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Eurusdupdate

EURUSD: Core Retail Sales and risksThe EUR/USD firmly in the green for Tuesday after US Retail Sales beat market expectations and saw upside revision to previous figures, sending investor risk appetite into the ceiling and sending the US Dollar (USD) broadly lower, bolstering the Euro (EUR) and taking the EUR/USD up from the day's early low of 1.0532 and sending it within inches of the 1.0600 major handle. Headline US Retail Sales figures for September broadly beat median market forecasts of 0.3%, printing at 0.7% and seeing an upwards revision in the previous month's reading from 0.6% to 0.8%.
by Sphyn-Trader
1
EurUsd retraces 📎 / CPI Data as catalystEurusd retraced 100 Pips today with Infaltion data as the catalyst for a continuation of higher timeframe momentum. How Surprised can we be of a move to the downside with the Weekly/Monthly timeframes doing just that for the last 3 months. The news release was stronger than what was expected for the USD. Inflation is increasing at a faster rate than expected. Let's buy the USD as a safe haven given these uncertain and troubled times.. Technicals : Large Bearish candle just printed on the Daily timeframe. The next Daily candle will likely have a bottom wick and is why it is still reasonable to look for a continuation play. That said, with the anticipated London session volume, we may expect a pullback to 1.054 weekly level or 1.056 before observng more bearish movement on Eurusd
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
EurUsd Strong as ever after botched ADP data ⚖️Solid Daily candle closure after not great ADP data. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 3:05 weekly timeframe 4:50 Daily timeframe 8:16 4hr timeframe 11:45 1hr timeframe Not surprised.. Also not surprised to asian session move back to the highs from NY session earlier today. These are signs of bullish strength for EurUsd. We just recieved a solid 4hr candle lose with Asian session. Market structure filled to bullish with NY along with the Daily closure. We still have NFP data but it's in 32 hours. We may observe an increase prior to NFP and that's what I'm looking for on EU. Few key level's we have here 1.0575 Daily level 1.0543 weekly level 1.0527 4hr level 1.05023 4hr level 1.0491 1hr level 1.04608 Daily level
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD MID-WEEK ANALYSIS-24/09/2023EUR/USD: Seizing Bullish Opportunities Amid Market Shift A noticeable shift in market behaviour on EUR/USD, especially on the lower timeframes, has prompted me to shift my focus towards potential buy opportunities. Join me as we explore the emerging bullish outlook for EUR/USD and adapt our trading strategies to these evolving market conditions. Stay tuned for further insights and updates! 📈🌐 #EURUSDTrading #BullishOpportunities #MarketShift
Long
by Dion-FX
6
EURUSD 4H : Try to retest and then dropEURUSD New forecast The price perfectly fulfills my last idea and price reached to our target . The EUR/USD pair shows further decline to exceed the 1.0516 level and settle below it, confirming the continuation of the bearish trend’s dominance in the immediate and short term, to continue the decline within the main descending channel that appears in the chart, noting that our next targets start at 1.0463 and extend to 1.0440. The main descending channel supports the proposed descending wave, keeping in mind that breaching 1.0516 will stop the current negative pressure and lead the price to make some temporary upward correction. The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0516 and support line 1.0463. Additionally ,Today News will affect the market . support line : 1.0463 , 1.0440 resistance line : 1.0516 , 1.0554 Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
by Arazmajeed
Understand Session to Session Behavior🏺EurUsd 1.It's early in the week 2. Alot of volatility already this week for EurUsd 3. Daily candle closed with no bottom wick denoting exhaustion 4. Asian session continuation to the downside here coinciding with daily support level 1.04627 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:47 Weekly timeframe 4:51 Daily timeframe 6:52 15m timeframe 8:04 4hr timeframe 8:52 1hr timeframe We moved down quite a bit today! Took some sells during NY session and jumped on the train to the downside. Is it a surprise that Asian session has continued that descent? We are at almost 2x ATR for EurUsd regarding the volatility today. London Session usually does some fakeout behavior and will likely retrace to gather some liquidity here.. There is always fomo liquidity in the market and my trading system depends on it.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EurUsd Change of Character 🔔Hello everyone so off to the races here with another week in the markets. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:59 Weekly timeframe 6:38 Daily timframe 9:10 4hr timeframe 12:08 1hr timeframe 12:50 Bias My Analysis today is derived from the close of the Septmeber Monthyll candle. We observed the September monthly candle pull back up into the close with (2) Bullish Daily candles leading the way. Combine this with the fact that the Weekly candle last week closed above our Weekly/Monthly support level at 1.054. We currently are about 26 pips above our weekly support level and I can visualize price facilitating a move up from within this area. With that said, we have manufacturing in the coming session with the data expected to increase slightly but still contract overall ( which makes me more bullish on Eurusd). If I'm wrong then we will see a move back towards 1.054 Weekly support level and fail to hold it with NY session as a continue momentum on higher timeframes back to 1.05 daily support and psychological level.. What are your thoughts on the coming sessions? Thanks for joining me today
