EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe EURUSD exhibits a bearish bias, highlighted by a decisive break of structure on the daily timeframe. Approaching a key support zone, the pair appears overextended. The accompanying video explores a potential selling opportunity on a 50-61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Please note: this analysis is for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.
Eurusdupdate
EURUSD → Day Analysis | BUY SetupHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Price reversal going up, levels for BUY . EURUSD long
! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
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EURUSD Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe EURUSD has rallied on the back of the Fed holding rates and the USD tanking. The move seems over extended and has traded into a key resistance level. On the 1D time frame we can see lower lows/highs and a bearish break of structure. In the video we discuss a possible short if price action sets up the right conditions.
EURUSD: The EUR continues to fall as the ECB can cut interest raThe euro is possibly to keep to conflict towards the greenback as weaker financial boom and quicker deflation withinside the European Union ought to pressure the European Central Bank to reduce hobby charges aggressively than the Federal Reserve.
EUR/USD fell 0.52% to $1.0862.
“We keep to count on EUR/USD to decline,” Morgan Stanley stated in a latest note, highlighting numerous elements in order to widen the differential among US and EU hobby charges, such as Deflation is quicker withinside the EU and financial boom is slower.
Morgan Stanley forecasts that the slowdown in European inflation will "arise quicker and at a decrease preliminary charge than US inflation", paving the manner for the ECB to "sign a quicker tempo of cuts than presently expected." now".
Expectations for an ECB hobby charge reduce as quickly as June had been boosted on Wednesday, following the Swiss National Bank`s marvel pass to decrease its benchmark hobby charge.
Swaps are actually pricing in a ninety% risk the ECB will reduce hobby charges in June, up from round 80% on Wednesday, with four, or ninety foundation points, cuts now priced in.
Meanwhile, the energy of US boom in comparison to the EU may also inspire the Fed now no longer to reduce hobby charges as little as in preceding cycles, Morgan Stanley stated. But different principal banks, such as the ECB, won't have that luxury, paving the manner for the USD "to hold a differential benefit over the EUR", MS added.
Meanwhile, slower boom out of doors the United States and ongoing geopolitical dangers also are possibly to help a more potent greenback, "particularly because the US election approaches", Morgan stated. Stanley stated.
EURUSD: Price Reaching Important Buying Key Level. FX:EURUSD price currently reaching a perfect buying key area where we expect price to bounce and continue the bullish trend up until it hit out 'take profit'. If you like our idea then please do consider liking the idea or leave comment. Good Luck and Trade Safe.
Trading with the Risk-Off Sentiment 🐻📉 Hello Traders! Welcome back to another Top-Down Analysis of EurUsd. I've found that only trading 1 Pair/Instrument is a great way to reduce your risk exposure in the markets. There are a few reasons for this --- 1) I only have to pay attention to the news announcments for the -EUR & -USD 2) The currency pair has it's own nuances and characteristics that I may not understand If i were to trade many pairs.
3) It's session-session behavior is easier to follow since I'm only following 1 pair
With that said, Eur/Usd did decrease over the previous session as I anticipated and called out in the Analysis. This was for a few reasons.. Market sentiment has shifted to risk-off slightly due to increasing inflation and better than expected NFP jobs data (also boosts inflation). We also have interest rates in 2 days and there is uncertainty about that.. (even more of a reason to buy the safe haven dollar)
Next target for shorts is 1.08510.. In the meantime it is possible that we may pullback to 1.089 Daily resistance level that was created today for a last minute retest before more downside to come. I have a strong Bearsh bias leading up to interest rates here
0'0 intro and monthly timeframe
1:41 weekly timeframe
3:02 daily timeframe
517 4hr tiemfame
8:01 1hr timeframe
EUR/USD Playing Good , Short Setup Valid To Get 200 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
EUR/USD Longs from 1.08600 back up to 1.09400EU is following a pattern similar to GU as anticipated, so the approach will be similar. I'll be seeking buying opportunities near the current price, given the presence of a 6-hour demand zone that prompted a Breakout to the Upside (BOS). If price approaches this zone, I anticipate a Wyckoff accumulation formation before entering buy positions.
However, there's an Asian low beneath the zone, so I need to exercise caution regarding the potential buy. If we witness a successful reaction, I anticipate a price rally to fill the imbalance above, eventually leading to the mitigation of the 17-hour supply zone for potential selling opportunities downward.
Confluences for EU Buys are as follows:
- Price is approaching a decent level demand on the 6hr.
- Imbalances and liquidity above that need to be mitigated.
- Price has already been moving recently bullish the past couple weeks.
- After asian low gets taken I can expect price to slow down and accumulate.
P.S. With the shift in price character to the downside, this could represent a temporary retracement. However, if price persists in breaking structure to the downside, there's a possibility of this demand failing and selling pressure becoming more dominant.
Weekly Price Review / EurUsd 2nd Week March 24'🏗️We Depreciated -46.4 Pips this week on EurUsd. This was due to profit taking from the increase in recent weeks, CPI data that wasn't favorable for the Federal Reserve's goals, and confluence with a Weekly Resistance Level 1.095. In this Analysis we begin by looking at how the Monthly and weekly timeframes pulled to the downside. We then go down to the 30 minute timeframe where we observe market structure and analyze how news releases impacted price behavior. We finish the analysis by breaking down price behavior on a session to session basis throughout the week.
0:0 Monthly timeframe and Introduction
1:19 Weekly Timeframe
2:10 daily timeframe
2:39 4hr timeframe
3:15 30m timeframe and Analysis
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EURUSD I Intraday long opportunity from support zone Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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EurUsd Slightly Lower after Inflation Day 🎛️Hello Traders welcome back to another Top-Down Analysis of EurUsd. Today was CPI Inflation day and the market is about Break Even after the Day's trading. At One point EurUsd had depreciated in favor of the USD by about +.21% but we have since retraced .. possibly from profit taking and normal market movements.
