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Eurusdupdate

EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone, Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level. We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
EUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens at the Start of the WeekEUR/USD Analysis: US Dollar Strengthens at the Start of the Week On 2 July, on the EUR/USD chart, we noted that the rally—during which the pair had gained more than 6% since mid-May—was under threat, citing several technical signals, including: → proximity of the price to the upper boundary of the ascending channel; → overbought conditions on the RSI indicator; → nearby resistance from the Fibonacci Extension levels, around 1.18500. Trading at the start of the week points to renewed US dollar strength. This became particularly evident with the opening of the European session, which triggered a decline in EUR/USD to the 1.17500 area. It is reasonable to assume that the dollar’s strength against the euro is linked to early-week positioning by traders, who are anticipating news regarding US trade agreements. According to Reuters, the United States is close to finalising several trade deals in the coming days and is expected to notify 12 other countries today about higher tariffs. EUR/USD Technical Chart Analysis The ascending channel established last week remains in play, with the following developments: → a dashed midline within the upper half of the channel has been breached by bearish pressure (as indicated by the arrow); → a series of lower highs in recent sessions suggests the formation of a downward trajectory, within which the price could move towards the channel median—or potentially test its lower boundary. P.S. In the longer term, analysts at Morgan Stanley maintain a bullish outlook, forecasting that EUR/USD could rise to 1.2700 by the end of 2027. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Rally Pauses Near 1.18000 – Higher Targets in SightHi Everyone, Last week, price action delivered the 1.18000 level we had been calling for, and as expected, dynamic resistance around that area proved to be significant. Looking ahead, we anticipate EUR/USD will continue to test the 1.18000 level this week while holding above the 1.16680 support zone. A strong break above last week’s high could attract further buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 and ultimately the 1.20000 levels. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
14
EUR/USD breakout awaiting EUR/USD has not provided a clear structure over the past week or two. The pair appears to be in consolidation, building liquidity on both sides of the current range. At the moment, I’m waiting for a decisive breakout, ideally followed by distribution within the monthly supply zone, although that zone is still some distance away. This week, my focus will be on whether a new supply zone forms, closer to current price. If price sweeps the nearby equal highs and then shows signs of reversal, this could give us a fresh supply area to work from. Alternatively, if price moves lower, I’ll be looking at the 8-hour demand zone around 1.16000 for a possible long setup. Confluences for EUR/USD: - Although price has been slightly bullish, the current consolidation phase suggests a potential reversal could be on the horizon. - Liquidity is building on both sides of the range, making a reaction from the monthly supply zone increasingly probable. - There’s significant downside liquidity still untapped, such as Asia session lows, which could serve as short-term targets. - For clearer confirmation, we still need a decisive break in market structure to the downside. P.S. If price sweeps the lower liquidity and moves into the 8-hour demand zone near 1.16000, I will be watching for accumulation to form and signs of bullish intent from there.
by Hassan_fx
3
EUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar WeaknessEUR/USD Rallies on Broad Dollar Weakness EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.1750 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a decent increase from the 1.1600 zone against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1770 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.1600 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.1650 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1750. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1830 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1829 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high. Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.1770. The next major support is the 1.1710 level. A downside break below the 1.1710 support could send the pair toward the 1.1680 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.1590 swing low to the 1.1830 high. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.1645. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1830 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.1850 level. An upside break above the 1.1850 level might send the pair toward the 1.1920 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1950 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.2000 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD BULISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISEURUSD has been playing out exactly as forecasted, now trading confidently above the key 1.17 handle. Price action has respected prior structure levels perfectly, with the recent bullish impulse forming clean higher highs and higher lows. After a minor corrective move and successful retest of the previous breakout zone, we’re now seeing continuation momentum build toward the 1.21 target. This pattern is a textbook bullish flag followed by a clean breakout and retest, confirming the strength behind this current upside leg. Fundamentally, the euro has gained strength due to growing divergence between the ECB and the Fed. With inflation in the Eurozone stabilizing and recent data indicating a modest recovery in manufacturing and services PMI, there's increasing speculation the ECB may hold rates longer, while the Fed is seen leaning toward eventual rate cuts as US labor data softens. The June NFP miss and downward revisions in prior data have weakened the USD’s position, creating a favorable environment for EURUSD bulls. The technical confluence with macro fundamentals is striking. Risk sentiment is improving across global markets as inflation fears ease and rate clarity emerges. The euro remains supported by strong capital inflows and demand for yield stability. Additionally, EURUSD has cleared multi-month resistance zones with conviction, signaling institutional interest and momentum-based positioning. The recent candle formations suggest buyers are in firm control. We remain on track for the 1.21 level, which aligns with prior swing highs and a key Fibonacci extension target. Any pullback toward the 1.16–1.1650 region should be viewed as a high-probability buying opportunity. With the DXY under pressure and euro zone resilience improving, EURUSD continues to be one of the top-performing major pairs heading into Q3. Stay patient and ride the wave—this move has more room to run.