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EURUSD 4H : OUTLOOKEURUSD New forecast The EUR/USD pair found strong resistance at the 1.0616 level, showing some slight bearish bias and attacking the support level 1.0554,so breaching that level will put the price under sell pressure and targeting the negative stations , 1.0500 and 1.0440. Therefore, the downward trend scenario will remain effective for the coming period, and a breach of 1.0554 is required to facilitate the task of the proposed decline, keeping in mind that breaking 1.0616 will stop the expected downward tendency and put pressure on the price to return to the upward path again and will try to retest the broken previous areas. The expect range trading for today it will be between the resistance line 1.0616 and support line 1.0554. Additionally ,Today News will affect the market . support line : 1.0554 , 1.0500 resistance line : 1.0616 , 1.0663 Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
by Arazmajeed
Monthly Candle pulls back for Closure? 🌛 EurUsdEurusd no mercy for the Monthly candle closure here. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 1:41 Weekly timeframe 3:57 daily timeframe 5:51 4hr timeframe 7:49 1hr timeframe 8:01 what happened during today 13:40 Bias for upcoming session Today we observed a V-Shaped recovery on Eurusd fueled by missed GDP data. We can also attribute the pulback to an over-extended DXY, profit-taking, and Fomo liquidity chasing the market down... Please let me know if you caught this retracement which I called out in my previous analysis about 24 hours ago. With that said, I'm anticpating an increase into the close of the monthly candle. I believe it can continue to pullback and create a larger bottom wick. The current size of the bottom wick on eurusd on the Monthly timeframe is 86 pips. Today price pulled back up and closed a solid bullish candle back above the weekly timeframe support level at 1.054 which was our original bearish shorts target on the week. To end the week, I wouldn't be surprised to see another bullish push after that bullish daily candle close that we observed today. This bullish push could extend to 1.06071 1hr resistance zone. We have clean traffic up to that level .. a 28 pip clean range. inflation data not expected to chang eover the previous data point.. could be catalyst to continue to pullback to the upside but if we are wrong.. it may act as a catalyst to pull back down towards 1.054 weekly support level or 1.053-1.052 area.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
1
EurUsd Dives to the Sea Floor?🌊 🤔Despite missed consumer confidence on Tuesday, Eurusd has been tanking and continuing the higher timeframe momentum. 0:0 Monhtly timeframe 2:56 Weekly timeframe 4:55 Daily timeframe 6:50 4hr timeframe 8:55 1hr timeframe 12:40 Bias We may also observe that the market is pulling down into the close of the monthly candle. The same concept which you may hear me talk about with the weekly candle pulling down or pulling bak into the close of a weekly candle.. just on a larger scale. The Monthly candle here has pulled down 165 pips into the candle close vs on the weekly timeframe we may observe a 40-80 pip move into the candle closure. Now we have seen quite the move down and there were a few traders looking to take longs at the beginning of the week, little early but i think the time is nearing for a possible pullback with london or NY session. This is because we observed quite a large volatile move to the downside. Asian session has pulled up when typically it has been pulling down across the past few days.. foreshadowing possible retracement. Either way, flexibility is one of the best qualities to exercise as a scalper. We will be open- minded and patient with entries and exits when approaching risk. We have reached a psychological number and this coincides Eurusd approaching the lows of the year at 1.08486. Our next tsrgt for shorts is 1.04609 daily level. Our retracement target is 1.05419 or 1.056 4hr resistance level. GDP is anticpated to be good for the USD so this could provide a catlayst for a bear continuation. If it misses , then we may anticpate a retracement. This is the logical approach, but we all know the market isn't always logical but often irrational. If you've read this far, leave a comment and a rocket and I will see you in the next analysis. Cheers.
