The Euro Bull sharpening it's horns against the USD?After further analysis on the weekly and monthly chart, I have identified what looks like a much larger broadening bottom pattern which signals the possibility of much further U.S. Dollar weakness.
Based on my previous video analysis, my original target for the EUR/USD was 1.2000 however 1.2500 – 1.3000 is not out of the question now. We haven’t traded in that price range since 2014.
In the immediate term, we could see a bullish acceleration if we begin trading cleanly above 1.1500.
I will expand on this analysis in my next upcoming weekly video.
Good Luck & Trade Safe.
Eurusdtrend
EURUSD TA: Fibonacci, Bull Flags, and Data-Driven Entry StrategyTechnical Analysis: EURUSD (Euro/US Dollar)
📈 The EURUSD pair is demonstrating strong bullish momentum on the 4-hour timeframe, with price action currently trading at 1.13638, well above the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level drawn from the previous range low to high.
🔍 The chart reveals a series of bull flags forming during the recent uptrend, suggesting continued buying pressure despite the pair trading at premium levels. This pattern typically indicates brief consolidation before further upside movement.
💹 From a Fibonacci perspective, the current price position above the 50% retracement level indicates strength in the Euro against the Dollar. However, this elevated position also creates potential for a healthy pullback to retest support before continuing higher.
⏱️ Today's upcoming US Retail Sales data release represents a significant market catalyst. Interestingly, this high-impact event could trigger a pullback regardless of the outcome:
If actual figures come in below forecast: Dollar weakness could prompt profit-taking after the recent rally
If actual figures exceed forecast: Dollar strength could naturally push EURUSD lower
🎯 Trade Idea: Monitor for a potential retracement toward the 50% Fibonacci level, followed by a bullish break of market structure on the 30-minute timeframe. This would provide a higher-probability entry point for long positions with a more favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
🔄 The presence of multiple bull flags suggests that any pullback may be temporary, potentially offering an excellent opportunity to enter with the prevailing trend at a better price point.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This analysis is provided solely for informational purposes and should not be construed as financial advice.
EURUSD(20250416) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
U.S. import prices fell 0.1% in March from the previous month, the first month-on-month decline since September last year.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1307
Support and resistance levels:
1.1421
1.1378
1.1350
1.1263
1.1235
1.1193
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1307, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1350
If the price breaks through 1.1263, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1235
"EUR/USD Bearish Setup – Supply Zone Sniper Entry🔵 Supply Zone (Resistance Area):
📍 Between 1.13755 – 1.14258
🚫 Expecting sellers to dominate here
🧱 Acts like a ceiling that price struggles to break
🔽 Sell Setup:
🎯 Entry Point: 1.13755
🔥 Stop Loss: 1.14258 (above zone — protection!)
💰 Target Point: 1.11611
📉 Expecting price to drop after entering this zone
📏 Risk vs Reward:
⚠️ Risk: ~50 pips
🏆 Reward: ~210 pips
✅ RR Ratio: ~1:4.2 (very favorable)
📊 EMA (7, close):
🟠 Current price is hovering around EMA
⏳ Suggests consolidation or a potential reversal soon
🔁 Scenario Plan:
1. 📈 Price moves into supply zone
2. 🚨 Triggers entry (Sell) at 1.13755
3. 🚀 If wrong, hits Stop Loss at 1.14258
4. ✅ If correct, drops to Take Profit at 1.11611
Summary:
✍️ Bearish outlook
🛑 Strong supply/resistance expected
📉 Good setup for a short position with low risk and high reward
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
- Weekly Order Block rejection
Setup 1
-15' break of structure
- Tokyo low range remains
- Pull back into 15' order block
- Lower time frame shift in price action from bullish to bearish
Setup 2
- Lower time frame break of structure
- Lower time frame bearish candle formation
Let's see how EURUSD short set up plays.
Certainly short potential but as always. We await price action to present itself to us.
It is far too easy to find a position once we have noticed potential. Sit back and await the play!
EURUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D14 Y25
FRGNT X
EURUSD(20250414) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.1339
Support and resistance levels:
1.1624
1.1517
1.1448
1.1229
1.1160
1.1054
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.1339, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1448
If the price breaks through 1.1229, consider selling, the first target price is 1.1160
EuroDollar : When Does the Dust Settle? Tariffs 25'Rather quiet to begin the week as the EuroDollar remains unchanged during the Initial 3 sessions of the week. A "Doji" Daily Candle printed, informing us those of us more technically minded to write off the day's price behavior and look to preceding candles for indication of future direction. It is important to note the longer top wick of 38.5 pips versus the 23.5 pips bottom wick. We can observe yet another daily candle wicking into the Weekly level 1.087. This Price remains very important in the short term because it may facilitate a pullback on EurUsd to the downside. This follows a historic Week of volatility for the EuroDollar as Trumps Tariffs shook the markets to say the least.
If we are considering Bullish targets for the week, Daily Level 1.093 , or even Daily Level 1.098 which would be the most generous for buyers. When fundamentals are this strong, it's more difficult to discount those larger, irrational moves that you see in the markets sometimes. So although one could argue how over-extended the EuroDollar is, we must remember the game we are playing.
In Considering Bearish targets, a retest of Daily Support level 1.0786 seems reasonable. A Deeper retracement could see price around 1.0694 , the beginning of Last Tuesdays very clean bullish NY session. A pullback seems technically sound, considering the outlier and extent of last weeks upside move.
Job Openings on Tuesday is the appetizer to the
Inflation CPI data on Wednesday which will surely see some volatility rock these already rattled markets.
CPI/Inflation is forecasted to Cool for the Dollar which technically supports more strength for the Euro and a further upside push for this pair.