Long
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
2
EurUsd - This is the deadly breakout!EurUsd - FX:EURUSD - is about to fly: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) EurUsd has been rallying about +15% over the past couple of months. Additionally the breakout at the current resistance trendline is about to be confirmed. Subsequently EurUsd is setting up for another major move higher, which will be painful for all European traders. Levels to watch: $1.23, $1.11 Keep your long term vision🙏🙏 Philip (BasicTrading)
Long
by basictradingtv
6
EUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under ThreatEUR/USD Analysis: Rally May Be Under Threat The euro has appreciated by approximately 15% against the US dollar this year, as confidence in the United States continues to wane. As ECB Chief Economist Philip Lane noted in an interview at CNBC: “There is a degree of reorientation by global investors towards the euro.” At the same time, officials at the European Central Bank have expressed concern that the rapid strengthening of the euro could undermine efforts to stabilise inflation at 2%. They warn that a move above $1.20 may pose risks for inflation and the competitiveness of export-oriented firms — an issue raised during the ECB’s ongoing ECB Forum on Central Banking in Portugal. Could EUR/USD Reach the $1.20 Level? From a technical analysis perspective, EUR/USD is showing bearish signals: → If the early April rally (coinciding with Trump’s announcement of new tariffs) is taken as the initial impulse wave A→B, and the May low is interpreted as the end of the B→C corrective move, then, according to Fibonacci Extensions, the pair has now risen to a key resistance zone around 1.1850 (as indicated by the arrow on the chart). → In addition, the RSI indicator signals strong overbought conditions, while the price is hovering near the upper boundary of the ascending channel — a level that typically acts as resistance. Given these factors, we could assume that EUR/USD may be in a vulnerable position, potentially facing a short-term correction — possibly towards the lower boundary of the channel, reinforced by support at the 1.1620 level. However, this does not negate the longer-term bullish outlook for the euro amid prevailing fundamental conditions. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
#EURUSD:Expecting A Strong Bull Move, Two Entries | Two TargetsIn our previous analysis, we clearly stated that the price would remain bullish as the DXY had to plummet, and it did exactly that, rising by 450 pips from our last entry. Currently, we have two areas from which we can see the price reversing. The first one is nearby and has a higher risk compared to our second entry, which may be safer for some traders. We need a strong confirmation before making any significant decisions. Good luck and trade safely. We wish you the best in your trading journey. Team Setupsfx_
Long
by Setupsfx_
35
EUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly HighEUR/USD Pair Hits Yearly High Yesterday, the EUR/USD exchange rate rose above the 1.1700 level for the first time this year. The last time one euro was worth more than 1.70 US dollars was in autumn 2019. The main driver behind the euro’s rise is the weakening dollar, largely due to decisions made by the Trump administration. This week alone, the EUR/USD pair has gained more than 2%, partly as a result of escalating tensions between the US President and the Chair of the Federal Reserve. According to Reuters, Trump called Powell “terrible” and said he had three or four candidates in mind for the top job at the Fed. It was also reported that Trump had considered selecting and announcing a replacement for Powell by September or October (his current term officially runs until May 2026). Technical Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart Price movements are forming an upward channel (highlighted in blue), with the following observations: → Midweek, the price consolidated around the channel’s median line (as indicated by arrow 1); → It then broke through the 1.6300 level with strong bullish momentum (shown by arrow 2), a level that had acted as resistance earlier in the month; → The long upper wicks on the candles forming yesterday’s highs (circled) suggest increased selling pressure near the upper boundary of the channel. Given this, we could assume that in the short term, the price might form a new consolidation zone around the median line above the 1.6300 level. Significant fundamental catalysts would be required to break the developing upward trend. