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Eurusdtrend

Morgan Stanley and BofA’s 2024 EUR/USD Predictions Morgan Stanely has released what they call their top trade for 2024, and it is the exact opposite of Bank of America’s call. Analysts at Morgan Stanley think selling EUR/USD around the current level of 1.10 is the trade to make next year, with a target for the pair reaching parity by the end of the first quarter of 2024. This outlook relies on sustained economic performance of the US. They also believe that technical recessions in the eurozone, Sweden, and the UK are expected to lead their respective central banks to initiate rate cuts in the second quarter of 2024. Selling Swedish krone (which has become a top ten traded currency recently) and the British pound might also be options for 2024 too, but this was not explicitly stated by the bank. On the other hand, Bank of America has suggested that shorting the USD is the trade to make, particularly against the Euro and South African Rand. BofA sees the potential falling interest rate in the eurozone increasing the attractiveness of euro-based stocks and other investments.
by BlackBull_Markets
Relief Rally ↗️ with Inflation Data as Catalyst 💡This is a trade Idea inspired by this past week's bullish pin bar candle closure. The NFP and Inflation data catlyst for a higher timeframe pullback also supports this. Expected reduction in inflation from 3.7% Yoy to 3.6% Yoy during this week's news release also supports this. Two weekly candles holding/closing above 1.054-1.057 supports this. Flipping to Bullish Market structure on the Daily timeframe supports this. We have many confluences and you see the point.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
4
EURUSD → Drop to 1.05? or Blast to 1.10? Lets Make it Clear.EURUSD is pushing toward the resistance zone which gives the bulls some tingly senses to take profit and run the price back to the downside. Will the Dollar show strength this week and keep EURUSD from breaking resistance? How do we trade this? The price is currently in a trading range between 1.05000 and 1.10000 and we're getting close to the resistance zone where the Weekly 200EMA resides. If you're not already in a trade, it's worth waiting to see what happens at the resistance zone. A bear signal bar closing on or near its low below the resistance line is a good indicator that the price will fail to rise above again and would be a reasonable short. Stop loss above the resistance zone top and take profit just above the Support Zone around 1.05000. The RSI is near 70.00, a weak indicator on its own, but supports the rest of the analysis for a soon-to-come short. If the price finds its way above the resistance lines and closes a bull candle on or near its high, it would be reasonable to long with a protective stop just below the resistance zone. Target prices as high as 1.12500. Key Takeaways 1. Trading Range after Bull Run, Bias to Long. 2. Near the Resistance Zone, Look for a Reversal Signal. 3. If Shorting, Watch the 200EMA for Support. 4. The Dollar Index may fall more, wait for the bottom. 5. RSI near 70.00, Bias to Short. You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk! If you found this analysis helpful, click the Boost button and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
Short
by TraderEngineering
2
EURUSD Longs from 1.09000 up to 1.10000EURUSD is looking very good in terms of entering high quality POI's and it is following the temporary bullish trend very well. So from this we will try to catch pro trend trades up to the daily supply or ideally the 8hr supply zone on top of it. As of now, price has created a small BOS to the upside so I will be waiting for a small pull back to the 12hr demand in order to buy up. As price Is near a decent amount of liquidity I would like to wait for a clean CHOCH and for a spring to take out any remainder asian lows for me to consider a buy opportunity. However, as there's major news this week like NFP, so I would approach any potential setup with caution and lower my usual risk size. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Temporary trend for EU is bullish and this follows the trend as well as the DXY bias. - In order for price to make a bearish move it will have mitigate the daily above or the 8hr supply. - There's asian high above that hasn't been taken which is liquidity that needs to get swept. - Price keeps breaking structure to the upside and candles on HTF are very bullish. - Momentum is starting to slow down as it has currently reacted to a 4hr supply. - In order for price to continue going up it must come down in the form of a pullback so we can create a new leg to the upside. P.S. The Wyckoff accumulation is still pending as I'm waiting for price to mitigate my zone, sweep liquidity and change character to the upside. I am also aware price could fall lower due to the ineffeciencies below and then tap into a cheaper zone for buys back up.
