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Eurusdtrend

EUR/USD breaks out! Real or another false breakout?Hello traders, EUR/USD has finally broken out of the resistance level around 1.1020. In fact, as of now, price has breached the 1.1101 level as well. However, keep in mind that this is a low-volume trading session due to the Holidays. So, it could be a false breakout as well. A week later when normal trading volumes come back, we might see EUR/USD falling back below 1.10 again. I am watching out for potential sell entries in EUR/USD. Technically, the next major resistance lies around the 1.1267 level
by YourLazyTrader
EURUSD: The fate of the USD depends on the Fed's 2024 movesThe US dollar has been relatively stable this year, having strengthened significantly following the Fed's rate hike in 2022, but could face downward pressure in 2024 if the Fed cuts rates as expected. . The dollar has fallen only 2% against other major currencies this year, its first annual decline since 2020, supported by strong U.S. economic growth and the Federal Reserve's efforts to keep borrowing costs high. Ta. The Fed's surprising shift in stance came at its December meeting, when Chairman Jerome Powell suggested a sharp rate hike cycle that would send interest rates soaring to multi-decade highs was likely. It ended due to falling inflation. This has led to expectations for a 75 basis point (bp) rate cut next year, with the dollar weakening as lower interest rates generally make U.S. assets less attractive to profit-seeking investors. There is a possibility that Strategists are expecting a weaker dollar next year, but the possibility of an earlier rate cut could accelerate the dollar's weakness. But the strong U.S. economy could pose a challenge for those betting on the dollar. Kit Jacks, chief currency strategist at Société Générale (OTC:SCGLY), said aggressive monetary policy and growth stimulus in the US led to strong dollar strength. La, just like in the 1980s. Impending policy changes could eliminate some of these gains. The development of the dollar is particularly important given its central role in global finance. A weaker dollar could benefit the United States by making exports more competitive and increasing multinational corporations' profits when converting foreign earnings into dollars. According to FactSet, about a quarter of S&P 500 companies (INDEXSP: INX companies) derive more than half of their revenue from international markets. A December survey of 71 foreign exchange strategists predicted the dollar would weaken against G10 currencies in 2024, with most of the decline occurring in the second half of this year. The outcome will likely depend on the relative performance of the US economy and the speed with which central banks around the world adjust their policies. The European Central Bank is resisting pressure to cut interest rates to fight inflation as the euro zone struggles with a deepening economic downturn. The euro has appreciated more than 3% against the dollar this year. In contrast, Neuberger Berman's Thanos Baldas remains bullish on the dollar over the next 12 months, citing continued weakness in economies outside the United States.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD Longs from 1.09600 up towards 1.11000My forecast for this week aligns with my plan for GU as anticipated, with some minor adjustments. The concepts remain consistent, but the positioning is extended due to the trend line liquidity near the current price. I expect this liquidity and the Asian low to be taken out, leading price down towards the 5hr demand zone. Upon the formation of a Wyckoff accumulation pattern, I plan to initiate buy positions, targeting a move back up towards the 10hr supply zone located at the psychological level of 1.11000. This pair is currently favourable for me, exhibiting ideal price structure and aligning with a pro-trend perspective. Confluences for EURUSD Buys are as follows: - Unmitigated 5hr Demand zone has been left which caused a major BOS to the upside. - Temporary trend is also bullish as price has broken structure once again. - DXY is still looking bearish meaning that EURUSD is expected to rise. - Trend line on top of demand is a good sign as price will sweep liquidity before entering. - In order for price to continue in its bullish course, it must ideally react off a demand level. P.S. While I anticipate an initial drop to mitigate the demand, I acknowledge the possibility of remaining upside. This could lead price to react off the 10hr supply, subsequently eliminating the trendline liquidity below. HAPPY NEW YEARS TO ALL OF YOU AND HOPE THIS YEAR BRING EVERYONE PROFITABILITY AND CONSISTENCY. LETS CATCH THESE PIPS!
Long
by Hassan_fx
GBPUSD: - A Detailed Analysis of Market Structure and FibonacciWelcome to my TradingView profile! In this article, we will embark on a journey together to explore the intriguing prospects of EURUSD, guided by the fundamental principles of market structure and Fibonacci retracement. I invite you to join me in analyzing one of the most traded currency pairs. Our primary instruments will be market structure, the identification of the trend direction, and the application of Fibonacci levels. We will delve into how these factors can provide meaningful insights for making informed trading decisions. he inclusion of detailed charts and illustrations will aid in visualizing the discussed concepts. We will explore key Fibonacci retracement levels and how they interact with the overall market structure. This will be an informative article, focusing on understanding the market context and applying fundamental concepts of technical analysis. The goal is to provide a clear perspective and stimulate critical thinking within our trading community. If you find this analysis valuable, I encourage you to subscribe to stay updated on my latest posts and market analyses. This is just the beginning, and subscribing will allow you to be among the first to receive updates and trading ideas. Feel free to make any adjustments or let me know if there's anything specific you'd like to modify!
