Eurusdupdate
EurUsd Buyers battle @ 1.086 4Hr Zone ⚔️Hello traders welcome back to another Analysis.
//// 0:0 Monthly/Introduction
1:06 Weekly Timeframe
2:24 Daily timeframe
2:58 4Hr timeframe
4:15 1Hr timeframe
//// We have upcoming (USD) PMI manufacturing data during the next NY session to look out for. It is expected to expand overall but decrease slightly from the last data point. Coming out of last Friday and during Monday's price action we observed Risk on sentiment with the Eur being favored. Maybe this will come to a halt, and during today's price action we will see a retracement back down with the positive expected USD data. If Risk-On sentiment continues, a candle closure above 1.086 on the 1hr and especially the 4hr may confirm solid long orders up to the next daily level (1.0888).
Eur/Usd March 24'... Risk on Sentiment? 🕶️Eurusd new monthly candle! The February monthly candle closed a bearish doji candle. This suggests that we may continue a bearish descent from the January monthly engulfing candle. At the same time it appears that price is respecting Weekly level 1.0763 and there is Risk-On Sentiment in the markets following optimistic Cad inflation data from 2 weeks ago. Apologies if this analysis was a bit scattered and have a nice day! 0:0 Intro and Monhtly timeframe
1:50 Weekly timeframe
3:31 Daily timeframe
3:51 back to Monthly to explain new monthly candle potential
5:10 back to daily timeframe
6:53 4Hr timeframe
8:16 1Hr timeframe
Attempted a brief analysis but ofc it ran longer than I would've liked :)
EURUSD Analysis for a Positional Trade with amazing Reward
We have a Fresh Weekly Demand and a Fresh Weekly Supply areas formed,
Now Price has just reacted to the Weekly Demand and post a Confirmation in lower timeframes in the Upward direction(In the direction of the Trend), we will buy with a defined risk.
We see that the previous High is violated and a potential 4H Demand has formed, now there are two possibilities either this 4H Demand will take the price till its Weekly Supply in the opposite or this 4H Demand will be violated. Lets check the Reward to Risk ratio of this 4H Demand, as per the statistic anything above 3:1 is a good opportunity and any FII wouldnt miss such Trades.
Here is the Trade with a Reward : Risk ratio of just a little more than 6:1.
Thank You and ENjoy the Ride ! ! !
EURUSD next weekFX:EURUSD : on the daily chart we have a Market Structure Shift (MSS). we can clearly distinguish the beginning of a retracement which will come to an end in two scenarios. the first scenario is the blank one that the market will try to hit the lower liquidity by beating the gap. the second scenario will instead bounce on the first lower gap attracted by the strong upper liquidity. in my opinion, everything depends on the strength of the dollar, I suggest monitoring the DXY for a probable entry into the market
March Madness Eur/Usd 🚎The weekly candle will do 1 of 2 things today.
It will 1) pull up and continue our bullish momentum from last week ( which is quickly becoming distant)
or 2) Retrace back down towards 1.074 weekly level which we bounced strong off last week with optimistic Cad data as our catalyst
0:0 Intro Monthly/Timeframe
0:58 Daily timeframe
3:43 Weekly timeframe
5:43 4Hr timeframe
6:07 1hr timeframe
Eur/Usd silent commentary analysis 📻2 Hours after London Close 2/28/24.
Eurusd we observed a wild day of volatility as a large 50 pip bearish move during london session was duly corrected by a Bullish New york session. Price moved away from our Daily resistance level 1.0885 today and pulled back as the monthly candle comes to a closure. This is not abnormal to observe when the monthly candle closes.
GDP Preliminary numbers contracted today and missed expectations of 3.3% Q/Q. It was 3.2% so a difference of .1%. This was enough to cause a sudden 4 pip drop followed by an 8 pips increase in 2 minutes. This was a catalyst for the bullish sentiment all morning for the Eur/Usd ad therefore the Eur.
Key levels and session behavior described in more detail in the video.
Bullish momentum is over? 📊Eur/Usd happily continued it's acscent and bullish market structure played out nicely . Anticpating this bullish move back to retest the high created from last week (1.08566) has been modest. It is possible that we may continue to the upside and retest other key price levels such as 1.08722 and 1.0888. If price breaks below 1.08428 we may drop back into a range and price may reach across the clean traffic range to 1.08166 . A 27 Pips range.
Eur/Usd Top Down Analysis Feb 24'Eur/Usd! The reaction off 1.08927 was quite dramatic last thursday and friday.
Intro/Monthly TF 0:0
Weekly Timeframe 4:05
Daily timeframe 6:29
4hr timeframe 9:29
1Hr timeframe 11:33
Price has retraced and since dipped into a 4hr zone 1.08011. It bounced here on friday and the price action consolidated after that. It is possible that we may observe more sideways movement before another continuation. I liken a continuation for buyers because of sentiment moving out of last week due to cad news. It is quite normal to see a reaction off a daily zone like we observed on thursday and friday and it could very well be just a pullback in an uptrend. Caution however!
Not Financial Advice.
Education Purposes Only.
Eur/Usd Review - Cad CPI Change of SentimentHello traders welcome back to another detailed analysis of the Eurusd currency pair. This week was bullish and quite volatile. Cad inflation news on tuesday was a catalyst in my opnion for a chnage of sentiment in the currency markets. At the very least, it sparked decent volume and a selloff in the USD.