Please Leave a rocket or comment if you enjoyed this Analysis. Have a good trading week !
EUR/USD Bullish Breakout & Retest Setup – Targeting 1.10955Instrument: EUR/USD
Timeframe: 30-Minute
Indicators Used:
EMA 30 (Red): 1.09821
EMA 200 (Blue): 1.09698
Key Levels Identified:
Entry Point: 1.09695
Stop Loss: Around 1.09067
Resistance Zone: ~1.09911
Target Zone: ~1.10918 to 1.10955
Projected Gain: ~147.3 pips (1.35%)
Price Action Analysis:
Bullish Breakout:
The price broke out from a consolidation zone (marked in purple).
A bullish trend is forming as price moves above the 200 EMA.
EMAs Alignment:
The 30 EMA is currently above the 200 EMA, indicating a potential bullish trend continuation.
However, price is slightly below the 30 EMA now, suggesting some short-term pullback or resistance.
Retest at Entry Zone:
Price retested the entry zone at 1.09695 after the breakout and is now hovering near it.
This retest is healthy for confirming support before another move up.
Trade Setup Insight:
Entry Strategy: A long (buy) entry at or around 1.09695.
Stop Loss Placement: Below the previous support zone near 1.09067 to manage risk.
Target Strategy: Aiming for the resistance zone around 1.10918–1.10955 for profit booking.
Conclusion:
This looks like a bullish continuation setup with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The confluence of:
EMA support,
Price structure (breakout & retest),
and defined resistance/target zone
EURUSD(20250410) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Only 13 hours after it came into effect, Trump announced the suspension of the reciprocal tariff policy for most economies for 90 days for negotiations. Trump also said that he had been considering the suspension in the past few days. He now suspends the reciprocal measures because he feels that everyone has overreacted, and seems a bit panicked and a bit scared. He will consider exempting some American companies; the White House said that a 10% global tariff will still be imposed during the negotiations, and previously announced industry tariffs such as automobiles, steel and aluminum are not included in the suspension.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0985
Support and resistance levels:
1.1165
1.1098
1.1054
1.0916
1.0873
1.0806
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0985, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1054
If the price breaks through 1.0916, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0873
EURUSD(20250408) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0944
Support and resistance levels
1.1113
1.1050
1.1009
1.0879
1.0838
1.0775
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0944, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1009
If the price breaks through 1.0879, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0838
EURUSD(20250407) Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Chairman Powell: Wait for clearer news before considering adjusting policy stance. One year later, as the impact of Trump's policies becomes clearer, uncertainty should be greatly reduced. Intends to complete the entire term. Potential tariffs may have a lasting impact on inflation. The impact of tariffs on the economy may be greater than expected. Downside risks have increased, but the economy is still in good shape.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0995
Support and resistance levels:
1.1177
1.1109
1.1065
1.0926
1.0882
1.0814
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0995, consider buying, the first target price is 1.1065
If the price breaks through 1.0926, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0882
#EURUSD: Two Opportunities In One Chart, What do you see? Price has shown bullish behaviour exhaustion, and it's at a point where we see a total meltdown in prices. This is an excellent scenario for traders who trade on what the chart shows us rather than selling or buying only. We can utilise both these entries when prices do show a strong indication at either of our levels.
If you like our work, then do like and comment on the idea, which will boost us to post more such ideas. ❤️🚀
EURUSD(20250402) Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
1.0799
Support and resistance levels
1.0851
1.0832
1.0819
1.0780
1.0767
1.0748
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 1.0799, consider buying, the first target price is 1.0819
If the price breaks through 1.0780, consider selling, the first target price is 1.0767
EURUSD Breakout ?Hi Traders, coming up EURUSD German Prelim CPI may make this pair volatile. As with the increased volatility we could see EURUSD moving back to the upside. Expecting EURUSD to give us significant opportunity with market opens.4H has formed a doji that may give high probability trade setup
EURUSD:Analysis of the Profit-making Strategies for Next WeekThe euro against the US dollar once retraced to around 1.0765. Subsequently, it stabilized slightly after the release of the US core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for February. Since the year-on-year growth rate of this data exceeded expectations, the market's expectation that the Federal Reserve will maintain the current interest rate range of 4.25%-4.50% for a longer time has intensified. Moreover, the United States is set to impose an additional 25% tariff on imported automobiles starting from April 2nd, which adds more uncertainties to the outlook of the euro.
We can focus on the initial resistance level of 1.0850 above. If this level is not breached, one can attempt to short at high levels.
Trading strategy:
Sell@1.0850
TP:1.0750
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EUR/USD: Uncertain Trajectory Amid Tariff - Induced JittersThe EUR/USD is trading at 1.0796. After a Thursday rebound from 1.0733 due to a weakening USD, it's now pressured at the intraday high of 1.0799.
US President Donald Trump's new 25% import taxes on cars and car parts, with potential additional levies on the eurozone and Canada, have stoked risk - off sentiment. This has led to a temporary dip in the US dollar's appeal.
On the daily chart, it's found buyers near the non - directional 200 - day SMA, with 1.0730 as dynamic support. It's attempting to break the bullish 20 - day SMA, while the 100 - day SMA is non - directional below the current level. The momentum indicator is flat below 100, and the RSI at 56 hints at upward risk, yet unconfirmed. Bulls should be cautious short - term.
In the 4 - hour chart, technicals are rising but below the mid - line. EUR/USD is fighting a bearish 20 - day SMA, and the 100 - day SMA has lost upward steam around 1.0840. A break above 1.0840 could bring back the bulls.
EURUSD
buy@1.08200-1.08500
tp:1.08900-1.09300
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