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Shorting Optimism: EUR/USD Rally vs RealityAfter the spike to 1.1640 driven by temporary ceasefire news and USD weakness, I’ve taken a short position on EUR/USD. The market priced in too much optimism too fast, and I see limited upside beyond this zone in the current macro landscape. I’m positioned for a controlled retracement back toward the 1.1460–1.1520 region. The play? Fade the overextension, follow structure, and manage from strength. Technicals: • The pair ran into a strong supply zone near 1.1640, which aligns with a previous liquidity sweep. • Momentum has slowed visibly on lower timeframes, with candles rejecting highs and wicks printing upper tails. • Daily and 4H SMAs are overstretched. The 20 SMA on H4 is accelerating upward, but RSI is near overbought and flattening. • My short entry was taken with a stop above 1.1745 and first target at 1.1540, second at 1.1500. • A potential retest of the 1.1660 zone could offer additional entries if invalidation remains intact. Fundamentals: • ECB vs Fed Divergence: The Fed holds firm on rates amid sticky inflation, while the ECB is under pressure to ease further due to weak growth. • EU Struggles: PMI data remains in contraction territory; HICP cooling to 1.7% YoY suggests little reason for tightening. • Political Instability: Germany and France both facing internal political crises — risk premia rising. • Ceasefire Priced In: EUR rally on Middle East headlines lacks depth — conflict paused, not resolved. • USD Resilience: Weak recent data aside, the USD remains a safe haven. Fed’s Powell reiterated that cuts aren’t imminent. ⚠️ Bias: Bearish as long as price trades below 1.1640. Watching how the market reacts to Fed testimony and ECB rhetoric this week. 🧠 Reminder: Don’t get emotional after vertical rallies. When everyone gets excited, I look for exhaustion. That’s where trades begin. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles.Smart Money Concepts (SMC) principles. Here’s a full breakdown of the chart and its annotations: 📊 Chart Details: Pair: EUR/USD Timeframe: 4-hour (H4) Current Price: Around 1.16093 USD 🔍 Key Annotations & Zones: 🟫 Pink Zone (Supply/Resistance Area): This area includes: Accumulation FVG (Fair Value Gap) Price has recently entered and reacted from this zone. 🔼 Buy Side Liquidity: Highlighted at the top of the range. Price swept above recent highs to trigger buy stops (liquidity grab), possibly setting up for a reversal. 🔽 Sell Side Liquidity: Marked below the previous consolidation range. Price had previously dipped to collect sell-side liquidity before moving upward. 📈 Accumulation: This phase occurred before the bullish breakout. Suggests institutional buying or smart money positioning. 📉 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Imbalance between buying and selling, typically gets filled. Marked in the pink zone where price may return before continuing its move. 📌 Price Structure Analysis: The chart shows a classic liquidity sweep setup: Price grabs buy-side liquidity. Enters a supply zone. May return to fill the FVG. Potential reversal or bearish reaction from this zone. ✅ Trading Implications: Bearish Scenario: Price may reject from the pink supply zone after the buy-side liquidity sweep, filling the FVG and possibly heading toward previous lows. Bullish Scenario (less likely immediately): If price holds above the pink zone, it could continue trending upward.
by King_Maker_FX
Support and Resistance Zones Resistance zone is marked near 1.16000. Support zone is marked around 1.14500. Price Action: Price is currently near 1.15776, heading towards the resistance. There’s a strong white candle indicating bullish momentum. Projected Price Path: A white projection line suggests a move upwards to test the resistance zone. Then, a grey projection line suggests a potential reversal from the resistance, falling back to test the support level. Interpretation: This is likely a range-trading or false breakout trap analysis: The trader is possibly expecting a fake breakout above the resistance before a drop back down toward the support area.