Leave a rocket if you enjoyed the video and comment for more analysis.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07800 back up to 2hr supply or above.This week's bias for EU resembles GU's, but I wouldn't be surprised if EU rises slightly to clear the 2-hour refined supply before dropping to remove the trendline liquidity below. Nevertheless, I anticipate price to eliminate the trendline liquidity and fill the small imbalance just above the demand zone.
During this process, I expect price action to slow down after consuming a significant amount of liquidity, signalling a potential Wyckoff accumulation phase. It's worth noting the presence of an Asian low beneath the demand, which warrants caution. However, I want to emphasize that this is a counter-trend notion, and my overall sentiment for EU remains bearish.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price broke structure to the upside and left a clean 10hr demand zone.
- Still some imbalance that still hasn't been filled as well above my demand POI.
- Market also broke major structure to the upside could indicate a bullish trend.
- there's some liquidity above the recent high that needs to be taken as well.
- Triple touch trendline liquidity that needs to be swept.
- for price to go down it must mitigate a supply higher up like that 12hr.
P.S. Ideally, I'm looking for another rally to trigger price action to clear out the significant pool of liquidity located just below the 12-hour demand zone at the top of the chart. However, I anticipate price to establish a new supply once it descends to take out the trendline. This would allow me to wait for a mid-week pullback to sell down towards the demand.
Have a great trading week and lets catch these PIPS!
EURUSD Technical Analysis & Trade IdeaThe EURUSD exhibits a bearish bias on higher timeframes. The weekly chart reveals a clear break of market structure to the downside followed by a retracement. Drilling down to the daily timeframe, the retracement has taken out previous buy stops, further supporting a short bias. A short entry at the current level appears viable, with a stop-loss placed above the recent high and targeting previous lows. This setup presents an intraday or swing trade opportunity.
Important Disclaimer: This analysis offers a technical viewpoint and does not constitute direct financial advice. Before initiating any trades, conduct your own comprehensive research and apply appropriate risk management strategies.
EUR/USD Imminent Shorts towards 1.06800My analysis on EUR/USD mirrors that of GBP/USD, as it has entered a significant supply zone where I anticipate a bearish reaction. Given the abundance of liquidity and the temporary bullishness of the dollar, this scenario appears plausible. Therefore, I'll be monitoring for a redistribution pattern on Monday before considering initiating sell positions.
I acknowledge the presence of considerable imbalances above, which could prompt price to rise and potentially reach the supply zone in scenario (C). However, my overall expectation for EUR/USD is a downward movement towards 1.06800.
Confluences for EU Shorts are as follows:
- Price left a clean 3hr supply zone which price is currently re distributing inside.
- Price has been moving bearish regarding the recent break of structure to the downside.
- DXY is also been moving bullish so it backs the EU downtrend.
- Lots of liquidity to the downside like trendline Asian lows and swing lows.
- The overall trend of this market like the monthly still shows its a bearish trend.
P.S. I'm currently leaning towards a pro-trend stance with this idea, primarily because of the recent downward breaks in structure. Additionally, there are few demand zones in proximity to the current price, suggesting that price may decline to sweep that liquidity.
HAPPY TRADING AND REMEMBER ITS USD BANK HOLIDAY MONDAY!
EUR/USD SHORT "FOLLOWING THE STRUCTURE"we are marking structure on 4h tf. eur/usd is making lower lows and lower highs indicating a downtrend and marking resistance on 4h tf. when London opens at 3 am EST 30m and 1h close below resistance. we are taking a short entry there. we have CPI, PMI, retail sales and multiple fed member speaks. monitor economic events closely and manage your position.
EURUSD Swing Buy Trade with a good Reward.
We have a 4 Hour Loop in Upward direction, We have a 4H Source Demand and a Fresh 4H Supply formed as Destination Supply giving us the Demand Supply Equilibrium Curve as follows.
After reacting to the Source Demand Price has started respecting Demands and violating Supply areas. hence this is a New Position with an Amazing reward to Risk ratio.
EURUSD: The US interest rate outlook is the main weight for currMost Asian currencies fell sharply in the past two sessions, as the market began to reassess the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates soon. Higher interest rates for longer reduce the appeal of risky, high-yield assets and also limit foreign capital flows into regional markets.
Powell's comments late Sunday reiterated the Fed's earlier message that the economy's resilience gives the bank more room to maintain a restrictive monetary policy. This caused traders to largely abandon expectations that the Fed would start cutting interest rates in March or May.
CME's Fed Rate Tracker shows an 83% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in March and a 35% chance the Fed will hold rates steady in May, up significantly from a 9th chance. 9% was seen last week.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.07500 up towards 1.08800For EURUSD this week, my analysis closely mirrors what I've observed with GBPUSD. I anticipate a similar scenario unfolding, where I expect price to dip slightly further to interact with the refined demand zone on the 2-hour timeframe. Following this interaction, I'll be on the lookout for a bullish response.
Alternatively, if price doesn't reach this demand zone, I foresee a swift retracement to fill the imbalances from NFP Friday, followed by potential distribution within the newly identified 10-hour supply zone. Should this supply zone be tested first, my strategy will involve selling positions targeting the 2-hour demand zone.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price is near a clean 2-hour demand zone that has broken structure to the upside.
- Liquidity above zone so when it gets swept we can expect price to re-accumulate within our zone to then buy back up.
- There's lots of liquidity to the upside that needs to be addressed as well as some imbalances.
- Dollar (DXY) is still looking bearish as well which means more upside is still left for EU.
P.S. Should the 2-hour demand zone be breached, I anticipate a shift towards a bearish trend, as it represents the final support connected to that wing point. Keep your zones pre-marked to stay prepared for any sudden price movements.
Have a great week everybody!