0:0 Monthly Timeframe
1:51 Weekly timeframe
2:35 Daily timeframe
4:17 4Hr timeframe
5:55 1Hr timeframe
We observed an increase during Asian session back towards our weekly level 1.095 that was duly corrected as is expected from an Asian session move. London session corrected the Asian session move back to near the open of the Daily candle where we observed a bounce prior to CPI inflation data news release. CPI whipsawed down dramtically as the numbers were better than expected for the dollar at 3.2% (better than the 3.1% y/y). This opposes the Fed's goal of 2% y/y so it'll be interesting to see if we continue to reject 1.095 Weekly level in the ensuing days after CPI release. Our First target for Shorts would be a retest of the Lows created today at 1.09092 and possibly we touch 1.08722 in coming sessions. The fundamental reason would be market particiaptns flocking into the dollar as a safe haven asset since the Fed is moving in the wrong direction, and away from its 2% y/y goal.
Special Guest Intro / March NFP Top-Down Analysis 🎨Hello Traders! Today we were fortunate enough to have the ShrewdCatFx Illustrator make an appearance on the Air. Yes, it is that time of the month for NFP data!
0:0 Special Guest & Monthly Timeframe/NFP Expectations
2:32 Weekly Timeframe
3:43 Daily Timeframe
6:20 4Hr timeframe
8:27 1Hr Timeframe
Numbers are expected to decrease over the prior period but growth is expected overall as 198K jobs are forecasted to have been created in February. The figure from ADP on Wednesday missed expectations slightly as 149K was expected and 140K was the actual figure. If the data tomorrow is better/more than 198K, then I'm anticipating a partial retracement of the increase we've observed so far this week. (Up 120 Pips this week)
If the Data is close to what is forecasted (198K) or falls short of that number, then I anticpate a strong continuation move to the upside towards 1.09729 Daily Level and 1.09828 4Hr Zone. We may even moon towards the Monthly level 1.105. Otherwise, favorable numbers will cause a retracement (as previously mentioned) back towards 1.09039 4Hr Zone and 1.08834 Daily Level.
Mid-Week Analysis of EurUsd / NFP Week 🛰️Hello Traders welcome back to another Video Analysis of EurUsd.
NFP week typically never disappoints with volatility an big volume moves in the market. Today we observed a nice move to the upside that coincided with the Fed Reserve speech during NY session.
0:0 Monthly timeframe/News/Intro
1:40 Weekly timeframe
3:32 Daily timeframe
5:58 4Hr timeframe
6:41 1Hr timeframe
Initially the 4hr candle closed with no top wick. Price consolidated for an hour prior to the Jerome Powell speech in which we observed solid volume and a 30 pip increase to the upside. We broke the previous Monthly candle's high which is quite bullish. Our next targets for Longs include the next 4hr zone 1.0926 and 1.095 Weekly resistance level. For Shorts we would like to see a break and close below 1.0895 1hr/4hr support zone. From there a retest would be a nice entry as price could retrace back towards our daily level 1.08834 which was our Daily resistance.. and now could act as a Daily support area for further Longs as the week progresses.
EurUsd Buyers battle @ 1.086 4Hr Zone ⚔️Hello traders welcome back to another Analysis.
//// 0:0 Monthly/Introduction
1:06 Weekly Timeframe
2:24 Daily timeframe
2:58 4Hr timeframe
4:15 1Hr timeframe
//// We have upcoming (USD) PMI manufacturing data during the next NY session to look out for. It is expected to expand overall but decrease slightly from the last data point. Coming out of last Friday and during Monday's price action we observed Risk on sentiment with the Eur being favored. Maybe this will come to a halt, and during today's price action we will see a retracement back down with the positive expected USD data. If Risk-On sentiment continues, a candle closure above 1.086 on the 1hr and especially the 4hr may confirm solid long orders up to the next daily level (1.0888).
Eur/Usd March 24'... Risk on Sentiment? 🕶️Eurusd new monthly candle! The February monthly candle closed a bearish doji candle. This suggests that we may continue a bearish descent from the January monthly engulfing candle. At the same time it appears that price is respecting Weekly level 1.0763 and there is Risk-On Sentiment in the markets following optimistic Cad inflation data from 2 weeks ago. Apologies if this analysis was a bit scattered and have a nice day! 0:0 Intro and Monhtly timeframe
1:50 Weekly timeframe
3:31 Daily timeframe
3:51 back to Monthly to explain new monthly candle potential
5:10 back to daily timeframe
6:53 4Hr timeframe
8:16 1Hr timeframe
Attempted a brief analysis but ofc it ran longer than I would've liked :)
EURUSD Analysis for a Positional Trade with amazing Reward
We have a Fresh Weekly Demand and a Fresh Weekly Supply areas formed,
Now Price has just reacted to the Weekly Demand and post a Confirmation in lower timeframes in the Upward direction(In the direction of the Trend), we will buy with a defined risk.
We see that the previous High is violated and a potential 4H Demand has formed, now there are two possibilities either this 4H Demand will take the price till its Weekly Supply in the opposite or this 4H Demand will be violated. Lets check the Reward to Risk ratio of this 4H Demand, as per the statistic anything above 3:1 is a good opportunity and any FII wouldnt miss such Trades.
Here is the Trade with a Reward : Risk ratio of just a little more than 6:1.
Thank You and ENjoy the Ride ! ! !