Long
by Hassan_fx
1
EURUSD I Pullback and more potential growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** EURUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
4
EURUSD: Potential to turn BEARISH!Thd D1 swing structure is bearish, having made a bearish BOS externally. Internally, price is bullish, having successive iBOSs to achieve the pullback to an internal LQ target. Price has reached a premium supply zone, a high probability location to look for a shift in the market from bullish to bearish, starting the next bear leg to make the HTF LL. If you like the analysis, tap the LIKE or BOOST button. If you want to see more free analysis, consider subscribing to my channel. Thank you. May profits be upon you.
Short
by RT_Money
2
EURUSD Shorts to 1.08500 (Possibly lower)My bias for this week's prediction is for EURUSD to move bearish, As it has tapped into a strong level of supply. I will be waiting for wyckoff distribution to play out in order for us to catch sells this week. Simultaneously, the dollar has also tapped in to a demand zone which is expected to initiate a bullish reaction hence why I am bearish for EU. The 16hr supply hold a lot of precedence as not only its on the higher time frame but, it has also caused a BOS to the downside which continued the overall bearish trend. Not only that but, the zone has also swept liquidity which is a good sign that this zone will get respected. Confluences for EURUSD Longs are as follows: - Price tapped into a 16hr supply zone that has caused a BOS to the downside. - Overall price trend is bearish on the EURUSD chart. - Imbalances left below to target which hasn't been filled yet. - Lots of trendline liquidity to the downside and asian lows that's been left. - Dollar (DXY) is inside a 5hr demand which I'm anticipating a bullish reaction from. - Price has steadily approached the zone with weaker bullish candles indicating that bullish pressure is exhausted and over bought. P.S. I would love to see the asian high inside the zone get swept first in the form of a UTAD for a better confirmation of a sell but we will see what price does on Monday. Usually its a slow day however, I will be waiting for a clean CHOH on the lower time frame to give me a better insight of when price wants to expand to the downside.
Short
by Hassan_fx
EURUSD: The US inflation report stirred optimism about balanced Tuesday's dovish US inflation report increased confidence that the Federal Reserve can effectively manage consumer prices without harming the economy. This so-called "Goldilocks" scenario is neither too hot nor too cold and is considered beneficial for both stocks and bonds. The asset class posted strong gains in November after continued uncertainty, fueled by expectations that the Fed was unlikely to raise rates further, leading to market volatility. School from early 2022. Inflation statistics released on Tuesday confirmed this view. For the first time in more than a year, consumer prices remained steady month-on-month in October, a softer result than analysts expected. At the same time, there is little evidence that tighter monetary policy is causing significant harm to the economy, supporting the view that prices can continue to cool without hindering growth. Eric Kuby, Chief Investment Officer at North Star Investment Management Corp, commented on the market reaction to these developments. "The broader market has been challenged with this consensus negative view on both recession and inflation," Mr. Kuby said. "The reality is telling a different story. This is a Goldilocks moment for the entire market. ” The data prompted strong gains in stocks and bonds. The S&P 500 rose 1.9% on the day, its biggest single-day gain since late April. The index is up 9% from its October low. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield, which is inversely correlated with bond prices, fell to its lowest level since late September, more than 50 basis points below the 16-year high it hit last month. In response to the inflation report, federal funds futures traders said Tuesday that the Fed would avoid further rate hikes and expect to cut rates by about 100 basis points in 2024, up from a 75 basis point cut expected before the report. I expected it.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
Taking the short train ride in EUR/USD. Destination : 1.07 Hello traders and the entire Tradingview community! EUR/USD was propelled to the atmosphere yesterday by the weak CPI data from the US. Well, if you know, data is just an excuse, the big banks and institutions tuned their algos perfectly to smack us, retail traders, in the face with the 200 pip bullish move :P But, we are not going to give up that easily now, are we? The buying algos are done for now and it is time to take a dive. So, I already have a couple of sell positions at 1.0870 and 1.0885. All, we need is big strong bearish candle to break the 1.0860 zone and we will be in for a bearish ride. Targets at 1.0710, expecting EUR/USD to reach it by Friday.
Short
by YourLazyTrader
4