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
4
Momentum in a Bearish market 🪜EurUsdWhen the Market trends down, support zones become resistance zones after candlestick closure confirmations. 0;0 Monthly timeframe 1:15 weekly timeframe 4:15 daily timeframe 9:00 4hr timeframe 11:45 1hr timeframe 14:00 Bias If you are new to the markets, that last sentence is probably a bit confusing. But really all it sums up to is that the market moves down in methodical steps. This may not always be the case however... Similar to a ladder and different from a silde. The market will drop suddenly and slide deeply in a panic similar to the Stock market crash of 2020 with Covid-19. All support level's failed and liquidity was swept through due to a change in fundamentals. The forex market has much more volume and therefore will not slide as easily vs the stock market which runs on lower liquidity. We are talking about medium-long term slides across days and weeks or even months. In the short term however, fundamental releases can cause the FX market to slide 10's of pips in a matter of seconds. Being inclined towards a scalping style, it is especially important to be aware of these short term slides which could wipeout a sizable portion of a trading account. Price action to begin the week: Weekly level 1.0663 is especially relevant and may facilitate a selloff back to the lows 1.0613. If we do push higher, we may tap into 1.0691 daily resistance level before seeing more selling pressure. 1.054 is the weekly bearish target for this week and our first stop will be 1.0576 daily level where we may observe some profit taking. Bullish targets on the week include 1.075 daily resistace zone. For this scenario, would prefer a daily closure above 1.0691 daily level.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
2
Make the opponent flinch, and you've already won - Musashi 📼 The market has been relentless to the downside over the last 2-3 months. 0:0 Monthly timeframe 2:00 Weekly timeframe 5:35 Daily timeframe 8:45 4hr timeframe 12:35 let's zoom out a bit 12:30 1hr timeframe 15:15 Bias Fueled by Inflation data and technical confirmations, the market has continued is descent time & again. Tuesday Wednesday and thursday have closed bearish. We have established momentum in the market and I believe it is likely that we contiue on this path to end the week. The weekly can may continue to pull to the downside as it is currently bearish and has a 77 pips top wick. The thursday daily candle closed bearish and we have a wick to go fill with momentum. The market set itself up early in the week as it was bullish on monday and observed bullish impulses on tuesday and wednesday. Thursday saw a continuation of the bear momentum established on wednesday and I believe we may also see a continuatiion on Friday. It is easier trading with the trend.. and they do say .. the trend is your friend. With that said, we must remain flexible when trading the markets and our success across time realy depends on our ability to adapt to the changing market conditions.
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
1
EURUSD: bullish or bearish? Check today's analysisThe updated data showed that in August, annual inflation increased by 5.2%, down from the previous measurement of 5.3%. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.3% monthly and 5.3% annually. This downward trend was taken positively by market participants, particularly following the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to raise the key interest rate to 4.50%. On the other hand, recent US macroeconomic data has been mixed. Housing Starts in August adjusted from 1.452 million to 1.283 million, less than expected, but Building Permits increased from 1.443 million to 1.543 million, outperforming estimates. Later today, investors will be watching the outcome of the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy meeting, where the interest rate is expected to remain at 5+%. Comments about potential monetary policy tightening in November and December could significantly influence the markets. Resistance levels: 1.0700, 1.0730, 1.0770 Support levels: 1.0600, 1.0630, 1.0600
Short
by MsProTrading
1