by King_Maker_FX
1
A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated.Chart Breakdown 🔻 Price Action & Structure: The market is currently trending downward within a descending channel, marked by two parallel white trendlines. The current price is around 1.14797, with visible lower highs and lower lows, indicating a short-term bearish trend. 🔄 Projected Move: A bullish breakout from the descending channel is anticipated. The white projected path shows: A dip toward the demand zone (highlighted in teal-green) around 1.13400–1.13800. A reversal from that zone, forming higher highs and higher lows. A move toward the upper liquidity zone, labeled EQH (Equal Highs) around 1.16000, suggesting a target for buy-side liquidity. 🧠 EQH = Equal High Liquidity : The EQH zone marks an area where previous highs are equal or nearly equal — a common target for price manipulation or stop-hunting. It’s expected that the market will sweep this area for liquidity before possibly reversing or continuing. 💡 Interpretation: The setup reflects a liquidity-based strategy using smart money concepts. Bearish short-term → bullish medium-term outlook. Potential trade idea: Wait for price to tap the lower demand zone, then look for entry confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or Ch0CH) to ride toward EQH.
by King_Maker_FX
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Tone Ahead of Fed DecisionIn recent hours, the pair has shown limited movement of just 0.5%, reflecting a neutral bias as the market prepares for the upcoming Federal Reserve policy announcement. At this point, expectations suggest that the U.S. central bank will maintain a neutral stance, keeping the interest rate steady at 4.5% in the short term. However, the key focus will be on the Fed’s accompanying statement, where the greatest uncertainty lies. If the tone remains hawkish, it's likely that demand for the U.S. dollar will strengthen, potentially adding downward pressure to EUR/USD. Uptrend Remains Intact Since early March, the pair has maintained a steady bullish trend, without any major corrections that would threaten the current structure. That said, the price has once again approached key resistance zones, but has yet to break through them in a sustained manner—opening the door for range-bound movement if this pattern continues. Technical Indicators RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show lower highs, while EUR/USD continues to print higher highs. This bearish divergence indicates an imbalance in market forces, potentially signaling room for a short-term correction. MACD: The MACD histogram is fluctuating near the zero line, reflecting a technically neutral environment. As long as this behavior continues, the pair may enter a consolidation phase, awaiting a clearer directional signal. Key Levels to Watch: 1.15443 – Current Resistance: Marks the multi-month high. A sustained move above this level could revive the bullish momentum. 1.13177 – Intermediate Support: Aligns with a recent neutral zone and the 50-period moving average. It acts as a technical support in the event of short-term pullbacks. 1.10428 – Key Support: Represents the lowest level of recent months. A break below this area could trigger a stronger bearish bias, putting the current uptrend at risk. Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst Follow him at: @julianpineda25
by FOREXcom
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Faces RejectionMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Faces Rejection EUR/USD declined from the 1.1640 resistance and traded below 1.1550. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1600 zone. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1600 resistance zone before the bears appeared, as discussed in the previous analysis. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1550 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.1520 and tested the 1.1475 zone. A low was formed near 1.1475 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1495 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1550 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1505 level. The next key resistance is at 1.1545 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1614 swing high to the 1.1475 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1545. The main resistance is near the 1.1580 level. A clear move above the 1.1580 level could send the pair toward the 1.1615 resistance. An upside break above 1.1615 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1475. The next key support is at 1.1450. If there is a downside break below 1.1450, the pair could drop toward 1.1400. The next support is near 1.1350, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EUR/USD Breakout Retest StrategyEUR/USD Breakout Retest Strategy 🟢📈 📊 Technical Analysis Summary: The chart illustrates a bullish breakout from a consolidation range with a well-defined support near 1.12500 and resistance between 1.16500–1.17000. 🔍 Key Observations: 🔸 Triple Rejection Zone: Price faced rejection 3 times (highlighted with orange circles) near the same level before the breakout — classic liquidity sweep above resistance. 🔸 Strong Support Bounce: Each time price reached the green support zone, it showed strong bullish reaction (green arrows) signaling solid buying interest. 🔸 Break and Retest Formation: Price broke the previous highs and now seems to be retesting the breakout zone (around 1.15250–1.15300). A successful retest could confirm bullish continuation. 🔸 Projected Bullish Move: If the retest holds, we may see price pushing up toward the 1.17000 resistance zone as marked. 📌 Trading Plan: ✅ Bullish Bias above 1.15250 ✅ Look for bullish candlestick confirmation or breakout structure 🚫 Avoid trades if price drops below 1.15000 with momentum 📈 Target Zone: 1.16500 – 1.17000 🛑 Stop Loss suggestion: Below 1.14750 🧠 Keep patience during the retest — smart money often tests emotions before real moves! 💰📉📈
Long
by MrStellanSight