is very likely that before any further big move we can pick this intraday trade idea.
💡 EURUSD: Predicted December 18After approaching the target price range around the 1.1000 barrier, the price fell sharply in the past session, losing most of the previous session's gains and creating a rail pattern on the daily. This behavior shows that the price may peak at 1.1000. Expect the price to soon test the lower boundary of the down channel. However, those who want to reverse should wait after small rallies for a better entry if want to sell now.
EURUSD possible drop to support levelThe downward trend for EURUSD is anticipated to persist, having peaked at 1.10 last week before a rapid retreat.
The failure to breach this resistance level for the second time signals robust downward pressure against bullish movements. Although short-term corrections may occur in the upcoming week, the overall outlook favors a decline. The potential liquidity and turning point for EURUSD are projected to be around the 1.78 mark.
EURUSD - Long after filling the imbalance ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 1.08000.
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#EURUSD: Waiting for the breakthrough! Dear Traders,
After the NFP data, it came out to be mixed new while number of jobless claimed released higher than expected and previous month data. We are expecting price to breakthrough the trend line and we can maximize 200 pips or more.
thanks for your support throughout it means a lot ;)
EURUSD: EUR/USD holds steady at peak, awaiting PMI data.The main movement of EUR/USD this week was driven by statements expressing the views of the Fed and ECB with a strong increase from 1.0800 to the important resistance level of 1.1000 yesterday.
This makes this currency pair face a rather interesting situation when Eurozone PMI data will be published this afternoon. Does the above data support the ECB's stance of "keeping interest rates higher for a long time"? Or will it pressure central banks to act faster next year?
Additionally, another factor to consider is the Fed's ability to cut interest rates. The odds of a rate cut in March are currently around 80%, so there won't be much room left to exploit this story on the USD side.
However, for the ECB, the rate of a cut in March is currently only 55%. Therefore, any change in this possibility will depend on upcoming data with PMI being reliable data in forecasting the economic outlook.
Another factor to note: Today is the options expiration date for EUR/USD at 1.0950. This price level will help the pair be more stable in case any downward pressure occurs.
EURUSD - Bullish price action ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURUSD.
Technical analysis: As I expected in my previous analysis price made a retracement and almost filled the imbalance. Now we can see a rejection from bullish order block, so I expect bullish price action upcoming days.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Tuesday we will see monthly and yearly CPI results on USD, on Wednesday Interest Rate in USA followed by FOMC Conference and on Thursday Interest Rate in Europa. News with important impact on both currencies.
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#EURUSD: Possible short term selling opportunity! Hey Everyone,
DXY will be volatile this week due to NFP and other strong data coming out from Wednesday to Friday market will be too volatile and keeping that fact in mind we think EURUSD may be bearish. Wait for price to come to red designated area so that we can enter short there. Once entered keep stop loss small and to you risk management. Target will be divided into two, close half of the position at target one and keep the rest of the position running for price to reach our target two.
If you like our work and analysis, please like the idea.
💡 EURUSD: Waiting for FOMCThe buying force returned in the last session, and although it once surpassed the old peak around 1,081, it could not maintain above this price level, the selling force returned and created long candle shadows above, the behavior This price shows that there is still a significant struggle around this resistance level. You continue to observe to see if the price will break the upper or lower boundary of the range before taking action.
We can setup Buy limit . Stop loss is necessary