Long
by ICTBulletFX
EURUSD: The USD fell as expectations of interest rate cuts increThe U.S. dollar is on track to decline annually, weakening from two consecutive years of strong gains as expectations grow for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates next year. The dollar index against six major currencies hit a five-month low of 100.81, reflecting Wednesday's 0.5% decline and expectations for a 2.6% decline for the year. Market participants are keeping an eye on the timing of the U.S. Federal Reserve's interest rate cut. The futures market indicates that there is an 89% probability that interest rates will be cut by March 2024, and it has been pointed out that there is a possibility that interest rates will be cut by March next year. Despite these forecasts, some analysts, including those at Monex USA, have expressed skepticism about the Fed's willingness to ease early, saying the dollar could appreciate if the expected rate cuts do not materialize. suggested. In contrast to the Fed's unexpectedly dovish stance at its December meeting, other major central banks, including the European Central Bank, remained committed to keeping interest rates high for a longer period of time. However, markets believe the ECB is considering cutting interest rates by up to 165 basis points next year. Analysts at Monex USA highlighted the unstable economic situation in Europe and the United Kingdom, predicting that their central banks could cut interest rates before the Fed. The euro rose 0.09% to $1.1113, close to a five-month high and posted a 3.7% annual gain, its best performance since 2020.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
EURUSD: Bullish consolidation? (Part II)In the short term we can say that the FX:EURUSD pair is bullish above 1.0930 (bullish scenario invalidation) on intraday chart. That said, from a technical perspective, we have already reached our previous Target around 1.1040 (see chart/idea below), and from this area a corrective structure should be logical with a potential ABC Pattern. If this idea is correct, the price should return below wave 4 (1.0994) before triggering a new rally. If we look at the 1H chart we see that the Price Action moves within a bullish channel, so the support area could be around 1,098/1,072. In conclusion, if the trend remains bullish, we expect a new consolidation at least around 1.1090 area in the short term. 1.1000-1.1040 TARGET (Click on Chart for details) C.O.T. Analysis (Click on Chart for details) What's you opinion? ...are you bullish or bearish on this pair? Trade with care. Like | Share | Comment
Long
by TheAnonymousBanker
14
EURUSD Technical analysis and Trade IdeaIn this video analysis, we focus on dissecting the movements of EURUSD. We can see that the EU has traded into a significant resistance level. Below the current price level, we pinpoint an imbalance key support zones. Throughout the presentation, we delve into comprehensive trend analysis, intricacies of price action, the underlying market structure, while also briefly outlining a prospective trade opportunity. It is important to note that this is not financial advice and is meant for educational purposes only.
Long
by fxtraderanthony
7 Dimension analysis for EURUSD🕛 TOPDOWN - Bearish Momentum in a Multi-Month Downtrend Overview: The monthly and weekly analyses indicate a multi-month downtrend with the initiation of a current impulsive bearish move. The focus is on the daily timeframe for a detailed perspective. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish 🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS) 🟢 Swing Move: Bearish impulsive move in progress, marked by a proper high. 🟢 Inducement: Completed. 🟢 Pull Back 1st: Deep pullback with a reversal and bearish momentum. 🟢 Internal Structure: Choch (Contraction) observed. Ext OB mitigated, indicating a potential reversal. 🟢 Resistance/Supply/Distribution/Premier: Multiple indicators, including trendlines, suggest further downward movement. 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Raising Wedge breakout signals bearish continuation. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS ey Considerations: Record session count with a Change in Guard (engulfing) candle, a strong reversal sign. Momentum signals, including strict engulfing and a last bullish FOMO candle. 3️⃣ Volume: Pivot points of fixed range volume show volatile reversal signals. Average volume during correction move reinforces the bearish bias. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI: 🟢 Momentum State: Sideways zone. 🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways with a loud move. 🟢 Loud Moves: Bearish loud move observed. 🟢 Overbought/Oversold Rejections: Count of 3. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle band provides support, but momentum suggests potential breakage. 🟢 Formation of a W pattern at the top of the move. 6️⃣ Strength: USD is stronger than EUR, adding to the bearish bias. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish ☑️ Current Move: Impulsive ✔ Support/Resistance Base: Supply area and extreme Order Block. ☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Momentum - both patterns are bearish. ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed. ☑️ Final Comments: Sell right now. 💡 Decision: SELL. 🚀 Entry: 1.08450 ✋ Stop Loss: 1.1030 🎯 Take Profit: 1.0143 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO. 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3.75 🕛 Expected Duration: 30 days SUMMARY: The analysis strongly supports a bearish momentum, aligning with the ongoing multi-month downtrend. Key indicators such as candle patterns, volume considerations, and momentum signals reinforce the sell decision. The strategy involves clear risk management and exit criteria.
Short
by Optimum369
3
EURUSD: The dollar is weakening amid rising expectations for a r The dollar is currently volatile against most major currencies as market sentiment has been hit by expectations that the US Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates. The exception remains the Japanese yen, which maintains its position against the dollar even after the Bank of Japan's decision to continue its expansionary monetary policy. Fed officials sought to manage market expectations after last week's Federal Open Market Committee meeting hinted at the possibility of a rate cut in 2024. This outlook has led to a rally in financial markets, with current expectations based on the CME FedWatch tool putting the probability of a rate cut at the March Fed meeting at 67.5%. Kyle Rodda, Senior Financial Markets Analyst at Capital.com, said the Fed now has to decide on countermeasures that could be consistent with market expectations or lead to market instability. said it is necessary to do so. Atlanta Fed President Rafael Bostic reiterated Tuesday that he expects two rate cuts in the second half of this year, but stressed there is no need to take immediate action. At the same time, Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin noted that the central bank's ability to lower interest rates depends on economic development. The dollar index, which compares the greenback against a basket of other currencies, was little changed at 102.20, after earlier falling more than 0.3%. The index hit a four-month low of 101.76 last week. Rodda also said that upcoming economic data will be important in determining the dollar's direction, indicating whether the expected rate cuts next year are justified. Investors are currently awaiting the release of the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, which could provide insight into whether inflation has slowed enough to warrant easing. may be provided. Will politics start next year?
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
2